Guihai

Lucky Draw

$ADA family! The recent market of ADA is really **a roller coaster ride**! It just surged to $0.955 during the day, then retracted to $0.937 at night; this heartbeat is more thrilling than some low-tier projects in the crypto space! Don't be fooled by the price bouncing around $0.9, there are turbulent undercurrents behind it—trading volume fluctuates wildly, sometimes buyers are sweeping up crazily, and other times there's a divergence in volume and price, making it feel like "the market makers are partying together"!

However, Cardano's **technical foundation** is still solid; the PoS mechanism is energy-efficient and effective, and there are over a hundred DApps in the ecosystem, with collaborations in Africa and endorsements from the EU flying high, truly a “model student in blockchain”. Analysts are even bolder, directly calling for “$4 or even $10 by 2025”, which gets the adrenaline pumping!

But hold on, folks! The current market sentiment is more **volatile than Musk's tweets**, and the Williams indicator often shows overbought conditions, with pullback risks lurking at any moment. Chasing highs in the short term? Be careful not to become a “caveman on the mountaintop”! In short, this wave of ADA is “technical support, emotional hype”; holding on is the true faith! What do you think? Let’s get the comments section buzzing!🔥

Brothers, Trump's congressional speech was truly theatrical! While shouting about "reviving the American dream," he ramped up tariffs and even claimed he would plant a flag on Mars; his imagination is even wilder than in the crypto world! However, his "big swings" in policy, like tariffs and executive orders, feel more like a "policy roller coaster," providing short-term stimulation but posing significant long-term risks. The funniest part is that he even brought Greenland into the conversation, saying he wants to "welcome it to America," is he trying to orchestrate a "global acquisition"? In short, Trump's speech was as controversial and dramatic as ever; no one in the crypto space plays it like he does! What does everyone think?

This code can actually be used in the square. If you're interested, go claim it. It's about 0.1 each time. A free red envelope distributed by Binance.

Binance lottery event. Invest 0.01u. Draw 10000u.
Participation is key. After all, if you don't win, this 0.01u will be refunded.

#我已卖币 $USDC Thank you Binance for the airdrop. It would be even better if you could remind me next time.

$ETH Ethereum has continued to consolidate its position as the "king of public chains" recently. After the Cancun upgrade, the performance of the L2 network has been significantly improved, and the fluctuation of gas fees has become smoother. As the underlying infrastructure of DeFi, NFT and blockchain games, ETH has always occupied a core position in value capture. Especially as the TVL of L2 ecosystems such as Optimism and Arbitrum has exceeded tens of billions of US dollars, the prosperity of on-chain applications has fed back to the value fundamentals of ETH.

It is worth noting that the current ETH pledge rate has exceeded 26%, and the proportion of long-term holders has reached a historical high. In addition, institutions such as BlackRock are accelerating the layout of ETH spot ETFs, and the market is forming multiple value supports of "deflationary supply + pledge income + ecological expansion". In the cycle of the crypto market shifting from speculation to practicality, ETH's technological iteration and ecological maturity may become the core variables of the next round of market conditions.

#鲸鱼再次买入VIRTUAL In the current market environment, the repeated operations of whales are often regarded as a weather vane. Despite the previous sharp pullback, this increase in positions may be based on the prediction of the project ecosystem upgrade or the restoration of market sentiment. Combined with the recent trend of mainstream platforms such as Binance to continue to launch new tokens 9, the enhanced liquidity of crypto assets may create new opportunity windows for similar tokens. The linkage effect between whale movements and platform ecology deserves continued attention from investors.

#钱包活动洞察 Binance on-chain wallet activities reveal differentiated user behavior: institutional wallets continue to increase their holdings of BTC/ETH and participate in long-term strategies such as ReStaking, and capital accumulation pushes up the on-chain TVL; retail wallets focus on high-frequency interactions (such as airdrop mining, MEME coin transactions), resulting in periodic fluctuations in gas fees and short-term liquidity siphoning.

Security trends: The adoption rate of MPC wallets has increased significantly (over 650,000 users), and multi-signature and smart contract wallets have become institutional standard, reflecting the evolution of asset custody towards decentralization. However, the increased frequency of interactions also increases the risk of private key leakage, and you need to be vigilant against phishing attacks.

Strategic recommendations: Track large transfers from whale addresses (such as Binance hot wallet collection operations) to predict market trends; small users can optimize wallet configuration (hot and cold separation), participate in BNB staking to hedge gas costs, and give priority to the BSC chain to complete high-frequency, low-value transactions.

