疯狂的散户

Grasping😍

😍 Speed and Passion.

The situation of BTC in the evening can be simply summarized as the bears are quite strong right now, and it is highly likely to drop in the short term.

You see, the 7-day moving average ($117,312) has already fallen below the 30-day moving average ($118,451), which is actually a signal of decline; the short-term trend is definitely moving down.

Looking at the 4-hour MACD, that indicator is not looking good either—the fast and slow lines have crossed below the zero axis (death cross), and the green bars are getting longer, indicating that the strength of the bears is increasing. Those situations that look like a rebound might actually be false; don't be fooled.

In terms of operation, it is still recommended to short at highs. When the price rebounds to around $118,700 to $119,300, just short directly. As for the target, first look for $117,700 to $116,800; if that level can't hold, it will go straight to $115,000.

In short, the overall situation is currently favoring the bears; a rebound is an opportunity to short. Don't hesitate; just take action when you see the right position.

When watching Dogecoin at night, there's a point to be aware of. The RSI indicator is currently above 70, which is in the overbought zone, so it might drop a bit in the short term, so be cautious of the risk of a pullback.
Just follow the big trend, as you can see Bitcoin and Ethereum move, Dogecoin usually follows. For operations, it is recommended to short directly in the range of 0.2500 to 0.2530. First aim for 0.2450, then look down to 0.2400. If it breaks below, then continue to look for 0.2350!

Currently, in the market atmosphere for SOL, the power of the bears is indeed relatively prominent, and we can pay more attention to related signals.

You see, hedge funds have recently increased their short positions by $345 million, and the long-short ratio in the derivatives market has dropped to 0.93, which means the advantage of the bears is more apparent at this moment; additionally, the overall network leverage ratio is around 1.25. If the price fluctuates more than 3%, about $45 million of long positions may face liquidation risk, which also needs to be noted.

In terms of operations, if you want to position yourself, the range of 196-198 may be worth watching for short opportunities, which is relatively safer. As for the target, initially, you can look at 192-189. If this range can be broken, there is also a chance to see 180 further down.~

Overall, the current momentum of the bears is more worthy of attention. If the rhythm is grasped well, there should be suitable opportunities to be found. #sol

Looking at ETH in the evening, there are still quite a few positive signals from the bulls here.

You see, Grayscale's ETH trust had an inflow of $54.9 million in a single day, indicating that large funds still recognize it quite well; additionally, Cathie Wood has also increased her holdings in related stocks, worth over $1 billion, which is actually a sign of optimism for the ecosystem behind ETH.

So in terms of operations, if you want to make an investment, it might be worth paying attention to the range of 3640-3600. Entering a long position here would be relatively safe. For targets, let's first look at 3700-3750. If it can successfully break through this level, there is also a chance to see 3850 above.

Overall, the current support for the bulls is quite apparent. Seizing the opportunity for a low entry should provide good potential #ETH

Today's three consecutive wins, secured firmly

After high-level consolidation, new highs are often accompanied; after low-level consolidation, new lows are easily seen. When the direction is unclear, never act rashly, patiently wait for the signal of change!
Do not trade during sideways movements! Many people lose money simply because they cannot follow this most basic rule.
Buy on bearish candles, sell on bullish candles. When selecting candlesticks, consider buying when the daily line closes bearish and consider selling when the daily line closes bullish. (Note: This requires strong market intuition and experience, beginners should be cautious)
As the decline slows, the rebound also slows; as the decline accelerates, the rebound also quickens. Pay attention to the changes in the strength of the downward momentum.
Pyramid-style position building! This is the only unchanging iron rule of value investing— the deeper the drop, the heavier the position (provided that the value judgment is accurate).
After significant rises and falls, there will definitely be a consolidation period.
At this time, avoid: panic selling all positions at high levels, and greedy bottom-fishing with all positions at low levels! Sideways movement will eventually change — if it breaks down from a high position, be sure to decisively liquidate; conversely, if it breaks upward, follow up in a timely manner!

