Crypto-芒果
一个老韭菜！18年9月成立了一个社区，专注于一、二级市场。公众号：crypto芒果，微博：Crypto-芒果
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The Malaysian rubber market has declined, following the regional rubber market and the downward trend in international oil prices.
Uncertainty regarding U.S. tax policy has dampened market sentiment, with the Osaka Exchange (OSE) closing the October RSS3 rubber contract down 3.3 yen or 1.04%, settling at 313.4 yen per kilogram.
The market expects further downside potential for rubber prices to be limited, as tensions have eased.
At 3 PM local time, the price of Malaysian SMR20 rubber fell by 10 sen compared to the previous day, priced at 759 sen per kilogram;
bulk latex price fell by 3.0 sen, priced at 609 sen per kilogram.
Qishun Information Quote: Ordinary investors should mostly stay on the sidelines, patiently waiting for the best opportunities and avoiding frequent trading.
There is no need to attempt to capture all fluctuations or predict every market movement; one must respect the market, remember discipline, strictly control positions, and maintain a calm approach.
Uncertainty regarding U.S. tax policy has dampened market sentiment, with the Osaka Exchange (OSE) closing the October RSS3 rubber contract down 3.3 yen or 1.04%, settling at 313.4 yen per kilogram.
The market expects further downside potential for rubber prices to be limited, as tensions have eased.
At 3 PM local time, the price of Malaysian SMR20 rubber fell by 10 sen compared to the previous day, priced at 759 sen per kilogram;
bulk latex price fell by 3.0 sen, priced at 609 sen per kilogram.
Qishun Information Quote: Ordinary investors should mostly stay on the sidelines, patiently waiting for the best opportunities and avoiding frequent trading.
There is no need to attempt to capture all fluctuations or predict every market movement; one must respect the market, remember discipline, strictly control positions, and maintain a calm approach.
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Although the BTC price has fluctuated in the past week, the overall trend is upward.
The inventory on exchanges is gradually decreasing, indicating that more investors are optimistic about the future market, and most investors have a low willingness to sell in the short term.
The inventory on exchanges is gradually decreasing, indicating that more investors are optimistic about the future market, and most investors have a low willingness to sell in the short term.
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There is a practical rule in psychology: by 'pretending' to become your ideal self and continuously practicing, you can ultimately achieve transformation.
This stems from the powerful force of positive self-suggestion—when you firmly believe in your goals, things often tend to develop positively, and can even influence your surrounding environment.
Conversely, if you hesitate in your actions, preset difficulties in advance, and engage in negative imaginings, it can lead to a poor outcome.
Therefore, no matter what difficulties you encounter, you must persist in building a positive mindset.
In low points, believe that 'after the storm comes the calm,' and view setbacks as stepping stones for growth when facing challenges. With this belief, move forward steadily, as each step you take can contribute to your transformation.
Please firmly believe that steadfast self-identity and continuous action will eventually make your ideals a reality.
This stems from the powerful force of positive self-suggestion—when you firmly believe in your goals, things often tend to develop positively, and can even influence your surrounding environment.
Conversely, if you hesitate in your actions, preset difficulties in advance, and engage in negative imaginings, it can lead to a poor outcome.
Therefore, no matter what difficulties you encounter, you must persist in building a positive mindset.
In low points, believe that 'after the storm comes the calm,' and view setbacks as stepping stones for growth when facing challenges. With this belief, move forward steadily, as each step you take can contribute to your transformation.
Please firmly believe that steadfast self-identity and continuous action will eventually make your ideals a reality.
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"Fur pulling" is not a derogatory term, but rather a means of obtaining profits. In different market cycles, it is necessary to flexibly adjust strategies to achieve efficient profits—since the rules cannot be changed, one must go with the flow.
Past fur pulling strategy: Batch operations on testnets and mainnets, sparing no expense on Gas costs, relying on high-return projects to achieve profits.
Current fur pulling key points: Focus on enhancing KYC weight, be cautious when purchasing nodes; closely monitor new listing opportunities on Binance to seize the initiative.
Past fur pulling strategy: Batch operations on testnets and mainnets, sparing no expense on Gas costs, relying on high-return projects to achieve profits.
Current fur pulling key points: Focus on enhancing KYC weight, be cautious when purchasing nodes; closely monitor new listing opportunities on Binance to seize the initiative.
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April 30 BTC fluctuates at a high level, expected to first test the liquidity above 95,500. If it stabilizes at 96,200, it may pull back to the 4-hour support area.
Operation suggestion: Short near 95,800, with targets looking towards 93,600 and 92,700.
