Tran Dat Trader

🌀 WHERE IS THE MARKET NOW?

It’s the same everywhere:

If you want to dump again, you have to pump first.
If you want to pump again, you also need to correct.

If you have a bullish view that the recent drop is just a correction in a larger uptrend, then now is the beginning of the final pump wave.

Of course, everyone has their own expectations.

🔍 Personally, looking at the macro picture, nothing has really changed:

US-China tariffs are still hot.

A few good news from the US signing agreements with other countries or statements "supporting crypto" from some blue-eyed guys — are just bullshit games to pump emotions.

The focus remains on the US & China — nothing else.

=> Therefore, I maintain my view:

⏳ This is a recovery process that could last throughout May.
🔥 Fomo or not?

Currently, those who bought at the peak are not even fomo-ing.
But if it pumps for a few more days, I bet everyone will be anxious, regretting not buying at 7x to ride the recovery wave now.

Buying is fine.
Not buying is okay too.
But the most important thing: stay alert.
=> Stay alert to understand clearly:

The potential profits that can be achieved if DCA is done correctly.
And the heavy losses if blindly DCA continues.

🧠 Personal plan:
I’ve just been scalping short-term on Futures these days.
With longer waves, I still view the market will decline.
👉 Even if BTC goes up to 100K, I still confidently short longer trades.
🌊 The super cycle when the US truly pumps money will definitely come —
But not this season. It will be the next season.
This season’s mistakes = losing money.

In the medium term:

Next --- P2

At least, these upward movements will soothe some of the fiery months you have gone through.
=> Stay alert. The recovery wave is still in our hands! 🚀

YESTERDAY WE DISCUSSED PROMISING COINS ADA, XRP, LTC, TODAY LET'S ANALYZE A BIT ABOUT ADA "TO HOLD OR NOT TO HOLD"

📈 #ADAUSD – Technical analysis update (H4 timeframe)

After hitting a new local bottom at $0.512, ADA has surged strongly to $0.746. Although it was halted by a doji candle (indicating indecision), it subsequently formed a pennant pattern accompanied by an inside hammer candle – a potential bullish signal.

🎯 Next target: $0.8 and beyond.

🔍 The current ADX (Average Directional Index) is 30.17 – slightly lower than yesterday (32.76) but significantly higher than 2 days ago (14.90). This indicates that ADA is still in a solid upward trend, although the trend momentum is somewhat slowing.

🐋 Notably:
The number of ADA “whale” wallets (holding between 1 million to 10 million ADA) has slightly increased to 2,408 wallets → A signal indicating continued accumulation by large investors.

🚀 Supporting fundamental news:

Cardano introduces Reeve – a new initiative set to launch in Q2/2025 (before June 30).

Strategic partnership between Cardano Foundation and PUC-RIO, a top research university in Brazil.

Participation in major events in Paris and Mountain View, enhancing global presence.

👉 Let's summarize:

ADA has a beautiful bullish structure both technically and fundamentally. If it successfully breaks $0.746, the target of $0.8 is entirely feasible.

🔍 Bitcoin Market Analysis – The Unknown Behind the Rise?

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the market just increased by over 1% in a day without any noteworthy news.

"As has happened several times this year, it feels like someone is acting before the information is released. We expect a bullish announcement to appear soon."

"The current Bitcoin price chart is very similar to the mid-stage of the 2021 bull run. If that scenario repeats, we are likely to see a correction to around ~$86,000 – coinciding with the important EMA line of the long-term uptrend. This would be a classic retest after breaking resistance."

However, "The important thing right now is that BTC must hold above the $93,500 level on the weekly timeframe. If it fails, the growth structure may be broken."

📊 SUMMARY:

✅ Increase without reason → high likelihood of strong news coming soon
📉 Retesting the $87K level is reasonable in the “2021 bull run” scenario
🔑 Key level to watch: $93,500 (W1 close)

"Eating Transactions "
If BTC returns to 90k3 at the dock, then #SOL , #ETH will be eaten strongly. Everyone should pay attention to the BTC chart on November 13, 2024, to see the coincidence. The potential for 86k is very high.

