Crypto-芒果

The Malaysian rubber market has declined, following the regional rubber market and the downward trend in international oil prices.

Uncertainty regarding U.S. tax policy has dampened market sentiment, with the Osaka Exchange (OSE) closing the October RSS3 rubber contract down 3.3 yen or 1.04%, settling at 313.4 yen per kilogram.

The market expects further downside potential for rubber prices to be limited, as tensions have eased.

At 3 PM local time, the price of Malaysian SMR20 rubber fell by 10 sen compared to the previous day, priced at 759 sen per kilogram;

bulk latex price fell by 3.0 sen, priced at 609 sen per kilogram.

Qishun Information Quote: Ordinary investors should mostly stay on the sidelines, patiently waiting for the best opportunities and avoiding frequent trading.

There is no need to attempt to capture all fluctuations or predict every market movement; one must respect the market, remember discipline, strictly control positions, and maintain a calm approach.

Although the BTC price has fluctuated in the past week, the overall trend is upward.

The inventory on exchanges is gradually decreasing, indicating that more investors are optimistic about the future market, and most investors have a low willingness to sell in the short term.

On May 15, local time, the U.S. Department of Labor announced that after adjustment, the Producer Price Index (PPI) in the United States decreased by 0.5% month-on-month in April 2025.

Year-on-year, it increased by 2.4%, with an expectation of 2.5%, while the previous value was revised from 2.7% to 3.4%. This indicates that the momentum of rising prices in the United States has eased.

In addition, data released the same day by the U.S. Department of Commerce showed that retail sales in the U.S. grew by only 0.1% month-on-month in April and increased by 5.2% year-on-year, far below the month-on-month growth of 1.7% in March, indicating a significant lack of consumer spending power.

Typically, when price increases slow down, consumer spending should be more active, but the reality is that retail data is performing poorly.

The reason lies in the fact that although Trump's tariff policy has not been implemented, the public is worried about rising prices of imported goods, leading to preemptive stockpiling that consumes funds in advance.

Now, consumers may either be empty-pocketed or feel that there is no need to stock up, and thus begin to cut back on spending.

With low consumer spending willingness, merchants are hesitant to raise prices, and the production and wholesale sectors also lack vitality, consequently dragging down the PPI data.

From this data alone, it seems that the United States may be showing signs of deflation while the inflation issue remains unresolved.

Currently, the U.S. economy faces a dilemma: inflation risks have not dissipated, yet the economy shows signs of cooling.

Who is to blame? Trump hopes for an economic slowdown to prompt the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates; however, Fed Chairman Powell is unmoved by this.

In the face of such a situation, the future direction of the U.S. economy is indeed a matter of concern.

Insights into Economic Changes and Responses to this round of economic changes are more sudden than before. Whether it is cyclical fluctuations or structural transformations, the actual impacts have permeated daily life: wage stagnation, consumption contraction, reduced opportunities, and rising anxiety.

Cognitive Value: Understanding economic trends can help avoid decision-making biases; even a basic grasp can lead to fewer detours.

Action Recommendations: The economy does not only belong to the financial sector. Pay attention to every expenditure and choice, think and ponder more, so that you can be well-informed and steady in your actions.

BTC Fluctuation Period Trading Strategy Suggestions: BTC is most sensitive during fluctuations.

Reiteration: Do not engage with secondary mainstream altcoins, as their rise and fall are often due to oversold rebounds, making it difficult for ordinary investors to identify tops and bottoms, leading to heavy losses.

Strategy: At this stage, only participate in low-cap coins; secondary altcoins have not yet reached the bottom-buying opportunity (the Federal Reserve has not lowered interest rates, and the market's liquidity is unlikely to support an overall rise in the sector).

Ethereum Market Analysis and Strategy (5.16) Last night ETH fell back after reaching the first resistance level and rebounded at the 2520 support level.

Key levels: Bullish conditions: Maintain above 2550 on the 1-2 hour level, with short-term potential for continuation upward, upper resistance at 2597/2635/2677.

Bearish risk: If it falls below 2550, the rebound ends, with support levels at 2515/2475/2415.

AIDAv2 DeFi Liquidity Mining Daily Report (2025.5.15) Operating Cycle: Day 324
Yesterday's Earnings: 0.40% (Gourd Earnings 0.54%)

Cumulative Earnings: 179.59%

Compound Earnings: 598.43%

Project Features: Pure On-chain Mining | Completely Decentralized | 100% Open Source | Automated On-chain Operation

Security Qualifications: Passed Security Audit | Obtained MSB Regulation

Scale Data: Mining Pool Operating for 5 Years | Managed Funds Exceeding 1.5 Billion

A Brief Comparison between Meme Platforms and GameFi When Meme launching platforms fall into homogenization and internal competition, Adventure Island takes the lead in initiating a new narrative for GameFi.

Pain points of Meme platforms: rampant skin-swapping models, hollow and homogeneous content, short project lifecycles, and high risks of financial schemes.

