Attention all traders! The Bitcoin ETF crashed yesterday, with a net outflow of 56.3 million in a single day, setting the highest record since April 22.
The most severe were the two giants FBTC and ARKB, which had withdrawals of 138 million and 131 million respectively, together enough to empty half a mining farm.
Institutions are playing a game of escape, with FBTC being the ETF with the best liquidity being drained aggressively, indicating that large funds are retreating. These institutions are like traders who suddenly all get up from the table, leaving retail investors staring blankly.
The price is stuck at 96000 and won't break, while the trading volume has shrunk like a deflated balloon, which is identical to the pattern before the crash in February. At that time, the ETF had a single-day outflow of 938 million, directly triggering an avalanche; now, although the amount is smaller, the timing is more critical—just hitting a key resistance level.
The derivatives market is putting on a show. The futures open interest has dropped by 1%, indicating that experienced traders are closing positions and running away, while there are still retail investors crazily buying calls in the options market, a typical sign of a 'bull funeral'.
If there are consecutive three days of outflows exceeding 100 million, fasten your seatbelt; once the 93000 support level is broken, algorithmic selling could knock people out like a concussion.
Don't be fooled by BlackRock's IBIT still holding on; this thing has eaten 2 billion in the past eight days, now struggling alone like a lone wolf carrying a whole flock of sheep.
Are you stuck in a position? When to bottom fish? It's still the same line: if you're confused and don't know what to do, click on the profile picture and comment. I need fans, you need references.
Interest rate cuts are coming, will the bull return?
Attention everyone! The latest data from the U.S. Treasury shows that the two-year Treasury yield is surprisingly being pressed down by the ten-year yield, a peculiar phenomenon reminiscent of large-cap stocks falling harder than small-cap stocks in the equity market—a typical economic warning signal.
Bessenet has finally broken through the window paper: if the Federal Reserve continues to pretend to sleep, the mountain of U.S. debt will eventually crush the financial market.
Take a look at these shocking numbers: the scale of U.S. national debt has surged to $36.5 trillion, with interest payments accounting for nearly one-third of fiscal revenue.
In layman's terms, it would take the entire population three years of not eating or drinking to pay off the interest. Even harsher, the Trump administration set a hard deadline for the Federal Reserve—to cut interest rates below 3%, or else annual interest payments would exceed $2 trillion.
Yet, the Federal Reserve is still playing a balancing act, publicly claiming to control inflation while firmly pressing the interest rate cut button. This operation is akin to firefighters watching a fire without extinguishing it, busy instead sealing the fire extinguishers.
Bessenet's maneuver is clearly a palace coup: either proactively cut interest rates to relieve debt pressure, or wait to be voted out by the market.
The most ironic part is that while the Trump administration calls for interest rate cuts, it simultaneously imposes tariffs aggressively. This is like pouring oil into a fire with one hand while trying to put it out with the other—ultimately, the hardest hit will be the domestic economy.
It is advisable to keep a close eye on two indicators: if the ten-year Treasury yield falls below 4%, buckle up quickly; if the Federal Reserve continues to delay rate cuts, the U.S. stock market may likely experience a high-altitude dive.
The market now resembles a pressure cooker, ready to explode at any moment, so brothers, don’t play the role of the bag holder! Are you trapped? When to bottom fish? As always, if you're confused and don’t know what to do, click on the avatar to comment. I need fans; you need references. #币安Alpha上新 #稳定币日常支付 #山寨币ETF展望 $BTC $ETH $SOL
$BTC Evening Analysis, Why Did It Surge All of a Sudden?
Attention everyone! Bitcoin has surged from 83000 to 96000, a rise of 13,000 points looks intimidating, but it actually conceals dangers. At the level of 96500, there are massive short positions buried, like betting wildly in front of the dealer at a table; whoever takes the last bet is the one who gets burned.
Look at how eerie this surge is? The weekly chart shows a big bullish candlestick, but the trading volume has shrunk like a deflated ball.
The most vicious part is in the death zone between 95000-96000, where brothers who were trapped three months ago are still standing guard. The dealer is currently playing a game of musical chairs.
Remember two critical signals: First, the daily MACD red bars are shrinking faster than retail investors can run, and second, the support level at 93000 has been pierced three times, which could trigger a long liquidation at any moment.
As for Ethereum, don’t be fooled by its bullish candlestick! It is still struggling within a downward channel at the weekly level, like a wild dog caught in a trap.
