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First of all, I have a problem today. I think this is a consolidation after a sharp rise, not a consolidation of decline. It has no direction. In other words, go short on the highs and long on the lows. At the key support level, go like this. Do, this is my problem today
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I have friends who are doing contracts. I want to ask a question about how to vote when going long or short.
I see that the market is weak today and I want to go short. There is no problem with the entry point, but the problem lies in the votes. My thinking is like this. If I want to go short, I choose the weakest ticket, which is The ntra that fell the most that day, but I found that even if the market plummeted, this stock did not fall very much. Instead, it was the strongest among my own votes. That is, the stock that rose the most was the shi coin, which fell very much. Big, but the problem is that with such a strong ticket, I am afraid that it will directly pull up, so at some support positions, I directly reduce most of the position, resulting in not eating much meat? I would like to ask, when you go short or long, how do you choose the tickets?
I see that the market is weak today and I want to go short. There is no problem with the entry point, but the problem lies in the votes. My thinking is like this. If I want to go short, I choose the weakest ticket, which is The ntra that fell the most that day, but I found that even if the market plummeted, this stock did not fall very much. Instead, it was the strongest among my own votes. That is, the stock that rose the most was the shi coin, which fell very much. Big, but the problem is that with such a strong ticket, I am afraid that it will directly pull up, so at some support positions, I directly reduce most of the position, resulting in not eating much meat? I would like to ask, when you go short or long, how do you choose the tickets?
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The reason why I think trend lines are very useful is that first of all, trend lines are the extent of decline or rise within a certain period of time, that is to say, it is just the speed. If it falls, the speed becomes slower, which also means that the sailing becomes stronger, or if it rises, the speed If it becomes faster, it means that the market is getting weaker, so this means that we should reduce our positions.
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How to draw trend line? Because what I am doing is a five-minute level line segment, I have to draw it on the 30-minute chart. If it is a downward trend or an upward trend, how should I draw it? Because there are multiple high points or multiple low points, we choose the two most recent high points or two low points to draw. Why? Because this is the most in line with the current mood. Remember me 30 minutes, at most it can be completed in one day. So why is this the most in line with this mood? For example, in a downtrend, if this is a 30-minute line segment, then we have to predict where it will be at most, and we must not stop, that is, subtract most of the positions, but please note that it is not at that point. Going in the opposite direction means going short, because what I do is always the third period, which is confirmation. I do it when the trend is within three to five minutes, so I have to wait for it to confirm before going short in the opposite direction. This is what I do. A result after thinking, and then think about it again and again. It may not be particularly perfect. Let’s take a look at the operation first.
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Pre-judg at two points and one line
Confirm again at three points and one line
The more landing points, the more reliable it is
Common to all large and small cycles
Make corrections at any time, don’t delay
It’s easy to grasp the trend
Confirm again at three points and one line
The more landing points, the more reliable it is
Common to all large and small cycles
Make corrections at any time, don’t delay
It’s easy to grasp the trend
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And some trends follow the moving average, and some follow the trend line. The trend line should have all low points above it, or all high points should be above the trend line. The trend should be divided into several levels, first level and second level. Level 3, because the price is continuous, it is impossible to suddenly turn, which means that when the trend moves from level 1 to level 2 to level 3, positions must be reduced in time, and then the liquidation point must be determined!
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When is the reversal determined? At least the decline must be stopped at the previous turning center, which means there is a possibility of reversal, but it is not certain because the turning point must be seen at the freshman level! !
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To sum up a method, if we are not long in a range, if we do not pull up immediately, it means that there is controversy in this range. First of all, I want to make it clear that we are long, so if we are at the bottom, we should The key to entering the market decisively is that we must repeatedly buy low and sell high to reduce our position in this volatile range. Another problem is that you increase your position once it is stepped back, and then it falls back to the original range. This What should I do? Go short in the opposite direction, and then if we go back, then we will close the position at the bottom, so that we can make a profit and make up for the loss of the long order, and then enter the market again at the bottom, because the original position was wrong. Regarding the position, because I placed the order in the opposite direction, the profit and loss were actually evened out. At most, I lost one lot and the handling fee was higher. Another point is that I need to make a decision, that is to say whether I am going long or short within this range. This cannot be changed.