Value of GameFi: breaking through attention bottlenecks with innovative tracks, its revival not only indicates an industry resurgence but also signals a comprehensive revolution in on-chain narrative logic.

BTC Volatility Trading Strategy Suggestions: BTC is most sensitive to fluctuations during periods of volatility.

Reiteration: Do not engage with secondary mainstream altcoins, as their price movements are mainly due to oversold rebounds, making it difficult for ordinary investors to identify tops and bottoms, which can lead to heavy losses.

Strategy: At this stage, only participate in low-cap coins; secondary altcoins have not reached a bottom buying opportunity (the Federal Reserve has not lowered interest rates, making it difficult for market liquidity to support an overall rise in the sector).

5.16 Cryptocurrency Morning Trading Suggestions The hourly chart shows that after a price dip and rebound, it encountered resistance at the middle line and fell back. The middle line is trending downwards, short positions have not turned into long positions, moving averages are converging, short-term recovery is weak, and the main trend is oscillation, with still a demand for downward testing.

Trading Suggestions: Bitcoin 103000-103500 go long, target 105000;

Ethereum 2630-2650 go long, target 2750.

Yesterday's BTC consolidation trend was healthy, and after stabilizing, it is expected to continue rising; recent attention should be paid to the fundamentals.

Intraday expectations for sideways consolidation and accumulation, with a weekly golden cross forming, indicating a potential new round of market activity in the larger cycle.

ETH is undergoing synchronized consolidation and mild correction, which is in line with expectations. It is expected to continue consolidating intraday and, once stable, may follow the upward trend.

Altcoins are consolidating alongside mainstream assets, with market sentiment being relatively low. If mainstream assets stabilize, there may be opportunities to follow up.

The adjustment space for Bitcoin is very limited, and the market is about to experience another surge.

Bitcoin has recently broken the previous low trend, the convergence will choose a direction.

It has been consolidating at a high level for a long time, and this trend has limited impact: based on the highest point, it has only retraced by 2%.

Judged to be a washout market, the main trend has not changed, remain optimistic and wait for a new high.

Support below 2540 for Ethereum, if it holds, the main strategy is to look for a rebound, with limited downside space.

Resistance above 2800, if broken, can look towards 3000, overall trend is bullish.

Operational suggestion: Go long in the range of 2576-2550, with a stop loss at 2510 and a target of 2800.

Recently, there have been frequent upward movements in the morning, but the trends lack regularity, making it difficult to capture significant one-sided opportunities.

The risk of a binary up-and-down operation is high; even if a breakdown occurs as expected, the downward trend has not aligned with predictions.

Adhering to the principle of 'if it's not clear, don't act; it's better to miss than to make a mistake', we should treat the current market situation with caution.

Market conditions and trading are at this moment.

The market changes rapidly, with long and short traps hidden within; there are no perpetual victors.

If one inadvertently falls into a trap, it is necessary to promptly cut losses and exit, as the market is always the sole standard of judgment.

The market never lacks opportunities; what it lacks is the insight to see through the essence and the composure to stay calm.

BTC Hourly Market Analysis and Trading Suggestions through in-depth analysis of the current hourly chart of BTC.

Recently, the price has made an attack at the $104,900 level but has encountered strong resistance that has caused it to pull back after reaching a high, failing to achieve an effective breakthrough of the upper Bollinger Band, overall presenting a weak oscillating pattern.

From the observation of technical indicators, the Bollinger Bands are gradually narrowing, indicating that market volatility may decrease, and the price has repeatedly tested the middle band but has faced pressure and pulled back, further reinforcing short-term bearish signals.

On the price chart, the K-line pattern shows a rapid decline with a large bearish candle, clearly demonstrating the heavy selling pressure above.

At the same time, the bulls show clear signs of exhaustion after multiple unsuccessful attempts to push higher.

Based on the current market performance, the following trading suggestions are given: investors can consider going short near $103,500 on rallies, targeting price levels of $102,000 and $100,000 in sequence.

It is worth noting that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile; investors are advised to closely monitor market changes, set reasonable stop-losses, control their positions, and operate cautiously.

ADA deserves close attention! The current price is approaching the daily strong resistance level of 0.85. Once successfully突破, the upper space is expected to open, aiming for the range of 0.96-1.

5.14 Afternoon Market Analysis and Trading Suggestions
BTC reported 10400 at 8 AM, surged to 10500 at midnight before retracing, currently oscillating around 10370;

ETH reported 2678 at 8 AM, reached a new high of 2724 at midnight before pulling back, currently oscillating around 2660.

Technical Analysis: BTC has retraced to the middle track on the four-hour chart with reduced volume, with resistance at 10520 above and support at 10170 below;

The hourly chart shows bullish volume, pay attention to support at 10300 and resistance at 10450.

Trading Suggestions: Go long on BTC at the pullback of 10310-10270, with targets at 10470-10510;

Go long on ETH in the range of 2660-2635, with targets at 2735-2760.