夫人的夫人

**Bitcoin Short-term Trading Strategy (May 14, 2024)**
**Entry Direction**: Buy on dips, cautious on chasing highs.
**Trading Logic**:
1. **Technical Support Level**: Currently, Bitcoin is oscillating in the range of $101,000-$104,000, with the 4-hour EMA20 support moving up to $102,300-$102,800, allowing for light long positions to be entered within this range.
2. **Targets and Stop Loss**: If support is maintained, the short-term target is $104,500-$105,500 (near previous highs); if it falls below $101,000 (strong support), then stop loss, controlling each trade's loss to ≤5%.
3. **Risk Factors**: Weakening MACD momentum, slowing ETF capital inflow, and whale selling pressure may trigger a pullback, requiring caution against falling below the psychological level of $100,000.
4. **Position Management**: Total position should be controlled at 60%-70%, keeping cash to respond to volatility, and avoiding high leverage.

**Key Focus**: Progress of the US-China trade agreement, signals from the Federal Reserve's policies, and the flow of Bitcoin ETF funds; if it breaks through $105,000, consider adding to positions. $BTC

**Bitcoin Short-term Trading Strategy (May 13, 2025)**
1. **Entry Timing**: The current Bitcoin price is approximately $103,000. If it pulls back to the **$101,500-$100,300 support zone** (near the daily MA30), you can gradually build a long position, with a stop loss set below **$99,700**.
2. **Breakout Follow-up**: If the price stabilizes above **$103,500** (hourly chart resistance), you can take a light position to chase the long, targeting the previous high of **$105,000**, with a stop loss at $102,800.
3. **Risk Warning**: Short-term market sentiment is somewhat heated (Greed Index 70), and caution is needed regarding the release of the U.S. CPI data (this evening), which may cause volatility. If the data exceeds expectations, it could trigger a pullback to $97,000.
4. **Position Management**: Keep total position size between 60%-70%, and reserve cash to handle sudden volatility, avoiding excessive leverage.

**Strategy Basis**: The technical support is effective and institutional funds are continuously flowing in (ETF has seen a net inflow for 20 consecutive days), but in the short term, there is a diversion of funds due to the Sino-U.S. tariff agreement, leading to increased volatility, requiring flexible operations. $BTC

**Bitcoin Short-Term Trading Strategy (May 13, 2025)**
1. **Entry Timing**: The current Bitcoin price is approximately $103,000. If it retraces to the **$101,500-$100,300 support range** (near daily MA30), consider building positions in batches for a long position, with a stop loss set below **$99,700**.
2. **Breakout Buy**: If the price stabilizes above **$103,500** (hourly chart resistance), consider taking a light position to chase long, targeting the previous high of **$105,000**, with a stop loss at **$102,800**.
3. **Risk Warning**: Short-term market sentiment is somewhat heated (Greed Index 70), be cautious of the U.S. CPI data release (this evening) which may trigger volatility. If the data exceeds expectations, it may lead to a retracement to **$97,000**.
4. **Position Management**: Keep total positions controlled at 60%-70%, reserving cash to respond to unexpected volatility, and avoid excessive leverage.

**Strategy Basis**: Technical support is effective, and institutional funds are continuously inflowing (ETF has net inflow for 20 consecutive days), but in the short term, funds are affected by the U.S.-China tariff agreement, leading to increased volatility, requiring flexible operations. $BTC

According to Odaily Planet Daily, the recent market for TRON TRX has risen, the cost of TRC20 on-chain transfers has increased, and users' demand for TRON energy is growing. The TRON ecosystem energy leasing platform CatFee has announced the completion of its server cluster upgrade in Singapore and Los Angeles, and the system now has the capacity to process 500,000 energy sending orders daily.
CatFee's self-built TRON full node has also been upgraded, supporting a concurrent processing capacity of 20 to 300 transactions per second, open to developers and supporting the efficient deployment and operation of more TRON ecosystem projects. CatFee, as a platform under 100cat, is accelerating the popularization of convenient TRON energy usage among end users, optimizing the user experience. #CPI数据来袭

