准哥-加密宝藏

The following is a detailed introduction and explanation of "no bottom for a big drop, bottom-picking strategy":
1. No bottom for a big drop
When the market falls sharply, it is often difficult to judge where the bottom is. Prices may continue to fall, even beyond expectations. In this case, rash bottom-picking may lead to greater losses.
2. Don't bottom-pick at this position
The current market position is not suitable for bottom-picking, because the downward trend has not ended and there is a possibility of further decline. Rash entry may lead to deeper losses.
3. Bottom-picking and wait for huge volume
The best time to bottom-pick is when there is a huge volume of transactions in the market. Huge transactions usually mean that market sentiment has reached its peak and selling pressure has been released. It may be a signal that the market has bottomed out and rebounded.
4. Bottom-picking after inserting a big needle
The so-called "inserting a big needle" refers to the market experiencing large and violent fluctuations in a short period of time, accompanied by huge transactions. In this case, the market may have bottomed out, and you can consider bottom-picking in batches.
5. When to bottom-pick, pay attention to Brother Jun
To accurately judge the timing of bottom-picking, you need to pay close attention to market dynamics and changes in trading volume. Follow Jun Ge, I will post a message to remind you when there is a huge volume of transactions in the market.
Summary
In the face of a market crash, don't rush to buy the bottom, you need to wait for clear signals. The best time to buy the bottom is after the market releases a huge volume and inserts a big pin, when the risk of entering the market is relatively small. Pay attention to market dynamics, be patient, and wait for the right time to buy the bottom.

Layer 2 is about to break out, will the bottleneck of ETH network be broken?

Friends in the currency circle, today's focus is on Ethereum's Layer 2 solution! As the problems of network congestion and high handling fees become increasingly prominent, Layer 2 technology is becoming a key breakthrough in solving this bottleneck. The latest data shows that many well-known projects have begun to deploy Layer 2 solutions on a large scale to achieve faster and cheaper transaction experience. This technological progress is not only expected to improve the overall performance of the Ethereum network, but may also inject new vitality into the DeFi and NFT markets. Are you ready to embrace the new opportunities brought by this technological revolution? The market's outlet is quietly shifting, don't miss this wave of trends!

Silence before the big market? Or the calm before the storm?

Friends in the cryptocurrency circle, the recent market seems calm. Has it made you relax your vigilance? Don't forget that it is often at the calmest time that the market is brewing a big move. History tells us that before every big market, there is an elusive tranquility. Smart players have long noticed the subtle changes in the market, quietly accumulating strength, waiting for the arrival of the next outbreak point. Are you also preparing for the upcoming big changes? Don't take it lightly at the critical moment. Now is the best time to prepare for a rainy day!

On August 19, according to Arkham monitoring, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin transferred 400 ETH (approximately $1.06 million) to a new address 15 minutes ago, and the address started with 0x18. This transfer quickly attracted widespread attention and discussion in the market.

The market has a variety of speculations about Vitalik's move. Some analysts believe that he may be liquidating part of the ETH amid the current market volatility, or preparing for personal and project funding needs. Every large transfer can have a significant impact on market sentiment, especially if it is initiated by an important person like Vitalik. Real-time guidance Wei:wbe3_BTC

In addition, there have been some more controversial speculations in the market, believing that this may be Vitalik "harvesting himself", that is, making profits by selling ETH, while suggesting that the market may face selling pressure. Considering Vitalik's influence, his capital movements are often regarded as a bellwether for market trends, so the potential impact of this transfer deserves close attention.

Crypto market rebounds
In mid-August, the probability of a market crash has decreased, and the trend of oscillating upward has gradually emerged. From a historical perspective, every bull market will experience a big crash before it breaks out, throwing most investors off the bus, such as the 312, 519, 9.4, and 12.7 events. If you seize the opportunity, such a market will appear about once every two years, and now is such an opportunity.
From the perspective of chips, the market always develops in the direction of fewer people, and it is impossible for most people to make money. Seizing this opportunity, I plan to use 2x leverage for long-term investment, and it is expected that by March next year, I can achieve three to five times the return. If you are a novice, it is recommended to follow me first, V--Exchange+: wbe3_BTC to learn about the currency circle and lay a solid foundation to go further.

