1-hour cycle price trend: Sideways 1. Overall Analysis Recent price fluctuations and adjustments (current price 3698.51, fluctuating near the middle band of the Bollinger Bands) In the short term, the balance between bulls and bears is relatively even. Recently, a hammer candlestick and initial appearance of MACD red bars suggest a possible short-term corrective rebound. However, the convergence of the Bollinger Bands indicates an unclear trend, and the rebound space may be limited. Suggestions: The current market trend is not yet clear, suitable for short-term investors to tentatively position, paying attention to the breakout situation near the middle band at 3706.81. Conservative investors may wait for the price to break through the key resistance level of 3798.98 before considering entry, avoiding blind operations. Be cautious with position control to guard against fluctuation risks.
2. Technical Analysis Candlestick Patterns: Recently, a hammer candlestick pattern has appeared, potentially forming a signal for a trend reversal, accompanied by a doji at the bottom position, where the possibility of a reversal should be noted. BOLL: The Bollinger Bands are in a converging state, with prices near the middle band, short-term fluctuations are slowing down, and the market is in a consolidation phase. MACD: The DIF line is close to the DEA, and the bearish momentum bars are weakening, but overall it remains below the zero axis, indicating that the market is still weak and waiting for further breakout signals.
3. Potential Buy/Sell Points Buy Point: 3630 USDT (close to the support of the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, and near the previous low of 3616.53, which has a strong support effect, likely to rebound.) Long Stop Loss Point: 3600 USDT (if it breaks below the support level of 3616.53 and descends to a key integer level, it may confirm the continuation of the downtrend.) Sell Point: 3750 USDT (close to the previous high point, and near the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, there is a strong selling pressure risk.) Short Stop Loss Point: 3799 USDT (if it breaks above the important previous high of 3798.98, it may indicate that the upward trend is established.)
Tuesday's Intraday Thoughts Bitcoin's price reached around 119700 yesterday at a high point before pulling back, with a short-term spike upwards followed by a drop of over 4000 points, nearing morning support at the low. Currently, the price is running around 117000, with weak upward momentum, and the trend is in a phase of range consolidation. The key resistance to watch is above 118500. Until it breaks and stabilizes above this level, the expected oscillating market will continue for a while. It is not recommended to make too many arrangements at the moment!
On the short-term hourly chart, the Bollinger Bands are slowly narrowing, and the price is running below the middle line, with both bulls and bears in a stalemate. Currently, the market lacks sufficient volume, and the short-term oscillation will continue. The strategy remains to go short at high prices and long at low prices. Resistance above is around 118500, and support below is around 115000.
For Bitcoin, a rebound at around 118500-119300 should be shorted, looking for a drop to support at 116000-115000, and if broken, continue to look for 114000. If it does not break, directly reverse to long. For Ethereum, a rebound at around 3850-3990 should be shorted, looking for a drop to support at 3700-3650, and then reverse to long.
1. Overall Analysis Recently, the price performance has been characterized by weak fluctuations, with prices operating below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, primarily showing bearish candles. The MACD indicator indicates that bearish momentum is gradually strengthening, while bullish rebounds are weak, leading to an overall sluggish trend.
In the short term, the price may continue to trend downward in a fluctuating manner, and attention should be paid to the support levels around the lower band of the Bollinger Bands at 3709.13 and 3680.00. At the same time, since the market has repeatedly tested the lower support and formed long lower shadows, it indicates that while bearish momentum is strong, there is also some buying support. If the price can stabilize above the support level, a slight rebound may occur in the short term, but the expected height of the rebound is limited, with resistance referenced around the middle band near 3838.63.
Suggestion: Short-term traders can observe the performance of the Bollinger Bands' lower band and the support level at 3680. If the support holds effectively and a stabilization signal appears, a light position can be attempted for a low-buy operation, but strict stop-loss should be set. Medium to long-term investors should remain on the sidelines, waiting for market sentiment to stabilize or clear bottom signals before proceeding with positioning. If the price breaks key support, it is recommended to adopt a trend-following strategy, possibly lightly shorting the market, and pay attention to further downward target levels. Monitor whether there is any external positive information or changes in macro factors that may impact the current weak pattern, allowing for timely strategy adjustments.
