皇者R
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$BTC $ETH $XRP Bitcoin continues to decline
The script for the next month is roughly as follows,
In the next 5 days, it will gradually drop below 92, and then slowly accelerate to seek support at 845,
If the support at 845 cannot hold, it will look for support at 8. Once 8 breaks, it will reach a new low. Once a new low is established, the last line of support is 54,000, which is also Bitcoin's lifeline.
The wise choice now is to short, even if you really don't want to short, you shouldn't go long. It is highly likely to leave you hanging at the peak or even lead to a liquidation.
In contract trading, giving up short-term positions is actually not difficult to make money; the challenge lies in enduring loneliness and controlling that urgent desire for quick returns, greedily wanting to recover losses quickly.
The script for the next month is roughly as follows,
In the next 5 days, it will gradually drop below 92, and then slowly accelerate to seek support at 845,
If the support at 845 cannot hold, it will look for support at 8. Once 8 breaks, it will reach a new low. Once a new low is established, the last line of support is 54,000, which is also Bitcoin's lifeline.
The wise choice now is to short, even if you really don't want to short, you shouldn't go long. It is highly likely to leave you hanging at the peak or even lead to a liquidation.
In contract trading, giving up short-term positions is actually not difficult to make money; the challenge lies in enduring loneliness and controlling that urgent desire for quick returns, greedily wanting to recover losses quickly.
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$BTC $ETH $XRP Bitcoin continues to look bearish
In 2025, investors in the cryptocurrency market should be wary of three major systemic risks:
First, the risk of top holding institutions. MicroStrategy, as the largest institutional holder of Bitcoin, its financial leverage and holding strategy directly impact market stability. If there is a debt default or large-scale sell-off, it will trigger a deep correction in Bitcoin's price, and it cannot be ruled out that it may fall below the key support level of $50,000 in the short term.
Second, the crisis of altcoin delisting. Against the backdrop of tightening regulation and accelerated compliance processes, centralized trading platforms are intensively cleaning up high-risk tokens. The recent warming of altcoins may be a market illusion; projects lacking practical application and consensus support are at risk of being delisted and going to zero at any moment. Investors are advised to stay away from illiquid and fundamentally unsupported niche coins to avoid sudden value collapse.
Third, the risk of global asset bubble burst. Currently, core assets such as US stocks, gold, Bitcoin, and US Treasuries are all at historically high valuations, and macroeconomic uncertainty combined with a shift in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy may trigger systemic financial risks. In the context of increased inter-asset class connectivity, any black swan event could trigger a synchronized drop in asset prices.
Whether it is spot investment or contract trading, rational awareness and risk management are always core. Spot trading requires establishing a scientific value assessment system, abandoning blind speculation; contract trading should strictly adhere to position management discipline, where execution and risk control capabilities far exceed mere win rates. In a period of intensified market volatility, maintaining a cautious attitude is essential for long-term stability.
In 2025, investors in the cryptocurrency market should be wary of three major systemic risks:
First, the risk of top holding institutions. MicroStrategy, as the largest institutional holder of Bitcoin, its financial leverage and holding strategy directly impact market stability. If there is a debt default or large-scale sell-off, it will trigger a deep correction in Bitcoin's price, and it cannot be ruled out that it may fall below the key support level of $50,000 in the short term.
Second, the crisis of altcoin delisting. Against the backdrop of tightening regulation and accelerated compliance processes, centralized trading platforms are intensively cleaning up high-risk tokens. The recent warming of altcoins may be a market illusion; projects lacking practical application and consensus support are at risk of being delisted and going to zero at any moment. Investors are advised to stay away from illiquid and fundamentally unsupported niche coins to avoid sudden value collapse.
Third, the risk of global asset bubble burst. Currently, core assets such as US stocks, gold, Bitcoin, and US Treasuries are all at historically high valuations, and macroeconomic uncertainty combined with a shift in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy may trigger systemic financial risks. In the context of increased inter-asset class connectivity, any black swan event could trigger a synchronized drop in asset prices.
Whether it is spot investment or contract trading, rational awareness and risk management are always core. Spot trading requires establishing a scientific value assessment system, abandoning blind speculation; contract trading should strictly adhere to position management discipline, where execution and risk control capabilities far exceed mere win rates. In a period of intensified market volatility, maintaining a cautious attitude is essential for long-term stability.
