#squarecreator - Desdolarización silenciosa: ¿por qué bitcoin estaría en el radar de China?
$BTC El país asiático diversifica sus vastas reservas para reducir su dependencia del dólar, usando oro y otros mercados ante tensiones geopolíticas.
En el tablero global, China mueve sus piezas con sigilo, buscando jaque al rey dólar. De tal manera que, con más de 3 billones de dólares en reservas, Beijing replantea su dependencia de los bonos del Tesoro EE.UU mientras que las políticas del presidente de EE.UU, Donald Trump, y la sombra de las sanciones impuestas por su país redibujan las reglas del juego financiero. Es la desdolarización lo que está cobrando un nuevo impulso, resonando en los pasillos del poder chino, donde se le ve como un acto de supervivencia, armando un escudo para el dólar, que puede ser usado como un arma.
La State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE), es el cerebro detrás de la gestión de estas reservas chinas que ascienden a los 3,2 billones de dólares, una de las mayores del mundo. Así que, supervisada por el Banco Popular de China, la entidad administra activos como bonos del Tesoro de Estados Unidos, bonos de agencias, oro y, en menor medida, inversiones privadas.
La misión de SAFE incluye regular el mercado de divisas, proteger las reservas contra riesgos geopolíticos, como las sanciones, y diversificar activos para equilibrar seguridad, liquidez y rentabilidad. Y para lograrlo, en la actualidad, está apelando por la estrategia de «tengnuo», es decir, maniobras ágiles en una cuerda floja con las que guía sus esfuerzos de desdolarización, como se explica en un artículo reciente de Financial Times.
En sí, su estrategia implica un enfoque cauteloso pero dinámico para equilibrar liquidez, seguridad y rentabilidad en la gestión de las reservas extranjeras de China, especialmente en un contexto de diversificación para reducir la dependencia del dólar estadounidense.
De tal manera que disminuye su dependencia de bonos emitidos por empresas estadounidenses, de dos gigantes hipotecarios.
#squarecreator - Silent De-dollarization: Why Bitcoin Might Be on China's Radar? $BTC The Asian country diversifies its vast reserves to reduce its dependence on the dollar, using gold and other markets in the face of geopolitical tensions.
On the global board, China moves its pieces stealthily, seeking check on the dollar king. In such a way that, with more than 3 trillion dollars in reserves, Beijing is reevaluating its dependence on U.S. Treasury bonds while U.S. President Donald Trump's policies and the shadow of sanctions imposed by his country redraw the rules of the financial game. It is de-dollarization that is gaining new momentum, resonating in the corridors of Chinese power, where it is seen as an act of survival, forming a shield against the dollar that can be used as a weapon.
The State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) is the brain behind the management of these Chinese reserves that amount to 3.2 trillion dollars, one of the largest in the world. Thus, supervised by the People's Bank of China, the entity manages assets such as U.S. Treasury bonds, agency bonds, gold, and, to a lesser extent, private investments.
SAFE's mission includes regulating the foreign exchange market, protecting reserves against geopolitical risks, such as sanctions, and diversifying assets to balance security, liquidity, and profitability. And to achieve this, it is currently appealing to the strategy of 'tengnuo', that is, agile maneuvers on a tightrope with which it guides its de-dollarization efforts, as explained in a recent Financial Times article.
In essence, its strategy involves a cautious yet dynamic approach to balancing liquidity, security, and profitability in the management of China's foreign reserves, especially in a context of diversification to reduce dependence on the U.S. dollar.
In such a way that it reduces its dependence on bonds issued by U.S. companies, from two mortgage giants.
#squarecreator - An explosive combination for Bitcoin could occur this week.
$BTC - A series of geopolitical and macroeconomic events are combining this week, enabling high volatility in both Bitcoin (BTC) and the financial markets in general.
This Wednesday, the Federal Reserve (Fed), the US central bank, will announce the outlook for interest rates. While they are expected to remain unchanged in the 4.25% to 4.5% range, all eyes are focused on the subsequent speech by Jerome Powell, the Fed's chairman.
When Powell offers an optimistic outlook for the economy, stock markets and cryptocurrencies tend to react with consolidation or an increase. Otherwise, they usually respond downwards, as CriptoNoticias has reported.
The official reiterated in the first quarter his projection of making two rate cuts this year, which would increase available liquidity in the economy. However, on several occasions, he indicated that there was no rush to implement this policy, given that the economy remained "generally strong" with a "solid" labor market.
