双螺旋

#美国加密立法 dropped below 103000
It is very likely to start with 9, looking down at 99400 99300
The short-term trend resembles a triangular fluctuation, and I feel that today is the day to choose a direction. Personally, I think the possibility of breaking upwards is greater!
Yesterday, Powell spoke, and there was a key point: he said that every time there is an economic recession, the Federal Reserve usually cuts rates by an average of 500 basis points. He also emphasized that although the zero lower bound is no longer a high-probability situation, measures to address risks must be retained.
Translated, this means: as soon as economic data indicates a recession, the Federal Reserve will definitely take decisive action, bringing interest rates directly down to 0%, or even implementing negative rates!
So there's no need to worry about the economy; rather than worrying, it's better to seize the opportunity and act when the time is right! Until a clear direction emerges, maintain strength and avoid entering blindly.

$BTC dropped below 103000
Very likely starting with 9, looking down at 99400 99300
Short-term trend resembles a triangular fluctuation, feels like a direction will be chosen today, personally I think the possibility of breaking upward is greater!
Yesterday Powell spoke, and there was a key point, he said that every time there is an economic recession, the Federal Reserve averages a 500 basis point rate cut. He also emphasized that although the zero lower bound is no longer a likely scenario, measures to address risks must be retained.
Translated, this means: as soon as economic data shows recession, the Federal Reserve will definitely take decisive action, directly lowering the interest rate to 0%, or even introducing negative interest rates!
So there’s no need to worry about the economy, instead of worrying, it’s better to seize the opportunity to act when the time is right! Until a clear direction emerges, retain strength, and avoid blindly entering the market.

$BTC The chives get off the bus first, and then it rises. When the chives can't help but enter the market, that's when a big drop happens. When Bitcoin breaks 100,000, it must touch 110,000, find 110,000, then 120,000, and rise to about 130,000, then start to adjust, pull back to around 100,000, and then rise to 150,000. Right now, it's controlled by institutions, and it's very difficult to drop; it can only keep rising.

$BTC China will reduce tariffs on U.S. goods from 125% to 10%, and the U.S. will also reduce tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%. Moreover, these new tariffs will take effect in 90 days! This trade war is finally coming to an end!
Once this news broke, U.S. stocks surged tonight! Just think about it, when the tariffs were high before, many businesses struggled, corporate costs were high, and profits were low. Now that tariffs have been reduced, corporate costs go down, and profit margins increase. How could U.S. stocks not rise?
However, there are also some regrettable aspects. Tariffs can be eliminated, and the market can recover, but many people had to sell their stocks or clear their positions early due to the poor market conditions. Now, even if the market improves, those positions cannot be recovered, which is truly unfortunate.

#贸易战缓和 China is going to reduce tariffs on American goods from 125% to 10%, and the United States will also reduce tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%, and these new tariffs will be implemented for 90 days! This trade war is finally coming to an end!
As soon as this news came out, the US stock market surged tonight! Think about it, when the tariffs were high before, many businesses struggled, costs were high, and profits were low. Now that tariffs have been reduced, business costs have decreased, and profit margins have increased, how could the US stock market not rise?
However, there are also some regrettable aspects. Tariffs can be canceled and the market can recover, but many people had to sell their stocks or clear their positions early because the market was bad. Now that the market is better, those positions cannot be regained, which is truly a pity.

In the early stages of a bull market, altcoins tend to rise slowly. The explosion of MEME is driven by news hotspots and the influx of new funds. However, the ultimate goal of altcoins is still to reap profits. Therefore, the explosion of altcoin season can be very terrifying, but one needs to run fast enough. So even knowing they might get exploited, most people still choose to enter MEME. After the first wave, the market always experiences a pullback. When greed turns into fear, the value of altcoins will slowly begin to manifest.

In the early stages of a bull market, altcoins usually rise slowly. The explosion of MEME is driven by news hotspots on one hand, and the influx of new capital on the other. However, the ultimate purpose of altcoins is still to harvest profits. Therefore, the explosion of altcoin season can be very terrifying, but one must run fast enough. So even knowing that one might get 'cut' (lose money), the majority still choose to enter MEME. After the first wave, the market always experiences a correction. When greed turns into fear, the value of altcoins will slowly start to manifest.