2. Technical Analysis Candlestick Pattern: The dark cloud cover pattern shows a strengthening bearish trend, with the current market being weak within fluctuations and possibly dipping in the short term. MACD: Both the DIF line and DEA line are below the zero axis, indicating significant bearish strength, with green histogram bars increasing and continued downward pressure in the market. BOLL: The candlestick is between the middle band and the lower band, with decreasing volatility, possibly continuing to test support at the lower band of the Bollinger Bands.
3. Potential Buy and Sell Points Buy Point: 3709 USDT (close to the support of the Bollinger Bands' lower band, and there have been multiple long lower shadows previously, potentially forming a short-term rebound) Long Stop Loss Point: 3680 USDT (if it falls below the key low of 3680, it indicates that the downward trend may continue) Sell Point: 3838 USDT (close to the upper band of the Bollinger Bands and previous resistance levels, possibly under pressure to retreat) Short Stop Loss Point: 3860 USDT (breaking above the previous high near the resistance of 3857.82 indicates that the upward trend may continue)
A very stupid way to trade cryptocurrencies. The most stable way to play crypto contracts! Tips on making money with perpetual contracts!
I have been in the cryptocurrency market for more than 10 years. I think I have outperformed 90% of the contract traders in the market. I have experienced Ponzi schemes, contracts, and arbitrage. I have also been ruthlessly harvested by the banker. I have experienced all the pitfalls that the market should experience. People who play the cryptocurrency circle may see their money increase 50 or 100 times overnight, or they may lose everything in an instant. Playing with contracts in the cryptocurrency world is thrilling and even more exciting than riding a roller coaster. Have you ever experienced continuous losses and frequent liquidations? Then you feel depressed and regret your decision? You are eager to make a comeback, but end up getting deeper and deeper into trouble? You fantasize about the scene of success again and again, but reality slaps you in the face again and again?
The Bitcoin leveraged shorts were crushed, revealing the bull market trap 💥Help! Bitcoin's surge to $123,000 turned out to be a 'scam'? The truth behind the sudden evaporation of $570 million is terrifying... Did anyone get woken up in the early morning by the news that Bitcoin broke $120,000? The comments section is full of people shouting, 'The opportunity to get rich is here,' but I stared at the data for 3 hours, and cold sweat drenched my pajamas—this is not a bull market; it's clearly institutions using sickles to 'legally rob'! 🔥 Just 24 hours! $570 million turned to dust! Can you believe it? Some people bet on Bitcoin falling, but were forced by the system to 'buy high,' the more they bought, the more it rose, and the more they lost, eventually their accounts went to zero... This is not market volatility; it's a calculated slaughter! 🤯 Why do prices go crazy after hitting a new high? The insider information is hidden in this bizarre data: When the price broke $120,000, sell orders on the exchange suddenly disappeared by 37%! Those who wanted to buy couldn't get the goods and had to chase high prices; Those who previously bet on a decline were 'liquidated,' crying as they joined the rush for goods; The more they rush, the more expensive it gets, forcing more people to 'cut losses,' it’s a vicious cycle that just can't stop... 💣 What's even scarier! A $36 billion 'bomb' is still hanging over our heads! There are still $36 billion in 'short positions' in the market, equivalent to burying hundreds of timed bombs; as soon as the price rises just a little, it will blow up a batch of people's savings... Institutions have long seen through retail investors: ✔️ They raised $2.7 billion with ETFs but deliberately did not buy spot, just waiting for the spot to 'run out' ✔️ They are watching your set stop-loss points at $118,000 and $120,000, precisely 'blowing them up' ✔️ They even calculated that you would 'bet on it falling,' just waiting for you to be liquidated to help them raise prices... 😱 Trump on stage and Congress pushing a bill? It’s all a smokescreen! Do you think favorable policies are opportunities? Too naive! The clearer the policies, the more institutions can use the information gap to play you around. BlackRock earns $187 million a year from Bitcoin ETFs, even tougher than the top funds; guess whose money they are making? Finally, a heartbreaking reminder: Next time you see assets skyrocketing, don't get excited! Ask yourself: Is this truly something that people are eager to grab, or is someone deliberately letting you see that 'everyone is grabbing'? (Investing involves risks, the above is purely personal analysis, don’t take it seriously~)