The Fed also maintains a "wait-and-see" stance on the decision, while they evaluate the impact of US President Donald Trump's tariff measures. While the president paused the tariffs on imports he had imposed, bringing relief to the markets, he maintains those imposed on China, sparking uncertainty in the economy.
However, this week is key in this "trade war," as senior US officials and their Chinese counterparts will meet in Switzerland this weekend to discuss the matter. The meeting raises hopes for a possible de-escalation of the trade war.
Trump administration officials have also met with officials from various countries for trade negotiations, allaying fears that the measures will not be eased, triggering higher inflation and a recession.
OK, it can be read that the writing is inspired by market experience and is part of real-time news, which makes it very useful as information for traders.
AlondraCrypto
--
🔸Hello Mr. Moily, thank you for the 100 Points 💕. But my goal is to educate, entertain, inform, inspire. I use the best tools at my disposal to achieve this efficiently. Does the content meet its purpose for you? I appreciate your comment, but I assure you that there is a lot of work on my part ☺️ research, writing, editing, critical thinking, personal experience, behind what I publish. It's not just AI; it also has a part of my personality! And I wish it had existed years ago. When I graduated as a higher technician in computer science, it was in the era of the Disk 💾. $BTC
I understand and congratulate you on your effort, as information as news is very valuable; all traders must be informed of what is happening in the stock markets. 👍 😁
moily
--
Well, for your writing I give you 100 points, although nowadays we all help each other with AI. (Too bad that when I studied high school it didn't exist.)
Well, for your writing I give you 100 points, although nowadays we all help each other with AI. (Too bad that when I studied high school it didn't exist.)
AlondraCrypto
--
🔸The Federal Reserve (Fed) has announced the conclusion of its two-day monetary policy meeting, keeping the target range for the federal funds rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%. This decision marks the third consecutive meeting in which the U.S. central bank has chosen not to modify its monetary easing policy. In its accompanying statement, the Fed noted an increase in uncertainty surrounding economic prospects. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) expressed its attention to the risks facing its dual mandate, assessing that the probabilities of an increase in both unemployment rates and inflation have risen. The price of Bitcoin (BTC) experienced fluctuations throughout the day, retreating from a peak reached after a nighttime rally driven by news about trade talks between the United States and China. Following the Fed's announcement, it was trading around $96,600. This decision comes in a complex macroeconomic context, marked by the implementation of tariffs globally by the Trump administration. Inflation persists above the 2% target, and there is uncertainty about the impact that tariffs will have on consumer prices, while the economy shows signs of slowing down. Market participants generally anticipate three possible rate cuts during the current year, with July identified as the most likely meeting for the first decrease. However, Fed members have expressed their position of waiting for greater clarity on the consequences of tariffs before considering changes in monetary policy. Attention now turns to the imminent press conference by Chairman Powell, scheduled for 2:30 PM ET (18:30 UTC), where possible indications about the Fed's strategy for the coming months are expected.$BTC
Don't get discouraged, I sold all my crypto at a loss to buy bitcoin at 96,750 and now it remains below that price. "IT'S CRAZY"
BinanceProEdge
--
👉I invested $500 in $SUI on May 2nd at a price of 3.6566. The current price has dropped to 3.4278 and continues to decline. I'm facing a loss and losing hope for a recovery. Should I hold on in hopes of a rebound or sell now to prevent further losses? Need advice.
#squarecreator - Price Predictions for May 7: BTC, ETH, XRP, BNB, SOL, DOGE, ADA, SUI, LINK, AVAX
The rebound of Bitcoin from the lows increases the possibility of a rally towards 100,000 dollars.
BNB Price Prediction
The failure of bears to keep BNB below the moving averages indicates demand at lower levels.
Bulls will need to try to overcome the barrier at 620 dollars to clear the way for a rally to the strong upper resistance at 644 dollars. Sellers will attempt to halt the recovery at 644 dollars, but if bulls prevail, the next target could be 680 dollars.
This positive outlook will be invalidated in the short term if the BNB/USDT pair turns downwards and breaks below the support at 576 dollars. That increases the risk of a drop to 520 dollars. Buyers are expected to aggressively defend the 500 to 520 dollar zone.
XRP Price Prediction.
It fell below the moving averages on May 4, but bears could not push the price down to the 2 dollar support.
The flat moving averages and the RSI just below the midpoint suggest that the XRP/USDT pair may remain trapped between the resistance line and the 2 dollar support for some time.
A breakout and close above the resistance line signals a potential trend change. The pair could then rise towards 3 dollars. Conversely, a breakout and close below 2 dollars opens the doors for a collapse to the support zone of 1.72 to 1.61 dollars.