Market analysis:

At present, the big V believes that the negatives have been exhausted and the main upward trend will last for 3-4 months, but I think it will take another 3 months of consolidation. Bitcoin has not stood firm at the strong pressure levels of MA120 and MA144, and is expected to continue to consolidate. The oscillating consolidation is most likely to wash out the unsteady ones, and frequent misjudgment will lead to self-doubt. It is recommended to give up short-term predictions and focus on the overall system configuration, so that short-term fluctuations will occur naturally. Continue to accumulate chips in the next few months, and the big bull market will come later.

The news in the currency circle is usually to cooperate with the development of the market. Especially in the delivery stage of the main rising wave, the news in this stage is basically positive, and a lot of good news emerges, but the market stops when it rises to the pressure level.

In this stage, there will be countless false breakthroughs. Retail investors see the price breakthrough and buy high, but the price always falls back quickly. After that, the price will be pulled up to a specific position and stay sideways for a long time. In this sideways stage, good news continues to appear, the purpose is to attract retail investors to get on board. At the same time, the FOMO (fear of missing out) sentiment of the entire bull market has reached its peak, and a large number of retail investors have poured into the market to take over.

In the end, this stage will be accompanied by a plummeting bad news, which will directly smash the price. Retail investors are unwilling to cut their losses and leave the market, but they are deeply trapped and eventually forced to exit the market. This cycle is common in the currency circle, and many retail investors are frequently caught due to lack of experience and judgment.

Market Analysis
Bitcoin rose today because of the approval of Ethereum ETF, Tether's additional issuance of 1 billion USDT and whales' increased holdings.
Future Trends
The rebound in July indicates that a big market is coming, and I am optimistic about the trend in the next 3-6 months. But I think there will be a decline before the rise, and there is a high probability that it will bottom out again after the rebound, and the time will not exceed one week.
Operational Suggestions
The long-term contract party should pay attention to the risks, and the spot party should build positions in batches from mid-July to early August. The selling pressure in Mentougou is the biggest problem, and the interest rate cut and the general election are expected support. Seize the opportunity in the short term, the rebound may last for three or four days, and you must evacuate before the collapse. If you still can't see the trend of the market, it is recommended to follow me first, V--Exchange--Flow+: wbe3_BTC to learn about the currency circle and lay a solid foundation to go further.

If you don't dare to get on the bus, forget it. Opportunities are for those who have the courage. I have given you countless opportunities to get on the bus, but your response is silence... Now Bitcoin has risen directly to $60,000. In this circle, as long as you don't leave, everything is possible.
If the market does not pull back today, you may not even have the opportunity to enter the market. Let's not talk about the specific position for now, because the market can no longer give that opportunity. How to operate at the current price, you weigh it yourself.
Here are some currencies that need attention:
Bitcoin (BTC): Bitcoin has broken through $60,000, which is an important psychological barrier, indicating that the market is very optimistic about its future trend.
Ethereum (ETH): As the second largest cryptocurrency by market value, Ethereum has always been the focus of market attention. Its smart contract and decentralized application platform have great potential.
Ripple (XRP): Despite some legal challenges, Ripple's application prospects in the field of cross-border payments are still broad.
SATS (Satoshis): As the smallest unit of Bitcoin, SATS has gradually become the standard for Bitcoin micropayments and microtransactions, which is worth paying attention to.
People's Coin (ConstitutionDAO, PEOPLE): Although it is a relatively new currency, the community and decentralized autonomous organization (DAO) concept behind it have attracted widespread attention.
At present, the market as a whole refers to the position of Bitcoin, because the trend of Bitcoin has an important guiding role in the entire crypto market. In this case, it is a wise choice to keep paying attention and flexibly adjust strategies according to market trends. Investment should be cautious, and risk management should be done while seizing opportunities. If you still can't see the overall market trend, it is recommended to follow me first, V--Exchange--Flow+: wbe3_BTC to learn about the currency circle and lay a solid foundation to go further.