Trump Signs Bill, ETH Dances Madly at the 3574 Threshold! Mù Qīng Helps You See Through Main Force Tactics
In-depth analysis of the strategic games behind Trump's signing of the (Genius Act) and ETH's main force tactics 1. The Political and Economic Logic of the Bill's Signing and Market Reaction Dual Nature of Stablecoin Regulatory Framework The (Genius Act) signed by Trump requires stablecoin issuers to hold 1:1 reserves of dollars or US Treasury bonds. This rule seemingly strengthens compliance but actually opens new channels for US government financing by binding demand for US Treasuries. The act explicitly allows foreign stablecoins to circulate in the US, effectively promoting the global expansion of dollar stablecoins and consolidating the dollar's hegemony in the digital payment space. This policy directly benefits USD stablecoins like USDT and USDC but indirectly suppresses decentralized assets like ETH — when stablecoins become the on-chain vehicle for dollars, the narrative of ETH as 'digital gold' may be diluted.
💸Stablecoins: The 'New Favorite' of the Crypto World💸 What is a stablecoin? A stablecoin is a type of cryptocurrency that maintains a relatively stable value by being pegged to a fiat currency or other assets.💰 Types of Stablecoins Fiat-collateralized stablecoins: Such as USDT, USDC, stable in value but reliant on the credibility of the issuing organization.🏦 Crypto-collateralized stablecoins: Such as DAI, decentralized, not reliant on centralized institutions.🌐 Algorithmic stablecoins: Such as Ampleforth, theoretically completely decentralized, requiring no collateral.💡 Use Cases for Stablecoins Cross-border payments: Fast, low-cost cross-border transfers.✈ Daily transactions: Suitable for everyday shopping and online payments.🛒 Financial transactions: Used as a medium of exchange to reduce price volatility risk.📊 Decentralized Finance (DeFi): Used for lending, trading, providing liquidity, and other financial activities.🏦 Supply chain finance: Improves transaction efficiency and transparency, reduces exchange rate risks.📦 Store of value: Provides a choice for asset preservation as a safe-haven asset.💼 How can ordinary people participate? Invest in QDII funds: Indirectly participate in stock investments related to stablecoins.📈 Engage with HKD stablecoins: Exchange HKDST through licensed banks in Hong Kong for cross-border remittances or investments.🇭🇰 Recent Factors of Popularity US passes the GENIUS Act: Stablecoins are included in the US national financial regulatory framework.🇺🇸 Implementation of Hong Kong's Stablecoin Regulation: Anyone issuing fiat stablecoins in Hong Kong must apply for a license from the Financial Commissioner.🇭🇰 Circle goes public in the US: Listed as the 'first stablecoin stock' on the NYSE, with soaring stock prices.📈 China promotes stablecoin development: The central bank governor Pan Gongsheng stated the promotion of central bank digital currency and stablecoin development.🇨🇳 Domestic companies accelerate layout: Ant Group, JD Coin Chain Technology, ZhongAn Bank, etc., are accelerating the layout of stablecoin licenses and businesses.🏢 Guotai Junan International obtains virtual asset trading license: Stock price skyrockets, becoming the first Hong Kong-based Chinese broker to provide comprehensive virtual asset trading services.📈 As the new favorite of the cryptocurrency market, stablecoins are gradually becoming a popular choice for investors.📈
