In the early session, ETH retraced to around 2380, showing a spike in volume, indicating clear capital support. The short-term level of 2380 can be viewed as an important support level, and this position should be used as a defensive reference for long positions during the day.
Overall, it continues to operate within the range of 2350-2530, and the trading suggestions are as follows:
Suggested long entry range: 2420-2410
Stop-loss level: below 2370
Short-term target range: around 2480-2500
The US PCE price index, to be announced tonight at 20:30, is likely to have a positive bias. Based on recent inflation data and Powell's statements, the expectation for a rate cut in September has become relatively clear, and market risk appetite may increase.
Currently, ETF-related funds are mainly concentrated in BTC, which shows relatively stable trends. It is recommended that conservative investors closely watch for BTC pullback opportunities and take positions at opportune moments, as it has a relatively high cost-performance ratio for the medium term, suitable for those who do not closely monitor the market.
There are no clear opportunities in altcoins at the moment; I still hold the remaining UNI and STX after the previous reduction and will not increase positions for now.
Feel free to like and follow; I will continue to share more clear and practical market information and trading ideas.
🔥🔥🔥From liquidation to a comeback of 50,000 U: After losing a million, I was reborn with three strategies
The truth in the cryptocurrency world is brutal: 90% of people fall before dawn.
But as long as you are still alive, you still have the chance to turn things around!
I was once that numb retail investor who faced liquidation—my account went from over 100,000 U to zero, leaving only 3,000 U to barely survive. Staring at the fluctuating K-line, I felt anxious and shaky, even doubting if I should leave this market.
But it was this last 3,000 U that became the starting point of my comeback. Without insider information or lucky breaks, I managed to grow my account to 50,000 U through three strategies:
First Strategy: Relentlessly stick to your 'main coin', stabilize your understanding, and stay away from temptation
New coins skyrocketing, trends flying? Not my concern. I only focus on one coin—ETH.
From patterns, rhythms, main force thinking to chip structure, I studied it until I could draw the key positions with my eyes closed. As long as you grasp a coin you know inside out, you can avoid the wild ups and downs and steadily profit.
Second Strategy: Plan ahead, go against human nature to buy at the bottom
In the past, I chased rising prices and sold at dips like a gambler in a casino. Now, I only enter positions that I have planned in advance, stepping into the market during a crash without greed or panic. The most fearful moments in the market are often the best times for funds to enter.
Third Strategy: Capital first, slow like raising fish
Many people trade like they are in a war, but now I am like raising fish—only guarding the rhythm I understand, not chasing prices or betting on peaks. I would rather miss opportunities than easily give up my bottom line. 3,000 U is my life; protecting my capital is the key to my future.
From liquidation to increasing my account 16 times, what I relied on was not talent, but an extremely stable strategy + iron discipline.
If you are also feeling lost during a period of significant losses, please remember this sentence:
In the cryptocurrency world, the greatest victory is not becoming rich overnight, but surviving and earning back your money. $SAHARA $BSW $RARE #币安Alpha上新 #以色列伊朗冲突 #鲍威尔半年度货币政策证词
$SAHARA new currency is online, just go short without thinking!!!
In the evening, Brother K led fans to short #sahara , and has already made nearly 14 times. Are there any friends who followed along to short? This wave is going to make big profits.
Currently, #sahara is quite volatile, and those who are cautious can take profits in batches. Spot traders are advised not to open positions, and can wait until it stabilizes before gradually building positions. Brother K will notify everyone at the first suitable opportunity.
$BSW , $ALPHA , and $KMD will face the risk of being delisted from the platform on July 4th. Be aware that these types of coins have recently shown significant signs of being manipulated and driven up, with overall volatility being extremely high.
In particular, #KMD has experienced a situation where it has been cut in half by 50% in a short period due to the inability to hedge risks with contracts, under conditions of insufficient liquidity, making it highly destructive.
Currently, there are signs in the market that market makers are using news to frequently harvest profits both ways. My short position has achieved a 7-fold return in short-term operations, and a conservative strategy suggests taking profits and exiting at this time.