#山寨季來了？ Let's talk about this topic today: In this bull market, do altcoins still have a chance? 🤔 Here is my analysis, and everyone is welcome to discuss! 👇
1️⃣ Market Sentiment: History is always remarkably similar
The characteristic of retail investors is that they 'love to summarize'! 😅
2017 Bull Market: Bitcoin and altcoins soared together, but in the 2018 bear market, altcoins almost went to zero, while Bitcoin's decline was relatively mild.
2021 Bull Market: Altcoins exploded, with increases of several times, even dozens of times! Friends holding Bitcoin might feel a bit 'regretful' for missing this wave.
In this cycle: Bitcoin has surged, but altcoins are still in 'hibernation'. However, history tells us that the market always rotates! 📈 When everyone starts hoarding Bitcoin again, once the altcoin market 'empties out', it can easily lead to an explosion! 💥

2️⃣ Project Team Chips: Low Cost, High Potential
After the market reshuffling in 2024 and 2025, many altcoin prices have dropped significantly, and the project teams' cost per chip is also very low. 🌱 This means that as long as market sentiment warms up in the future, a slight push from the project teams can ignite market enthusiasm! 🔥 The retail investors' 'FOMO' mentality will also make the market even hotter! 😎

3️⃣ Real Prosperity Has Not Yet Arrived!
Bitcoin has increased several times in this round, but the market still lacks a bit of 'public frenzy' feeling. 😕 A bull market requires new funds and new users to enter! Currently, the user base in the crypto market is still niche globally, but as more people understand and participate, the frenzy of the altcoin season will definitely reappear! 🌍✨

4️⃣ Summary: The Altcoin Season Will Come Again!
I firmly believe that the altcoin season will return! 🚀 It could be in the second half of the year, or it could be in the next cycle. As long as the crypto industry is still here, the altcoin bull market will not be absent! 💪 What do you think? How will the altcoin season kick off? Feel free to leave a comment and share your thoughts!

A Must-See for Crypto Newbies! Three-Step K-Line Method to Steadily Capture Trends and Avoid Pitfalls! 🚀
Friends, after years of navigating the crypto world, I've summarized a super practical K-line trading method that helps you clearly see trends, pinpoint entry points, and seize opportunities in three steps! Suitable for beginners to quickly get started!

1. 4-Hour K-Line: The "Navigator" of Trends 🗺
The 4-hour K-line is like a GPS in the crypto space, filtering out short-term noise and helping you see the big picture:
Upward Trend: Prices rise like climbing stairs, with higher highs and higher lows; a pullback is a good time to add to your position!
Downward Trend: Prices move down like a slide; rebounds are often false signals, so stay cautious.
Sideways Market: Prices fluctuate within a range; frequent trading can lead to losses, so wait calmly for opportunities.
Tips: Trade with the trend for steadier gains! The 4-hour chart sets the direction, so stay calm!

2. 1-Hour K-Line: Lock in "Key Price Points" 🎯
With the big direction established, the 1-hour K-line is your "battle map" for finding the right entry point:
Support Level: Moving averages, trend lines, and previous lows act like "moats"; prices tend to bounce back when approaching, ideal for buying low.
Resistance Level: Previous highs and key resistance levels, combined with top signals, indicate good exit opportunities.
Tips: Mark support and resistance levels, and combine them with the trend for more confident entries and exits!

3. 15-Minute K-Line: Precisely "Pull the Trigger" 🔫
The 15-minute K-line doesn't look at trends; it focuses solely on finding the best entry moments! Key Signals:
Reversal Patterns: When engulfing patterns, bottom divergences, or golden cross signals appear, it's a good entry opportunity!
Volume: Breakouts without volume support are often false moves! Wait for volume to increase before acting, it's safer!
Tips: Wait for signals on the 15-minute chart; don't rush; be patient to pinpoint the right moment!
Practical Guidelines 🎯

Set Direction: Use the 4-hour chart to see the trend and decide whether to follow or wait.
Find Price Points: Use the 1-hour chart to identify support and resistance, locking in your entry range.
Wait for Opportunities: Confirm signals on the 15-minute chart and act decisively!