On May 12, 2025, the U.S. SEC held a cryptocurrency roundtable focusing on the integration of tokenization with traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi). The key points are as follows:
1. **Tokenization Potential**: SEC Chairman Paul S. Atkins emphasized that on-chain securities can enhance liquidity (such as splitting low-liquidity assets), automate dividends and voting through smart contracts, and foster new market activities, drawing a parallel to the transformation of the music industry by digital audio.
2. **Regulatory Framework Adjustment**: The SEC will abandon the model of 'enforcement as regulation' and shift towards issuing clear guidelines for cryptocurrency asset issuance and trading, exploring registration exemptions and safe harbor policies, while simplifying compliance pathways.
3. **Custody and Trading Reform**: The withdrawal of the SAB 121 restriction on banks holding cryptocurrency assets, promoting 'qualified custodian' standards and self-custody solutions; allowing brokers to process both securities and non-securities transactions through alternative trading systems, supporting the 'super app' model.
4. **Interagency Collaboration**: Working with the Trump administration and Congress to advance crypto-friendly policies, solidifying the U.S. position as a global cryptocurrency hub.
The meeting brought together institutions like BlackRock, Fidelity, and Nasdaq, indicating traditional finance's high level of interest in tokenization. #交易经验 #交易故事 #加密圆桌会议要点

On May 12, 2025, the U.S. SEC held a cryptocurrency roundtable focusing on the integration of tokenization with traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi), with the following key points:
1. **Tokenization Potential**: SEC Chairman Paul S. Atkins emphasized that on-chain securities can enhance liquidity (such as fractionalizing low-liquidity assets), automate dividends and voting through smart contracts, and foster new types of market activities, analogous to the transformation of the music industry by digital audio.
2. **Regulatory Framework Adjustment**: The SEC will abandon the 'enforcement over regulation' model, shifting towards issuing clear guidelines for the issuance and trading of crypto assets, exploring registration exemptions and safe harbor policies, and simplifying compliance pathways.
3. **Custody and Trading Reforms**: The withdrawal of the SAB 121 restriction on banks holding crypto assets will promote 'qualified custodian' standards and self-custody solutions; brokers will be allowed to mix securities and non-securities transactions through alternative trading systems, supporting the 'super app' model.
4. **Inter-agency Collaboration**: Collaborating with the Trump administration and Congress to advance crypto-friendly policies, solidifying the U.S. position as a global crypto hub.
The meeting gathered institutions such as BlackRock, Fidelity, and Nasdaq, demonstrating traditional finance's significant attention to tokenization. #交易经验 #交易故事 #加密圆桌会议要点

**Bitcoin Intraday Trading Strategy (May 13, 2025)**
**Current Price**: $101,903 (24-hour drop of 2.17%).

1. **Long Position Strategy**:
- **Entry Condition**: If the price rebounds and stabilizes at $102,500 (4-hour EMA20 support), consider taking a small long position, targeting $104,500-$105,500.
- **Supplementary Entry Point**: If the price stabilizes around $102,000, consider adding to the position in batches, with a stop loss set below $101,500.

2. **Short Position Strategy**:
- **Entry Condition**: If the price breaks below $101,500 (the lower edge of the key support range), go short in line with the trend, targeting $99,000-$100,000 (the selling pressure zone for long-term holders).
- **Stop Loss Settings**: Short position stop loss at $102,300, long position stop loss at $101,400.

**Risk Warning**: Today's U.S. CPI data release (20:30) may trigger significant volatility, be cautious of profit-taking by whales and the risk of leveraged liquidation, it is recommended to keep leverage ≤5 times and position control within 30%. $BTC

The recent US-China trade war has shown significant signs of easing. The joint statement from the Geneva talks on May 12, 2025, indicates that both sides will mutually reduce tariffs by 91%, with the average tariff rate imposed by the US on China falling from 145% to around 30%, while China simultaneously adjusts its countermeasures. This breakthrough is attributed to the economic pressures faced by both parties: the US is experiencing GDP contraction, supply chain disruptions, and high inflation, while China is enhancing its resilience through multilateral cooperation such as RCEP. The market has reacted positively to this, with global stock markets, exchange rates, and commodity prices rising.