Operation suggestion: Short near 95,800, with targets looking towards 93,600 and 92,700.
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BTC is currently showing a volatile converging trend. Although there is a slightly bullish expectation, the price eventually retraced, making the future direction unclear for now. Continuous observation is advisable.
DOGE may present a short-selling opportunity, which is worth noting.
SUI performed well against the downturn yesterday. If the market rebounds, it may lead the rally, so potential opportunities should be closely monitored.
DOGE may present a short-selling opportunity, which is worth noting.
SUI performed well against the downturn yesterday. If the market rebounds, it may lead the rally, so potential opportunities should be closely monitored.
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Bitcoin (Big Pie) continues to exhibit a volatile pattern, rebounding near 93700 in the early session.
It is expected to maintain volatility throughout the day; short-term high selling and low buying are recommended, and one can consider buying on dips for longer positions.
Trading reference: Buy Big Pie near 94000, with a target of 96000;
Buy Ethereum (Aunt) near 1780, with a target of 1880.
The market is highly volatile, and strict stop-loss measures are required.
It is expected to maintain volatility throughout the day; short-term high selling and low buying are recommended, and one can consider buying on dips for longer positions.
Trading reference: Buy Big Pie near 94000, with a target of 96000;
Buy Ethereum (Aunt) near 1780, with a target of 1880.
The market is highly volatile, and strict stop-loss measures are required.
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The definition of zero-sum games is essentially the result of the interaction between the observation dimension and the time axis.
Currently, the cryptocurrency community generally views meme coins as zero-sum games, but from a more macro perspective, even Bitcoin has been included in this category by many.
This inevitably leads us to think that when we take productivity progress as the core standard for value creation, if we expand our vision to a cosmic scale, all of humanity's creations and developments are, in fact, just energy transfers within a vast system.
The essential difference between zero-sum and non-zero-sum lies in the openness and growth potential of the system.
When boundaries continue to expand, participants and resources keep increasing, and the time axis extends infinitely, value gains the potential for boundary-breaking growth.
Only in a closed, stagnant system does zero-sum logic become an iron law, and this precisely reminds us: breaking the boundaries of thought may be the key to glimpsing the true nature of value creation.
Currently, the cryptocurrency community generally views meme coins as zero-sum games, but from a more macro perspective, even Bitcoin has been included in this category by many.
This inevitably leads us to think that when we take productivity progress as the core standard for value creation, if we expand our vision to a cosmic scale, all of humanity's creations and developments are, in fact, just energy transfers within a vast system.
The essential difference between zero-sum and non-zero-sum lies in the openness and growth potential of the system.
When boundaries continue to expand, participants and resources keep increasing, and the time axis extends infinitely, value gains the potential for boundary-breaking growth.
Only in a closed, stagnant system does zero-sum logic become an iron law, and this precisely reminds us: breaking the boundaries of thought may be the key to glimpsing the true nature of value creation.
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Social Pitfall Guide: Manage Your Words, Don't Undermine Yourself
Remember! Important things need to be said three times—never actively highlight your shortcomings in front of anyone, not even your closest friends! Human nature is so subtle; there are some things you don’t mention, and others won’t care at all. After all, who has the time to focus on your flaws every day?
However, once you keep bringing up your shortcomings, the situation changes dramatically.
It's like handing someone a magnifying glass; they can't help but wonder: will this flaw affect me? Over time, your image in their mind will suffer greatly.
Those who love to self-deprecate not only expose their inner lack of confidence but also, invisibly, undermine others' trust in them.
You should know that confidence is contagious, and self-denial is just the same.
Want to have good fortune by your side? The first step is to maintain your bottom line and don’t easily reveal your weaknesses in public.
Learning to highlight strengths while minimizing weaknesses is the way of socializing for smart people!
Remember! Important things need to be said three times—never actively highlight your shortcomings in front of anyone, not even your closest friends! Human nature is so subtle; there are some things you don’t mention, and others won’t care at all. After all, who has the time to focus on your flaws every day?
However, once you keep bringing up your shortcomings, the situation changes dramatically.
It's like handing someone a magnifying glass; they can't help but wonder: will this flaw affect me? Over time, your image in their mind will suffer greatly.
Those who love to self-deprecate not only expose their inner lack of confidence but also, invisibly, undermine others' trust in them.
You should know that confidence is contagious, and self-denial is just the same.
Want to have good fortune by your side? The first step is to maintain your bottom line and don’t easily reveal your weaknesses in public.
Learning to highlight strengths while minimizing weaknesses is the way of socializing for smart people!
