The first lesson after 2 months of participating in the crypto market is that you may not know anything about technical analysis when buying and still make money if luck is on your side, but if you are greedy, even if you are good at technical analysis, you will still lose.
TON COIN IS SET TO HIT A NEW ALL TIME HIGH: 12.5$-13$ by the end of 2025
Toncoin (TON) is the native cryptocurrency of The Open Network (TON), a fast, scalable, and low-cost blockchain originally developed by Telegram. Designed for seamless transactions and deep integration with Telegramโs 900M+ users, TON stands out as a promising player.
Use Cases: 1. Payments & Micropayments with near-zero fees. 2. Staking for rewards and network security. 3. dApps & Smart Contracts development. 4. NFTs & Gaming on a scalable blockchain. 5. Cross-Border Transactions with lower costs.
This is a full analysis on Ton sharing reasons why it need the attention ๐๐
Monthly ๐
Here is the chart ๐ of Ton coin on high time frame โฌ๏ธ Base on psychological market structure this structure is a signal of a good market ๐๐ ๐กLet break it down
Pavel Durov, the founder and CEO of Telegram, was arrested on August 24, 2024, at Le Bourget Airport near Paris, France.ย French authorities detained him upon arrival, citing an investigation into alleged criminal activities facilitated through the Telegram platformโ๏ธ๐ผโฌ๏ธ
Impact on Ton coin
From my screen you can see by then Ton coin was trading at 7$ exactly when he was arrested on August
Big players used the opportunity to start taking profit of the overall bullish trend
Now that he has been released partially A new cycle is about to begin ๐๐,in my previous articles I have mentioned that wales and big players always find a reason to buy and sell the market It is always indirect ๐ only experience traders see it
By the end of the year I see $TON coin trading at 12.5$-13$ base on current information and analysis
The coin is trading in a cycle ๐ผ if you will observe the chart clearly you will notice rally begin late 2023 at 0.8$ then until 2024 it peaked at 8.2$ area where big players were looking for a reason to take profit ๐โ๏ธ
Now the new cycle is yet to begin ๐ Let break the chart down to daily
On the daily timeframe, the coin bounced from a strong demand area before the news started circulating. That zone was indeed a key demand level, and as usual, we could see either a market continuation or a retest before a bullish move. What matters most is that investors reading this article understand the current market dynamics and make informed decisions accordingly. This is my analysis โค๏ธ๐ just as usual,you decide yourself ๐โ๏ธ base on information provided. I am not in a position to tell you to buy or sell that is why I share detail analysis to my followers..you decide based on what you think is right. I always ensure my articles are detailed and insightful, just like this one. So, if you found this analysis useful, like ๐, drop a comment, and share it with your friends. Also, make sure to follow me so you donโt miss any important updates! I have shared an article on $BTC on my profile pin ๐ post so make sure you view my profile and read it to know what is likely happening to Bitcoin ๐ Those asking for $SOL update I have shared several updates so scroll through my page and check ๐ I will update the public again if there is a need
According to you, should I sell sol at $134-136 to buy btc or should I hold onto sol?
UNIC_PLATO
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๐ธ Few days ago we shared detail analysis about $BTC and called out $74K dump following $84K liquidi
๐ธ Few days ago we shared detail analysis about $BTC and called out $74K dump following $84K liquidity sweep.
๐ธ $84K liquidity sweeped but there is no dump yet. Also market is showing strength and trying to stay above $84K level. But I am still bearish here is why?
๐ธ First of all I want to clear complete data/analysis that will be provided in this article will be my own opinion so do your own research before taking any financial decision.
๐ธ Let's start analyzing. Look around what is happening? Everyday bullish news from trump and data but not much upward move that should come.
๐ธ It is showing they are selling by making people bullish. They are treating retailers as exit liquidity.
๐ธ Every day Trump is saying market will blast so much like never before. But why they are not blasting? Why market is stuck around $80K - $84K? The answer is trap.
๐ธ They will force you to buy here then they will shake market you will be removed in form of s.l or liquidation.
๐ธ In short words they are traping retailers to buy here and after that they will shakeout market and after that a mega rally in Layer1 projects and ETH ecosystem will start.
๐ธ Now let's discuss whole senerio technically ๐.
๐ธ Look at above #BTC given chart. Continuesly showing sideway after taking over $84K level.
๐ธ Not much volume due to weekend. So it is difficult for #bitcoin to show any bigger upside or downside move.
๐ธ In my opinion BTC will go sideway for some time more that will create s.l and liquidation on both up and down side.