However, the easing has a phased characteristic. The US retains a baseline tariff of 10% and technology restrictions, while China maintains non-tariff countermeasures such as those on rare earths. Professor Zhang Jiadong from Fudan University points out that although tariffs have been reduced, it is difficult to return to the low tariff rates under the WTO framework, and the future may present a model of "coexistence of struggle and negotiation." Core disagreements such as technology transfer and industrial policy remain unresolved, and discussions after the 90-day buffer period will determine the direction of relations. This agreement injects certainty into the global economy, but the focus of long-term competition has shifted to strategic areas such as artificial intelligence and quantum computing. #贸易战缓和

On May 12, the White House announced that the United States had reached a trade agreement with China in Geneva. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and U.S. Trade Representative Ambassador Jamieson stated that the negotiations took place in Geneva, Switzerland, lasted two days, and achieved "substantial progress." The negotiations were jointly participated by Bessent, Ambassador Jamieson, the Chinese Vice Premier, and two Deputy Ministers. The United States is facing a trade deficit of $1.2 trillion, and President Trump has declared a national emergency and implemented tariffs. The purpose of the negotiations is to address this "national emergency." Both parties expressed satisfaction with the negotiation results, believing that the differences were not as large as expected and that the agreement was reached quickly. Specific details will be announced the next day (May 12), and President Trump has been briefed on the situation and will receive a comprehensive briefing the following morning. U.S. officials are optimistic about the agreement, believing it will help address the trade deficit issue. #ETH突破2500

The U.S. Senate voted Thursday to block the advancement of the GENIUS Act with a vote of 48-49. The bill was originally intended to establish the first regulatory framework for stablecoins in the United States, but it failed to secure the necessary 60 votes due to a deadlock in bipartisan negotiations.
Democratic lawmakers unanimously opposed the bill, mainly concerned about potential conflicts of interest arising from the Trump family's recent cryptocurrency collaboration with an Abu Dhabi investor. They called for the inclusion of provisions in the bill to prohibit executive branch officials from participating in cryptocurrency transactions. Republican Senators Hawley and Paul also voted against it due to concerns over excessive regulation.
Despite intense negotiations between both parties, they failed to reach a consensus on key provisions related to anti-money laundering and national security. The bill is currently on hold, but Republican leader Thune indicated that it may be resubmitted for a vote in the future. #BTC重返10万

【Binance Academy】📖Multi-Signature Scams and Prevention Strategies

😈There are various types of scams related to multi-signature wallets, where scammers grant users partial access to their wallets and deceive them into transferring payments for so-called transaction fees.

To prevent multi-signature scams, we should:
🛡️Strictly keep personal mnemonic phrases or private keys confidential
🛡️Be cautious of fraudulent apps, emails, and websites#BTC突破99K

Coin World news, according to BitMart's market report on May 8, the total market capitalization of the cryptocurrency market is $3.28 trillion, up 2.58% from the previous day; BTC is oscillating upward, just a step away from returning to $100,000, with BTCD currently at 64.4%, hitting a nearly four-year high; ETH is following the market's ups and downs, with the ETH/BTC exchange rate once again falling below 0.019, and ETH lacks the opportunity to break out into an independent market; altcoins are generally rising, but there are not many tokens that significantly outperform the market, while fully circulated meme coins are performing well; the fear and greed index is at 53, in the 'neutral' range. The overall long-short ratio is 1.23, indicating a neutral sentiment in the market in the short term, with strong wait-and-see sentiment, and investors need to closely monitor the subsequent capital flow and changes in sentiment. $BTC

Coin World News, according to Loopscale's announcement, the Vault withdrawal function will be fully restored at 10:00 AM Eastern Time tomorrow (UTC+8 22:00), and a security incident review report will be released simultaneously. The new withdrawal logic and vulnerability fixes have been audited by Sec3 and an independent auditing agency. To stabilize the protocol, a 24-hour limit per user will be set in the short term. To thank early users, users who deposit into the Vault and Advanced Lending before April 26 will receive a 12x points reward, continuing until June 7. At the end of last month, it was reported that Loopscale announced that all stolen funds have been fully recovered, and users have suffered no losses. $USDC