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$BTC $ETH $XRP
MicroStrategy is crazily buying Bitcoin at high prices with the money of stock investors. Now he has nearly 500,000 Bitcoins in hand. I want to ask, who is selling these Bitcoins that he bought with the investors' money? Are retail investors selling them? Do retail investors have so many Bitcoins? Financing with one hand and buying Bitcoins with the other, how long can this model last? Can it continue indefinitely? 100,000, 200,000, 1,000,000, can it just keep going like this??
MicroStrategy is crazily buying Bitcoin at high prices with the money of stock investors. Now he has nearly 500,000 Bitcoins in hand. I want to ask, who is selling these Bitcoins that he bought with the investors' money? Are retail investors selling them? Do retail investors have so many Bitcoins? Financing with one hand and buying Bitcoins with the other, how long can this model last? Can it continue indefinitely? 100,000, 200,000, 1,000,000, can it just keep going like this??
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If Bitcoin slowly drops below 930,000 in the next two days and does not go back up, then it will definitely turn downwards. If the market expects that Bitcoin will rise to 150,000 this year, it won't just surge up all at once. As for how much it will fall back, we need to observe the market later and see how strong the support at 85 and 81 is.
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$BTC $ETH $XRP
The recent surge in Bitcoin has been a slow grind ➕ sideways movement, which is exhausting. It's not easy for those shorting to reverse their positions, and those going long lack the patience to hold. The essence of the surge is that major institutions represented by BlackRock and MicroStrategy are having difficulties unloading their positions. The lack of buying pressure has forced a hard pull from 74,000 to the present. Retail investors and large players are not foolish; they all know this is a high point.
From a technical perspective, if this continues to oscillate, it will form a standard head and shoulders pattern. I originally thought there wouldn't be a right shoulder, but the main players are incredibly powerful. BlackRock, MicroStrategy, Vanguard—these giants indeed have the ability to defy the odds. But you must firmly believe that Wall Street capital is profit-driven. No matter how strong a market or asset, there is no trend that only goes up without any downturns.
I admit that Bitcoin is no longer the Bitcoin of a few years ago; it has transformed from a technology-driven cryptocurrency into a tool of power and capital. It is precisely because of this that it can rise to 110,000; otherwise, who could pull it from just over 10,000 to 110,000? Was it retail investors who drove it to 110,000? Therefore, Wall Street capital has made profits of tenfold or even several dozen times over.
The recent surge in Bitcoin has been a slow grind ➕ sideways movement, which is exhausting. It's not easy for those shorting to reverse their positions, and those going long lack the patience to hold. The essence of the surge is that major institutions represented by BlackRock and MicroStrategy are having difficulties unloading their positions. The lack of buying pressure has forced a hard pull from 74,000 to the present. Retail investors and large players are not foolish; they all know this is a high point.
From a technical perspective, if this continues to oscillate, it will form a standard head and shoulders pattern. I originally thought there wouldn't be a right shoulder, but the main players are incredibly powerful. BlackRock, MicroStrategy, Vanguard—these giants indeed have the ability to defy the odds. But you must firmly believe that Wall Street capital is profit-driven. No matter how strong a market or asset, there is no trend that only goes up without any downturns.
I admit that Bitcoin is no longer the Bitcoin of a few years ago; it has transformed from a technology-driven cryptocurrency into a tool of power and capital. It is precisely because of this that it can rise to 110,000; otherwise, who could pull it from just over 10,000 to 110,000? Was it retail investors who drove it to 110,000? Therefore, Wall Street capital has made profits of tenfold or even several dozen times over.
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$BTC $ETH $XRP
Currently, the bearish sentiment regarding Bitcoin's market situation is very clear. It is now like a grasshopper after autumn, unable to jump for long. This wave of price increase from $74,000 to $97,000 was forcibly driven up by two giants, BlackRock and MicroStrategy.
As the world's largest asset management company, BlackRock's every move is closely watched by the market; under the leadership of Michael Saylor, MicroStrategy also holds an important position in the Bitcoin market. Their joint effort to inflate Bitcoin prices conceals the true intention of unloading. Previously, due to adverse market conditions and a lack of sufficient buyers to take over, their unloading plans were difficult to advance. In desperation, they chose to first raise the price, creating a false impression of market prosperity to attract investors, facilitating their unloading. Once they have unloaded their holdings, Bitcoin will inevitably see a significant drop in price without the support of these two giants.