#市场情绪观察 Current market sentiment is characterized by "cautious optimism": the slowdown in Bitcoin ETF capital inflows and the Fed's interest rate cut expectations have led to an intensification of short-term long-short game. The Binance contract premium rate narrowed to 1.2% (previous value 3.5%), reflecting that the main funds tend to wait and see, but retail investors are still chasing new currency dividends through staking activities such as Launchpool, maintaining local heat.

On-chain behavior shows polarization: whale addresses continue to increase their holdings of BTC/ETH, while small and medium-sized accounts turn to high-volatility assets (such as MEME coins), suggesting a stratification of risk preferences. Social media sentiment indexes (such as LunarCrush) show that the "AI+blockchain" narrative has increased sharply, but we need to be wary of the decoupling of concept hype and fundamentals.

#代币流动信号 Binance token flows in 2025 present three major characteristics: VC coin recovery, high FDV unlocking pressure, and institutional/retail behavior differentiation. VC-backed tokens (such as KAITO and Berachain) alleviate selling pressure through staking mechanisms and ecological incentives. In the short term, prices are driven by community governance optimization, but in the long term, we need to be vigilant against low circulation (<span and intensive unlocking risks (US$155 billion to be released).

Retail funds are concentrated in altcoins (accounting for 77.83% of transactions). After the MEME ebb tide, it turns to airdrop mining and low-market-value projects, pushing up on-chain interactions but exacerbating Gas volatility. Institutional funds continue to flow into tracks such as ReStaking and RWA, combining AI technology to improve the efficiency of tokenized assets and promote value return.

The scale of 76,645,176,222 active users is a core indicator of the vitality of the Binance ecosystem, directly affecting market liquidity and asset volatility. During periods of user surges, platform trading volume significantly increases, especially when retail investors flock to popular sectors (such as MEME coins and blockchain games), which can lead to severe short-term price fluctuations (e.g., daily volatility exceeding 15% during FOMO periods). At the same time, users migrating to the BSC chain raises the frequency of on-chain interactions, and fluctuations in Gas fees may cause a sudden increase in the cost of small transactions, affecting the willingness to participate.

User cyclical behavior also shapes platform strategies: during bull market phases, the proportion of altcoin trading rises, forcing Binance to optimize trading pair liquidity; in bear markets, user attrition prompts fee adjustments (e.g., BNB holding discounts) to retain the core group. Additionally, user incentive activities like Launchpool further link activity levels with expected returns, creating a positive ecological cycle.

#价格趋势分析 Currently, mainstream currencies on Binance (such as BNB and BTC) are showing a volatile differentiation pattern: BNB relies on the ecological expansion of the BSC chain to stand firm at the $650 support, but is constrained by the liquidity tightening before the Bitcoin halving, and may test the $700 resistance in the short term.

From a technical perspective, if BTC holds the $100,000 mark, it may rebound to $150,000 after the halving; if it falls below, altcoins (such as the MEME sector) may accelerate the callback by 20%-30%. , reflecting the short-term risk aversion of funds.

#链上数据洞察 Gas fees and on-chain data are interconnected and jointly influence user strategies. Gas fee aspect: Network congestion (such as a surge in MEME token transactions) leads to soaring Gas Prices, and users must weigh the cost (small transactions may incur losses) against efficiency (high Gas gets prioritized for packaging). Binance reduces costs through BSC chain optimization (with a base fee as low as 5 Gwei) and BNB fee discounts (saving 25%), but users should be cautious of Gas volatility risks during extreme market conditions. On-chain data aspect: The daily transaction volume on the BSC chain exceeds 10 million, with TVL growth and airdrop activities (such as DIN pre-mining with millions of interactions) driving users to migrate on-chain, while institutional funds (accounting for 44% of financing) continue to flow into DeFi infrastructure, indicating ecosystem expansion. Integration suggestions: High-frequency trading should prioritize the BSC chain, utilize on-chain monitoring tools (like BscScan) to track large transfers and DEX transaction volumes, and anticipate hotspots; operate during low Gas periods, and configure a BNB wallet to participate in airdrops to hedge Gas costs.

#Gas费影响 Gas fees directly affect users' transaction efficiency and costs on the Binance Smart Chain. When the network is congested (such as during the MEME coin craze), the surge in Gas Price can lead to a sharp increase in withdrawal fees, and small transfers may even lose cost-effectiveness due to high costs. Miners prioritize packaging high Gas transactions, and if users do not adjust the Gas Limit or choose to operate during low-peak times, long delays may occur. Binance alleviates pressure by optimizing the BSC chain (low Gas, high throughput), but the expansion of the on-chain ecosystem may trigger periodic congestion. Recently, Binance's strategy to lower the default Gas fee to 5 Gwei has reduced the basic cost, but attention should be paid to the risk of Gas fluctuations in extreme market conditions. Recommendations: For high-frequency trading, prioritize using the BSC chain, utilize BNB to deduct 25% of fees, and leverage Binance's Gas tracking tools to predict congestion periods, manually adjusting the Gas Limit to avoid failure losses.