#squarecreator - Daily realized profits of 1 billion dollars in Bitcoin would indicate a "late bullish market"
$BTC - Profit-taking in Bitcoin "dominates" as the price continues to rise, and this could easily extinguish the market's bullish rebound, warns research from CryptoQuant.
Bitcoin investors are taking advantage of higher price levels in several months by withdrawing their profits.
These average USD 1 billion per day, raising fears that the market recovery could stagnate or even reverse.
Institutional participation has not caused a change in mindset, claims CryptoQuant.
It risks reaching a "local maximum or a strong correction" if current levels of profit-taking continue, warns a new study.
In a blog article "Quicktake" published on May 8, the on-chain analysis platform CryptoQuant pointed out the high realized profits among BTC investors.
Profit-taking in BTC reaches January highs
Realized profits from Bitcoin have reached several-month highs this week, as the BTC/USD pair approached USD 98,000.
For CryptoQuant, the market is becoming comparable to late 2024, when the pair broke old all-time highs and reached USD 100,000 for the first time.
"Even after the positive price action following the March-April 2025 drop, profit-taking remains aggressive. Perhaps not as much as in November-December 2024, but still high," wrote contributor Kripto Mevsimi.
"This is historically consistent with late-stage bullish market behavior - where profit-taking dominates, even when the price continues to rise."
CryptoQuant data places the current 7-day moving average of realized profits across the hodler spectrum at approximately USD 1 billion per day.
"If we look back at similar cycles (for example, 2021)
#squarecreator - Binance and CZ's vision: Bitcoin could reach between $500,000 and $1 million in this cycle.
$BTC - At a key moment for the cryptocurrency market, Changpeng Zhao (CZ), founder and former CEO of Binance, has projected an unprecedented bullish scenario: the price of Bitcoin (BTC) could climb between $500,000 and $1,000,000 dollars during the current market cycle. This statement, made after serving a brief court sentence, has reignited enthusiasm among investors and analysts in the crypto ecosystem.
Having covered the evolution of the blockchain industry for over a decade, I can assert that few figures have influenced it as much as CZ, and his statements tend to set the tone for market behavior. This time, his projections are based on a confluence of macroeconomic factors, technological innovations, and a more favorable regulatory environment.
Key drivers of the bullish prediction
1. Approval of Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S.
One of the most powerful catalysts for this prediction is the approval of the first spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) by the SEC in the United States. This measure opens the door to a massive influx of institutional capital that has historically remained on the sidelines of the crypto space.
ETFs facilitate access to Bitcoin in a regulated manner, removing operational barriers and reducing the perceived risk for large investment funds. According to CZ, this institutional entry could create sustained demand that pushes the price of BTC to unprecedented levels.
#SquareBinance - China responds to the US: "There will be dialogue, but these are our conditions." The Asian country is negotiating with the US over tariffs, demanding respect. Meanwhile, global liquidity and tensions could boost the price of Bitcoin.
China injects 1 trillion yuan, which is seen as a boost to global M2, good for BTC.
$BTC - Bitcoin is considered "cheap" in the face of a global "liquidity supercycle" that would boost its price.
Accusing Washington of imposing a series of "unilateral, illegal, and unreasonable tariff measures" that have "severely impacted" bilateral relations and the global economic recovery, China confirmed today that it will sit at the negotiating table. Vice Premier He Lifeng will meet with US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent in Switzerland from May 9 to 12. While responding to US signals about a possible tariff adjustment, Beijing warns that the meeting must be based on "mutual respect, equal consultation, and mutual benefit" to have any chance of success.
In a question-and-answer session today, a MOFCOM spokesperson detailed that senior US officials have "repeatedly hinted at the possibility of adjusting tariff measures" and have conveyed messages through various channels expressing their desire for dialogue.
#BTCPrediction - Institutional investors reduce exposure to Bitcoin ahead of the FOMC: impact.
On Tuesday, Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded net outflows, breaking a three-day streak of inflows that had attracted over 1 billion dollars.
With the uncertainty surrounding the upcoming Federal Reserve policy decision, institutional investors appear to be reducing their exposure in anticipation of increased market volatility.
Institutions move away from BTC ETFs as the Fed decision approaches
BTC spot ETFs saw net outflows of 85.64 million dollars on Tuesday, marking a shift in sentiment among institutional investors just before today's Federal Reserve policy meeting.
On Tuesday, Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded net outflows, breaking a three-day streak of inflows that had attracted over 1 billion dollars.
With the uncertainty surrounding the upcoming Federal Reserve policy decision, institutional investors appear to be reducing their exposure in anticipation of increased market volatility.