๐ธ As market is in downtrend in 1D TF so most expected senerio is that BTC take upside spike maximum upto $87K and will fall upto $74K. That is most expected senerio and also favorable for both retailers and investors to buy at lower prices.
๐ธ It is what fundamentals and charts are showing. Here is how i will plan my trades.
๐ธ As when market hit $76K I clearly mentioned that I will accumulate 20 coins. In reality I have started it.
๐ธ Among these 20 coins buying order for some coins has already filled you can say upto 2,3 coins only. Now they are 20-30% up from buying.
๐ธ But buying order for remaining 18 coins has not triggered yet. Waiting for another dip to buy.
๐ธ I am accumulating only alts in this dip mainly Layer1 and ETH ecosystem projects not BTC.
๐ธ I will plan my buying when BTC will fall upto 74K. I will analyze there if any buying confirmation form I will buy otherwise will wait.
๐ธ I will buy BTC only after confirmation but alts on upcoming dip. No plan to sell anything right now just buying plan on every dip.
๐ธ The reason behind buying alts on dip but BTC after confirmation is that alts are at bottom and everyone is disappointed from alts that smart money want before starting alt rally. That is the main reason behind my plan.
๐ธ I hope you find this article helpful. If yes then don't forget to like comment and share
AltManโs $BTC second leg of the bull run price predictions:
Bear case: $120,000 Base case: $140,000 Bull case: $160,000
We donโt really care about Bitcoin price however a strong Bitcoin equals a strong market.
*Note: these targets are based on Bitcoinโs historical price action and do not include the assumption of a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve/Super-cycle/Digital Gold Rush. If any or a combination of these occur and we see Nations, States, Municipalities, and institutions FOMO into BTC, the price will go significantly higher. Expect anywhere between $250,000 and $1,200,000 in the next 1-10 years if this happens.
Donโt get greedy. Iโll let you know when I sell.
Do you think it can start to rise from the end of this March?
AltMan4U
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Bullish
AltManโs $BTC second leg of the bull run price predictions:
Bear case: $120,000 Base case: $140,000 Bull case: $160,000
We donโt really care about Bitcoin price however a strong Bitcoin equals a strong market.
*Note: these targets are based on Bitcoinโs historical price action and do not include the assumption of a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve/Super-cycle/Digital Gold Rush. If any or a combination of these occur and we see Nations, States, Municipalities, and institutions FOMO into BTC, the price will go significantly higher. Expect anywhere between $250,000 and $1,200,000 in the next 1-10 years if this happens.
Donโt get greedy. Iโll let you know when I sell.
I have understood what to do when a conflict arises, the article is very helpful, I am someone easily influenced by external factors, reading your sharing will make me change, thank you!
Islam_Ambassada
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THE EFFECT OF GLOBAL CONFLICT (WAR) ON BITCOIN AND CRYPTO.
Every time war breaks outโwhether in the Middle East, Ukraine, or another regionโBitcoin and the broader crypto market often experience sharp declines. Many traders and investors ask๐ค: โข Why does war in Russia or the Middle East impact Bitcoin? โข Is this a real market reaction or manipulation? โข What is the connection between war and crypto markets? To answer these questions, letโs analyze the key factors that drive Bitcoinโs price movements during global conflicts, using real-world examples.
1. Market Uncertainty and Risk Aversion (โRisk-Off Sentimentโ) Real-World Example: Russia-Ukraine War (February 2022) When Russia invaded Ukraine, global financial marketsโincluding stocks, commodities, and cryptoโexperienced a sharp sell-off. Why Did Bitcoin Drop? - Institutional Investors Reduce Exposure to Risky Assets Bitcoin, despite being called โdigital gold,โ is still considered a speculative asset. Large investors (hedge funds, asset managers) moved capital from Bitcoin into safer assets like the U.S. dollar, government bonds, and gold. - Fear and Panic Selling War increases uncertainty, leading to emotional trading. Retail investors, seeing the market crash, panic-sell, accelerating the decline. - Flight to Stability The U.S. dollar and gold strengthen during crises, making Bitcoin weaker in the short term. Bitcoin initially reacts to war like tech stocks rather than gold. However, its long-term behavior differs, as weโll discuss later.
2. Institutional Influence: The Real Market Movers Real-World Example: Institutional Adoption In recent years, Bitcoin has been heavily adopted by institutions like hedge funds, banks, and corporations. These entities control large amounts of Bitcoin and treat it like any other financial asset. What Happens During War or Global Crises? - Big Players Sell First Institutions offload riskier assets before retail investors react. - Market Makers Trigger Volatility Trading firms use algorithms to push prices lower, liquidating overleveraged traders. - Retail Investors Get Caught in the Panic Once Bitcoin drops, many traders exit in fear, deepening the crash. Unlike early Bitcoin days (when mostly individuals controlled the market), todayโs market movements are increasingly dictated by institutional strategies.