Data released on Thursday showed:
The annual CPI rate in June was 3%, lower than the expected 3.10% and lower than the previous value of 3.30%. The core CPI annual rate in June was 3.3%, which was also lower than the expected 3.40% and the previous value of 3.40%. The monthly CPI rate in June was -0.1%, lower than the expected 0.10% and the previous value of 0.00%. This is the first time since May 2020 that the monthly CPI rate has recorded a negative value. Overall, the CPI annual rate dropped to 3.0% in June, the lowest level since June last year.
After the CPI data was released, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in September increased significantly. The interest rate swap market is fully pricing in a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September. JPMorgan Chase's analysis based on June inflation data believes that the Federal Reserve's interest rate cutting cycle will start early, and the Federal Reserve is expected to start cutting interest rates in September, rather than November as previously estimated.
In addition, the address marked "De" transferred 10,627 Bitcoins on Thursday and continued to sell them. Currently, there are only 4,925 Bitcoins left on this address, which is only 9.9% of the initial holding amount.
The fall in inflation for two consecutive months has solved a "must" condition in the bull market cycle - an interest rate cut, and other issues have become secondary. If you still can't see the market trend clearly, it is recommended to follow me first, V--交-流+: wbe3_BTC. Learn the knowledge of the currency circle and lay a solid foundation to go further.

BTC's pullback is mainly due to short-selling profit-taking, and the selling pressure from governments is limited. This round of bull market came too early. The bull market should have started from the end of 2024 to the middle of 2025, but the passage of ETF accelerated the rise of BTC. In March 2024, BTC broke through the previous high of $69,000 in 2021 and entered the bull market. The reasons for the early bull market are the two-headed bull in 2021 and the passage of BTC spot ETF, and a large amount of funds poured in to accelerate the rise.
The market misjudged the timing of bottom-picking, and the bull market greatly raised the cost of adding positions, which is easy to lose money. Since March, most newcomers have lost money when entering the market. It is recommended that novices follow me first, V--Exchange--Flow+: wbe3_BTC to learn about the currency circle and lay a good foundation. The view that the bull market will start early and end early is absurd. The interest rate cut will not send away the bull market, but will boost the violent bull market. Jiaolian predicts that the real start of the bull market will not be until January 2025. The bull market launch in March was just a false move, and it will take time to clean up the market before the bull market can officially begin.

Market focus:
Powell speech: At 10 o'clock tonight, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will deliver a speech. The market is paying attention to his statement on future monetary policy, especially the expectation of the number and time of interest rate cuts. Powell's remarks have a significant impact on market sentiment.
CPI data: At 8:30 p.m. tomorrow, the United States will release the June CPI data. CPI data is an important indicator for measuring inflation and directly affects the market's expectations of the Fed's interest rate cuts. If the inflation rate falls, it may boost market sentiment; if the inflation rate rises, it may put pressure on the broader market.
Mentougou incident: The progress of compensation for the Mentougou incident will affect the sentiment of the cryptocurrency market, and attention should be paid to the compensation plan and progress.
Government selling dynamics: The Bitcoin transfer behavior of the German and US governments may trigger market speculation on changes in cryptocurrency regulatory policies, thereby affecting market sentiment.
In summary, in the short term, attention should be paid to Powell's speech, CPI data and the progress of the Mentougou incident; in the long term, the Fed's interest rate cut policy is the focus of market attention. Investors need to pay close attention to market dynamics and make reasonable investment decisions. V--Exchange+: wbe3_BTC#Bitcoinmarket#EthereumETF passed#FederalReserve rate cut #美国大选与加密产业

This round of market started from 15500 to a new high of 73777. The market has repeatedly divided and the profit effect is poor. Although the bull market belongs to Bitcoin, most investors still invest in altcoins, and most of them fail.
The current market may not be a real bull market, but a big rebound driven by institutions and ETFs. Large institutions knew the ETF news in advance, and the funds pushed to change the market pattern, and fell into adjustment after the upward powerlessness.
The current position may be similar to the rebound range in early 2019, but this round of rise has set a new high, and the subsequent correction will be small, and the adjustment will be mild. The final correction position may be around 48000 and 42000, especially 48000, which is a point worth entering or adding positions. V--Exchange--Flow+: wbe3_BTC
The big trend is not over, and there may be another big market. Don't worry if you have coins in your hands. If you have funds, you can cover your positions at the support level. If you don't have money, you can hold the spot with peace of mind. The future is still worth looking forward to.
In terms of layout, pay attention to Ethereum and SOL ecology. Ethereum ETF may bring an increase in July, and SOL ecology may become the next hot spot. There is a lot of selling pressure on Bitcoin recently. The market is complicated in July and August. Watch more and do less. Stay away from contracts and wait for the market to improve.