In the coming days, K will continue to track these types of highly volatile altcoins, as they still hold operational value when the timing is right.
However, a reminder: friends with little trading experience should not easily participate in the speculation of these types of coins, as they can easily become the buyers trapped in a liquidity trap.
🚀 Midday Shanzhai Key Focus: $TAO Opportunity is Here!
As one of the leaders in the AI sector, #TAO currently has a strong demand for rebound, with strong short-term explosive potential. Although the long-term value is limited (market capitalization is already high), there is still hope to see 4-5 times the space in the medium to short term.
I am optimistic about TAO for the following reasons:
1. The decentralized AI narrative is fully exploding, and industry heat continues to rise.
2. Institutional funding support, traditional giants entering the market for endorsement, enhancing market confidence.
3. On-chain data and futures positions are synchronously increasing, indicating that large funds have entered the market.
4. The mismatch between market capitalization and technical value still offers strong emotional and financial gaming space.
From the market perspective, TAO's hourly chart has shown a clear stabilization signal. After the market stabilizes, major funds are expected to quickly push up.
I have led fans to enter the market in advance, ready for profit-taking and stop-loss, waiting for a wave of high-quality segment market!
We started positioning for #以太 long ETH since yesterday morning, with the initial entry point at the 2450 level.
Due to the concentration of main funds in BTC at that time, ETH briefly dipped to 2405 at 5:30 PM, just touching our replenishment point. We decisively increased our position, setting a stop loss at 2370 and a target of 2550.
The downward movement in the early morning was because Trump once again threatened to suppress Iran, but the market then recovered because he is currently "interviewing for the Federal Reserve Chair"; the market has shifted back to a positive outlook.
Currently, our average holding price for ETH is around 2425, and there are basically no new negative factors in the short term. The market is expected to continue moving upward, with the target unchanged at 2550.
The current trend is clear. It is not advisable to operate blindly and frequently; continue to hold the long position and wait for realization.
Those who truly make big money are never those who chase highs and cut losses, but rather those who are firm in their strategy and patiently wait. This week, let's look forward to 2550 and wait for realization. $GNS $MOVE $GPS #币安Alpha上新 #以色列伊朗冲突 #美国国债
Brothers, pay attention! The $NEWT that is hotly discussed in the crypto circle has now launched on Binance spot!
Don’t rush in; this project indeed has highlights, but it also carries risks. Take my advice:
#Newt Scenic Strength — With over $90 million in financing behind it, the investor lineup is impressive, focusing on 'verifiable automation' as a high-level narrative. The core idea is to connect multiple DeFi platforms through smart agents to achieve automatic execution of on-chain logic, which is a typical future narrative. However, as a veteran in the crypto circle for many years, I must throw a bucket of cold water on this: now is not a good time to chase after highs.
Why?
1. High Open, Low Close is the Norm
Observing the recent trends of new coins on Binance, you will see that most of them spike on the first day and quickly drop. The NEWT contract had a wave of hype a few days ago, and the good news is basically exhausted, making it easy to catch a high position now.
2. Retail Investor Sentiment is High, and Institutions Have Already Positioned
Currently, trading sentiment is relatively high, but looking at the order book, institutional funds are more inclined towards short-term arbitrage rather than long-term positioning. Retail investors rushing in as a 'baton' can imagine the outcome.
Suggested Strategy:
For short-term, consider placing short positions at highs; it's safer to trade on the right side.
If you want to enter the spot market, it’s not too late to wait — consider building positions after prices stabilize and hype is digested.
Investment is always about observing trends, not following the crowd. Hype is not a buying signal; a cooling of emotions is the right opportunity to position!
Don’t let short-term hype cloud your judgment; the market always rewards those who remain calm and patient.
Last night, the market experienced a deep V reversal, with a rapid recovery.
On the news front:
Iran and Israel have reached a ceasefire agreement. Although there are still sporadic frictions, the Iranian president publicly stated that Iran is prepared to return to the negotiating table. This statement directly eased geopolitical tensions.