$LTC LTC's price has fluctuated upward in the past three days, driven by optimistic expectations for ETF approval. Technically, the 4-hour K-line broke through the resistance level of $0.2647 (about ￥1.82 at the current exchange rate), the MACD bar chart turned from negative to positive, and MA10 continued to be higher than MA30, and the bullish momentum increased [3](@ref). However, RSI is close to the 70 overbought zone, and there is a risk of a short-term correction. On February 20, it reached a high of ￥7.46 (about 1.03), and the trading volume increased simultaneously, and the market sentiment was active 3. The fundamental support comes from the tightening of circulation after halving (75.148 million pieces) and the expansion of lightning network applications 6. Be vigilant that if the SEC delays the ETF ruling, it may trigger profit-taking selling pressure. The key support level is ￥6.86

#莱特币ETF According to the latest progress in 2025, the probability of Litecoin spot ETF approval has risen to 90%, making it the most likely crypto ETF to be approved. The key points are as follows:

Approval advantages

The SEC clearly regards Litecoin as a commodity (not a security), and its S-1 and 19B-4 documents have entered the review process, with minimal regulatory barriers. After the Trump administration took office, cryptocurrency-friendly policies further accelerated the approval process.

Timeline

The final SEC ruling was originally scheduled for October 2024, but it may be delayed to early 2025 due to the process. It is expected to be listed and traded in the second quarter after approval.

Market impact

If successfully listed, Litecoin ETF may attract more than US$500 million in funds (calculated based on the penetration rate of Bitcoin ETF) and become a milestone in the compliance of altcoin ETFs. Other competing currencies (such as DOGE, SOL, XRP) have a lower probability of approval due to legal classification issues (75%, 70%, 65%).

$ETH As of February 2025, Ethereum (ETH) faces short-term market pressure, and the ETH/BTC exchange rate has fallen to 0.028. Whales have intensified bearish sentiment by selling ETH by borrowing ETH with BTC as collateral. However, fundamentals show that institutions continue to increase their positions. The proportion of ETH ETF holdings has increased from 4.8% in Q3 to 14.5% in Q4, while the proportion of BTC ETF holdings has decreased during the same period, reflecting the long-term confidence of institutions in ETH. On the technical level, Ethereum will be upgraded in April to optimize gas fees and network performance. The ETH ETF staking function may be approved, which may attract traditional capital inflows. The market predicts that if Bitcoin breaks through $200,000 and the ETH/BTC exchange rate rebounds to 0.05, ETH may hit $10,000. Analysts generally expect the target range to be $4,500-10,000 by the end of the year, but be wary of the decline in miners' profits and macro volatility risks.

#TradeFi革命 TradeFi Revolution refers to the deep integration of traditional finance (TradFi) with blockchain and Web3.0 technologies, promoting the transformation of the financial system towards greater efficiency and transparency. For example, UAE's Klickl creates a compliant integrated financial platform by merging TradeFi with cryptocurrency, offering seamless cross-border payment and asset management services. Currently, the tokenization of RWA (Real World Assets) has become a key trend, as the AICEX protocol brings physical assets like real estate and bonds on-chain, expanding DeFi application scenarios and enhancing capital efficiency. In the future, compliant frameworks (such as ADGM regulation) and technological innovations (such as AI and cross-chain) will accelerate the digitization process of traditional finance, achieving broader asset circulation and institutional participation.

According to the latest data, Solana (SOL) has shown weak market performance recently, with prices fluctuating downward. As of February 18, 14:10, the SOL price is $168.64, with a 24-hour decline of 7.977%, and trading volume reduced to $4.421 billion. The number of on-chain active addresses has decreased by over 54% compared to last November (from 18.5 million to 8.4 million), significantly lowering market activity. Additionally, affected by the Meme coin LIBRA fraud incident, the futures market's SOL long-short position ratio has plummeted, with the short position ratio rising to 4:1, and market sentiment has turned bearish. Although a new address has withdrawn nearly $7.89 million in SOL from Binance and staked it, technical indicators show that it is currently in an oversold state, with trading volume continuing to shrink. The short-term trend may continue to fluctuate, and it is recommended to observe and wait for the market to warm up.
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