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Major Signal! Trump May Significantly Reduce Tariffs on China Next Month
Recent multiple signs indicate that the Trump administration may significantly adjust the current high tariffs on China to a so-called 'reasonable' range within the next month, marking a key turning point in China-U.S. trade relations.
Trump's attitude has softened. In a recent interview, he admitted to bearing primary responsibility for the current tense China-U.S. trade situation.
He stated that the 145% high tariffs hinder normal bilateral commercial exchanges and that they will be significantly reduced in the future, though not to zero, which is a stark contrast to his previous hardline stance, signaling a clear policy shift.
There are also noticeable changes in the business sector. Major U.S. supermarket companies, represented by Walmart, have notified their suppliers in China to resume supply and absorb the new tariff costs.
Previously, companies like Walmart held closed-door meetings with Trump and quickly resumed purchasing afterward, indicating that Trump is very likely to cut tariffs to alleviate cost and supply chain pressures on U.S. businesses.
On the market front, high tariffs have caused the U.S. consumer price index to rise, increasing the cost of living for the public and leading to heightened dissatisfaction with Trump's economic policies; profit margins for businesses have been squeezed, prompting calls for tariff adjustments.
Against this backdrop, the Trump administration's tariff reduction can soothe domestic businesses and voters, and it is expected to repair China-U.S. trade relations, stabilizing global supply chains and market confidence.
Overall, May may become a key turning point in China-U.S. trade relations, and the tariff adjustment measures by the Trump administration deserve close attention as they will not only affect bilateral economic and trade relations but also have a significant impact on the global economic landscape.
Recent multiple signs indicate that the Trump administration may significantly adjust the current high tariffs on China to a so-called 'reasonable' range within the next month, marking a key turning point in China-U.S. trade relations.
Trump's attitude has softened. In a recent interview, he admitted to bearing primary responsibility for the current tense China-U.S. trade situation.
He stated that the 145% high tariffs hinder normal bilateral commercial exchanges and that they will be significantly reduced in the future, though not to zero, which is a stark contrast to his previous hardline stance, signaling a clear policy shift.
There are also noticeable changes in the business sector. Major U.S. supermarket companies, represented by Walmart, have notified their suppliers in China to resume supply and absorb the new tariff costs.
Previously, companies like Walmart held closed-door meetings with Trump and quickly resumed purchasing afterward, indicating that Trump is very likely to cut tariffs to alleviate cost and supply chain pressures on U.S. businesses.
On the market front, high tariffs have caused the U.S. consumer price index to rise, increasing the cost of living for the public and leading to heightened dissatisfaction with Trump's economic policies; profit margins for businesses have been squeezed, prompting calls for tariff adjustments.
Against this backdrop, the Trump administration's tariff reduction can soothe domestic businesses and voters, and it is expected to repair China-U.S. trade relations, stabilizing global supply chains and market confidence.
Overall, May may become a key turning point in China-U.S. trade relations, and the tariff adjustment measures by the Trump administration deserve close attention as they will not only affect bilateral economic and trade relations but also have a significant impact on the global economic landscape.
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4.29 BTC, ETH Market Analysis
Good afternoon! Bitcoin (BTC) quickly rebounded after a midnight dip, showing strong resilience.
The daily chart continues to consolidate at a high level, and the 4-hour chart shows a wide fluctuation. It is recommended to sell high and buy low.
Key support at 94300, with resistance levels at 95700, 96900, and 98500;
If the 4-hour chart breaks below 94300, support to watch below is 93500, 92700, and 91880.
Ethereum (ETH) is oscillating in the 4-hour chart, with core support at 1795.
If this level is not effectively broken, there is still upward space after a short-term correction, with resistance levels at 1825, 1855, and 1880;
If the 4-hour chart breaks below 1795, a correction is expected, with support levels at 1780, 1765, 1740, and 1720.
Good afternoon! Bitcoin (BTC) quickly rebounded after a midnight dip, showing strong resilience.
The daily chart continues to consolidate at a high level, and the 4-hour chart shows a wide fluctuation. It is recommended to sell high and buy low.
Key support at 94300, with resistance levels at 95700, 96900, and 98500;
If the 4-hour chart breaks below 94300, support to watch below is 93500, 92700, and 91880.
Ethereum (ETH) is oscillating in the 4-hour chart, with core support at 1795.
If this level is not effectively broken, there is still upward space after a short-term correction, with resistance levels at 1825, 1855, and 1880;
If the 4-hour chart breaks below 1795, a correction is expected, with support levels at 1780, 1765, 1740, and 1720.