It is unwise to choose to withdraw from the circle now. We are on the eve of a big market, and this violent bull market will start after the current decline and sideways consolidation. More and more people choose to wait and see silently, which is a good phenomenon, indicating that market sentiment is gradually changing, but the market has not yet completely bottomed out.

Where are the future opportunities? How to make the right decision? Check out our detailed introduction and get the position allocation strategy, we will teach you how to get high returns in the bull market and increase your currency in the bear market. Our strategy covers the following:

Market trend analysis: understand the current market trend, predict future market conditions, and identify the best time to enter and exit the market.
Position management strategy: How to reasonably allocate your investment portfolio, diversify risks, and maximize returns.
Bull market money-making strategy: In the bull market, how to seize the opportunity with the largest increase and maximize returns.
Bear market currency increase strategy: In the bear market, gradually increase your currency holdings through fixed investment and low-buy high-sell strategies.
Technical analysis tools: Learn to use various technical analysis tools and indicators to assist your investment decisions.
Risk control measures: formulate a strict stop-loss strategy to protect your funds and prevent market volatility risks.
Through our guidance, you will learn how to navigate the market fluctuations, seize every opportunity, and achieve steady growth of wealth. Don't miss this opportunity to learn and improve, check out our detailed introduction immediately, and get your position allocation strategy! Official account: Jun Ge WEB3 Research Institute.

According to historical data, since 2018, the volatility period after the Bitcoin crash generally does not exceed three months, and then it will usher in an increase. For example:
 After the bear market in 2018, it fluctuated for 105 days, rising from US$3,000 to US$14,000.
 After the 312 incident, it fluctuated for 77 days, rising from US$7,000 to US$64,000.
 After the FTX explosion, it fluctuated for one and a half months, rising from US$15,000 to US$30,000.
 In August and September 2023, it fluctuated for two months, rising from US$25,000 to US$70,000.
At present, Bitcoin has fallen from 72,000 points to 54,000 points, and the volatility period has exceeded three months, with a callback of more than 25%. Historically, the retracement of deep washes is generally between 30% and 40%. According to option delivery data, the range of US$50,000-52,000 may be the bottom.
Data support shows that there is little room for bottoming out. Considering the catalysts in the US market, such as ETF launches, monetary policy, and the presidential election, Bitcoin is likely to usher in a new bull market in the second half of 2024-2025.
If you are a novice in the cryptocurrency circle, I suggest you follow my official account: Jun Ge WEB3 Research Institute, learn about the cryptocurrency circle, lay a solid foundation, and go further.

Most of the leeks have entered the market, but the main force will not easily help them to lift the stock price. The continuous correction of the market has caused more and more investors to sell in panic, but this is a rare opportunity for the banker. A large number of retail investors cut their losses and left the market in panic, leaving behind a large number of bloody chips. At this time, the banker will quickly enter the market and actively collect these low-priced chips.

The market situation often begins to reverse inadvertently after most retail investors sell out. At this time, the banker's layout will gradually show results, market sentiment will begin to warm up, and drive the stock price to rise. This market dynamic shows how the banker uses the panic behavior of retail investors to accumulate chips and start the market at the right time.

Bitcoin has once again fallen below the key support level of $56,000! This is a very important extreme support level. If it continues to fall, Bitcoin may enter a bear market, at least around $45,000. This price level will break the psychological defenses of miners.

At present, the price of Bitcoin has fallen below $57,000, which is lower than the average cost price of miners. According to the data after halving, the average cost price of miners is between $55,000 and $58,000. The operating cost of the mainstream mining machine S19 is already higher than the current Bitcoin price. Miners are facing huge operating pressure and may even be forced to shut down their mining machines.

Recently, there have been constant negative news in the market, which has put pressure on Bitcoin prices. In the short term, Bitcoin prices may continue to fall. For investors, the current strategy should be to remain patient and wait for the market to stabilize. Short-term operations suggest selling in time when prices rebound to avoid further losses.