Regarding the Federal Reserve, Chairman Powell signaled a dovish stance yesterday: if inflation stabilizes, consideration will be given to lowering interest rates ahead of schedule.
However, the current challenge is that the unemployment rate may not rise quickly due to changes in immigration policy leading to a large number of job vacancies, which local American labor is filling in these "low-wage labor" jobs, thus maintaining a low unemployment rate. This constrains the possibility of interest rate cuts in the short term.
However, if prices show a significant decline, it could trigger an early rate cut.
From a macro perspective, we are still in a clear historical rate-cutting cycle, which is the main theme of the market in the medium to long term.
In this context:
Altcoins will struggle to maintain strong performance; mainstream coins, especially BTC, will perform more robustly due to policy expectations; Bitcoin has stronger certainty and is currently the most worthwhile asset to focus on.
On the positive news front:
One of the leading securities firms in mainland China—Guotai Junan's Hong Kong institution—has officially been approved to provide trading services for cryptocurrencies and other virtual assets.
This is a clear policy signal, indicating that the integration of traditional finance and the crypto market is accelerating. It is worth keeping an eye on whether mainland China will gradually open up in the future.
Operational Suggestions:
At this stage, it is recommended to continue focusing on BTC, steadily and cautiously;
Altcoins should be controlled within 30% of the total position;
The market has just completed a panic washout, and the next phase should focus on the leading rhythm of mainstream coins.
Trump once again calls out Powell: Interest rates should be reduced by at least 2-3 percentage points!!!
Powell is set to speak at 10 PM tonight. Will he agree to cut rates early, or will he continue to resist an early rate cut?
Later, when the U.S. stock market opens, there will definitely be some fluctuations in the market. At that time, K will find a suitable opportunity to bring fans into the market. If you want to follow the strategy, you can give K a little attention!!! $SEI $BANANAS31 $HIFI #加密市场反弹 #币安Alpha上新 #以色列伊朗冲突
EGL1 is a crypto project centered around the core narratives of "American Culture," "Patriotism," and the spirit of "Superheroes." The main storyline revolves around two major themes:
"America First"
"Eagle First"
Its symbolic imagery includes the bald eagle (the national bird of the United States) and superhero-style visual language, conveying a strong sense of national honor and the spirit of freedom.
Current Progress and Potential Value:
EGL1 is deployed on the BSC chain and has currently partnered with the WLFI team supported by Trump and the USD1 trading competition.
It has now risen to become the top project by trading volume in relevant trading pairs, and if its subsequent performance continues, it has a high probability of gaining liquidity support and topic promotion from Trump-related funds.
EGL1 is rapidly building its unique positioning in the meme track through a combination of narrative + community + topics + traffic strategies. Future performance is worth paying attention to. #加密市场反弹 #Strategy增持比特币 #以色列伊朗冲突
At noon, Brother K brought fans to layout and enter #以太 Kong Dan. The cautious ones have just secured all their gains. Just now, Iran denied the rumors of an attack on Israel; who is lying after all?
In the evening, before and after the opening of the US stock market, Brother K will look for suitable entry opportunities to layout with fans. Those who want to follow the strategy can give Brother K some attention at @Crypto黑桃k .
Brothers, good morning! I have always emphasized that if it falls below 100,000, it's a bold time to buy the dip. Many people ask if it's still a good time to enter the market. The biggest investment taboo is 'not daring to buy when it falls, blindly chasing when it rises.' The key is to rely on logical predictions to avoid emotional trading.
Review of recent accurate predictions:
1. Warned about risks before the U.S. bombing; 2. Predicted that BTC would have a correction before hitting a new high; 3. Accurately judged that Iran would first retaliate symbolically and then ease the situation through negotiations.
Current situation: The Iranian foreign minister hinted that hostile actions are coming to an end, and Trump announced a complete ceasefire with Iran. The market is experiencing extreme volatility in the short term.