Those shouting "Ethereum reversal" seem to have forgotten that brothers trapped at 1850 in April are still crying. Now, the position at 1780 appears stable, but it actually hides secrets— the dealer has filled the area above 1850 with short positions ready to harvest.
Key focus on two positions: Bitcoin at 96500 and Ethereum at 1780. If these two levels can’t hold, it will trigger automated sell-offs.
Remember, the market is like a pressure cooker, it could deflate at any moment. Those chasing the rise, be careful not to be blown away and lose everything!
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Analysis of the recent market trend for $ETH , and what to do next
Attention all! ETH is currently forming a dense zone of chip peaks around 1800, where both bulls and bears are engaged in a tug-of-war.
This narrow box-like fluctuation is like a pressure cooker, which may trigger a directional breakout at any moment.
Three consecutive bullish candles seem impressive, but the trading volume has shrunk like a deflated balloon.
Although the EMA moving averages are in a bullish arrangement, the MACD momentum bars are shrinking at an unusual rate, and the KDJ indicator has shown early signs of a high-position death cross.
More critically, the 1800 position has recently become a battleground for bulls and bears three times in the past three months, with each breakout accompanied by huge stop-loss volumes.
Two key signals to watch: if it holds above 1840 for three consecutive days, it may trigger a short-squeeze from stop-loss orders; but if it falls below 1720, the massive whale cost zone around 1700 will be exposed. Those shouting "breakthrough of previous highs", don't forget that brothers who were trapped at 1850 in April are still on guard.
The main players are waiting for you to get on board. In this market, it's better to miss out than to make a wrong move!
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What is the truth behind last night's waterfall? Can we still see the mountain top?
Attention all brothers! In the past 12 hours, BTC's main force has sold over 60 million dollars, and the market shows obvious bearish signals.
The most concerning event occurred on April 30 at 20:36, when three market sell orders totaling 15.95 million dollars directly broke through key support levels. This tactic resembles the main force aggressively dumping at high prices.
The short-term moving average system is forming pressure, the MACD red bars are shrinking rapidly, and the KDJ indicator is showing a dead cross at high levels.
More critically, the trading volume has shrunk to 43% of the daily average, indicating a severe lack of market support.
The current price is fluctuating in the 93,000-95,000 range, but every time it rebounds near 95,500, it encounters mysterious selling pressure, which is clearly the dealer controlling the market.
The 93,000 defense line has been broken three times consecutively, with 91,000 below acting as a strong annual support; above, 96,000 is piled up with large amounts of trapped positions, and a breakout would require at least three times the current trading volume.
The dealer is laying a large short position above 96,000, and as soon as the price rebounds to this level, it will trigger programmed selling.
For the medium to long term, it is recommended to observe and wait for the daily MACD to form a bottom divergence before considering any action. Right now, market sentiment is like the calm before a storm, hiding peril beneath the surface.
Are you trapped? When to buy the dip? As always, if you feel lost and helpless and don’t know what to do, leave a comment. I need fans, and you need references. #山寨币ETF展望 #特朗普就职百日 #SEC推迟多个现货ETF审批 $ETH $SOL
Attention all traders! The recent surge of Bitcoin breaking $90,000 looks exciting, but it actually hides some secrets!
The $96,000 level is like a pressure relief valve on a pressure cooker. Last week, it tried to reach $96,500 three times but was pushed back each time. The signs of the big players frantically accumulating in the $95,000-$96,000 range are quite obvious.
A weekly target of $100,000 seems tempting, but the daily MACD red bars are shrinking faster than a novice investor! This isn't a breakout; it's clearly a trap to lure in buyers!
Focus on two key levels: $96,500 and $93,000. If it can't hold above $96,500 for three consecutive days, the entire upward channel is likely to collapse. The big players are currently playing a psychological game, keeping stop losses above $97,000, just waiting for you to chase the high and become cannon fodder.
Remember, this position change is like defusing a timed bomb; the fuse has already burned to the very last segment!
Ethereum is even scarier! Although there are signs of a rebound on the weekly chart, the $1,900 level acts like a glass ceiling, and every attempt to surge above it has been pushed back to $1,780.
Look at the recent three attempts to rise to $1,850; it’s like triggering an electromagnetic catapult, sending the price straight back to $1,750. Those shouting "breakout of the previous high" might have forgotten the brothers who were trapped at $1,800 back in March?
If it falls below $1,700, it will head straight down to the annual support level of $1,600. The market is like a pressure cooker, ready to explode at any moment!
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Will the 6703549886274166817023 take off or slide next?
