一只芙芙fu

在币圈，没有永远的牛市，也没有永远的熊市，只有永远在市场中坚持学习和成长的人。涨的时候别太狂，跌的时候别太慌，行情总是走在情绪的对立面。真正的高手，不靠运气吃饭，而靠纪律和策略生存。不要羡慕别人的翻倍，也不要为自己的套牢焦虑，每一次起落，都是市场给你的课程。保持理性，放弃幻想，用时间换空间，用耐心熬经验。赚快钱的是运气，赚慢钱的是能力。记住，币圈永远不缺机会，缺的是能看清方向却依旧稳住心态的你。

SYN currently shows signs of a breakout from the minor downtrend line, attention is needed to see if an effective breakout forms. If the breakout is confirmed, an accelerated rise is expected, looking towards over 30%. Stay closely tuned.

Although it temporarily fell below the 4-hour ascending channel, there is no bearish signal on the daily level, and it remains a bullish trend.

心态崩了，一切白搭

你可以没有神级判断，但不能没有稳定情绪。

涨怕踏空，跌怕归零，夜里做梦都在算盈亏，这不是交易，是慢性自残。

真正赚钱的人，从不在群里吵架，也不天天调仓，而是安静如鸡，稳如老狗。

市场疯的时候他冷静，市场怂的时候他悄悄布局。

心态是交易系统的底层框架，不修心，你就是再多技术指标也看不清方向。

Build a Stable Trading System in Three Steps, Stay Away from Emotional Liquidation

1. Control Risk, Protect Capital

Only trade with spare money, and do not exceed 3-5% of total funds for a single position. Do not borrow or gamble all in; you must survive first to have a chance to make money.

2. Choose a Long Time Frame, Reduce Impulsivity

Prioritize trading on 4-hour, daily, or weekly charts to avoid frequent short-term trading and allow time for rational judgment.

3. Small-Scale Testing, Continuous Optimization

First, test strategies with a small amount of capital, using simple indicators like MACD and Bollinger Bands. Review losing trades daily, learn from mistakes, and optimize. Only increase position size for real trading once the strategy is stable.

Key: Trading is not based on feelings; winning is about discipline. Overcome emotions, establish rules, and you can achieve long-term stability.

No matter how much you earn, if you don't know when to take profits, it's all in vain.

The cruelty of the cryptocurrency world lies in the fact that as long as you are in the game, you can always be liquidated.

Risk management is not about restricting freedom, but about protecting the baseline of your capital.

You cannot control the market, but you can control your positions; you cannot predict the future, but you can set stop-losses.

A true expert is not always on the offensive, but knows how to retreat safely.

Protecting your capital is more important than anything else.

Market sentiment is generally optimistic, but it is also normal for the actual situation to be disappointing. This round of market behavior has consistently shown that the more people expect news, the harder it is to bring substantial benefits.

Currently, the daily MACD for Bitcoin has formed a death cross above the zero axis, which is a risk signal that cannot be ignored. If it breaks below the lower edge of the daily range around 92,000, there will be significant downward pressure. Ethereum needs to focus on the support near 1,720.

In terms of operational strategy, it is still recommended to focus on shorting at highs in the short term—upward momentum is weak, while corrections are extremely smooth. For the medium to long term, it is advisable to adopt a dollar-cost averaging strategy for most funds, focusing only on the three major assets: BTC, ETH, and SOL, avoiding involvement in other projects, maintaining a defensive strategy, and waiting for the right moment to lock in profits.

The market is not a festival every day. When prices rise too much, stay calm; when they fall too much, don't panic. In the long run, only those who can survive and remain stable have the right to talk about profits.

If you want to participate in Alpaca and similar 'wild庄币', please keep the following points in mind:

1. A dealer's willingness to get involved often indicates their complete confidence in their ability to control the market, and their operational rhythm will not be easily disrupted.

2. The dealer's profit comes from the inertia of retail investors' thinking and emotional responses; your common sense may very well be their harvesting logic.

3. Real downturns often occur after multiple 'false drops'; before the genuine sell-off arrives, retail investors are often exhausted.

4. Over-reliance on a single source of information is extremely dangerous; the information here is highly asymmetric, and not participating is the safest strategy.

5. If you are determined to participate, you must deeply analyze the dealer's intentions and layout, possess reverse thinking, a strong mentality, and be prepared to accept multiple trial and error.

Holding cash is a skill; not acting is also a strategy.

