1. Price trends are often attracted by dense liquidation clusters The liquidation map is a chart formed by combining the liquidation points and amounts of domestic and foreign top exchanges such as Binance, OK, bitmex, bitfinex, bybit, etc. Based on this chart, as retail investors, we can set the stop-profit and stop-loss positions more scientifically and reasonably. Under normal circumstances (oscillation), when the liquidation is triggered, it will inevitably cause a small-level pause and callback. At this time, those who open reverse floating loss orders can consider adding positions near the liquidation to get rid of the position. For positive profits, you can consider closing positions near the liquidation
2. The green arrow on the liquidation map is the current price. The left side of the current price is the long order liquidation price (with a price mark at the bottom), and the right side is the short order liquidation price. The height represents the amount.
3. Liquidation tends to mark local tops and bottoms In oscillating markets, there are dense chips on that side, so it will explode there Refer to the liquidation order (picking up the bodies of those who have been liquidated) and set stop-profit and stop-loss (your own stop-loss price must at least exceed the price of most people's liquidation)#灰度GBTC资金流出趋势结束了吗?
Bitcoin has recently fallen back to around 95,000. The volatile market is indeed difficult to operate. The key area now is the resistance near 99,000. If it breaks through here, it may start the rise of wave C. If it does not break through, it will continue to fluctuate. Currently in the B wave adjustment phase, the exact location of the end of the B wave is uncertain. It may stop falling near 94,000, or it may continue to decline.
Based on the above analysis, we will wait and see at noon whether Bitcoin can break through 93 and then open orders in batches. It is expected that opportunities will be found to open orders in the afternoon. If LTC falls back to around 114, medium- and long-term long orders with 2-3 times leverage can be opened.
It rose from 91,130 to 102,456 and then began to fluctuate and fall, forming a three-wave structure. At present, the ABC structure of the oscillation zone has been basically completed. If it falls to around 93-94, it is a good opportunity to go long, because the decline from 91,130 to 102,456 can be regarded as wave a, and the current decline is wave b, which still lacks a wave c attack. The high point can be hit or not. After the decline is completed, if the wave c is completed, it is likely to fall again, and there is a high probability of falling below 91,130. In the short term, it depends on whether the market gives opportunities. If it goes to around 93,940 as expected, you can consider doing a short long.
Medium to Long-Term Thoughts on Bitcoin and Ethereum in 2025
#Bull Market#美国加征关税 #BTC From a structural perspective, Bitcoin has risen from $15,443 to $73,000 in the first phase. After a long consolidation, it is now in the second phase of the upward trend. If we calculate based on an increase of around 380% in the first phase, the target for the second phase is directly aiming for $220,000, with a minimum of $140,000. As long as the pullback does not exceed 33%, the overall upward trend will not be broken. A pullback exceeding 20% (that is, dropping below $87,000) is a very good opportunity for medium to long-term positioning, buying in batches, and controlling stop-loss within 10%. If the drop exceeds 33% (that is, dropping below $73,500), then the trend needs to be reassessed.
Yesterday we mentioned that the position of 108,366 is not a peak, but a consolidation range. Today I can clearly tell everyone that the consolidation has ended, and we will directly head towards new highs. The previously concerning possibility of another retest has been ruled out, and the market situation is very clear. Starting from $88,909, Bitcoin has formed a complete five-wave upward structure. The first wave was originally expected to end earlier, but due to the strong market, the first wave extended. This strong performance also indicates that after a slight pullback, the third wave will directly challenge new highs.
The 2nd wave adjustment may have been completed at the yellow circle, or the 2nd wave may still need a drop of the white c wave to be completed; set a stop loss above the opening price; if it hits, wait for it to stabilize at the white circle before re-entering;
Comparing the starting positions of the two large structure diagrams above, the one that best conforms to the structure division rules is actually Scheme 2. If divided according to Scheme 2, the detailed diagram will be as follows; to prevent C from falling, long orders must be accompanied by a stop loss;
Currently, Bitcoin is in the c wave pullback, and it is recommended to temporarily observe. There are two possibilities for the current c wave: the first is a normal c wave, with a target range of 57,000-58,000. The second is a short c wave, which may end in the 65,000-64,000 range. If it reaches the 65,000-64,000 range, we can try to go long; regardless of how the c wave unfolds, there will be a rebound here. After going long, a trailing stop can be used to protect profits; if it is a short c, there is a chance to hold the position directly upwards. The overall trend remains bullish, and spot holders need not worry; regardless of the magnitude of the pullback, the final direction is upward. Today, we mainly observe the daytime trend and will look at structural changes in the evening, paying special attention to the short-term impact that the results of the U.S. election 🇺🇸 may bring.
From an overall structural perspective, Bitcoin is in the third wave of an upward trend, with the previous first and second waves already completed. According to the structure, after the completion of the third wave, there will be a pullback in the fourth wave and further upward movement in the fifth wave, with a target range between 80,000 and 90,000.
In terms of details, the current consolidation belongs to the subdivided structure of the third wave, specifically the second wave within the three-wave sequence. Once the consolidation is complete, the third wave of the three-wave sequence is expected to unfold. In terms of stop-loss, it is recommended to pay attention to the key support level of 69,200. As long as this line is not broken, the overall upward trend remains solid. The current pullback is a great entry opportunity, so take advantage of it to enter and wait for the rise after the consolidation ends.
Bitcoin price is at the 72,300 level, and last night it surged to 73,660, just 200 dollars away from the previous high of 73,881. The probability of breaking the previous high is very high. So first, I remind everyone not to short. From the overall structure, Bitcoin started adjusting from 73,881, completing the triangular Z wave in the form of WXYXZ, and after this, it will start a new round of market. The current yellow route is the third wave, and its increase will reach at least about 18% of the first wave, which means the target is between 77,000 and 78,000. According to the normal extension factor of 2.618, this wave even has the potential to hit 86,000. Therefore, the minimum should be around 78,000, and normally it will exceed 80,000. From the larger cycle perspective, Bitcoin is in a double sawtooth structure, and the new rising cycle that started from the point of 15,443 is expected to continue above 90,000, possibly reaching 110,000.
Spot or ultra-low leverage can be taken as spot; these can be arranged above, just choose your favorites; currently, these coins have not risen much and are waiting for Bitcoin to break new highs.