Bitcoin and Ethereum are performing a "life-and-death speed" dance, with the current price stuck at a critical resistance zone, much like testing the edge of a pressure cooker.
The $95,892 area for BTC is stacked with positions from before the crash in March this year; this spot caused $30 billion in long positions to evaporate last year.
The $100,000 mark above is like a chasm that needs at least $5 billion in buying pressure to break through.
Ethereum's $1,985 is a recent dividing line between bulls and bears; this level triggered a 15% sharp drop on April 25.
Further up, $2,020 is the turning point between bulls and bears; breaking through here could trigger programmatic buying. However, current on-chain data shows that whale addresses are quietly reducing their holdings, and the net inflow to exchanges has surged by 42%. This divergence is like the countdown of a time bomb.
The current market hides three deadly signals: Bitcoin futures short positions hit an all-time high.
The proportion of put options in the options market has risen to 47%; miner selling pressure continues to increase.
If both of these cryptocurrencies break through critical support at the same time, it could trigger a domino-style sell-off.
But if they can break through with volume, it would be like giving the market a booster shot, possibly shooting directly towards $100,000 and $2,050.
It is suggested to closely observe the two "life-and-death lines": BTC's $95,892 and ETH's $1,985. Watch for whether trading volume expands to 1.5 times the prior day's volume when breaking through, and monitor whether the MA12 moving average can hold during a pullback.
The current market is like walking a tightrope; both chasing highs and selling lows can easily lead to falls. Maintaining half a position and waiting is the best strategy.
Are you stuck? When to bottom fish? It’s still that saying: if you feel lost and helpless without knowing what to do, click on the avatar and comment. I need fans, and you need reference.
Bitcoin recently broke through the "wall gap" at 88700, with the price skyrocketing to a new high of 94600, and the gap between it and Ethereum is widening. From a technical perspective, BTC is challenging a larger "ceiling"—the downward pressure channel near 95600. If it successfully breaks through, it may soar towards the 100,000 mark, even challenging last year's high.
However, in the short term, the area around 95700 resembles a heavy iron gate, and we need to see if the trading volume can keep up; otherwise, it may trigger a 10% pullback. The important support below is at 92500, equivalent to the position of an armory, and falling below here may trigger a long squeeze.
On the Ethereum side, the trend is lagging a bit. Although it has broken through the new resistance level of 1870, the area around 1750 feels like a stretched rubber band, which could rebound at any moment.
More critically, the major central position at 2200 is where last year's trapped positions are accumulated, similar to a toll booth on a highway; breaking through here is necessary to open up upward space.
The current price hovers around 1870, testing the market's reaction. If it can hold above 1850 for three consecutive days, it may initiate a sprint towards the 2000 mark.
Currently, there are two dangerous signals in the market: the daily outflow from Bitcoin ETFs reached 420 million USD, but miners are quietly increasing their holdings.
In the options market, the proportion of put contracts has risen to 43%, hitting a three-month high. It is advisable to focus on the two "lifelines" of 95700 and 1870; pay attention to volume coordination when breaking through and observe the effectiveness of support during pullbacks.
Right now, the market feels like the final sprint of a 100-meter race, where one must be wary of false starts while seizing acceleration opportunities.
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The market manipulators are playing hard this time! Bitcoin is pretending at around 95000,
BTC has formed a giant battleground around 95000, with chips piling up more exaggerated than during the spring festival travel rush, both long and short positions are battling fiercely here. If you look closely, the recent three sharp drops to 94800 seem to trigger an electromagnetic catapult, directly shooting the price back to 95200. This is no coincidence; it’s clear that the manipulators are crazily accumulating positions in the 9500-95500 range.
There are dangerous signals emerging on the technical front: the candlestick chart has shown three consecutive days of long lower shadow doji, resembling a battlefield filled with flags; the newly appearing top division structure has also shown a similar pattern before the crash in May 2024. What’s more troubling is that the MACD indicator has crossed above the zero line, but the trading volume has halved, like a car running on empty while still stepping on the gas.
Even more insidious, a certain market maker has placed a sell order for 6000 BTC above 95500, which is not a market protection strategy; it’s clearly a fishing line.
Current trading volume has shrunk to 32% of normal levels, and this "false breakout" played out the same way on April 23, resulting in a 7% drop the next day. The chip distribution shows that the 94000-96000 range has accumulated three times the normal value of stop-loss orders, and a single large order could trigger an avalanche.