On May 8, according to Coinglass data, the current funding rates of mainstream CEX and DEX show that the market has shifted towards bullish trading. The specific funding rates for mainstream cryptocurrencies are shown in the attached image. Note: Funding rates are the rates set by cryptocurrency trading platforms to maintain the balance between contract prices and the prices of the underlying assets, typically applicable to perpetual contracts. It is a mechanism for the exchange of funds between long and short traders; the trading platform does not collect this fee, which is used to adjust the costs or profits of traders holding contracts, to keep the contract prices close to the prices of the underlying assets. When the funding rate is 0.01%, it represents the benchmark rate. When the funding rate is greater than 0.01%, it indicates a general bullish sentiment in the market. When the funding rate is less than 0.005%, it indicates a general bearish sentiment in the market. #Stripe稳定币账户

The "Fed's Mouthpiece" Nick Timiraos analyzes that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell downplayed expectations of alleviating the economic weakness that may arise from Trump's tariffs through interest rate cuts. Powell frequently used the term "wait" at the press conference, emphasizing that the Fed is not in a hurry to take action.
Timiraos believes that Trump's trade policies have led to divergences in monetary policy between the U.S. and other economies. Other economies have not significantly raised import tariffs and are facing issues of weak demand and employment, without the inflationary pressures that the U.S. may face. Furthermore, given that the U.S. has just experienced high inflation, the Fed is reluctant to take preemptive action on interest rate cuts to support slowing employment, fearing it may exacerbate inflation in the short term.
Therefore, the Fed's stance is different from that of the European Central Bank, the Bank of Canada, and the Bank of England. Powell hinted that the Fed would only consider cutting rates after seeing significant evidence of an economic slowdown, and it could be a rapid rate cut.

On May 8, according to Binance's May reserve proof report, Binance's net holdings in May were 12,475.807 Bitcoins, an increase of 6,393.577 Bitcoins compared to April's 6,082.23. Based on the current Bitcoin price of $99,000, the increased holdings are valued at approximately $632 million. During the same period, Binance's net USDT holdings decreased to 600,393,497, a reduction of 651,077,608 compared to April's 1,251,471,105.

The explanation letter released by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency on Wednesday stated that national banks are allowed to buy and sell cryptocurrencies on behalf of their customers.
The regulator also pointed out that as long as there is proper risk management, national banks can outsource cryptocurrency custody and trading execution services to third parties, which effectively gives them greater flexibility in handling cryptocurrencies. #MEME法案

On May 6, news emerged that Bitcoin Core developers have decided to remove restrictions on transaction data in the next network upgrade, enabling a more efficient way to include more data. Bitcoin developer Greg Sanders announced on GitHub on May 5: "The next version of Bitcoin Core will by default relay and mine OP_RETURN outputs over 80 bytes and allow an arbitrary number of outputs." Critics have stated that the proposal was made without proper consensus procedures. Ten31 Fund managing partner Marty Bent stated: "There is currently no consensus on the OP_RETURN issue." It has been reported that OP_RETURN allows for transaction outputs that store a small amount of data on the blockchain, which became popular during the Bitcoin ordinal craze in early 2024. Unlike regular transaction outputs, OP_RETURN outputs are non-spendable and do not increase unspent transaction outputs (UTXO). (Cointelegraph)$BTC

Binance founder CZ (Zhao Changpeng) recently shared his insights on prison life, his views on President Trump's term, and his thoughts on the future development of the cryptocurrency industry during an interview. CZ stated that the prison experience made him value health and family more and gave him a new understanding of the priorities in life and work. He also mentioned that the Trump administration's support for cryptocurrencies brought positive changes to the industry and believes that the shift in U.S. policy is crucial for the industry's development.
When discussing the cryptocurrency industry, CZ pointed out that, although there has been a lot of recent market attention on Memecoins, he is more optimistic about the integration of blockchain with AI, scientific research, and other fields, and he expects decentralized exchanges (DEX) to surpass centralized exchanges (CEX) in the future. Additionally, CZ revealed that he is currently more focused on helping entrepreneurs as a mentor and advisor, rather than planning to lead Binance again or create new crypto projects.
Regarding the future price of Bitcoin, CZ predicts that this cycle may range between $500,000 and $1,000,000. He also emphasized that the industry needs to focus more on long-term value rather than short-term speculation.
#美联储FOMC会议

The head of the IRS Digital Asset Division in the United States has changed, with former senior advisor Trish Turner taking over the leadership role, coinciding with changes in the political environment. The second Trump administration is more supportive of cryptocurrency policies, which may bring a more favorable regulatory environment for the bitcoin industry. #美国众议院市场结构讨论草案