🚀 Analysis of BTC pump yesterday: Brief yet comprehensive perspective

Yesterday's pump was a "short squeeze" phase aimed at liquidating liquidity. Below are the highlights from this event, helping you understand the current market situation:

🌍 1. Macro market correlation

As gold prices drop and US stocks recover, the crypto market benefits significantly, especially in the technology group like AI Agent.

🔥 2. Performance of coin groups

⬇️ The Layer-1 group is quite weak, but the SUI ecosystem remains a bright spot, always recovering strongly whenever the market is bullish.

💧 3. Weak liquidity and high profit-taking pressure

💰 The market liquidity is insufficient to create a strong overall upward wave. Only a few strong coin groups are chosen to lead.
📉 After the pump, profit-taking from derivatives (perp) quickly pushed prices back to previous levels due to a lack of buying power from spot.

🌟 4. SUI leads the recovery

📈 Token $SUI increased by over 60% (from $1.7 to $3).
🚀 Ecosystem tokens like $DEEP, $WAL, $NS, $CETUS also saw impressive recoveries.
💡 If $SUI drops to the $1 - $2 range, it still presents a good accumulation opportunity.

🤖 5. AI Agent group remains the focal point

⚡ This group shows strong recovery performance, with standout names such as:

$VIRTUAL, $AI16Z, $AIXBT, $GRIFFAIN, $COOKIE.
🎯 Strategy:

Monitor the two leaders $VIRTUAL and $AI16Z — if either leads the wave, other coins may follow.
📛 Warning: Prices have increased significantly, avoid chasing purchases to mitigate risks from market manipulation.

📅 6. May - A crucial phase

🛒 This could be a good time to accumulate while US stocks are recovering.
⚠️ However, caution is advised regarding the risk of “Sell in May.”

Yesterday, which guy was trading Altcoin must be feeling anxious and unable to sleep, right? Luckily, I only held BTC, waiting for a little drop to pull back and gain some deep experience :)). Trading has wins and losses "accept it".

"Eat a Lot"
Get Back What Was Lost from the Last Short.
Short down to 86k8

🚨 UPDATE $BTC – TEXTBOOK DOUBLE BOTTOM PATTERN!

FAILING VIEW DOWN, THE MARKET CHANGES, WE MUST UPDATE IN TIME

Bitcoin has just broken the neckline of the double bottom pattern very clearly on the chart. This is a strong reversal pattern, often signaling a big uptrend coming.
📍 Next scenario:
Retesting the $86,900 area – where it just broke out – will be a confirmation step.
If this area is held => the uptrend continues!
🎯 Next target?
Above $98,000 – according to the technical theory of the double bottom pattern.
The chart doesn't lie. The question is:
👉 Are you ready for this ride? 🚀

📢 TRADE SIGNAL – XRP/USDT (LONG)

🔹 Order Type: Long

🔹 Entry Zone: 2.11 – 2.07

🔹 Leverage: 10x – 20x

🔹 Current Price: 2.1165 (currently near the entry zone)

🔹 Take Profit (TP):

Target 1: 2.16

Target 2: 2.23

Target 3: 2.35

🔹 Stop Loss (SL): 2.00

🔹 Recommended Position Size: 2–3% of account

📊 Quick Analysis:

Current price zone is still within the entry zone → may consider entering.

Risk/Reward Ratio:

Risk: ~0.11 (from midpoint entry at 2.09)

Profit Target 1: ~0.07

Profit Target 3: ~0.26

→ R:R ≈ 1:2 to 1:2.3 depending on entry point.

✅ Strategy Suggestion:

Split TP into the suggested milestones to manage profit.

When the price exceeds 2.16, it is advisable to move SL to entry to ensure free-risk.

If using 20x leverage → carefully consider SL point and volume to avoid rapid account depletion.

Increased, that's it, now is the time for a slight adjustment to increase again next week. #SOL

The market is entering Altseason - but in a 'selective' way!

I observe that Altseason is about to begin, however, not all altcoins are rising - only some coins are being chosen by the flow of funds.
📈 When BTC Dominance exceeds 70%, it is an opportunity to accumulate potential altcoins, as the market may be preparing to shift the flow of funds to alt. However, to minimize risk during volatile times, priority should be given to large-cap coins that are recognized by the market.