To say something offensive: when all KOLs are praising "chip support," the manipulators' futures short positions have already been set. Look at Tether issuing more USDT; this is not a signal to pump the price, but a smokescreen to facilitate the main force in dumping the price—this morning's spike to 95400 was clearly a guillotine inviting retail investors to take over!
Are you stuck? When to buy the dip? It’s still the same saying, feeling lost and helpless not knowing what to do, just leave a comment. I need followers, you need references. #加密市场反弹 #Strategy增持比特币 #AI概念币领跑 $ETH $SOL
$ETH $BTC Dog Trap Appears! What should we do next?
Attention all traders! Bitcoin has surged from 83,000 to 95,000, with a bullish weekly candlestick, but this kind of violent surge is not normal!
The market maker has pressed the shorts down, but there are many trapped positions around 96,000. Jumping in now would just make you cannon fodder. Look at the last three times it surged; every time it reached 95,500, it plunged back down. This is not a breakout; it's clearly a trap to lure in buyers!
Don't be fooled by the surface bullish candlestick; the daily MACD is almost hitting the ceiling, and the long positions in the futures market are close to liquidation.
Those shouting "breakthrough the previous high" might have forgotten the brothers who got trapped at 94,000 in March? Now the big players are just waiting for retail investors to pick up at 95,500 before they take everything.
Ethereum is even scarier! It’s still struggling in a downward channel at the weekly level. That bullish candlestick yesterday looks impressive, but it’s just the market makers pushing the price up to sell.
Look at the 1,850 position; every time it gets there, it plunges back down, as precise as a clock alarm. Those chasing Ethereum at high prices are likely to get stuck halfway up.
Tonight, focus on these two positions: Bitcoin at 95,500 and Ethereum at 1,830. There's a high probability of a false breakout!
Remember, the market is like a pressure cooker, it could explode at any moment!
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This chart sends chills down one’s spine! ETH is currently stuck at the $1804 powder keg position. According to the liquidation data map, this price level is surrounded by time bombs.
High Leverage Slaughter Zone Revealed: Above the current price, in the $1810-$1838 range, there is a concentration of $1.2 billion in short stop-loss orders, especially from short contracts with 50x and 100x leverage, stacked like a tower near $1820.
Conversely, below, the $1775-$1790 area is buried with $830 million in long liquidation landmines, where long contracts with 5x leverage are clustered. This two-sided blockage pattern means that a mere 2% price fluctuation could trigger a chain reaction of explosions.
Clear Signs of Major Player Manipulation: The current price of $1804 is precisely at the lower edge of the liquidation peak area, a very delicate position—if it breaks upward past $1860, the shorts with leverage above 50x will basically be wiped out.
If it breaks downward past $1740, the long positions with 5-10x leverage will also have to collectively go to the rooftop. Even more bizarre is that long positions with 100x leverage are concentrated just 3% above the current price, clearly a death trap set for retail traders.
If it breaks through $1815 with volume, watch for $1830, as the major players are just waiting to harvest the indecisive chips.
Remember, market liquidity has shrunk by 30% compared to last week, so price movements will be more volatile than usual.
Are you stuck? When to buy the dip? As always, if you are confused and unsure what to do, click on the avatar to comment. I need fans, and you need references. $BTC $SOL #特朗普税改 #美股财报周来袭 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC
Attention all market watchers! The Ethereum spot ETF has finally ended its eight-week bleeding streak, raking in $157 million last week, which has directly pulled market sentiment from ICU back to KTV.
The most impressive is Fidelity's FETH, which attracted $68.59 million in a single week, and its total historical inflow is nearly catching up to two small targets.
BlackRock's ETHA also did not fall behind, with a weekly inflow of $64.18 million, firmly sitting in second place. In contrast, Grayscale's ETHE continues to bleed, with a weekly outflow of $32.02 million; this old institution has been a bit off lately.
Now the total ETF assets have expanded to $6.14 billion, which is equivalent to 2.83% of Ethereum's total market value.
Looking closely at this data, Grayscale's cumulative net outflow is nearing $4.3 billion, while BlackRock alone is shouldering the flag of $4.1 billion net inflow. The covert battle between institutions is even more exciting than the price fluctuations.
Focus on this duo of Fidelity and BlackRock; their holding trends are the market's weather vane. Now that the ETF net asset ratio has surpassed 2.8%, it indicates that institutional funds are accelerating their entry for bottom fishing.
But don't let short-term data cloud your judgment; if Grayscale continues to sell off, it might trigger a domino effect.
