和悦现货交流区

Entering Q Industry 🀄 Hao: Cryptocurrency Class Representative

Recent Trends and Operation Guidelines Overview

Today, we focus on XRP (Ripple), combining market dynamics and technical indicators to explain the logic of price movements, key levels, opportunities, and risks, along with specific operational suggestions that even beginners can understand.

First, let's look at the resistance level. The most critical level right now is $3.15, which is the position of the 100-hour moving average. To move upward in the short term, this hurdle must be crossed. If we can break through steadily, the next target will be $3.25-$3.40, which is the high before August. If this level is broken, there will be potential for short-term upward movement. Looking higher, $3.60 is strong resistance and also the target for the symmetrical triangle breakout. If we see a significant breakout (enough buying pressure and trading volume), we could directly see a potential rise to $5.00.

Fundamentally, there is also solid support. Firstly, the SEC lawsuit has ended, and on August 7th, it was clarified that XRP is not a security, removing the biggest barrier for institutional entry, which is a long-term positive. Additionally, Grayscale's XRP Spot ETF is currently under review, with market expectations for approval at 81%. If approved, it could bring in $800 million in incremental funds, enhancing liquidity.

In terms of operations, we differentiate between short-term and long-term:
For short-term trading, the current price is $2.9930. If you want to go long, you can take a small position and set a stop loss below $2.88. If it breaks below $2.88, don't panic; wait for a chance to go flat until it reaches $2.40-$2.65 (smart money accumulation zone) before gradually building a position.
For long-term holding, do not exceed a total position of 15%, focusing on the technical breakthroughs in September and the progress of the RWA ecosystem, with a target price of $5.00-$8.30.

Today's specific suggestions: primarily focus on buying low, looking to go long around $2.9810-$2.9340, first targeting $3.0030, and if that holds, then look to $3.1050. Overall, XRP has positive support, but in the short term, it needs to conquer resistance. Avoid greed in operations; a steady and cautious approach is more reliable. $BTC
$ETH
$XRP
#币安HODLer空投PLUME #加密市场回调 #俄乌冲突即将结束？

有无知屌丝声称，$CFX币是国产公链树图链原生代币，Conflux由上海树图区块链研究院研发，是中国唯一获政策公开支持的公链，所以CFX必定会大涨。反对：公链不象国家的土地，代币不象国家的房子，买不买只能靠信任和欢喜，而非生存必须………Web2时代的难堪现象没看见？国家级媒体流量眼睁睁断涯式下滑，八股信息没人看，束手无策。让人买你的币，比让人赞你的信息，难十倍以上。现在国媒、国家部委虽都有自己的平台，但都要去民营平台微博微信抖音头条等等上去发消息，找流量，没办法。言必称国家力量的思维，OUT了$BTC
$ETH
$XRP
#币安HODLer空投PLUME #加密市场回调 #俄乌冲突即将结束？

A few days ago, I saw an article that I found particularly good, so I wanted to share it.

The reasons why people can't become rich may seem to be a lack of money on the surface, but in reality:

1. What is lacking in the heart is courage.

2. What is lacking in essence is ambition.

3. What is lacking in the bones is bravery.

4. What is lacking in the mind is perspective.

5. What is lacking in change is action.

6. What is lacking in career is perseverance.

7. What is lacking in the belly is knowledge.

When a person is quiet, they are at peace; when things are quiet, they go smoothly; when the heart is calm, they win.$BTC
$ETH
$XRP
#币安HODLer空投PLUME #加密市场回调 #俄乌冲突即将结束？

Brothers, let's chat about the ETH trend this afternoon. We need to keep a close eye on this pullback.

The current ETH price is in the range of 4263-4309, having dropped over 3.5% in the last 24 hours, with a daily low of 4225. The key support level of 4300 has been breached. Compared to last week's high of 4900, this is nearly a 13% retracement, which is quite aggressive. Worse yet, over 500 million in cryptocurrency contracts were liquidated in the last 24 hours, with nearly 90% being long positions, and ETH taking a significant hit, leaving longs in a tough spot.

There are two main reasons for the decline: First, macroeconomic headwinds, as the US July PPI exceeded expectations, cooling down the Federal Reserve's rate cut expectations, and the strengthening dollar is pressuring risk assets; second, there is selling pressure on-chain, with 87,000 ETH waiting to be unstaked (approximately 3.76 billion), setting a historical high. Although unlocking takes 15 days, the concerns over selling have already fermented.