Many people lose money not because they chose the wrong coin, but because they 'cannot endure'. When the market moves, they rush to get in, fearing they'll miss out. But true experts can hold cash for a long time, just to wait for a high-certainty opportunity. The crypto world is full of volatility; what it lacks is the patience to filter that volatility. It's better to observe accurately than to observe frequently; frequent trading only dilutes judgment. Learning to wait is the first lesson of cultivation.

You can make ten mistakes, but if you make a big mistake once, it could wipe you out.

Capital management is the most overlooked yet crucial survival skill in the crypto space.

Many people say they are 'gamblers', but it's not about being bold; it's about having no bottom line.

Set a proportion for each investment, leaving room for error, so when the market moves, you can take advantage of it.

Don't go all in at the beginning of a market move, and don't fill your position all at once during a downturn.

Your position is your weapon; truly smart people never waste their bullets.

Inventory of various reasons for losing money in leeks

This project has a product, it will definitely rise
It's the first coin on the platform, how can we play if it doesn't rise?
The front row is very strategic, it definitely won't drop
If it doesn't rise, they can't sell, it has to rise
Once unlocked, there will definitely be a wave of rise to sell
The project team is going to open a space, it will definitely rise

The cryptocurrency world is not a sprint, but a long-term battle of psychology and perception.
There are many stories of sudden wealth, but few stories of survival.
Don't envy others' accounts; manage your own positions.
Identify the right direction, hold your coins patiently, and you will truly benefit from the cycle.
Opportunities are always reserved for those who are prepared, patient, and not greedy. Persist in growth; it is better than chasing quick profits.

eth

The daily chart shows a doji candlestick pattern, and the trading volume has remained normal, without significant changes.

Ethereum has been in a narrow range for 8 days now. When prices remain high for too long, they tend to drop; however, when prices are low, the longer they consolidate, the stronger the potential rise. Ethereum is waiting for a breakout point, which could be triggered by news or technical factors.

The hourly chart will continue to follow Bitcoin, with relatively small fluctuations.
The pressure from the EMA52 line on the daily chart will decrease as the price consolidates. The views remain the same as yesterday regarding the two potential scenarios for Ethereum's upcoming movements:

1. A strong bullish candle breaks through the 1890 level, directly reaching the 2000-2120 range before a pullback.
2. Continuing to meander along with Bitcoin, experiencing a wave of daily chart fluctuations downward, returning to the 1600-1680 area for a double bottom before rising again.
How it will unfold remains to be seen; we will observe as we go without guessing. Whatever happens will happen, but regardless of the short-term movements, the confirmed upward trend of Bitcoin on the weekly chart indicates that Ethereum will also experience a solid upward performance.
Daily chart resistance levels are 1890-2120-2310, with support levels at 1740-1688-1540-1460.

Those who listen to the news will always provide the news.

The price fluctuations of cryptocurrencies are often closely related to macro market trends, particularly influenced by monetary policy. Central banks guide investor expectations by adjusting interest rates and market liquidity, thereby affecting the overall economic cycle.

When monetary policy is loose and market liquidity is abundant, risk assets (including cryptocurrencies) typically perform strongly; conversely, tight policies lead to capital flowing back to traditional safe-haven assets, putting pressure on risk assets. Therefore, whether engaging in short-term trading or long-term holding, closely monitoring macroeconomic conditions and policy directions is always key to formulating effective investment strategies.

Project Awareness: The White Paper is not a Talisman
Don't be fooled by the phrase 'disrupting the world'.
In the crypto space, nine out of ten new projects are just well-decorated shells.
No matter how beautiful the white paper sounds, very few actually come to fruition.
Learn to assess the team's background, code quality, funding usage paths, and who is investing, and when the tokens are unlocked.
VCs are not here to help you make money; they are here to make you the exit strategy.
The most authentic representation of a project is not on the official homepage, but in on-chain data, community activity, and actual application scenarios.
Don't be a 'believer in dreams'; be a detective of information.

BTC Consolidation, Key Breakthrough Coming Soon

In the past 7 days, Bitcoin has been oscillating in the range of $92,600 to $95,500. Although there have been short-term fluctuations, neither the bulls nor the bears have been able to break through this narrow range.

As long as the price remains within this range, it is expected to continue the sideways trend in the short term. A breakout above $95,500 or below $92,600 will trigger a new round of direction choice.

Key Range:

Support Level: $92,600

Resistance Level: $95,500

Trading Tip:

Be patient and wait for a clear direction. Avoid overtrading until the trading volume increases and breaks through key price levels.