Operational advice: Abandon frequent short-term operations and stick to long-term investments. Focus on allocating BTC while being cautious with altcoins. This round of decline is the main force accelerating the washout, with the progress reaching 90%. If the conflict with Iran does not escalate further, BTC is expected to refresh its historical high in July. $HIFI $MOVE $SEI #加密市场反弹 #币安Alpha上新 #以色列伊朗冲突
🔥🔥🔥 The washout is nearing its end, and the main upward wave is quietly brewing!!!
This round of the market has seen a significant correction, thoroughly cleaning out the floating chips in the market, with many retail investors leaving in panic. Behind this, the major players are taking advantage of the international turmoil to conduct a deep washout in preparation for the next round of market movements.
From the rebound structure, the strength of the sectors can be observed, with AI performing the most prominently.
Among them, $AIXBT shows a significantly stronger trend than other projects, with limited correction, quick capital support, and multiple small-scale upward movements during the day, indicating a strong intent to accumulate. As a representative of the AI direction in the Virtual ecosystem, it possesses high elasticity.
In addition, attention can also be paid to strong currencies such as #VIRTUAL and #Fartcoin , as these types of projects often rebound first after adjustments, exhibiting clear characteristics of "capital preference."
From the trend perspective, old projects are gradually being cleared out, and quality new projects are quietly taking over. This round of washout is not the end of the market but a "reordering" of the mainline projects, where the weak exit and the strong rise.
The medium-term logic remains valid: The strong performance of Ethereum as a foundational infrastructure will drive the coordinated rise of AI, DeFi, and other sectors. Currently, it is the window period for laying out potential projects.
Please remember: the market clears in chaos, and new opportunities brew in the washout. When most people leave with pessimism, it is precisely the moment when smart money quietly builds positions. The direction is clear; be patient and wait for the main upward wave to begin. $FUN $MOVE #加密市场回调 #以色列伊朗冲突
Noon fans are setting up a position for #以太 multi-Dan around 2240, stop loss at 2205, target wait for my notification!!!
Currently, Ethereum shows significant stabilization signals on the four-hour chart, so Brother K is leading fans for a short-term operation. Are there any friends who have followed along? The square shout for Dan has some delay, those who want to follow the strategy can give Brother K a little attention!!! $FUN $DATA $BANANAS31 #加密市场回调 #以色列伊朗冲突 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC
Geopolitical risks are escalating, BTC has fallen below a key level. Good morning, everyone! Yesterday, Bitcoin briefly fell below 100,000 USD.
Last week, we already indicated: if it falls below this level, it is a clear medium-term buying signal.
The current trend remains unstable, and it may still test the area below 100,000 USD in the short term.
1. Catalyst for the plunge: Escalating geopolitical conflict
The U.S. military bombed Iran, leading to further escalation of the conflict. The Iranian parliament approved the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, becoming the core source of market panic.
The Strait of Hormuz is one of the most important oil shipping lanes in the world. Once blocked, the U.S. military may directly intervene, and the conflict could escalate comprehensively, causing a surge in market risk aversion.
2. Will the situation further deteriorate?
The likelihood of closing the strait is low
Although the parliament approved the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, the execution authority remains with the Supreme Leader Khamenei. From Iran's own economic perspective, blocking the strait would mean cutting off its oil exports, which is extremely risky and more likely to be used as a bargaining chip rather than a substantive action.
The probability of a full-scale war is small; it is more likely to move towards peace talks.
The current situation is more likely to develop into a pattern of "limited conflict + diplomatic mediation."
The possible path is: Iran's symbolic retaliation → U.S. side pauses escalation → All parties promote negotiations → Freezing of the nuclear program in exchange for easing sanctions.
3. On-chain data: BTC holdings are still concentrating towards whales
Despite the price correction, the BTC reserves on exchanges have not significantly increased. On-chain data shows that the proportion of whale holdings continues to rise, indicating that the main players are still accumulating at low levels.
Short-term volatility is a shakeout; the essence is turnover.