✅ Here are some notable coins I am watching:

XRP - always has money flowing in when Altseason begins.

ADA - long-term potential, strong team.

LTC - although old, it is still being watched by whales and can easily soar when the market is euphoric.

💡 The goal during this period is: Focus on stability and moderate profitability, rather than chasing FOMO from junk coins.

Still following the plan, guys.

📌 This evening, start paying attention to the market to trade.

The past two days, many of you have been trading in a way that lacks discipline, not managing capital, entering trades haphazardly, and being complacent with the market. And then... when the market turns around in just one kill, the account evaporates, going deep into the red — at that point, you think, "the market will reverse and my account will turn green again."

❌ But NO! This is not a reversal at all.

✅ This is a deserved punishment for those who are not serious about the profession, underestimate risks, forget capital management rules and psychology.

💡 Sharing a bit for you all:

Adhere to discipline like a machine.

Have a plan – manage capital – have a stop point.

Trade less but with quality, keep the account alive to continue the long game.

The tower note and then rest. You all focus on trading, losing every day; a relaxed mind makes trading more effective.

Bao short 3 bets to drink beer

After going out for drinks and when it's time to settle the bill, I see this, so should I confirm it, guys?

#DOGE SHORT - Trade Analysis

Currently, DOGE is forming a bearish wedge pattern on the short-term timeframe. If this pattern is activated according to technical analysis, we may witness a break below the support level at 0.1525$ – where the price has held firm over the past few days.

📉 If this level breaks, it is likely that DOGE will continue to attract deeper liquidity, with a target around the 0.14$ area.

🎯 Position has been entered in the market at 0.1557$

Notable resistance level: 0.15825$ – may be retested, for those who haven't entered, you can watch for it.

Stop-loss is set at 0.1636

Profit-taking targets have been marked on the chart

🔥 Analysis of $SOL (Weekly Frame)

Do you see it? $SOL is showing signs of preparing to "take off" when looking at the recent candles on the larger chart.

📈 After breaking the previous uptrend, $SOL is currently holding strong in a demand zone – this is very important on the weekly chart.

✅ Last week, $SOL had a very positive closing candle, and if this week continues to hold the current support zone, it is highly likely to attract more stable buying volume.

👉 This could be the premise for a new breakout of $SOL in the near future.

Gently affectionate. The beer season is here, quickly place 3 orders for tonight's meal. #BTC . ETH, #SUI

Under control.
At this range, I am waiting for the candle wick to slightly dip down to 82k8. I will LONG. #BTC , #ETH . #SOL

According to PLAN 2 Days to Sideway. AE should be bold and fight.

📉 [BTC ANALYSIS – SCENARIO 16/4 - 21/4]

I quickly share my personal perspective on the movements of BTC in the coming days – especially from 16–21/4. This is the scenario I am monitoring, not investment advice, so please consider carefully before acting.

🔹 Date 17–18/4: Sideways Movement

BTC is likely to continue sideways around the range of 83k – 86k, moving in a narrow band, creating a feeling of "not going up – not going down".
There may be 1–2 slight pushes up to the 85k8 range before being sold off again.
Weak volume, market sentiment can easily lull.
This phase can easily make many people complacent, entering trades without clear direction.

🔻 Date 19–21/4: Weekend Crash

This is the “climax” of the scenario.
Friday night (19/4): BTC begins to slowly drop, breaking the support level of 83k, testing down to 80k.
Saturday morning – afternoon: The official crash occurs, BTC plunging down to the 78k range – a strong support level that has held price in the past.
This situation may include:
Strong stop-hunting.
A large number of long positions being liquidated.
FOMO emotions reversing very quickly.

📊 Regarding Technicals:
The 78k–79.5k range is a potential support area + order block + important fibo level.
If this area holds, I expect the market could bounce back early next week (from 22/4 onwards).
This is also a zone where many whales will be looking to accumulate, so if the weekend crash occurs – I see it as an opportunity, not a panic.

Market sentiment at that time:
Newcomers: “Oh no, altseason must be delayed…”
Experienced traders: “A drop is to buy, I’ll come back next week!”

✍️ Do you find this scenario reasonable? Leave your comments below!