Stablecoin Legislation 1. Trump plans to sign an executive order to open cryptocurrency investments in the retirement market According to the Financial Times, Trump is preparing to open cryptocurrency, gold, and private equity to the $9 trillion U.S. retirement market, a move that will stimulate a fundamental shift in how Americans manage their savings. According to three people familiar with the matter, Trump is expected to sign an executive order as early as this week to open alternative investments beyond traditional stocks and bonds for 401k retirement plans. These investments will encompass a wide range of asset classes, from digital assets to metals, as well as funds focused on corporate acquisitions, private loans, and infrastructure transactions. The aforementioned insiders stated that the executive order will instruct regulators to investigate the barriers faced by professionally managed funds that include alternative investments for 401k savers. 2. U.S. House of Representatives passes the CLARITY Act, clarifying the digital asset market structure On July 18, as reported by Bitcoin Laws, the U.S. House of Representatives passed the CLARITY Act to regulate the structure of the digital asset market. -Original 3. Coinbase CEO states that cryptocurrency legislation will provide clear direction for the industry Coinbase (COIN.O) CEO: Trump has been committed to promoting the widespread adoption of cryptocurrency. Legislation related to cryptocurrency will provide clear information for the industry. Relevant legislation will help protect the cryptocurrency sector from similar influences as seen during the Biden administration. 4. Federal Reserve's Daly states that two rate cuts this year are a reasonable expectation On July 18, Federal Reserve's Daly stated that two rate cuts this year are a reasonable expectation. 5. Three major bills during the U.S. 'Crypto Week' On July 17, the latest progress of three major related bills during the U.S. 'Crypto Week' is as follows: The core of the GENIUS Act is to clarify the regulatory framework for stablecoins, which has currently passed the House debate and is entering the formal review stage, with a final vote expected on July 18; The core of the CLARITY Act is to clarify the classification of digital assets, the division of regulatory responsibilities, and compliance pathways, which has not yet passed the House debate, and if smoothly passed, will proceed to the final vote in the House; The core of the Anti-CBDC Surveillance National Act is to prohibit the U.S. from creating a central bank digital currency, which has not yet passed the House debate, but has received a commitment to include the anti-CBDC provisions in the defense authorization bill. #山寨季何时到来?
Tonight, the whole network is waiting for the crash! Whale 0x8c58 becomes the best contrarian indicator: the day he liquidates is when retail investors get rich! Including today's ETH analysis.
Recently, the cryptocurrency market has seen intensified speculation around Ethereum (ETH), and the whale position of address 0x8c58 has become a focal point. According to on-chain data monitoring, this whale deposited 3.74 million USDC into the Hyperliquid platform on July 12 and shorted 18,394 ETH with 15x leverage, with a position value of $54.3 million. This high-leverage short operation has sparked market discussions, as its position size is large and the leverage ratio is high. If ETH prices continue to rise, the risk of liquidation will significantly increase, potentially triggering a 'short squeeze' effect, signaling retail investors for counter-trading.
What is cryptocurrency? ✨ What is cryptocurrency? Cryptocurrency (Crypto) is a digital asset based on blockchain technology, such as Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). Its characteristics include decentralization—no bank or government controls it, and all transaction records are public, transparent, and immutable.
🔍 Common Terminology ✅ Blockchain: A distributed database, like a globally shared ledger. ✅ Wallet: A tool for storing crypto assets (divided into cold/hot wallets, differing in security). ✅ DeFi: Decentralized financial services, such as lending and trading, without the need for traditional banks.
⚠️ Risk Awareness ❗️ Cryptocurrency prices are highly volatile, and may experience significant fluctuations in a short period. ❗️ There are significant differences in global regulatory policies; some countries prohibit related transactions (you need to understand local regulations yourself). ❗️ Be sure to keep your private keys safe! Losing your private key = permanently losing your assets.
💡 Technical Knowledge
The total supply of Bitcoin is 21 million coins, generated through “mining.”
Ethereum supports smart contracts and is the underlying platform for many applications.
🌐 For Informational Purposes Only This article only introduces technical concepts and does not involve any investment advice or trading guidance. Friends interested in blockchain technology are welcome to discuss rationally in the comments~