Crypto老特

$BTC Market Analysis:

The smaller time frame has begun to consolidate. With insufficient liquidity on the weekend, this consolidation is normal. The smaller time frame chart may indicate a potential head and shoulders bottom pattern here, but it needs to rebound to near new highs to perfectly form a 'head and shoulders top' pattern;

Therefore, the next focus should be: the rebound high point and whether the decline can break below around 102800 again, forming a new smaller five-wave downtrend! #美国加征关税 #CPI数据来袭

What should you pay attention to when trading Bitcoin with high leverage?

1. High leverage contracts, using small amounts to gain large returns, is the core idea of this strategy; first, consider where the risk points are; high leverage can increase our profits while amplifying our risks, which further reduces our margin for error.

2. With 10x leverage, a 10% reverse movement leads to liquidation, while with 20x leverage, a 5% reverse movement leads to liquidation.

3. Fortunately, a 5%-10% movement in Bitcoin is no longer considered a small fluctuation;

4. The only way to improve the margin for error in this strategy is to patiently wait for a position that does not reverse by 5% or 10% according to your trading system, and then go for it;

5. You cannot have it both ways; high risk equals high reward, so you must be patient and precise. There’s no opportunity to slowly position yourself, and there’s no opportunity to be vague about what is correct because the core idea is to use small amounts to gain large returns, to quickly multiply; you can only patiently wait for one big opportunity;

6. The most critical point is: do not consider compound interest; the more you trade, the more mistakes you make, and the more mistakes you make, the less you will know how to trade; conserve your energy for fewer high-leverage trades; if you trade too much, you may end up doing it right, after all, the number of trades one can make in a lifetime is limited. 20962122765#美国加征关税

$BTC The current objective situation in the market is:

Shanzhai (copycat projects) do not have a wealth effect; occasionally, a few times, a Shanzhai pops up, and you see someone on social media who got rich quickly—either it’s a mouse or it’s survivor bias; in the current market state, if you want to pick a Shanzhai and invest heavily from the bottom to get several times your money, I think it's better to buy a lottery ticket, after all, the lottery only costs two yuan, which is a low cost for potentially high returns.

Secondly, the conclusion I can draw is that for small funds to make a profit in this market, the only current way is to engage in contracts of major currencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum:

1. Considering the limitations of volatility, first exclude spot trading; without leverage, the volatility of Bitcoin and Ethereum simply doesn’t create a wealth effect;

2. Considering the psychological aspect: if you have 10,000 USDT, go all in on Bitcoin, hold for two months, and earn 5,000 USDT, can you stand seeing others with the same position playing with Shanzhai and earning 10,000 or 20,000 USDT? #CPI数据来袭 #美国加征关税

$NXPC 'Ma Qian Te' once again accurately escapes the peak!

Brothers, did everyone see that Old Te's take-profit notification successfully materialized? This big bearish candle proves that Old Te indeed has some skills!

Following Old Te's pace, we can almost always accurately escape peaks and take profits, there's no way around it, Old Te's strength is just that impressive! #加密市场回调 #美国加征关税

$AAVE has already started to make a profit!

Is Old Te's code strong? No need to say more, the position will speak for me! #加密市场回调 #美国加征关税

$BTC Lao Te's personal opinion:

1. I believe the price of Bitcoin is still far from its peak. If we consider the period around interest rate cuts, I would conservatively guess it might reach 140,000;

2. Since institutional investors have entered the market on a large scale, the price movements of Bitcoin have changed. There have been small pullbacks followed by significant surges. Currently, we are in a long-term bull trend. However, upon observation, we can see that as the price of Bitcoin rises, the magnitude of the surges after each pullback is gradually weakening. The reason for this is simply that the price has become more expensive, and more capital is needed for the surges, leading to smaller increments;

3. When the pullback exceeds 30%, I believe that will signal the end of the overall Bitcoin bull market;

4. As for altcoins, over 90% will go to zero because 99.99% of the altcoins in the crypto space are scams by market manipulators. As the market matures and players become more sophisticated, these scams will no longer be able to deceive anyone, leading to their demise. The remaining ones will either be genuinely meaningful new altcoins or older ones that have become meaningful. For example: UNI could be significant if it opens its dividend switch; otherwise, it is just a worthless token;

5. However, before altcoins go to zero, it won't prevent a collective surge when liquidity is genuinely abundant. While it’s hard to imagine a scenario where all coins soar together, it might be similar to the period from October 2023 to March 2024. #美国加征关税 #加密市场回调

#ENI The code for the undisclosed old special family has also started!

Get on and go, it's starting, with a floating profit of two points!

Congratulations to the brothers who followed along, keep holding on, the goal is to first see 7.68! #加密市场回调 #美国加征关税

The old special hand feeling is hot, let's have a code:
$AAVE 271 pending order to go long! Stop loss placed at 260, target first to see 290!