Currently, the bearish sentiment regarding Bitcoin's market situation is very clear. It is now like a grasshopper after autumn, unable to jump for long. This wave of price increase from $74,000 to $97,000 was forcibly driven up by two giants, BlackRock and MicroStrategy.
As the world's largest asset management company, BlackRock's every move is closely watched by the market; under the leadership of Michael Saylor, MicroStrategy also holds an important position in the Bitcoin market. Their joint effort to inflate Bitcoin prices conceals the true intention of unloading. Previously, due to adverse market conditions and a lack of sufficient buyers to take over, their unloading plans were difficult to advance. In desperation, they chose to first raise the price, creating a false impression of market prosperity to attract investors, facilitating their unloading. Once they have unloaded their holdings, Bitcoin will inevitably see a significant drop in price without the support of these two giants.
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You can only make money in contracts by catching the trend. Otherwise, no matter how high your win rate is, it won't matter.
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$BTC $ETH $XRP
"Yamamoto is carefree, turning white-haired due to snow; water is free of worries, rippling due to the wind." The essence of the market is just like these mountains and waters, changing in an instant, allowing no room for stubbornness and obsession. In the realm of contract trading, small cycles are nested within large cycles, small fluctuations pull large fluctuations, and small trends are linked to large trends. Every subtle change may trigger a butterfly effect. To truly go with the flow, one often needs to transcend human instincts, which is no easy task.
Looking back, when the price of Bitcoin was operating in a downward channel, I firmly held a bearish outlook on February 1 and continuously warned of risks. However, when the price strongly broke through 86,000 USD, breaking the original downward trend, I decisively chose to change my mindset—since the trend has changed, would it not be foolish to cling to the past? Some questioned me in the comments for being "indecisive," yet they do not realize that in a rapidly changing market, adaptability is a crucial survival skill. The way of trading values timely judgment rather than stubborn opinions.
"Yamamoto is carefree, turning white-haired due to snow; water is free of worries, rippling due to the wind." The essence of the market is just like these mountains and waters, changing in an instant, allowing no room for stubbornness and obsession. In the realm of contract trading, small cycles are nested within large cycles, small fluctuations pull large fluctuations, and small trends are linked to large trends. Every subtle change may trigger a butterfly effect. To truly go with the flow, one often needs to transcend human instincts, which is no easy task.
Looking back, when the price of Bitcoin was operating in a downward channel, I firmly held a bearish outlook on February 1 and continuously warned of risks. However, when the price strongly broke through 86,000 USD, breaking the original downward trend, I decisively chose to change my mindset—since the trend has changed, would it not be foolish to cling to the past? Some questioned me in the comments for being "indecisive," yet they do not realize that in a rapidly changing market, adaptability is a crucial survival skill. The way of trading values timely judgment rather than stubborn opinions.
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Making small money can rely on skills, making big money requires luck, cycles, and patience
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Brother Wu, don't blame yourself too much, this is not your fault. I am the same; my Whale Gate has also lost many disciples. It was only the day before yesterday that I came to understand this. Bitcoin has already become the first or second reservoir of the US dollar. Any fundamental analysis has completely failed.
The mid-track has arrived, which I didn't expect. It went up without any substantial good news. You said the news didn't have an impact, but in the early stages, it basically followed the news, including syncing with the US stocks. Once the synchronization was half done, it became unsynchronized. How could I have anticipated that? I now announce my resignation as Chief International Situation Analyst at the Plaza. As for the international situation, it's better to invite someone more capable; I am not suited for it. What's next? I still don't know. In recent days, various events have caused a significant loss of my small disciple, and the situation is not great. Primarily focusing on imitation trading, I will return to the Bitcoin swing when my disciple's condition improves!
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$BTC $ETH This short position was indeed wrong; Bitcoin broke free from the bearish trend the day before yesterday, and we can no longer short it. It's not too late to mend the fold after the sheep are lost. Buy Ethereum on dips.
I really can't understand how this post manages to lose money every day. It's truly counterintuitive.
I really can't understand how this post manages to lose money every day. It's truly counterintuitive.
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