大马喽

#BTC #ETC 资本市场真阴险狡诈小赌怡情大赌伤身伤肝伤身伤家庭哦。

#BTC #ETC The capital market is truly cunning and treacherous. Small bets are enjoyable, but big bets can harm the body, liver, and family.

$BTC Non-farm numbers, a few cuts will still get you

好的

陷阱

#btc #etc 抱着美人睡眼惺忪的总裁们你们的仓位都还在吗 ？

$BTC #ETC Will the Asian handicap time be raised today, or is it still a fence-sitter?

$BNB has risen for more than ten hours, so brutal

$ETH The oscillation equals the feeling of high control over the market

#ETH Asian handicap from 5 PM to 7 PM, if it doesn't move, then it will be like this, just waiting for the Americans to perform.

$BNB 阴涨好🐶啊😁

有人评论你家人

$ETH #BTC Whether it rises or falls is just the mosquito blood of politicians and capitalists

$ETH 现在这种情况是不是小买盘都能拉高？

$ETH 来回通吃只要你继续开合约终究逃不出沦为韭菜的事实。

人才

#BTC 'Playing with You' Agreement Japan Version | Japan: Trump says the claim that 'Japan will invest $550 billion' is inaccurate, it may only be 1% to 2%

Japan is formulating a framework to monitor the progress of its tariff agreement with the United States, as the Trump administration has indicated that if it believes Tokyo is insufficient in its procurement and investment commitments, it may raise tariffs again.

The two sides reached an agreement last week to reduce the 'reciprocal' tariffs on U.S. goods from the originally planned 25% to 15%, and to lower the total import tariff on cars from 27.5% to 15%.

Tokyo hopes the new 'reciprocal' tariff rate will take effect on August 1, when the comprehensive tariff suspension measures announced in April will expire, and also hopes to reduce car tariffs as soon as possible. However, Washington has not yet confirmed these two dates.

Japan's chief trade negotiator Akizawa said on Saturday to Japan's public broadcaster NHK that Tokyo is determined to urge the White House to 'quickly issue an executive order to reduce tariffs.'

As the U.S. is busy negotiating with several major trading partners, Japan has indicated that the two sides will not jointly draft a written agreement.

Source: Reuters

Given the challenges facing Japan's automotive industry - according to Akizawa, some companies are losing 100 million yen (approximately $674,000) per hour - Tokyo seems more inclined to reach an agreement swiftly rather than spending time drafting written documents.

Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba stated on Friday at the government's U.S.-Japan tariff negotiation working group meeting, 'In the future, it will be extremely important for both Japan and the U.S. to steadily implement the agreement and quickly achieve results that promote mutual interests.'

Ishiba strengthened the team led by Akizawa and Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshihide Suga, instructing them to oversee the progress of the agreement's implementation.

A senior economic policy official stated that the implementation of the agreement will involve numerous areas and will involve multiple agencies.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Pruitt stated last Wednesday on Fox News that the U.S. will assess Japan's compliance with the agreement every quarter, and if Trump is not satisfied, 'they will revert to the 25% tariff rate.'

#BTC Not Happy? "Just Kidding" Agreement? | EU Admits It Cannot Fulfill $600 Billion Investment Promise to Trump

The EU has acknowledged its inability to fulfill its commitment to invest $600 billion in the U.S. economy, just a day after making that promise during a landmark trade negotiation held in Scotland.

Two EU officials stated that this funding would entirely come from private sector investments, over which the EU has no jurisdiction.

On Sunday, EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen reached an agreement with U.S. President Donald Trump to avoid a full-blown trade war between the EU and the U.S. The agreement includes a commitment from the EU to invest an additional $600 billion in the U.S. over the coming years.

However, two senior officials from the EU Commission indicated on Monday that the funding would come entirely from European private companies, with no contribution from public investment.

A senior EU official stated, "This is not something that the EU as a public institution can guarantee; it depends on the willingness of private enterprises." The EU Commission has yet to announce any incentives to ensure the private sector meets the $600 billion investment target, nor has it provided a specific timeline.

Nevertheless, the official noted that the $600 billion figure was "derived from detailed discussions with various business associations and companies to understand their investment intentions."