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A mistake I made today was that first I made a wave of rise, and the market was also rising, and the stocks I chose were also rising. This is no problem, and I also reached the safety boundary, and a signal of heavy volume appeared. After entering the market, I immediately My problem is that when I entered the market for the first time, my position was too small. I wanted to increase my position immediately, so I increased my position when the market fell back to a support level. This brought about a problem. Because it was oscillating nearby and did not break away. I increased my position and found that it was no longer rising. I should have reduced my position immediately. Then when the retracement occurred, all my profits were lost. There is another problem. I am always in the position. In the cost area, stop the loss directly and eliminate everything. My correct operation is that when it weakens, it should first be at a support level. When it falls below the support level, the position should be reduced, and then when it reaches my cost area, it should be sold out. Most of the positions, and some of them, should be kept at my stop loss line, which is the part that I think may rise. Why not carry it all, because sometimes the market is relatively weak and needs to consolidate at the bottom. I can I keep adding positions at the bottom, and then reduce my positions at the top. Unless it falls below a range that I think will rise, I will just walk away. The key now is why I don’t reduce my position at the top when I am weak, and reduce it. The position is small, and even if I reduce the position, it will be too small.
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There is another problem, that is, the trading volume is also divided into different sizes. You must clearly see the trading volume, and then wait for the trading volume to come out before doing anything. You can take a look based on the past and look at the past data. The trading volume is about How many? It can be seen that it is a staged peak or low point.
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I made a mistake today
Today I feel that I am going to make a wave of decline. First of all, this is no problem, but the problem is that I was eager to enter the market and did not enter the market near the safety boundary. There is also the safety boundary, which is just a range. What should I do? To decide whether to enter or not? Look at the trading volume, because the market rises and falls with emotions, and this emotion is constantly changing. We judge it by the trading volume. Also, the position that enters the market for the first time is too large, and if I If I want to make a decline, because I am in the second wave of five minutes, this may be a 30-minute upward wave, that is, a callback in five minutes within 30 minutes, so at the callback position, I should be conscious To reduce your position, first subtract 20%. If the trading volume is large, subtract another 20%, and then take a look. Of course, this also depends on the market. Like today, the market has been diverging and not falling, then you have to subtract Most of the positions, if I do well today, will definitely double. Another problem is that you have to learn to try to increase the length. For example, if you increase the position, then decrease it if it does not fall. This is a matter of probability. You have to make it a deterministic issue, and as a result, once you enter the market, you won’t want to get out. This is a big problem.
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When it goes up, it should go up. Don't predict whether it will go up or down, but when it comes out, if it is upward in 30 minutes, then we will make a five-minute upward swing. How to do it? Either wait until it pulls back to the pressure level, or wait until it reaches a stable point, and then wait for a wave of heavy volume to enter the market and go long. I always think too much and want to find the best target. First, find a day. Line level, then distinguish the 30-minute level upwards, and then look at the pressure level above. You can’t understand anything else, and it only adds to the trouble.
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I feel like I didn’t do a good job with this order today. I entered at the bottom. I want to make a second wave. At this time, I am at the bottom. I should confirm a range first, and then think clearly in advance what I am basing my decision on. At that time, Bitcoin was falling. What I had to do was that Bitcoin was on the 34 moving average. It would stop falling and seek a rebound. After I entered the market, the problem was that first, I entered the market early. Then what should I say? To enter the market early, I should enter the market with a small part of the position, and then I have to confirm the point at which I want to actually enter the market, and the point at which I will clear the position. I have not thought clearly about these. Although the price went up immediately after entering the market, I know I didn't do it well myself at all. I waited for a certain point. In fact, as long as I made one order a day, I could basically make a profit of 30% to 40%. I could make a profit of 20% on half of my position.