From a technical perspective, the support level of 4250-4200 (Fibonacci 50% + Daily MA30) is the bulls' defense line, while 4150 is the institutional cost zone; a break below could test 3950-3800. The resistance level is at 4350 (4-hour EMA120), and a breakout could alleviate some of the bearish pressure; 4450-4500 is a dense area for bears, and a rebound could easily face resistance.

The indicators show divergence: the 4-hour MACD has a death cross, and the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, leaning bearish; however, the 30-minute RSI is oversold (22.7), indicating a lack of bottom divergence, and a reversal would require a strong bullish candle.

Today's trading guidance is: if it pulls back to around 4220-4180, go long directly, targeting 4280-4355. However, I must warn of risks; the current market sentiment is unstable, and if the support level is lost, it may continue to drop. Be sure to strictly set stop-losses when trading, and do not hold blindly. $BTC
$ETH
$XRP
#币安HODLer空投PLUME #加密市场回调 #俄乌冲突即将结束？

B Circle Entry Requirements
Read this before deciding whether to engage in contracts
"To new players wanting to try contracts: This is the most honest confession, read it before deciding whether to engage!"
Contracts are not investments; they are more like a zero-sum game.
What are contracts? Simply put, they are bets on the rise and fall of cryptocurrency prices using a small amount of money. You may only use $100 to control a position worth $10,000. When you guess the direction correctly, your profits will be amplified; but when you are wrong, your losses will also be amplified until your principal goes to zero. It's like dancing on the edge of a cliff, where every step could lead to catastrophe.
The 3 most common mistakes made by beginners:
* Heavy betting without regard for risk: Beginners love to gamble everything with the highest leverage and maximum capital. When they win, they feel like geniuses, but when they lose, they are devastated. True contract experts never put all their chips in one basket.
* Frequent trading, chasing highs and cutting losses: The joy and pain of contract trading lie in its "speed." When you see price fluctuations, you can't help but enter the market, resulting in alternating between long and short positions, which drains your fees.
* No stop-loss, relying on luck: This is the deadliest mistake. When your position starts to lose, you think, "Just wait, it will go back up." The result is waiting until liquidation, losing everything. A stop-loss is not a sign of defeat but a way to protect your principal, ensuring you have a chance to fight another day.
Words of wisdom for beginners:
* Learn to protect your principal first, then talk about profits. Treat contracts as a "high-level dungeon" in your investment career, not your only game. Start with a small amount of capital, even using a demo account to practice and feel the market's volatility and pressure.
* Always maintain a learning attitude. Understand the cryptocurrencies you are trading, learn about technical analysis, and grasp market sentiment. The path of contracts has no end, only traders who continuously evolve.
Finally, I want to say that contracts are not the devil, but they will amplify your human weaknesses. If you do not have enough discipline, a strong mindset, and learning ability, please stay away from them. $BTC
$ETH
$XRP
#币安HODLer空投PLUME #加密市场回调 #俄乌冲突即将结束？

如果你手里的资金不多，建议你先别乱冲了，先稳住才是关键
我带过一个粉丝，800U起步，42天稳稳滚到4.5W U，全程没慌过，一口一口吃肉
要是你本金就1000U左右，趁早别做“一夜暴富”的梦
市场最会玩的，就是把急功近利的人变成提款机——今天给你点甜头，明天连本带利全卷走
那个粉丝刚跟我时，就800U，现在不仅自己天天盈利，还准备带亲戚入场
原因很简单：他学会了两个字——节奏
小资金翻身，不靠满仓梭哈，靠的是控仓 + 踩节奏
我教他就四步：
第一步：三段分仓，死守纪律

800U先拆成三份，第一单只动三分之一
剩下的钱当定海神针，没信号绝不碰，不加仓，不抄底，不硬扛亏损
第二步：只做高胜率点

震荡市直接躲开，只等趋势明朗再出手
一段行情吃不全？拆成三段撸，每段咬一口，积小胜成大胜
第三步：利润滚仓，止损钉死

第一单赚100U，第二单本金+利润一起上
仓位慢慢涨，但始终在掌控中
记住，利润是滚出来的，不是赌出来的
第四步：见好就收，不恋战

别人爆仓时，我们止盈；别人追高时，我们已经落袋为安
翻仓只是副产品，核心是稳得住、控得牢、止得狠
很多小资金的人，看盘比谁都急，单子乱开，止损乱设，越亏越急，陷死循环
其实，做单不靠赌，靠节奏，小资金才能活得久、赚得稳
想翻身的，先学会活下来
至于分仓、抓点、控节奏的细节——那才是让你少亏两年的真东西