It is recommended to pay attention to the key support at $1,750. If this level holds, the inflow of ETF funds could trigger a new round of short squeeze.
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Dancing on the Edge of the Cliff: Is 94k a Lifeline or a Guillotine?
Brothers, Bitcoin is currently stuck at a critical position, with the current price hovering around 94,000. This place looks like a battlefield where two armies face off—according to on-chain data, nearly 160,000 Bitcoins are piled up near this price level, indicating that large funds are competing here.
The technical aspect is quite interesting. Over the past three days, the candlestick chart has continuously formed a bearish pattern of three black crows, and the fast and slow lines of the MACD indicator have crossed below the zero line, suggesting a downward trend.
However, if we take a closer look at the trading volume, the transaction volume in the past hour was only 320 million USD, which is half of what it was at this time yesterday, indicating that everyone is hesitant to take action.
I noticed three points of contradiction: the price is stubbornly pinned below 94,500, yet the options market has secretly increased bullish positions by 18%.
Volatility has hit a new low for the year, while open contracts in the futures market have suddenly increased by 2 billion USD, clearly indicating that someone is making a heavy bet on the direction.
Although the technical indicators appear weak, on-chain whales have been buying 18,000 coins daily over the past two days, clearly accumulating in the shadows. This situation resembles the calm before a storm; any significant news could trigger a market explosion.
In terms of operations, pay close attention to the critical level of 93,900. There are 1.2 billion USD worth of options contracts at this position, and if it breaks, it is likely to trigger a programmed sell-off.
On the upside, keep a close eye on 95,600, where there are 780 million USD worth of short stop-loss orders hanging. If we break through, it would likely lead to a short squeeze.
Currently, market liquidity is down 40% compared to last month, making it easier to see false breakouts in this environment.
If a transaction volume of over 500 million suddenly occurs, it is likely that the main players are making moves. At that time, it is better to miss out than to chase after the trades.
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$BTC Main Force "Bright Card" Goes Long, Exposing Short Squeeze Ambitions
The market manipulators are not playing around this time! In the past half-day, the bulls threw out a large order of 18.34 million USD, sweeping away the chips, while the bears barely managed to hit 10.58 million USD before being overwhelmed. The buy-sell ratio of 1.73:1 clearly indicates a squeeze.
That market order of 1.78 million USD in the early morning directly pushed the price above 94.5k like a machine gun, reminiscent of the script when breaking the previous high on April 23.
Don’t be fooled by the price standing steadily above the EMA24/52 moving averages; the market manipulators have already filled up the stop-loss orders in the 88k-92k range.
On-chain monitoring shows that a certain market maker has placed 8,000 BTC to suppress the price above 94.5k, equivalent to 15% of the daily trading volume. This is not support at all; it’s clearly a fishing line inviting traders to take the bait!
RSI breaking above the 50 midline combined with KDJ golden cross looks like a bullish signal? The same trick three weeks ago led to a 7% crash the next day. This is not a golden cross; it’s just the market manipulators sharpening their scythe!
A 10% increase in trading volume sounds exciting, but Coinbase saw a net outflow of 426 BTC last night, while Binance had an inflow of 1,661 BTC. It’s clear that Eastern funds are pushing the price up while Western institutions are fleeing—remember the disaster on March 28 when Chinese exchanges blew past 90k, leading to a collective sell-off by European and American whales?
Everything above 95k is just "paper-thin resistance"; once it drops below 91.5k, don't trust the ghost stories of "technical support."
To say something that might offend: When all the KOLs are praising the "main force going long," the market manipulators have already set their futures shorts in place.
Look at SoftBank coming in with 3 billion USD and Tether hoarding 80,000 BTC; this rally is not about breaking through but rather providing cover for institutional big shots to offload their positions at a high—this morning's false breakout to 94.5k was simply an invitation for retail traders to take the bait!
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$ETH 1800 Life and Death Line, Should We Buy the Dip or Escape?
Ethereum is currently hovering around $1800, seemingly dangerous but actually hiding secrets.
On-chain data reveals the main players' bottom line: nearly 3 million ETH are stacked in the 1600-1850 range, which are 'bloody chips' that giant whales who bought two years ago are desperately defending the cost line, effectively locking in the selling pressure.
Technically, the situation looks frightening: both MACD and KDJ have issued sell signals, warning of a pullback, but the J value has already dropped to the extreme oversold zone, similar to a spring compressed to the limit, ready to rebound violently at any moment.