Pitfall Avoidance Tips ⚠️
Conflicting cycle directions? Don't force it; staying on the sidelines is better than taking risks!
Short cycles fluctuate rapidly; have a plan before entering and stick to it!
You need trends, price points, and timing; relying solely on intuition can lead to losses!
I've used this method for two years, and it has become a "muscle memory" for trading! Both newbies and veterans can use it; review and practice more, and you'll slowly become a pro! What K-line insights do you have? Let's chat in the comments, and together we can avoid detours and seize opportunities in 2025!

Give beginners a few risk management suggestions, all based on experiences I've learned from real trading losses:
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1. Trade after 9 PM
During the day, the news is too chaotic, with all sorts of false positives and negatives flying around, and the market fluctuates wildly, making it easy to get tricked into trades.
I usually wait until after 9 PM to make trades; by that time, the news is relatively stable, and the candlestick chart is cleaner, making the direction clearer.
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2. Take profit immediately
Don't always think about doubling your money! For example, if you earned 1000 USDT today, I suggest you withdraw 300 USDT to your bank card immediately, and continue to play with the rest.
I've seen too many people who made three times their money but still wanted five times, only to lose it all in a single pullback.
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3. Look at indicators, not feelings
Don't trade based on your feelings; that’s just blind luck.
Install TradingView on your phone and check these indicators before trading:
• MACD: Is there a golden cross or death cross?
• RSI: Is it overbought or oversold?
• Bollinger Bands: Is there a squeeze or breakout?
Only consider entering the market if at least two of the three indicators give consistent signals.
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4. Be flexible with stop-loss
When you have time to monitor the market, if you're in profit, manually adjust your stop-loss price upwards. For example, if your buy price is 1000 and it rises to 1100, move your stop-loss up to 1050 to lock in profit.
But if you have to go out and can't monitor the market, be sure to set a hard stop-loss of 3% to prevent sudden drops from wiping you out.
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5. Must withdraw profits weekly
Profits that aren't withdrawn are just a numbers game!
Every Friday without fail, I transfer 30% of my profits to my bank card and continue to roll the rest. Over time, this will make your account grow thicker.
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6. There are tricks to reading candlesticks
• For short-term trading, look at the 1-hour chart: If the price has two consecutive bullish candlesticks, consider going long.
• If the market is sideways, switch to the 4-hour chart to find support lines: Only consider entering the market when the price approaches the support level.
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7. Avoid these pitfalls!
• Don't use leverage over 10x; beginners should ideally keep it under 5x.
• Avoid meme coins and shitcoins, as they are easy to get scammed.
• Only trade a maximum of three times a day; too many trades can lead to losing control.
• Absolutely do not borrow money to trade cryptocurrencies!!
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One last piece of advice for you:
Trading cryptocurrencies is not gambling; treat it like a job. Clock in and out at the same times every day, and turn off your devices when it's time to eat or sleep. You'll find that your returns become more stable.

3000U-56,000U Practical Insights: Stability is Key, Rhythm is King
Don't believe in 'getting rich overnight'! Trading cryptocurrencies is like dancing; you must catch the right rhythm to win. Turning 3000U into 56,000U, my core principle is steady progress + the right methods.

Core Principles:
Only trade mainstream coins (BTC/ETH): Big brands, good liquidity, quick response, more opportunities to follow the trend and profit. Avoid altcoins!
Mindset First: Don't buy when prices are skyrocketing, and don't panic sell when prices drop. A steady hand and calm mind are fundamental.
Strict Risk Control: Never go all in! Use a maximum of 20%-30% of your capital each time (approximately 600-900U).