如果你不知道该怎么做，或者有任何疑问，随时可以找我，我会为你做详细分$BTC
$ETH
$XRP
#币安HODLer空投PLUME #加密市场回调 #俄乌冲突即将结束？

今天简单聊聊永续合约，它就像名字说的那样，没有固定到期日，在现在的数字资产衍生品交易里，算是挺新颖的一种。只要没触发强制平仓，自己也不主动平仓，就能一直拿着。​
那实际操作中，开多少倍合适呢？之前和圈内朋友聊，有人习惯开 50 倍，也有人常用 30 倍。拿某热门数字资产来说，30 倍杠杆要 16U 保证金，50 倍得 10U，100 倍仅需 5U。​

相同行情下，我个人更倾向 100 倍。为啥？因为一旦选了杠杆合约，不管 1 倍还是 100 倍，风险都存在。可同等行情里，1 倍和 100 倍的收益差距太大了。有人说 1 倍风险小，这确实没错，但对某热门资产来说，1 倍杠杆下，一张合约成本可能高达 470 多 U，要是价格没大波动，光手续费就够受的，就算赚了也没多少。所以既然做杠杆合约，就得让杠杆的优势充分发挥出来。​

不过得注意，很多人用少量资金做超出承受能力的合约，保证金不够，根本扛不住行情波动。遇到价格来回震荡，或者大幅涨跌，很容易被强制平仓，之后就算行情转好能盈利，也和自己没关系了。所以做永续合约，条件允许的话，多准备点保证金很有必要，多一份保障总是好的。​

任何投资都有风险，我们要做的是尽量降低风险，再去追求收益。死扛单子是交易的大忌，及时止损特别关键。搭配逐仓模式，能更好控制风险，可别拿自己的资金开玩笑。​

每天可以给自己定个小目标，达成了就及时止盈，交易起来也会更从容。接触这类交易久的朋友应该清楚，要是有 5000U 本金，每天赚 50-100U 不算难，掌握些方法技巧，成功率还能更高。就算考虑行情波动和意外情况。$BTC
$ETH
$XRP
#币安HODLer空投PLUME #加密市场回调 #俄乌冲突即将结束？

特朗普与普京的峰会仅持续数小时便匆匆结束，甚至连原定的午餐会也告取消，普京随即乘专机返回俄罗斯。
这是时隔6年后两人的首次会面。特朗普似乎利用主场之便，在会谈中对普京采取了“软硬兼施”的策略。
值得注意的是，原计划的一对一会谈最终调整为美俄各三人参与。美方代表为国务卿卢比奥和总统特使威特科夫，俄方则为外长拉夫罗夫及总统助理乌沙科夫。
“特普会”落幕之快超出外界预期。在进行了近3小时的谈判并举行简短新闻发布会后，普京便启程回国，特朗普也立即返回华盛顿，双方代表团的午餐安排被临时取消。
尽管双方未就取消午餐会给出具体解释，但从特朗普和普京的表态推断，美俄双方可能都希望争分夺秒地落实会谈成果。另一个可能的考量是安全因素——毕竟特朗普本人曾遭遇过袭击，普京身处异国自然需格外谨慎。
关键在于，无论特朗普与普京在会谈中达成何种共识，如果乌克兰方面不予认可，后续推进都将困难重重。
实际上，一对一改为三对三的会谈形式，很可能源于欧盟和乌克兰方面的推动。他们担心在私下密谈中，普京可能成功“说服”特朗普，因此需要卢比奥这样的“对俄鹰派”人物在场牵制。
普京深知，与以“交易艺术”著称的特朗普打交道，若想获取利益，必须提供足够的“交易筹码”。仅靠铝和稀土资源已显不足，俄罗斯需要拿出更多实质性好处。这需要普京回国亲自部署，为预计在莫斯科举行的下一次“特普会”铺路。$BTC
$ETH
$XRP
#币安HODLer空投PLUME #加密市场回调 #俄乌冲突即将结束？

$BTC reached 3300 points

Top-level thinking combined with precise entry points leads to the results we desire.

