$BTC $XRP $ETH Bitcoin Trading Strategy Deep Analysis and Operation

1. Market Analysis

Bitcoin price is currently testing the support of the 100,000 integer level as expected, with a significantly increased probability of breaking it in the short term. If it effectively dips into the 90,000 range in the next two days, the market will break the 'psychological defense line of integer levels', and the main funds are likely to abandon their disguise, accelerating the decline through panic sentiment. Historical data shows that after breaking through key integer levels, long stop-loss orders and leveraged liquidations will create a resonance of selling pressure, intensifying the short-term downward trend.

2. Trading Strategy

1. Operation Direction: Build short positions at high points, refuse to bottom-fish for rebounds

- Any contract operation aimed at capturing rebounds in a downward trend is a high-risk behavior, akin to 'pulling teeth from a tiger's mouth.' The current bearish trend is clear, and focus should be on shorting opportunities near the 100,000 mark (or rebounding to the 102,000-105,000 range), with an initial target of 95,000, and looking down to the 90,000 integer mark after breaking.

- Remember, 'Going with the trend ≠ Chasing highs and cutting lows': Shorting requires waiting for resistance levels to enter, rather than blindly chasing shorts to avoid falling into short-term volatility traps.

2. Trend Trading Logic: 4-hour Cycle + Strict Risk Control

- My trading system is centered on the 4-hour candlestick trend, combined with volume-price relations and key support-resistance levels:

- Trial Phase: Enter with light positions, set stop-loss above the breaking high (e.g., 105,000), losses are controllable;

- After trend confirmation: Gradually increase positions, set take-profit in phases (95,000, 90,000), ensuring a 'small loss, big gain' profit model.

3. Risks and Trading

- Emotional trading is the root of losses: If there are issues like frequent trading and holding positions, strictly execute the 'signal-driven' principle, maintaining a wait-and-see approach without clear entry signals.

- Survival Rule of Contract Trading: Position management takes precedence over profit expectations, with a single risk exposure not exceeding 5% of account funds, eliminating the 'gambler's mentality.'

4. Strategy Advantages

- The strategy focuses on medium to long-term trends, avoiding frequent short-term speculative losses;

- Each trade comes with clear stop-loss and take-profit points, rejecting 'ambiguous operations';

- Historical verification: Small losses mainly stem from trial stop-losses, profits come from trend swings, with a continuously optimized risk-reward ratio.

The market is never short of opportunities; what is lacking is respect for trends and adherence to discipline. In the current bearish pattern, abandon illusions and go with the trend to seize certain returns amidst volatility.