Core Strategies (Rolling Funds Secret):
Phased Entry: Identify opportunities and invest in 3-5 batches, don't be greedy and try to eat it all at once.
Set Stop Loss and Take Profit (Life-Saving Symbols!):
Stop Loss (Cut Loss Line): Pre-set loss points; if reached, decisively cut the position to prevent major losses. This is a hard-earned lesson!
Take Profit (Cash Out Line): When target profit is reached, cash out promptly! If you can't hold onto profits, it’s hard to make big money.
Technical + News Combination (Ambush):
Understand basic indicators (MACD, Bollinger Bands, candlestick patterns).

Key Point: When good news meets critical support levels (price points that won’t drop further), position yourself in advance! Don't chase highs; wait for the take-off point. This tactic is very effective!
Real Case: Last year, focused on ETH, strictly followed the above rhythm, and rolled 3000U into 56,000U in 3 months! It relied on sticking to the plan and strict execution.

Three Pieces of Advice (Heartfelt):
Avoid Greed: Take some profit first, and use the remaining capital to continue rolling.
Control Risks: A single loss must not hurt too much; ensure you can keep playing. Don't put all your eggs in one basket.
Don't Be Complacent: The crypto market changes rapidly; strategies need constant adjustment and renewal.
Conclusion: Doubling is not unattainable; the key lies in mastering the right 'dance steps'—steady mindset, risk control, rhythm grasp, and strict execution! That layer of paper, I've just helped you break through today.

4 Simple Patterns in the Crypto World: A Beginner's Guide to Avoiding Pitfalls!

New to the market and afraid of liquidation?
Then come see how the experts handle it.
In cryptocurrency contract trading, avoiding liquidation requires a multi-dimensional approach that includes risk control, position management, and operational strategies. The core is to allow the account to withstand price fluctuations. Here are the specific operational methods:

1. Strictly control your position and avoid full position trading
- Margin trading's leverage is essentially “small bets for big gains,” but high leverage means high risk. It is recommended for beginners to use leverage of no more than 5 times, and for seasoned traders, no more than 10 times.
- The position size of a single asset should not exceed 20% of the account balance. For example, with a principal of $10,000, the single contract opening amount should not exceed $2,000, leaving enough funds to deal with fluctuations.

2. Set reasonable stop-losses and strictly adhere to discipline
- Set stop-loss points simultaneously when opening a position, determining the range based on the asset's volatility (for example, set 3%-5% for BTC, and 5%-8% for smaller coins). Once the stop-loss is triggered, close the position immediately to avoid further losses.
- If manually setting a stop-loss, plan a psychological stop-loss level in advance. Act decisively when the price approaches this level to avoid hesitation that could lead to liquidation.

3. Utilize the margin mechanism to timely add margin and prevent liquidation
- Closely monitor the “maintenance margin rate.” When the account margin approaches the critical value, timely add margin to raise the liquidation price line.
- Avoid holding positions during periods of extreme market volatility (such as non-farm payroll data releases or regulatory policy announcements), as price differences may trigger liquidation instantly.

4. Hedge risks with counter-trading
- If your position direction is contrary to market trends, consider opening a counter-contract with a small position to hedge, locking in some losses, and adjusting the direction after the market stabilizes to reduce account pressure.
- Hedging positions should not be too large; the goal is to “buffer risks” and avoid turning into dual losses.

5. Choose compliant platforms and utilize tools for assistance
- Prioritize using platforms that support “automatic position reduction mechanisms” and “forced liquidation protection.” Some platforms will trigger alerts before liquidation to allow for operational time.
- Use limit orders instead of market orders to open positions, avoiding slippage that increases the actual holding cost and indirectly reducing the probability of liquidation.
In summary, the core of contract trading is “survival” rather than “huge profits.” Strictly implement risk control rules, it’s better to miss opportunities than to take the risk of liquidation, so that you can survive long-term in a high-volatility market.