From the planned entry point of 118000 to the current lowest point around 114600. It has dropped 3300 points exceeding the target, allowing us to ride a bigger wave $BTC
$ETH
$XRP
#币安HODLer空投PLUME #加密市场回调 #Strategy增持比特币

Scammers Pretend to Buy U with Cash
They first build rapport to gain trust. After you transfer U to the address they provide, the other party excuses that "the signal is bad and they didn't receive it," and asks you to transfer again. Once you truly transfer, they immediately block you and disappear. If you report it later, due to the cash transaction having no transfer records, the scammer will insist they didn't receive the U, making it extremely difficult to seek justice.
This type of scam exploits "cash being untraceable + verbal denials" to take advantage. During transactions, don't easily trust personal connections! Be sure to record the entire process, have the buyer clearly read the address and repeat the transaction details (e.g., "I am buying U with cash, address XXX, the transaction is completed upon receiving U"). Transfer U in small amounts with multiple transactions, confirming the address and quantity each time, while also retaining the blockchain transfer hash. Additionally, state in advance: the transaction is completed once U is credited, and any subsequent wallet issues are not your concern.
Cryptocurrency trading is highly risky, and scammers constantly come up with new tactics. No matter how familiar the "friend" is, the transaction process cannot be skipped, and the evidence chain must be complete. Once you notice any anomalies, decisively terminate the transaction and preserve evidence to report it; don’t let scammers use "cash ambiguity" to take your assets!
If you currently feel helpless, confused about trading, want to know more about cryptocurrency-related knowledge, and seek first-hand insights, please contact: $BTC , , $ETH , , $XRP , , #BitDigital转型 #美联储取消创新活动监管计划 #美国7月PPI年率高于预期

BTC and ETH Insights on 8.17:

BTC
Still in a fluctuation, but over time, the moving support below continues to decline.
Although the daily line 20 at 116890 serves as support, be cautious of a false breakout downward.
Typically, a triple bottom at the 15-minute level is more stable, so it is important to prevent a gap support for the third bottom around 116300, which can serve as a new entry point;

ETH
Still fluctuating within the 15-minute structure, with support below continuing at $BTC
$ETH
$XRP
#BitDigital转型 #美联储取消创新活动监管计划 #美国7月PPI年率高于预期

$BTC
$ETH
$XRP
Since last year, everyone has been waiting for the altcoin season. Now that it's this year, we thought we finally made it through, but the performance of altcoins is as usual.
Secondly, in this round, holding ETH can outperform most altcoins you hold.

For ETH, even if it drops here, it can still recover, but whether altcoins can recover is uncertain #美联储取消创新活动监管计划 #美国7月PPI年率高于预期 #中国投资者涌向印尼

$BTC
$ETH
$XRP
If your principal is less than 5000U, don't rush to go all in

1. Split the principal into three parts, and never let them merge

Account 1: 1000U: Short-term raids, fire the gun at most once a day, better to stay empty than to shoot randomly.

Account 2: 1000U: Wait for the big trend, may only pull the trigger once a week, but hit the target every time.

Account 3: 1000U: Life-saving charm, unwavering, if you really blow up the account, you can resurrect on the spot.

Remember, a firewall is built between accounts, no one saves anyone.

2. Only eat the fattest market, starve during the rest of the time

In a volatile market, 90% of the bullets will hit your own feet, go around directly.

Wait for the three arrows of moving averages, volume, and sentiment to strike together before acting; if the signals are not aligned, it’s better to miss out.

Once profits touch 30% of the principal, immediately withdraw half, lock the profits in a cold wallet, and the remaining can be considered “spare money” on the gambling table.

3. Write discipline into code, so emotions can't intervene

Stop loss at 3%, set it and don’t change it, cut it down as decisively as turning off an alarm clock.

Profit at 5%, first close half, let the remaining half push for protection, let the profits run by themselves.

Never average down on losses, that’s a slide to accelerate a blow-up, whoever touches it dies.

Look at the market for only 10 minutes a day, act when the signal comes, shut down when it doesn’t, staying up late watching the market will only wear down your mindset.

That brother now has 50,000U in his account, still grilling skewers at eleven o'clock at night, because the system is keeping watch for him.

If you want to turn things around, first learn to survive in the wolf's mouth.

As for more detailed account division, timing, and rhythm control—those are secret doors that will help you avoid two years of detours. #美联储取消创新活动监管计划 #美国7月PPI年率高于预期 #中国投资者涌向印尼

$BTC
$ETH
$XRP
The UK tax authority has made a bold move, requiring all cryptocurrency holders to provide personal information to service providers, including name, address, tax number, etc. Those who do not comply will face a £300 fine. Meanwhile, New York State is also brewing a new cryptocurrency tax scheme, expected to collect $158 million annually. It seems that governments around the world have set their sights on the lucrative cryptocurrency sector.
New York's plan is even harsher. Not only will there be taxes on transactions, but also an environmental tax on mining, and special business taxes on crypto companies. If passed, other states will surely follow suit. Although the federal level in the U.S. is relaxing, states may intensify tax collection, which is a trend worth noting.