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Amidst Intensifying Competition, Tether's USDT Remains the Leader in the Stablecoin Market
According to the latest report from Web3 research firm Nansen, even as competition in the stablecoin market becomes increasingly fierce, Tether's USDT continues to dominate.
As of April 25, 2025, USDT accounts for as much as 66% of the stablecoin market share, leaving competitors far behind, with USDC only holding 28%.
Since Trump was elected in November 2024, the regulatory environment in the United States has gradually become more friendly to cryptocurrencies, allowing USDC to rapidly increase its market share.
However, despite USDC's impressive growth, Tether still holds a unique position in the market due to its vast user base and significant trading volume in on-chain activities.
From a profitability perspective, Tether stands out among stablecoin issuers.
In 2024, Tether's profits approached $14 billion, making it a veritable money printer in the industry.
Currently, traditional financial institutions like PayPal and Ripple are entering the stablecoin sector, further intensifying market competition.
But given the current situation, Tether's constructed market advantage is extremely solid, and its dominant position seems difficult to shake in the short term.
According to the latest report from Web3 research firm Nansen, even as competition in the stablecoin market becomes increasingly fierce, Tether's USDT continues to dominate.
As of April 25, 2025, USDT accounts for as much as 66% of the stablecoin market share, leaving competitors far behind, with USDC only holding 28%.
Since Trump was elected in November 2024, the regulatory environment in the United States has gradually become more friendly to cryptocurrencies, allowing USDC to rapidly increase its market share.
However, despite USDC's impressive growth, Tether still holds a unique position in the market due to its vast user base and significant trading volume in on-chain activities.
From a profitability perspective, Tether stands out among stablecoin issuers.
In 2024, Tether's profits approached $14 billion, making it a veritable money printer in the industry.
Currently, traditional financial institutions like PayPal and Ripple are entering the stablecoin sector, further intensifying market competition.
But given the current situation, Tether's constructed market advantage is extremely solid, and its dominant position seems difficult to shake in the short term.
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In the cryptocurrency field, I no longer have faith in the traditional bull and bear cycle theory.
The market dividends have an upper limit, and the current market development is vastly different from the past, making it difficult to define with traditional bull and bear concepts.
I believe that when no one dares to go long in the market, it often signifies the quiet arrival of a bull market; conversely, when no one dares to go short, a bear market may be brewing.
Many opportunities that did not appear in the first round of market movements may instead manifest in the second round, after investors have generally lost confidence.
Take XRP as an example: the previous cycle was uneventful, but the last cycle saw explosive growth, with an astonishing increase.
This phenomenon also applies to Ethereum and the altcoin market; the operational logic of the market has undergone significant changes.
The market dividends have an upper limit, and the current market development is vastly different from the past, making it difficult to define with traditional bull and bear concepts.
I believe that when no one dares to go long in the market, it often signifies the quiet arrival of a bull market; conversely, when no one dares to go short, a bear market may be brewing.
Many opportunities that did not appear in the first round of market movements may instead manifest in the second round, after investors have generally lost confidence.
Take XRP as an example: the previous cycle was uneventful, but the last cycle saw explosive growth, with an astonishing increase.
This phenomenon also applies to Ethereum and the altcoin market; the operational logic of the market has undergone significant changes.
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SOL retraced to 145 for long positions, surged to around 149 in the early morning to take a profit of 4 points, continue to look up at the target!
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Yesterday's market seemed to be on the verge of a big drop, but in reality, it entered a consolidation phase. The four-hour chart shows that the Bollinger Bands are flat, with prices oscillating between 92000 and 96000;
The hourly chart shows signs of a pullback. The MACD indicator is diverging, with the fast and slow lines converging;
The RSI is close to the overbought zone (46); the EMA7 and EMA30 moving averages are converging, indicating an unclear short-term trend.
Dachuan predicts that the market will see a significant pullback and recommends strict risk control.
Trading recommendations:
- Bitcoin: Short at 95500-94800, stop loss at 96000+, target at 94000-93400, with potential observation at 92600;
Long at 93000-93800, stop loss at 92600-, target at 94500-95400.
- Ethereum: Short at 1820-1790, stop loss at 1860+, target at 1750-1720, with potential observation at 1680;
Long at 1730-1760, stop loss at 1680-, target at 1800-1830.
The hourly chart shows signs of a pullback. The MACD indicator is diverging, with the fast and slow lines converging;
The RSI is close to the overbought zone (46); the EMA7 and EMA30 moving averages are converging, indicating an unclear short-term trend.
Dachuan predicts that the market will see a significant pullback and recommends strict risk control.
Trading recommendations:
- Bitcoin: Short at 95500-94800, stop loss at 96000+, target at 94000-93400, with potential observation at 92600;
Long at 93000-93800, stop loss at 92600-, target at 94500-95400.