Institutions move away from BTC ETFs as the Fed decision approaches
BTC spot ETFs saw net outflows of 85.64 million dollars on Tuesday, marking a shift in sentiment among institutional investors just before today's Federal Reserve policy meeting.
The outflows occurred after three consecutive days of strong inflows, totaling over 1 billion dollars, into these BTC-backed funds. This suggests a pullback as market participants brace for potential volatility surrounding today's FOMC announcement.
If demand for BTC surges and market conditions remain favorable after the FOMC meeting, it could rise towards 102,080 dollars.
#squarecreator - Harvard Professor: "Trump will likely accelerate the fall of the dollar.
"Kenneth Rogoff believes that the slowdown of the dollar's dominance and the growth of digital currencies will shape the future.
Most Latin American currencies exhibited losses on Wednesday, as markets focused their attention on the statement to be released later by the Federal Reserve of the United States following its monetary policy meeting, and on negotiations between representatives of Washington and Beijing over the weekend.
* Markets widely expect the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged, but are attentive to the statement accompanying the decision and to subsequent remarks from the entity's president, Jerome Powell, in search of clues about the outlook for rates, as U.S. tariffs cast uncertainty over the economy.
* Meanwhile, representatives from Washington and Beijing will meet this weekend in Switzerland, which could be the first step towards resolving a trade war that has raised import tariffs between the two largest economies in the world well above 100% and disrupted global markets.
* The dollar index DXY, which compares the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, lost just over 0.1%.
* The Mexican peso USDMXN was quoted at 19.5956 units, up 0.34% against Tuesday's LSEG reference price, just hours before the announcement regarding the U.S. Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision.
* "Today, the peso is one of the few currencies appreciating against the dollar, thanks to the progress in trade negotiations between the U.S. and China, which implies a relaxation of pressures on the U.S. economy and a lower systemic risk for Mexico, awaiting a possible agreement with our country," said Monex.
#MEMEAct - Most currencies fall ahead of Fed and trade talks between the US and China.
Most Latin American currencies showed losses on Wednesday, as markets focused their attention on the statement to be released later by the Federal Reserve of the United States following its monetary policy meeting, and on negotiations between representatives from Washington and Beijing over the weekend.
* Markets widely expect the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged, but they are attentive to the statement accompanying the decision and subsequent comments from the entity's president, Jerome Powell, in search of clues about interest rate outlooks, as US tariffs cast uncertainty over the economy.
* Meanwhile, representatives from Washington and Beijing will meet this weekend in Switzerland, which could be the first step towards resolving a trade war that has raised import tariffs between the two largest economies in the world well above 100% and disrupted global markets.
* The dollar index DXY, which compares the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, lost just over 0.1%.
* The Mexican peso USDMXN traded at 19.5956 units, with a gain of 0.34% against Tuesday's reference price from LSEG, just hours before the announcement regarding the US Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision.
* "Today, the peso is one of the few currencies appreciating against the dollar, thanks to the progress in trade negotiations between the US and China, which implies a relaxation of pressures on the US economy and a lower systemic risk for Mexico, pending a possible agreement with our country," said Monex.
$BTC - El fundador de Binance dijo que Bitcoin podría alcanzar hasta un millón de dólares este ciclo de mercado
Changpeng Zhao espera que Bitcoin alcance entre USD 500.000 y USD 1 millón en este ciclo de mercado, impulsado por la adopción institucional, la creciente acumulación gubernamental y una política estadounidense pro-criptomonedas.
El cofundador de Binance, Changpeng "CZ" Zhao, espera que el precio de Bitcoin alcance un máximo de entre USD 500.000 y USD 1 millón durante este ciclo de mercado.
Durante una entrevista con Rug Radio publicada el 5 de mayo, Zhao dijo que espera que Bitcoin alcance hasta un millón de dólares durante este ciclo de mercado. También destacó el papel de los fondos cotizados al contado de Bitcoin (ETF) en esta subida, diciendo que la creciente institucionalización de Bitcoin es algo bueno para el mercado:
"Están los ETF. Existe esta institucionalización de Bitcoin [ ... ] es positiva en términos de acción del precio, obviamente. Nuestras bolsas han subido, no tanto las alt-coins, pero al menos Bitcoin sí".
Zhao explicó que los ETF están "trayendo el dinero tradicional de las instituciones al sector cripto" y "la mayor parte del dinero en EE. UU. es dinero institucional". Dijo que "Bitcoin está subiendo porque la mayoría de los ETF están basados en Bitcoin".
