哈希默客RYOR

Shorting again doesn't seem quite appropriate $BTC

Second Lecture on Anti-Cutting Day:
"Practical Strategies for Long and Short Positions in Perpetual Contracts: Judging Funding Rates and Trading Strategies"
Funding rate refers to the fees that both long and short sides periodically pay in a contract, aimed at balancing the contract and spot prices.
1. Positive funding rate:
Longs pay shorts, indicating strong bullish sentiment in the market (contract price > spot price)
2. Negative funding rate:
Shorts pay longs, indicating strong bearish sentiment in the market (contract price < spot price)

Therefore, opening a position in the opposite direction can earn funding fees (fee = rate × position size), settled every 8 hours (at 8 AM, 4 PM, and 12 AM); non-arbitrage positions can be closed before settlement to avoid payment.

How to judge whether to short or go long based on funding rates?
1. Conditions for shorting:
✅ High positive rate (e.g., >0.1%) + Overbought/resistance level + Decreasing position size
⚠️ Note: Avoid going against a strong upward trend; this must be combined with pullback signals.
2. Conditions for going long:
✅ Deep negative rate (e.g., < -0.1%) + Oversold/support level + Rising position size
⚠️ Note: Avoid blindly bottom-fishing during a sharp drop; wait for stabilization signals.

3. Key auxiliary indicators
Trend priority: High positive rates in an upward trend may only pull back, while deep negative rates in a downward trend may only rebound.
Position size: Extreme rates can lead to sudden changes in position size, indicating a reversal.
Spot basis: Verify whether the rate reflects the true premium.
4. Arbitrage opportunities:
Positive rate → Short contract + Hold spot;
Negative rate → Long contract + Hold short.
5. Risk warning:
Short-term rate noise needs to be filtered, and do not go against extreme market conditions. Must be combined with technical analysis (e.g., RSI, support and resistance) and market sentiment indicators. $ETH
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In general, rates reflect sentiment, trends determine direction, indicators verify signals, and caution is needed against the trend.

#特朗普暂停新关税

#加密市场季度观察
#Anti-Cutting Daily Lesson #1: What is Smart Money Secretly Doing When UTAD Appears?
UTAD 3D Anatomical Model 🔍
K-Line Features
✅ Short Body (Body Ratio < 30%) + Extremely Long Upper Shadow (Shadow Length ≥ Average Volatility of the Last 5 Days)
✅ Key Level Breakthrough: Price Briefly Pierces the Top of the Fluctuation Range (Exceeds Previous High by 0.5%-1.5%)
✅ Abnormal Trading Volume: Volume Surges During Breakthrough (At Least 3 Times the 20-Day Average Volume), but Price Cannot Be Maintained
2. Order Flow Perspective
Main Force Behavior Path
🎯 Phase One: Use Iceberg Orders to Create Liquidity Gaps
🎯 Phase Two: Trigger Stop Loss Hunting Algorithms (Clear Out Short Stop Loss Orders)
🎯 Phase Three: Reverse Market Orders Smash the Price (Trigger Long Liquidation and Panic Selling) #Anti-Cutting Daily Lesson $BTC

Time left for the understanding king is not much #特朗普暂停新关税

The market has failed to break through the downtrend line for many days; where is the bull market? It is probably only a figment of the imagination. Since Trump took office, the market has entered a bear market; the various favorable policies introduced earlier have already lost their effectiveness. The market is currently in a 'garbage time', and for investors, the best response strategy is to focus on learning various trading knowledge. At the same time, persist in watching and reviewing the market, and conduct in-depth analysis of market trends to prepare for the next market opportunity. Also, pay attention to market fluctuations; we can seek suitable opportunities even in garbage time. #美国加征关税 $BTC

"Head and Shoulders Top Pattern Practical Guide: 3 Steps to Identify Top Signals and Capture Sell Points"
Practical Judgment and Operation of Head and Shoulders Top Pattern
1. The target price for the head and shoulders top pattern is the distance from the head to the neckline.
2. The head is formed by a bearish candlestick pattern.
3. Indicators RSI and KD show a top divergence phenomenon.
4. Breaking the ascending trend line and pulling back confirms the right shoulder sell point.
5. Breaking below the neckline and pulling back to the neckline forms a sell point. $BTC #BTC走势分析

How to test whether the shakeout area is accumulation rather than distribution?
Observe if it is the ultimate shakeout
Ultimate shakeout manifestations:
1) Price quickly breaks through all support levels, forcing retail investors to sell (panic liquidation)
2) Creates an illusion of continuous decline, making retail investors afraid to buy.
3) Small rebound magnitude.
4) Secondary test, supply is quickly absorbed.
After the ultimate shakeout, there will be shakeout tests again. If, upon returning to the same position, the supply is quickly absorbed. The ultimate shakeout and the secondary test point are the lowest risk buying points.

According to the current BTC 4-hour candlestick chart, we should now be in the ultimate shakeout phase. After a slight rebound ends, when the secondary shakeout test can absorb all supply, it should be a good time to buy at the bottom.

Entry conditions: Gradual accumulation plan
First entry: Above 1.5% of the secondary test low (to prevent false breakout)
Add position: Break through the descending trend line (connecting the last 3 peak waves)
Ultimate position: The TD sequence shows "13" count and MACD histogram turns positive.

#币安招聘 Have the brothers invested? A resume written overnight. $BNB

Everything is paused ⏸️, starting revisions
"The fourth 'revision copy' of my research career has begun, and the supervisor waved their hand: 'If it doesn't work this time, we will leave gracefully!' The questions from the reviewing teachers seem to be playing 'random lottery', with each question being different, and the level of expertise is both amusing and frustrating. The modification notes have already reached page 9; it feels like I'm not revising a thesis, but writing 'The Hundred Thousand Whys of Reviewing Teachers' Questions' + 'How to Elegantly Retort'. Research is not easy, let's cherish and take care of it, but this time it really feels a bit 'impossible to revise'!" #BTC☀️

The post from the day before yesterday said that SOL should be 175, and the lowest SOL was 174.63, which was achieved perfectly.
The post from yesterday said that SOL should be around 158, and BNB should be around 628. Last night, the lowest SOL was 160.88, and the lowest BNB was 629.65.
You can follow me. 😂
I am still somewhat accurate. #加密货币普及 $SOL $BNB

Mr. Great Justice #ETH

Does entering the cryptocurrency world mean getting further away from the social circle? #加密货币普及

After the support of $SOL 189 becomes invalid, we will see around 175 🤡

$SOL consistently effective

Can #BNBChainMeme热潮 push bnb to rise again?

I can't help but feel that it's indeed very difficult for people to earn money beyond their understanding. Previously, I discussed topics related to Bitcoin and blockchain with classmates, and the responses were like those of 'self-proclaimed experts'; they believed they knew everything about it and were convinced that I was trapped in a scam and stubbornly refusing to see the truth, yet they were completely unaware of their own limitations. We are already in graduate school, and we should have a more open mindset, yet when faced with areas they don't understand, they display such narrow-mindedness, unwilling even to attempt to deepen their understanding. At that moment, they were completely 'out' of my world, and I completely lost interest in continuing to communicate and discuss with them.
$BNB #CZ的“西兰花”梗

$BNB platform currency takes off, the last carnival of the bull market🎉#BNBChainMeme热潮