Once the geopolitical situation eases, BTC is expected to restart its upward trend, even breaking new highs. $FUN $GNS $DATA #加密市场回调 #以色列伊朗冲突 #特朗普施压鲍威尔
During lunch, I led fans to chase 🈳 at a low position near 2250, and by evening, all profits were taken!
Congratulations to the fans who followed this wave, Brother K only trades in real-time, with precise entry points. Those who want to follow the strategy can give Brother K a follow.
Tomorrow, the Americans are preparing to have dialogue with Iran, and a big market movement is expected. Early news for everyone, let's continue tomorrow 💤! $GNS $BANANAS31 $FUN #加密市场回调 #以色列伊朗冲突 #波段交易策略
The first stablecoin project driven by a state government in the United States, WYST, is not only a historic attempt but could also mark the starting point of the 'Chain-Selected Government' era. The choice of the underlying public chain is a key step for the project's implementation—it relates to technical security, performance capacity, ecological compatibility, and future scalability.
1. Aptos scores the highest, leading competitors like SEI
According to the committee's evaluation report (or reliable market information):
Aptos leads in dimensions such as stability, TPS, development tools, security, and compliance,
ranking first among many candidate chains, ahead of popular competitors like SEI and Avalanche.
2. Why Aptos?
1. Technological leadership:
Utilizing the Move language, it offers high security and ease of resource management;
High TPS and low latency make its on-chain performance suitable for daily payments;
Natively supports account abstraction and resource models, featuring a more modern design architecture.
2. Compliance-friendly:
Aptos has consistently emphasized its positioning 'for enterprises and governments';
Has established collaborations with Google Cloud, Microsoft Azure, SK Telecom, etc., gaining experience in government-enterprise connections.
3. Active ecosystem:
Covers multiple directions such as DeFi, NFT, GameFi, RWA, etc.;
For government-related projects, it can provide more comprehensive connection support and resource integration.
3. Far-reaching impact on the cryptocurrency market
1. Accelerating the mainstreaming of RWA:
Once Aptos becomes a 'government chain', it will drive more governments, banks, and enterprises to put real-world assets (such as fiat currency) on-chain.
2. Accelerating the compliance narrative:
The advancement of the WYST project will provide practical references for federal agencies like SEC and FinCEN, accelerating the clarification of regulatory policies.
3. Opening a new competitive track for public chains:
Other public chains like SEI, AVAX, and Starknet will also accelerate their efforts to compete for government or state-owned enterprise projects, promoting the development of on-chain compliance ecosystems.
Conclusion:
WYST is not just a state-level stablecoin project, but also a crucial battle for Aptos to seize the high ground of 'official collaboration chains'. The signals of chain-selected government, compliance priority, and RWA implementation indicate that the cryptocurrency industry is entering a new stage of becoming more 'mainstream'. $FUN $GPS $SEI #加密市场回调 #特朗普施压鲍威尔 #以色列伊朗冲突
Good morning, brothers. The market is being pulled back and forth, and a big volatility may be coming.
Yesterday, the market briefly surged to 106000 due to news that "Iran is going to negotiate," but then quickly waterfall down to 103000.
The core reason is: the negotiations between Europe and Iran have broken down. The market originally expected Iran to abandon its nuclear program, but after communication with the UK, France, and Germany, Iran clearly stated that it will not stop uranium enrichment. This means - no agreement, and the situation may escalate.
What’s more troublesome is that Russia has voiced: warning the United States not to interfere in Iranian affairs, or the consequences will be severe. At the same time, Putin has also issued a strong signal, stating that "the entire territory of Ukraine belongs to Russia," and military advancement in regions like Sumy cannot be ruled out.
These two major geopolitical conflicts indicate: the global situation remains tense, and risks are hard to eliminate, putting continued pressure on the cryptocurrency market.
Additionally, Trump's tariff policy is still unclear, and Israel's military strikes against Iran may last more than two weeks, with high-level target actions not being ruled out, potentially worsening the situation further.
In the coming weeks, the market will still fluctuate, and instability will make sustained upward trends difficult.