3. Energy Prices and Bitcoin Mining Disruptions Real-World Example: Energy Crisis After Russia-Ukraine War Bitcoin mining requires massive amounts of electricity. When energy costs rise due to war-related disruptions, miners are directly affected. How War Impacts Bitcoin Mining and Prices: - Rising Energy Costs Sanctions on Russia (a major oil and gas supplier) increased global energy prices. Bitcoin miners in high-cost regions had to shut down or sell Bitcoin to cover expenses. - Network Security and Hash Rate Drops If miners shut down operations, Bitcoinโs hash rate (security) can decline, causing temporary instability. Less mining power can mean slower transactions and increased volatility. - Miners Sell More Bitcoin To stay operational, miners sometimes sell large amounts of BTC, adding downward pressure to prices. This indirect effect shows how war, even in distant parts of the world, can influence Bitcoinโs fundamental infrastructure.
4. War-Related Sanctions and Crypto Regulations Real-World Example: Russiaโs Use of Crypto to Evade Sanctions After Russia was hit with Western sanctions, speculation rose that Russia might turn to Bitcoin to bypass financial restrictions. However, governments quickly responded by pressuring crypto platforms to block certain users. Impact on Bitcoin: - Increased Government Scrutiny & Regulation Governments cracked down on crypto platforms, leading to market uncertainty. Some platforms restricted transactions involving sanctioned entities. - Reduced Global Crypto Liquidity Large-scale transactions by sanctioned entities were blocked, impacting market liquidity. - Regulatory Uncertainty Creates Selling Pressure Whenever new regulations are rumored or introduced, markets react negatively. Investors fear more restrictions, leading to temporary sell-offs. These scenarios highlight how geopolitical actions can directly influence Bitcoinโs price and adoption.
5. Manipulation vs. Natural Market Reaction Though wars genuinely cause fear-driven market reactions, thereโs also manipulation at play. How Manipulation Happens During War: - Market Makers Push Prices Lower When panic selling begins, large firms take advantage by triggering more liquidations. They buy back Bitcoin at lower prices, profiting from the drop. - Media Hype Increases Fear Negative news is amplified, further shaking retail confidence. The market often overreacts in the short term. - Whales Accumulate at Low Prices While retail investors panic, institutions and whales quietly accumulate BTC at discounts. This cycle repeats during every crisis, benefiting those who understand how the system works๐.
6. Long-Term Effects: Does War Benefit Bitcoin? Interestingly, while war often causes short-term crashes, it can increase Bitcoin adoption in the long run. Real-World Example: Ukraineโs Use of Crypto During War - The Ukrainian government raised over $100 million in crypto donations to support war efforts. - Citizens used Bitcoin and stablecoins as alternative money when banks were disrupted. - This proved Bitcoinโs real-world use in financial crises. Bitcoinโs Role in Times of Economic Instability - People in war zones turn to Bitcoin when banks fail. - Sanctioned countries explore crypto as an alternative financial system. - Fiat currency devaluation makes Bitcoin more attractive. While Bitcoin initially falls during war, its long-term appeal as a borderless, censorship-resistant asset grows.
Conclusion: ๐ Bitcoinโs reaction to war is both real and manipulated: - Short-term: Panic selling and institutional exits cause sharp declines. - Mid-term: Manipulation amplifies the sell-off, allowing whales to buy cheap. - Long-term: Bitcoin often rebounds as people seek alternatives to traditional finance. If you found this article helpful, please like, comment, and share. Donโt forget to follow for more updates! check my profile for update on $BTC โค๏ธ๐ and what we must expect soon
That's already a lot, you have to invest a lot of time and effort to analyze, you have been generous to share, we only need money and to believe in our judgment.