The situation in Asia is more complex. Singapore has raised the bar for crypto service providers, with higher capital requirements and stricter risk management. However, this has actually enhanced Singapore's reputation, making high-end institutions more willing to go there. Japan, on the other hand, has a mixed approach: it has loosened regulations on ETFs while tightening derivative oversight. Each country is trying to find its own balance.

The EU's MiCA regulation will be fully implemented this year, making it the most comprehensive cryptocurrency regulatory framework globally. The 27 member states have a unified standard, which is good for businesses as they will not have to deal with different regulations. However, compliance costs are not low, and small businesses may struggle.

This wave of global regulation has several characteristics. First, there is a convergence in direction, with efforts focused on anti-money laundering, consumer protection, and taxation. Second, it is becoming more detailed, extending regulation beyond exchanges to include DeFi, NFTs, and stablecoins. Third, technological means have kept pace, using AI and blockchain analysis for regulation, significantly improving efficiency.

For investors and businesses, this is both a challenge and an opportunity. Regulations are becoming clearer; although compliance costs are higher, long-term operations are more secure. Investors are also feeling more assured, and the market will be more stable. The key is to keep up with policy changes and prepare in advance. #美联储取消创新活动监管计划 #中国投资者涌向印尼 #美国7月PPI年率高于预期

To put it simply and clearly, here is my view on the current US stock market:
First, the US stock market may have entered a long-term bear market;
Second, due to the rapid decline earlier, there may be a "bounce" in the short term, within 1-2 weeks;
Third, in the face of a "bear market bounce," there are two trading strategies:
(1) Do not chase the bounce, hold cash and wait, then short again at the high of the bounce;
(2) Chase the bounce, then short again at the high in the East, and reopen short positions.$ETH

Can't make money? If you don't talk about taking profits and cutting losses, what's the point of trading!

Whether trading can be profitable, talking about taking profits and cutting losses is at the core.

To achieve overall profitability, there are actually three key points:

Each loss ≤ 5% of total capital (losing too much makes it hard to recover);
Each profit > 5% of total capital (earning more than losing);
Win rate > 50% (not always losing).

As long as the profit-loss ratio is greater than 1 and the win rate exceeds 50%, you can make money in the long run.

Of course, it is also possible to have a high profit-loss ratio with a low win rate, or a low profit-loss ratio with a high win rate; the key is that the final profit must be positive!

But in reality, most people do the opposite: they run after making a little profit, but hold on stubbornly when losing.

The final result is that those who make money can't hold on to it, and those who lose refuse to admit defeat, causing their accounts to shrink!

The weaknesses of human nature, greed and fear, are the biggest enemies in trading,

So rely on strict capital management + trading discipline,

Otherwise, the market will eventually teach you a lesson.

$ETH
Holding spot assets without fear is actually a fatal misconception
The biggest danger of spot trading is 👉 feeling indifferent when the price drops
1⃣ Playing with spot assets leads to the thought that it doesn't matter if the price drops, because the amount of coins hasn't decreased, and waiting for it to rise again is fine. Then when it does rise, you don't want to sell, and it drops back down again, until it ultimately goes to zero⭕️
2⃣ In a market crash, self-numbing leads to a vicious cycle of "wait for a 10% rebound → delete the app after an 80% drop";

Compared to contract traders' keen stop-loss strategies, spot traders often have a lower awareness and perception of the project's risks. The real risk is not the volatility, but ignorance and complacency towards the risks.

$ETH
Most people won't tell you the characteristics of bull and bear markets.
In a bull market, on the contrary, prices will sharply drop and then slowly rise again.
Characteristic 2⃣: Before a bear market arrives, negative news is frequently reported globally, yet it often leads to price increases. On the eve of a bull market, although negative news is continuous, there are occasionally positive news updates.
Characteristic 3⃣: In a bear market, certain currencies experience significant price fluctuations, with both increases and decreases.
In a bull market, the prices of most cryptocurrencies continue to rise.
Characteristic 4⃣: The characteristic of a bear market is that within one or two years, the value of most altcoins will evaporate by over 90%. Currently, altcoins have already dropped by 90%;
they may continue to decline in the future, with only a few potentially resilient cryptocurrencies surviving the bear market.

The characteristics of a bull market are: trading volume and market activity will continue to increase. In candlestick charts, there are more bullish candles than bearish ones, prices rarely drop, and most retail investors can make profits with very few losses.