The last time Ethereum had a daily increase of over 24% was in January 2021, and then the altcoin season came. Yesterday, Ethereum also had an increase of over 24%. Will it happen this time?

The airdrop of #稳定币日常支付 may seem like "easy money," but it actually hides traps. I once suddenly discovered a transfer of unfamiliar tokens in the Binance wallet, which appeared to be a "benefit from an airdrop," but in reality, it was a phishing technique aimed at inducing you to click to view or authorize. These fake tokens usually cannot be traded, and the underlying contract may secretly grant permission to steal assets.
Common scam signals include: unsolicited airdrops, unknown token names, inability to find the project's official website or community, and inducements to visit a certain link for "claiming."
My approach is: never click on unfamiliar tokens casually, use a block explorer to verify if the token contract is legitimate, and do not grant permission to any unknown contracts. It is especially important to regularly check the wallet's authorization records and promptly revoke any suspicious authorizations.
Remember, an airdrop that falls from the sky is not necessarily good luck; it could be a trap. Protecting your wallet permissions is more important than anything else!

#空投防骗手册 Airdrop may seem like "easy money", but it actually hides traps. I once suddenly discovered a transfer of a strange token in my Binance wallet, which seemed like "airdrop benefits", but in reality, it was a phishing technique designed to lure you into clicking to view or authorize. These fake tokens usually cannot be traded, and the underlying contract may conceal permissions to authorize asset theft.
Common scam signals include: unsolicited airdrops, unknown token names, inability to find the project's official website or community, and being lured to visit a certain link for "redemption".
My handling method is: never click on unknown tokens casually, use blockchain explorers to verify if the token contract is legitimate, and do not authorize any unknown contracts. Especially, regularly check the wallet's authorization records and promptly revoke any suspicious authorizations.
Remember, airdrops that fall from the sky are not necessarily good fortune; they may be traps. Protecting your wallet permissions is more important than anything else!

The $BTC Crypto Reserve Bill has been passed, and a battle of long and short positions is about to ignite! 4.29 Big Pie Aunt's Evening Thoughts
The BTC Strategic Reserve Bill in Arizona has been passed, making it the first state to recognize the status of crypto assets. Although the purchasing power of one state is not enough to affect price trends, its symbolic significance is greater than its practical significance. Once there is one, there will be a second!
The liquidation map shows that if the coin price breaks through 97,500, nearly 1.5 billion USD in short positions will be liquidated, and falling below 90,000 will liquidate over 2 billion USD in long positions! The competition between long and short positions is fierce!

The #空投操作全指南 Cryptocurrency Reserve Act has been passed, and the battle between bulls and bears is about to ignite! Evening thoughts from Auntie Big Cake on 4.29
The BTC Strategic Reserve Act in Arizona has been passed, making it the first state to recognize the status of cryptocurrency assets. Although the purchasing power of one state is not enough to influence price trends, its symbolic significance outweighs its practical significance. Where there is one, there will be a second!
The liquidation map shows that a price drop below 97,500 will liquidate nearly 1.5 billion dollars' worth of short positions, while a drop below 90,000 will liquidate over 2 billion dollars' worth of long positions! The competition between bulls and bears is intense!

The #阿布扎比稳定币 Crypto Reserve Bill has been passed, and a battle between bulls and bears is about to erupt! Evening thoughts from Big Aunt on April 29
The Arizona BTC Strategic Reserve Bill has been passed, making it the first state to recognize the status of crypto assets. Although the purchasing power of one state is not enough to influence price trends, the symbolic significance is greater than the actual significance. Where there is one, there will be a second!
The liquidation map shows that if the coin price breaks through 97,500, nearly 1.5 billion USD in short positions will be liquidated, and if it falls below 90,000, more than 2 billion USD in long positions will be liquidated! The competition between bulls and bears is intense!

The #亚利桑那比特币储备 Cryptocurrency Reserve Act has been passed, and a fierce battle between bulls and bears is about to break out! Evening thoughts from Auntie Big Cake on April 29
The BTC Strategic Reserve Act in Arizona has been passed, making it the first state to recognize the status of cryptocurrency assets. Although the purchasing power of one state is not enough to influence price movements, the symbolic significance outweighs the practical significance. Where there is a first, there will be a second!
The liquidation map shows that if the coin price breaks through 97,500, nearly 1.5 billion USD in short positions will be liquidated, and if it falls below 90,000, over 2 billion USD in long positions will be liquidated! The competition between bulls and bears is intense!