Islam_Ambassada
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I will not in any of my article or post mention explicitly that buy or sell โค๏ธ๐
I will only share my view and you decide your selfโค๏ธ๐
Please you are responsible to go through my previous post ๐ donโt expect me to share a post again and again just because you ask them
The Truth hurts ๐ but I must speak the fact. There exists a peculiar breed of enthusiasts known as "crypto maxis" (short for maximalists). These individuals are not just passionate about their favorite coinsโthey are zealots, evangelists, and often, self-appointed guardians of their chosen blockchain. But behind their fervor lies a dangerous combination of ignorance, tribalism, and an almost cult-like devotion that blinds them to the realities of the market. If youโve ever dared to question their beliefs, youโve likely felt the sting of their attacks. Letโs dive into the world of crypto maxis, understand their mindset, and explore why their behavior is a disease everyone in the crypto space must avoid. The Birth of a Crypto Maxi Crypto maximalism didnโt start as a bad thing. In the early days of Bitcoin, maximalists were simply people who believed Bitcoin was the only cryptocurrency that mattered. They saw it as the future of money, a decentralized revolution that would topple traditional financial systems. But as the crypto ecosystem grew, so did the number of coinsโand with them, new maximalists emerged. Ethereum maxis, Solana XRP maxis, and even Shiba Inu maxis began to populate the space, each convinced that their coin was the one true path to financial salvation. The problem? Many of these maxis know shockingly little about how the market actually works. They donโt understand macroeconomic factors, market cycles, or even the basics of blockchain technology. Instead, they operate on blind faith, memes, and the echo chambers of crypto Twitter and Reddit. To them, their coin isnโt just an investmentโitโs an identity. The Cult-Like Behavior Crypto maxis exhibit all the hallmarks of a cult. They have a shared belief system (their coin is the best), a common enemy (every other coin), and a messianic figure (often the coinโs founder or a prominent influencer). They thrive on confirmation bias, cherry-picking data and news that supports their narrative while dismissing anything that contradicts it. But what truly sets them apart is their aggression. If you dare to criticize their coin or express a different view about the market, they will come for you. Theyโll flood your mentions with insults, call you a foot, or accuse you of manipulating the market for your benefit . To them, the market isnโt a place for discussion or debateโitโs a battleground where only their coin deserves to win.
The Attack on Rational Thinking Iโve experienced this firsthand. Whenever Iโve shared my views on the marketโwhether itโs about the risks of over-leveraging, the importance of diversification, or the potential downsides of certain projectsโIโve been met with a barrage of attacks. The crypto maxis donโt want to hear it. To them, any criticism of their coin is a personal attack, and any suggestion that the market might not go their way is heresy. This mindset is not just toxicโitโs dangerous. It creates an environment where rational thinking is discouraged, and blind loyalty is rewarded. Itโs why so many people get burned in crypto. They listen to the maxis, put all their money into one coin, and then watch in horror as the market crashes and their portfolio evaporates. Why This Disease Must Be Avoided Crypto maximalism is a disease, and like any disease, it spreads quickly if left unchecked. It preys on peopleโs emotions, turning them into irrational, tribalistic investors who are more interested in defending their coin than making sound financial decisions. Itโs a recipe for disaster, both for individuals and for the crypto ecosystem as a whole. Why you should avoid falling into the maximalist trap: 1. Diversification is Key: No matter how much you believe in a coin, putting all your eggs in one basket is never a good idea. The crypto market is highly volatile, and even the most promising projects can fail. 2. Critical Thinking is Essential: The market doesnโt care about your feelings or your beliefs. To succeed, you need to think critically, do your own research, and be willing to question everythingโincluding your own assumptions. 3. Tribalism Hurts Everyone: The crypto space is big enough for multiple projects to succeed. Instead of attacking each other, we should be working together to build a better financial system.
The Path Forward The crypto maxis wonโt disappear overnight. Their devotion to their coins is too deeply ingrained, and the allure of tribalistic thinking is too strong. But we can choose to rise above it. We can choose to be betterโto embrace diversity, encourage debate, and prioritize rationality over blind faith. So the next time a crypto maxi attacks you for your views, donโt engage in their toxicity. Instead, take it as a sign that youโre doing something right. After all, the market isnโt for themโitโs for everyone. And the sooner we all realize that, the better off weโll be. Crypto is about freedom, innovation, and opportunity. Letโs not let the maxis turn it into a cult.
I am Islam_Ambassador ๐คโค๏ธ I value safety and I love my followers โค๏ธ๐ค ..follow me โค๏ธ๐ค $BTC $XRP #MicroStrategyAcquiresBTC
Your analyses provide learning value for everyone, while the investment decision is up to each individual. In this kapital market, anything crazy can happen, thank you!
Islam_Ambassada
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There is this guy who told me to do analysis on $ETH for his sake I took time to break what I see
I made sure to share what makes sense
I spent hours writing a full article on what I see to benefit the public
Yesterday he came back to my comment section in my previous analysis..said whatever he wished and with an emoji ๐๐
Imagine willing and people taking you for granted ๐ I do understand why most influencers here do not stress