More crucially, the main players have buried a large number of buy orders in the 1780-1800 range, and over 150,000 ETH have been withdrawn from exchanges in the last 24 hours, which is not something retail investors can create.
Changes in volume reveal the main players' intentions: although the trading volume at the 4-hour level has decreased by 23% compared to the previous three days, the 10-day moving average suddenly increased by 47%, indicating that smart money is secretly building positions.
What we fear most now is a false breakout trap—last night's spike to 1814 followed by a drop back to 1780 is clearly a test of resistance by the whales. Just watch the middle ground.
In the short term, don't be scared by technical indicators; if ETH can break through while facing high funding rates, that would signal a restart of the bull market.
A reminder: currently, 60% of ETH profit addresses are concentrated in the 1600-1850 range. Once these chips are unbound, selling pressure will flood out like a deluge.
Don't believe in the nonsense of 'stabilizing at 1800 before taking off'; the real resistance level is at 1920, where those who failed to bottom out at 3400 last year are piled up.
Remember, support levels in a bull market are meant to be broken, while resistance levels are meant to be surpassed—focus on where the whales choose to act.
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Can 4460263297628133826157 Hope to Return to the Peak? This is the Truth!
Dear friends, keep a close eye on the market! The operations of BTC and ETH this time are too aggressive!
The 90000 life-and-death line has been broken just like that, pulling hard to a high of 95500 and consolidating sideways. Look at the current volume and price not cooperating, the candlestick is as flimsy as cotton candy, clearly the main force is using good news as a cover to push the market up.
Chasing long positions at this level is just looking for death! The 96000 level is pressing down and simply can't be broken through, colliding head-on with the trapped positions at 95000 from the beginning of the year.
Focus on the 90000 defense line; if it cannot stabilize for three consecutive days, a half-year bear market will be directly unleashed.
ETH is even worse! The 1830 pressure level is as solid as iron, and the main force loves to play fake breakouts. Looking at the on-chain data, giant whale addresses have recently sold off 32,000 coins in the last three days, which is hardly a reversal signal!
It is clearly a trap for retail investors. Wait for it to pull back to 1650 before considering entering the market; currently, taking short positions is the way to go.
It is recommended to focus on two key price points: Bitcoin's 93000 support and Ethereum's 1830 resistance. If Bitcoin breaks below 93000 with volume, it may trigger a domino-style sell-off; if Ethereum cannot break through 1830 USD, the downward channel will open up again.
Current market sentiment is extremely sensitive; the prudent approach is to maintain a position below half and wait for right-side opportunities after a pullback.
Don't be blinded by short-term surges; the real opportunity lies after a crash. Right now, it’s better to miss out than to become cannon fodder!
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Big things are about to happen in the crypto world! If you miss this wave, you'll regret it!
Is a rate cut coming? $BTC is about to skyrocket! Grab the last golden opportunity!
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Right now, laying out 100,000 USDT to earn 1,000,000 USDT is a piece of cake; just hold onto one 10x coin.
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$ETH Chip distribution hides secrets, is it going to 2k soon?
Ethereum is currently forming an "iron barrel formation" around 1800 dollars, an area where huge whales accumulated chips back in March this year, with an average cost around 1850 dollars.
Just like a stronghold that is repeatedly contested on the battlefield, the price has attempted to breach 1850 three times without success, indicating that funds are secretly defending the price.
However, it is important to note that the recent three tests have shown increased volume but stagnant growth, akin to a battering ram hitting a city wall without breaking through.
Technical indicators are showing conflicting signals: the KDJ dead cross is like sounding an air raid alarm, while trading volume has shrunk to a three-month low, indicating a depletion of short-term upward momentum.
Yet, the EMA 24/52 moving averages still maintain an upward tilt, creating a state of "short-term brake, long-term accelerator," similar to stepping on the gas while going over a speed bump.
More dangerously, on-chain data shows that there are still 2.12 million ETH in the selling pressure zone above 1850 dollars, which could trigger a long squeeze at any moment.
Currently, the market has two fatal flaws: first, the net inflow to exchanges has surged, suspected institutions are accumulating at low levels; second, the proportion of bearish contracts in the options market has risen to 45%, reaching a six-month high. This divergence is like a tug-of-war, one side quietly accumulating while the other side bets wildly on a decline.
It is recommended to closely monitor the effectiveness of the 1750 dollar support. A significant drop below this level could trigger panic selling.
In the medium to long term, if this "golden pit" can be held, it may accumulate strength for the next round of rally, but the risk of chasing the rise currently greatly outweighs the opportunity.
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