Is #空投发现指南 starting to release news again? Let's analyze briefly: Trump is eager for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates to keep the long-term U.S. Treasury yield below 4.5%, but the Federal Reserve Chairman completely ignores Trump. Trump is now continuing to cut taxes to fulfill his election promises, while casually waiting for the government to run out of money and shut down, making the situation escalate further.
Essentially, short-term debt is maturing soon, and the Federal Reserve has to either cut interest rates or expand its balance sheet; otherwise, the government will shut down. It happened once in 2020, and the Federal Reserve later similarly expanded its balance sheet to solve the problem. However, this time the situation is different from the last time; the last time was due to a pandemic. Although expanding the balance sheet solved the issue, it resulted in a double hit on both debt and stocks. This time the situation is worse, compounded by the decoupling of China and the U.S. Continuing to cut interest rates or expand the balance sheet could further exacerbate the skyrocketing CPI. Let's see how it plays out.

Is #特朗普税改 starting to release messages again? Let's analyze it simply: Trump is eager for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates to keep long-term U.S. Treasury yields below 4.5%. However, the Federal Reserve Chairman completely ignores Trump. Trump is now continuing tax cuts to fulfill election promises, while also waiting for the government to run out of money and shut down, making the situation escalate further.
In short, with short-term debt maturing soon, the Federal Reserve will either cut rates or expand its balance sheet; otherwise, the government will shut down. It happened once in 2020, and the Federal Reserve later also expanded its balance sheet to solve the problem. However, this time the situation is different from last time; last time was due to a pandemic, and although expanding the balance sheet solved the problem, it led to a double whammy for both bonds and stocks. This time is worse, compounded by the decoupling between China and the U.S., and continuing to cut rates or expand the balance sheet may further exacerbate skyrocketing CPI. Let's see how it goes.

The development of the #XRPETF XRP ETF is at a critical stage, with the listing of spot ETFs in Brazil and the launch of futures ETFs in the United States demonstrating strong market demand for XRP investment products. In the coming months, the SEC's review results will have a significant impact on XRP's market performance, and investors should closely monitor relevant developments.

#XRPETF Recent News and Market Discussions
In April 2025, XRP ETF became the focus of the cryptocurrency market. Teucrium launched the first 2x leveraged XRP ETF in the United States on April 8 (code: XXRP), providing investors with double the daily returns of XRP exposure without the need to directly hold the tokens. This move is seen as a milestone for XRP towards mainstream adoption, attracting attention from both institutions and retail investors. Ten asset management companies, including Bitwise and Grayscale, have applied to the SEC for an XRP spot ETF, with the approval deadline set for May 22, and the market predicts a 72% chance of approval. The new SEC chairman, Paul Atkins, supports cryptocurrency, which is expected to accelerate the settlement of the Ripple lawsuit and ETF approvals, potentially driving the XRP price to historical highs. However, XRP recently fell 5% due to market corrections and concerns over XRPLedger vulnerabilities, with the current price around $2.20, and investors need to pay attention to macroeconomic and regulatory dynamics. #XRP ETF craze continues to heat up, and the coming months will be a critical time.

$ETH
Trump often has astonishing actions, speaks without restraint, changes orders from morning to night, suspends today, and then says tomorrow's decision may change again.
However, I think he himself should gradually realize that if he continues to mess things up, public sentiment will turn against him, and even his own people are showing differences of opinion, which shows how failed the policies are.
The trade war will ultimately come to an end, but the damage caused at this stage will need some time to repair.
Trump's recent change in attitude is also finding a reasonable way out for himself, and there is an opportunity for a new round of market trends to come after the economy stabilizes.

#特朗普暂停新关税
Trump often has astonishing actions, speaks without restraint, and changes orders from day to day. Today he pauses, tomorrow he says it's uncertain and changes his mind.
However, I think he himself should gradually realize that if he continues to mess things up, public opinion will turn against him, and even his own supporters are showing division of opinion, which shows how failed his policies are.
The trade war will eventually come to an end, but the damage caused at this stage will take some time to repair.
Trump's recent change in attitude is also finding a reasonable way out for himself, and after the economy stabilizes, a new round of opportunities may come.