After such a long period of pullbacks and fluctuations, it should be starting now, the cost performance is still very high, just do it! #加密市场回调 #美国加征关税

$ETH E Guard assembly!

Brothers, get ready to enter the market for bottom fishing: enter long positions in the range of 2465~2475, with a stop-loss at 2445, and an initial target of 2550;

This pullback, as long as it doesn't break down, gives us the opportunity to enter at the bottom of the range, assemble quickly! #加密市场回调 #美国加征关税

$NXPC Simply grasp the increase of ten points again!

This is just one code from the Old Te family. Congratulations to the brothers who have followed along; you can set protection now. The target for the pattern will be notified, and this wave is just the beginning of the rise!

Is Old Te strong or not? Brothers, you decide! Can we still miss this market? #加密市场回调 #美国加征关税

$BTC I removed all long positions, what was the basis for my judgment?

1. During the time when the second contract surged, the first contract did not break 110530;

2. U.S. stocks are stagnating, indicators are diverging and becoming dull.

3. After reviewing, what do I think I did not do well?

1. I was still too greedy; when the E contract surged above 2850, I was already close to doubling my profit, but I didn't take any profit at all, I just moved my stop-loss up;

2. But to be honest, next time, I might still be this greedy, and I will still gamble on the profit pullback as a cost to make a run, I've already heavily invested, being timid to earn a little doesn't make much sense;

3. Additionally, this time's decline was entirely based on the K-line analysis from the market, deliberately ignoring news about the war and various noises, which felt quite good; I didn't earn much, but it felt great, like my state has returned, maintaining, maintaining until the next opportunity, then, to make a big move. #以色列伊朗冲突 #加密市场回调

$ETH Market Analysis:

1. E has been accumulating long positions from 2400 in segments, ultimately placing a heavy bet after breaking through the daily MA200 average at 2660, betting on the trend after the breakout. However, the bet did not pay off, resulting in significant fluctuations with both large profits and large drawdowns. At one point, the positions were more than doubled, but there was no take profit, and in the end, about 50% of the profits were withdrawn;

2. Review: Looking back now, the recent rise of E (2381➡️2879) should correspond to the significant movement on May 17. #以色列伊朗冲突 #加密市场回调

$BTC Chart Trend Analysis:

1. From 111980➡️100372 is the first part of the adjustment; from 100372📷 now, we are currently in the third part of the adjustment;

2. There are roughly two types of adjustments, the black line is more ink-like, while the red line is smoother! #加密市场回调 #以色列伊朗冲突

$BTC Woke up to extreme market conditions!

The waterfall is here! How many brothers avoided yesterday's waterfall and blindly bought in this morning? How many brothers are still holding short positions?

Old Te has been emphasizing not to blindly buy the dip during extreme market conditions, but how many brothers listened to the advice? #以色列伊朗冲突 #加密市场回调

Every day is a winning strategy. The short position of $KAIA has steadily secured nearly 5 points of profit!

Keep up with the steps of the Lao Te family, every day is a dual profit from both long and short positions. We can't miss this market, right? #美国加征关税 #CPI数据来袭

$BTC Is the current market bullish or bearish?

Discussing bullish or bearish is meaningless; let's focus on the risk-to-reward ratio;

Why did the long positions run away? Yesterday, Ethereum surged violently to around 2880, while Bitcoin didn't even break the high point of 110530, and not breaking it means there are three segments instead of five, and if it's not five segments, it's weak (if you don't understand, go review the analyses from the past few days, don't just come and ask); and the fact proves that the second can't overpower the first. #美国加征关税 #山寨币ETF展望

$ETH

Yesterday's long position at 2850 was closed for profit. As mentioned before, Ethereum has formed an AMD pattern, and it is currently testing a key position. If it falls below 2750, the possibility of a false breakout increases significantly. Conversely, if it can stay above 2750, the next step will be to start pushing towards the 3000 threshold!

Currently, I have long positions in hand, preparing to play a short-term trade first, then reverse and operate steadily along the moving averages! #美国加征关税 #CPI数据来袭

There will be a CPI data release tonight, brothers, pay attention to operational risks. Those who haven't opened positions can wait until after the release to act!

Old Te feels that tonight is likely to be a ‘bearish’ outcome, but we still need to see the data release tonight. There will be significant fluctuations before the data is published, so be cautious and avoid risks! #CPI数据来袭 #加密圆桌讨论

$ETH Short-term Precautions:

Whether from the trend of E itself or from the E/B exchange rate, E has approached a minor level of resistance;

High-leverage players should be aware of the risks! #加密市场反弹 #币安钱包TGE

$ETH Small-level drawing, every line must shake!

‘’Special before the horse’’ precise line prediction! #加密市场反弹 #Strategy增持比特币