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Today is another liquidation. It may have been about half a month, more than a month or almost a month since I haven’t played. I feel like I don’t know what I am doing when I go in. Why can’t I strictly follow the plan? The last time, 3,000 yuan
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I have one more thing, that is, if my entry point is wrong, at this time if I still believe that this point will rise or fall, that is, it is moving in my direction, then I should have a lower limit and an upper limit position, that is to say, if the lower limit reaches a certain point, I will directly clear the position, and I should also directly hang half of the cost price, because the rebound here is not as expected, or I simply did not expect to do so
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Today although made a lot of money, but I think this is the money that the market gives me, not that I get through trading
For example, today I do manta For example, today I do manta, this ticket has been in an uptrend, and then I do a bottom fishing, this is no problem, the first single directly earn 50% of the income, my mistake is, why to increase the position in the rise, this is simply not out of an uptrend, but a high shock, the more I approach the high, the more dangerous my position is, fortunately, bitcoin rose, or I will lose a lot of money today, I am really a garbage, every time emotional transactions, I hope god bless I really do not want to live a hard life
For example, today I do manta For example, today I do manta, this ticket has been in an uptrend, and then I do a bottom fishing, this is no problem, the first single directly earn 50% of the income, my mistake is, why to increase the position in the rise, this is simply not out of an uptrend, but a high shock, the more I approach the high, the more dangerous my position is, fortunately, bitcoin rose, or I will lose a lot of money today, I am really a garbage, every time emotional transactions, I hope god bless I really do not want to live a hard life
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A mistake I made today
Today I did AI knowledge. With resonance, there are several problems. The first problem is that AI has started in advance and then recalled to the moving average. At this time, it has a large retracement. I made two mistakes here. Although I entered a small position when it retraced to the moving average, but when I saw that it did not grow, I should immediately throw away half of it. At this time, I did not throw it away. This order lost about five dollars, and then it fell back to the position below, just in time to continue with resonance. This order was the most profitable one, and it was cashed out very quickly, and immediately rose to 1%, but now my stop loss is based on the moving average, causing it to directly stop me, and the profit is halved. For today's problems, I came up with the following approach. The first approach is that the callback can only be entered when it is stable, and there will often be no stable mentality. If it is directly pulled up, then it can only be missed. The second is that my stop loss should not be a national stop loss, it should be 30% or 40%, so that the stop loss can be classified into different positions.
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The time cost of the transaction. If the time to realize the profit is too long, it means that the logic of the market following us may be different. Withdraw or leave a very small position to see.
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How should I solve this problem?
How should I solve this problem? Because I do the second wave of 30 minutes, which is the five-minute line segment, and the pressure level is above it. At this time, I should first go long. After going long, I should have an expectation in my heart that if it rises to this point, it will be a pressure. Once the position is in, I should stop the loss and spend most of the position. Personally, I think I should hold 1/3 of the original position, and then go short in the opposite direction to form a hedging order. Only when the market goes out, then I will sell the long position. Stop loss on single or short orders and gain a big market trend. Why? First of all, the first point I made is five minutes. The profit margin of the second wave is small, but for a line segment of 30 minutes, the profit margin must be larger than the second wave of five minutes and the second wave of 30 minutes. More, this way, my profit-loss ratio is okay, and my risk is very small, thanks to a handling fee at most, and I can avoid continuous shocks, which puts a psychological pressure on me. Do I want to go? Lighten up your position or something like that? Only when there is a direction, can I get rid of this long or short order. S There is another problem here, which is the greed in my heart. But please note that what I do here is actually if it falls. , then it is a line segment of 30 minutes, then what I do is the first wave of five minutes, then in the second wave of five minutes, I can reduce that and continue to increase the position, which is equivalent to continuously performing such operations, then I think any stock can be played. If it goes up, then I can make a correction in the next five minutes. I will continue to make the second wave in five minutes and continue to look upward at a pressure level of 30 minutes. , or directly look at a daily-level rise, or as I said, there is no guaranteed market trend, but I will try my best to control my risks here, and then try to increase my profits as much as possible
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is not there, then its upward pressure will be much less. If there are any, then you should set the active profit-taking lower. Then, if it really can't fall, do the opposite and speculate on a short 30-minute segment. This means that you can judge from the overall market conditions, such as whether the market is weak or strong, or whether the 30-minute segment is ready, etc
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