- Ethereum: Short at 1820-1790, stop loss at 1860+, target at 1750-1720, with potential observation at 1680;
Long at 1730-1760, stop loss at 1680-, target at 1800-1830.
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Last night, the market experienced a pullback. At the key points where the price of Bitcoin reached 933 and the price of Ethereum approached 1742, we promptly issued an exit signal to the team.
Subsequently, the market validated our prediction, entering a rebound mode and steadily advancing in a fluctuating upward manner.
As of now, Bitcoin has successfully reclaimed lost ground, with the price returning above the 950 mark; Ethereum also showed strong performance, rising above 1800, with a remarkably bright trend.
Continuing our judgment on the current market trend, today's operational strategy remains primarily focused on short positions.
In terms of specific points, Bitcoin can be shorted near the range of 952 - 958, with support levels to watch at 943, 938, and 933.
For Ethereum, it is recommended to set up short positions near 1823 - 1857, with target levels below looking at 1779 and 1751.
During operations, it is essential to strictly set stop-loss orders to guard against sudden market risks, grasp the rhythm of fluctuations, and achieve steady returns.
Subsequently, the market validated our prediction, entering a rebound mode and steadily advancing in a fluctuating upward manner.
As of now, Bitcoin has successfully reclaimed lost ground, with the price returning above the 950 mark; Ethereum also showed strong performance, rising above 1800, with a remarkably bright trend.
Continuing our judgment on the current market trend, today's operational strategy remains primarily focused on short positions.
In terms of specific points, Bitcoin can be shorted near the range of 952 - 958, with support levels to watch at 943, 938, and 933.
For Ethereum, it is recommended to set up short positions near 1823 - 1857, with target levels below looking at 1779 and 1751.
During operations, it is essential to strictly set stop-loss orders to guard against sudden market risks, grasp the rhythm of fluctuations, and achieve steady returns.
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This morning, Bitcoin's trend showed a clear tendency of long-short game.
In the correction phase, the trading volume is hovering at a low level, indicating that the market is weak in its willingness to sell;
During the rebound, trading volume increased significantly and was continuous, confirming the continued influx of buying power.
This relationship between volume and price clearly conveys market signals: selling is weak, buying is strong, and the bullish dominance is stable.
After this round of adjustments, the risk of Bitcoin falling below the key support line has been further reduced, and the subsequent trend may be more inclined to fluctuate upward, which deserves close attention from investors.
In the correction phase, the trading volume is hovering at a low level, indicating that the market is weak in its willingness to sell;
During the rebound, trading volume increased significantly and was continuous, confirming the continued influx of buying power.
This relationship between volume and price clearly conveys market signals: selling is weak, buying is strong, and the bullish dominance is stable.
After this round of adjustments, the risk of Bitcoin falling below the key support line has been further reduced, and the subsequent trend may be more inclined to fluctuate upward, which deserves close attention from investors.
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4.28 Market Hotspots Sketch
1. Bitcoin Value Divergence: Spot price is 40% lower than energy costs, price is disconnected from mining costs, and valuation disputes are intensifying.
2. Strategy Makes a Comeback: Ranked 88th in U.S. market capitalization, business growth or expectations are attracting capital attention.
3. SEC Regulation Encountering Obstacles: The Trump factor pressures crypto reforms, and policy direction and pace are facing uncertainties.
4. Ethereum Expansion Controversy: Proposal to increase the gas limit by a hundred times over four years to alleviate congestion, but security risks remain unresolved.
5. GBTC Stands Out: Implied annual income exceeds $268 million, leading the Bitcoin investment product market.
6. SEC Strategy Adjustment: After a new leader, law enforcement shifts focus, and the balance of crypto regulation becomes a new focal point.
1. Bitcoin Value Divergence: Spot price is 40% lower than energy costs, price is disconnected from mining costs, and valuation disputes are intensifying.
2. Strategy Makes a Comeback: Ranked 88th in U.S. market capitalization, business growth or expectations are attracting capital attention.
3. SEC Regulation Encountering Obstacles: The Trump factor pressures crypto reforms, and policy direction and pace are facing uncertainties.
4. Ethereum Expansion Controversy: Proposal to increase the gas limit by a hundred times over four years to alleviate congestion, but security risks remain unresolved.
5. GBTC Stands Out: Implied annual income exceeds $268 million, leading the Bitcoin investment product market.
6. SEC Strategy Adjustment: After a new leader, law enforcement shifts focus, and the balance of crypto regulation becomes a new focal point.
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