El fundador de Obchakevich Research, Alex Obchakevich, dijo a Cointelegraph que "el 70% [del crecimiento de Bitcoin] es nuevo capital institucional, el resto es sólo una redistribución de criptoactivos". Destacó el papel de los ETF en impulsar el precio de Bitcoin al alza:
"Los ETF, especialmente los ETF de Bitcoin, son un motor clave de la tendencia alcista, pero con pequeñas correcciones volátiles".
Los gobiernos también están en el juego
Zhao también destacó que los gobiernos están comprando cada vez más Bitcoin también, que "es realmente bueno para la acción del precio". Y añadió:
"También es una muy buena validación".
Sus comentarios se producen después de que varios países hayan acumulado Bitcoin.
#squarecreator - The founder of Binance said that Bitcoin could reach up to one million dollars this market cycle.
Changpeng Zhao expects Bitcoin to reach between USD 500,000 and USD 1 million in this market cycle, driven by institutional adoption, increasing government accumulation, and a pro-cryptocurrency U.S. policy.
The co-founder of Binance, Changpeng "CZ" Zhao, expects the price of Bitcoin to peak between USD 500,000 and USD 1 million during this market cycle.
During an interview with Rug Radio published on May 5, Zhao said he expects Bitcoin to reach up to one million dollars during this market cycle. He also highlighted the role of Bitcoin spot ETFs in this rise, stating that the growing institutionalization of Bitcoin is a good thing for the market:
"There are ETFs. There is this institutionalization of Bitcoin [ ... ] it's positive in terms of price action, obviously. Our exchanges have risen, not so much alt-coins, but at least Bitcoin has."
Zhao explained that ETFs are "bringing traditional money from institutions into the crypto sector" and "most of the money in the U.S. is institutional money." He said, "Bitcoin is rising because most ETFs are Bitcoin-based."
The founder of Obchakevich Research, Alex Obchakevich, told Cointelegraph that "70% [of Bitcoin's growth] is new institutional capital, the rest is just a redistribution of crypto assets." He highlighted the role of ETFs in driving the price of Bitcoin upwards:
"ETFs, especially Bitcoin ETFs, are a key driver of the bullish trend, but with small volatile corrections."
Governments are also in the game
Zhao also emphasized that governments are increasingly buying Bitcoin as well, which "is really good for price action."
Take a break and then come back to do market analysis, risk management, and study your own strategies, and start trading with more judgment. 👍
AYOUB_P2P
--
I have lost everything, what should I do now? Should I distance myself and forget, or should I stand firm and try again to recover my losses? I no longer understand anything about this market; they are playing with us. Futures have become mere gambling.
#squarecreator - XRP approaches key zone after strong bearish pressure: resistance or continuation?
The price of XRP remains under bearish pressure, with a cumulative drop of more than 6% in recent days.
Technical indicators suggest a possible short-term bounce, although the structure continues to be dominated by sellers.
XRP, the native token of Ripple, is experiencing a sustained pullback on the 4-hour timeframe, currently trading around $2.0897, after reaching recent lows of $2.0388, according to data from Binance.
Possible short and medium-term scenario
In the short term, the market could attempt a technical bounce if oversold conditions are confirmed, targeting the previously mentioned EMAs. However, if bearish pressure remains, a loss of support at $2.03 would open the door to an extension towards levels close to $1.95, an area that has served as a base in previous pullbacks.
#squarecreator - Bitcoin bulls are jumping into long positions ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on May 7.
$BTC - The price of Bitcoin rises as bulls defend the $94,000 level and take long positions ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.
Data shows that Bitcoin bulls are opening long margin positions from $94,400.
A $189 million increase in Bitcoin futures open interest and a 15% increase in trading volume show sustained buying interest.
BTC momentum tends to slow down before FOMC meetings and then becomes volatile afterward. The same could happen following this week's statements from the Federal Reserve.
Bitcoin bulls remain firm around the $94,500 level as the market awaits the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on May 7. Bitcoin analyst Axel Adler Jr. pointed out the strength of BTC's price and noted a bullish cluster of long positions forming around $94,400 in the futures market. A similar cluster was observed in late April, which pushed BTC prices to $97,500.
Similarly, Bitcoin futures open interest (OI) exhibited a rapid increase of 2,000 BTC, which is approximately $189 million, in recent hours. An increase in OI and a 15% rise in aggregate volume imply constant buying pressure despite the price drop.
The aggregated funding rate remains close to neutral, indicating a balanced sentiment between longs and shorts over the past eight hours. However, funding rates have fluctuated, with brief spikes to 0.018% on May 6, suggesting periodic optimism among leveraged traders.