Avoiding Tariffs

Trump had threatened to impose a 30% tariff on most EU imports starting August 1, but after Sunday’s negotiations, he lowered that rate to 15%.

The EU's promised €600 billion played a critical role in facilitating this agreement, but it soon faced criticism, claiming that such a large-scale investment would come at the expense of internal European investment.

The EU Commission emphasized that this funding would come from private enterprises, not European taxpayers, contrasting sharply with Japan's recent trade agreement, which committed to invest $550 billion in public and private investments in the U.S.

However, the notion that the private sector could provide such large-scale investment has been questioned.

"This part of the agreement is largely symbolic," Nils Redeker from the Jacques Delors Centre think tank told European politicians. "No one can tell private enterprises how much to invest in the U.S."

$BTC #ETH The Impact Mechanism of the Federal Reserve's Three Scenarios on the Cryptocurrency Market

1. Scenario One: Direct Rate Cut (Probability <5%)
- Market Reaction: If the rate cut exceeds expectations, it will trigger a liquidity frenzy. Bitcoin (BTC) may quickly break through the $125,000 resistance level, Ethereum (ETH) may challenge the critical psychological level of $4,000, while Dogecoin (DOGE) may see explosive recovery due to technical support from historical accumulation ranges ($0.15-$0.22).
- Risk Points: A surge in short-term leveraged long positions may lead to profit-taking pressure, similar to the liquidation event on July 26 when Bitcoin fell 5.7% in a single day (with $144 million in leveraged positions liquidated).

2. Scenario Two: Clear Hint of Rate Cut in September (Probability 70%)
- Market Reaction: In line with current mainstream expectations (futures market pricing the probability of a September rate cut at 70%). BTC/ETH may see a moderate increase of 3%-5%, but caution is needed for a “buy the expectation, sell the fact” pullback.
- Structural Opportunity: Ethereum may outperform the market due to continued institutional accumulation (BlackRock ETF holding 2.46 million ETH) and staking yield expectations; if DOGE stabilizes above $0.25, the technical target looks at $0.46.

3. Scenario Three: Ambiguous Stance (Probability 25%)
- Market Reaction: The most dangerous scenario! If Powell avoids a rate cut path, combined with geopolitical risks (Middle East tensions, fluctuating trade policies), BTC may break below the $116,000 support level, testing the $111,000-$112,000 demand zone.
- Chain Reaction: The strong selling pressure zone for ETH at $4,000 (519,000 staked ETH waiting to be unlocked + large whales like Sun Yuchen selling) will trigger a collective pullback in altcoins.

$BTC #ETH China-US talks end in 5 hours of silence, Trump admits: China's attitude is unexpectedly tough.

On July 28, 2025, a new round of China-US economic and trade negotiations kicked off in Stockholm, Sweden. This negotiation attracted significant attention, not only because both sides talked for a full five hours but also because it is a game stuck at a delicate time node. The previously agreed "tariff truce agreement" will expire on August 12, and both sides' window period is already very limited. If the negotiations fail, the risk of an escalating trade war will be inevitable, and the global supply chain may also be impacted.
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After the negotiations on the 28th, representatives from both China and the US did not disclose any details to the outside world but instead quickly left the venue. This silence itself reveals a lot of information: perhaps the content of the negotiations is too sensitive, or perhaps both sides are still deadlocked on core issues. According to information revealed by US officials, tariffs remain one of the core issues of the negotiations, along with China's purchases of oil from Russia and Iran, and the US's concerns about the circulation of fentanyl raw materials.

The tariff issue is the focal point of disagreement between the two sides. The US insists that the 20% special tariffs imposed on Chinese goods will not be easily lifted, citing that lifting them would result in rates lower than those of the EU and Japan, which cannot be explained in US domestic politics. In contrast, China clearly stated that negotiations must be based on the principles of "equality, respect, and reciprocity," refusing any principle-less compromise. The People's Daily published an article the day before the talks emphasizing: "Sincerity does not equal principle-less compromise; negotiations have bottom lines, and cooperation has principles." China's stance is very clear: it will not sacrifice long-term development for short-term benefits.