Summary suggestions:

Focus on key support levels: Bitcoin $56,000 is an important support level. If it falls below, it may enter a bear market.
Understand the cost of miners: The current price of Bitcoin is lower than the cost of miners, and miners face the risk of downtime.
Frequent bad news: There are many bad news in the market, and prices may continue to fall in the short term.
Stay patient: Investors should remain patient and wait for the market to stabilize.
Short-term operation: It is recommended to sell in time when the price rebounds to avoid further losses.

Will there be a bull market in 2024? This is a question that everyone has been discussing.

Looking back, the optimistic expectations in April and July failed to prevent the market from falling, and the favorable policies at the end of August were ineffective, and the market remained sluggish. Even the rumors of interest rate cuts in the United States failed to drive the market up.

In this unpredictable market, we often think we have bought the bottom, but we find that we are only halfway up the mountain. In the face of these uncertainties, we need to be clear about the situation and make a comprehensive investment plan - clarify the entry and exit time, choose the right investment targets, formulate strategies, and manage risks.

These are exactly what I am good at sharing. If you are ready to change, please join us to explore the mysteries of investment and move towards the other side of success.

Key points to know in the bull market

1. Popular coins fall faster and worse: the more popular the coin, the faster and worse it falls.
2. Potential coins are not widely promoted: coins with real potential will not be widely promoted.
3. Market capitalization and other indicators are unreliable: market capitalization, number of exchanges, number of holders and investment institutions are not reliable references.
4. Market changes are gentle: market changes show a gentle curve.
5. Watching the market will be killed: there are often killing watching the market in the market.
6. The pull-up method of copycat coins is consistent: the pull-up time is longer.
7. New coins are prone to surges and plunges: new coins first surge and then plummet, try to avoid it.
8. Chasing the rise will be killed: chasing the rise is risky.
9. Buying falls, selling rises: market normal.
10. Sudden decline after profit: after profiting 5%-20%, it falls, and the harvest of leeks may begin.
11. Coins that rebound violently are not potential coins: coins that rebound violently are usually not potential coins.
12. Bet on rebound and choose hot coins: choose coins with large gains and current hot spots.
13. Reverse holding independent market: holding the opposite direction of most people's views often leads to independent market.
14. Potential coins that follow Bitcoin fluctuations: coins that follow Bitcoin's rise and fall with a sharp range are potential coins in the bull market.
15. Potential coins in the second half of the bull market: coins that perform well in the second half of the bull market.
16. Potential coins that go sideways in the bull market: coins that go sideways for several months after a 10-fold increase have potential.
17. 100-fold decline of monster coins: coins that go sideways for several months after a rise of less than 10 times may have a big drop.

Is the bull market back? The performance of the whole month of June was really disappointing. It was either falling or on the way to falling.

The bull market also has a callback cycle, just like the surge in March, which began to fall in April. It started to rise in May, and then continued to fall in June. This kind of decline is a callback. Now July has just begun and has entered the rising cycle. The current price has returned to above 63,000.

There is also an important good news in July. The Ethereum ETF fund is likely to be launched, which has now become a high-probability event. Therefore, the probability of BTC standing on 70,000 again is also very high.

The main strategy in July is still to go long. Of course, the impact of other news cannot be ruled out, such as changes in the situation in the Middle East, or market fluctuations caused by the decline in the US dollar exchange rate.

I am arranging some spot recently. If you want to keep up, you can contact me or deduct 999 in the comment area.

The detailed interpretation is as follows:

Market callback cycle: There will also be callback cycles in the bull market, such as after the surge in March, there was a negative decline in April, then another rise in May, and a callback in June. Such fluctuations are normal market behavior, indicating that the market is digesting the previous gains and preparing for the next rise.

July market: The market has begun to rebound in early July, and the current price has returned to above 63,000. As the possibility of the Ethereum ETF fund going online increases, market expectations have become more positive, and the probability of BTC re-standing on 70,000 is also increasing.

Long strategy: In July, the main direction of the market is still long. Although there are some uncertainties, such as the situation in the Middle East or changes in the US dollar exchange rate, the overall market trend is still bullish.

Actual operation: I have recently arranged some spot and am ready to catch this wave of rising market. If you also want to keep up with this wave of operations, you can contact me, or deduct 999 in the comment area. Let's discuss and share the latest market dynamics and operation strategies together.

Seize this opportunity, adjust the investment strategy in time, and look forward to making good profits in the market in July.