luciferhuang
Open Trade
SOL Holder
Frequent Trader
5.1 Years
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After the strong passage of the #美国加密周 under Trump's leadership with the 'Great American Law', the U.S. Congress is about to turn its attention to another battleground—cryptocurrency regulation. The U.S. House of Representatives has announced that the week of July 14 will be designated as 'Cryptocurrency Week', during which the 'CLARITY Act', 'GENIUS Act', and 'Anti-CBDC Act' will be reviewed, marking a critical moment for the cryptocurrency industry.
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$BTC As of now, Bitcoin is up about 20% year-to-date, having briefly fallen below $100,000 in late June. In the minutes surrounding the new high, investors closed out over $280 million in short positions in one hour, driving the price sharply higher. Data provider CoinGlass said it was a strong breakout from the consolidation range of the past few weeks. According to Coinglass data, in the approximately 4 hours surrounding Bitcoin's record high, nearly $340 million worth of Bitcoin shorts were liquidated across major exchanges. $BTC
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$SOL 国人追求利润更高爱追热点追高，然后高位接盘。为什么这么说？现在老外的玩法大多数是什么？就我所看到的，他们更像是alpha玩家，喜欢找到不错的meme图，梗，在几十K一百k的时候加入然后去cx，推上1m以上，随后这种meme被广泛传播，一旦有更大级别的alpha，kol加入，可能会上升5m10m甚至更多，大家可以回想一下， $bobby ， $mao $mc $dilly 这些都是这样的。在这些meme没有跑出来的时候，国人大多数alpha是不知道的。或者不会加入的。$SOL
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On August 8, #美国加征关税 Trump wrote on the social media platform 'Truth Social': 'According to the letters sent to various countries yesterday, as well as the letters that will be sent in the next few days and over the coming period, tariffs will start to be implemented on August 1, 2025.' He emphasized: 'This date has not changed and will not change!' On the same day, during a cabinet meeting at the White House, Trump also stated that a new 50% tariff would be imposed on all copper imported into the United States, but did not disclose the specific date for the new tariff to take effect. According to reports from American consumer news and business channels, after the cabinet meeting, U.S. Secretary of Commerce Gina Raimondo said that the Department of Commerce has completed its investigation into the status of copper imports and she expects the new tariff 'could be implemented by the end of July or on August 1.'
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On July 7, #美国加征关税 , U.S. President Trump stated that from August 1, he will impose tariffs ranging from 25% to 40% on imported products from 14 countries, including Japan and South Korea.
Trump has successively published letters he wrote to the leaders of Japan, South Korea, Malaysia, Kazakhstan, South Africa, Laos, Myanmar, Tunisia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Indonesia, Bangladesh, Serbia, Cambodia, Thailand, and other 14 countries on his self-founded 'Real Social' website, explaining the reasons for the tariffs, and stated that the new tariffs will not include tariffs from other industries.
Trump has successively published letters he wrote to the leaders of Japan, South Korea, Malaysia, Kazakhstan, South Africa, Laos, Myanmar, Tunisia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Indonesia, Bangladesh, Serbia, Cambodia, Thailand, and other 14 countries on his self-founded 'Real Social' website, explaining the reasons for the tariffs, and stated that the new tariffs will not include tariffs from other industries.
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Core Event of #马斯克计划成立美国党 On July 5, 2025, Elon Musk announced the establishment of a new political party, 'American Party', on social media, stating its goal is to 'give freedom back to the people' and plans to participate in the 2026 midterm elections.
Event Summary
Background and Trigger
Musk and Trump had disagreements over the 'Great and Beautiful' tax and spending bill. The bill was signed into law by Trump on July 4, which includes cuts to new energy subsidies and adjustments to tax rates, directly affecting the interests of companies like Tesla.
Musk had previously threatened on June 30 that if the bill passed, he would form a new party and initiated an online poll on July 4, where 65.4% of participants (about 1.249 million people) supported the formation of the 'American Party'.
Event Summary
Background and Trigger
Musk and Trump had disagreements over the 'Great and Beautiful' tax and spending bill. The bill was signed into law by Trump on July 4, which includes cuts to new energy subsidies and adjustments to tax rates, directly affecting the interests of companies like Tesla.
Musk had previously threatened on June 30 that if the bill passed, he would form a new party and initiated an online poll on July 4, where 65.4% of participants (about 1.249 million people) supported the formation of the 'American Party'.
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View my earnings and investment portfolio details. Follow me to learn investment techniques, mainly focusing on mainstream coins. Previously, I also invested in Pepe and Doge, but I basically don't buy them anymore. They don't resist declines and don't have significant price surges. I feel they have no investment value anymore. I mainly focus on mainstream coins, especially SOL and BTC, which resist declines and can surge in price. They are suitable for swing trading and can also be held long-term, no issues with that $SOL $BTC
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#大而美法案 Local time July 4, U.S. President Trump signed the "Big and Beautiful" tax and spending bill into law. Prior to this, the U.S. House of Representatives had already passed the bill on the afternoon of the 3rd with a vote of 218 in favor and 214 against. The bill had also been approved by the Senate earlier (on July 1). The "Big and Beautiful" bill is a flagship legislative agenda that Trump introduced after returning to the White House in early 2025. The main content of the bill includes extending the corporate and individual tax cuts that Trump passed in 2017 during his first term, exempting tips and overtime income from taxation, among other things, with the core provision being a reduction in corporate taxes. Of course, the Republicans included far more than just tax measures in this bill—they also risked merging Medicare, military spending, immigration, and other priorities into such a "too big to fail" piece of legislation.
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Surrendered, the explanation of following the crowd
吴说区块链
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Wu said that according to the official WeChat account of Southwest University of Political Science and Law, on June 3, at the "Investigation, Prosecution and Evidence Fixation of Crimes Involving Virtual Currency" seminar hosted by Southwest University of Political Science and Law, Sun Yuchen, senior consultant of Shanghai Xizheng Law Firm and founder of TRON, Li Tao, prosecutor of the People's Procuratorate of Haidian District, Beijing, Wang Dong, deputy director of the Eighth Procuratorial Department of the People's Procuratorate of Chaoyang District, Beijing, Xie Ling, deputy dean of the School of Criminal Investigation of Southwest University of Political Science and Law, Jiang Jiayun, deputy director of the First Criminal Court of the Chongqing Higher People's Court, Niu Juqin, chief lawyer of Shanghai Xizheng Law Firm, and Ye Ning, lecturer of the School of Law of Southwest University of Political Science and Law, gave keynote speeches respectively.
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$XRP 1. Approved XRP Futures ETF Details
1. Product Types
The three ETFs launched by ProShares are:
◦ Ultra XRP ETF (2x leverage): Provides 2x daily positive returns on XRP price, suitable for bullish aggressive investors.
◦ Ultrashort XRP ETF (inverse 2x leverage): Provides 2x daily negative returns on XRP price, suitable for bearish high-risk strategies.
◦ Short XRP ETF (inverse 1x leverage): Provides 1x negative returns on XRP price, suitable for hedging or conservative shorting.
2. Listing Time and Mechanism
◦ Scheduled to be listed on April 30, investors can participate in trading through traditional stock accounts without needing to directly hold XRP.
◦ The fund tracks the XRP price through cash-settled futures contracts on the CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange), with an annual management fee rate of 0.95%.
1. Product Types
The three ETFs launched by ProShares are:
◦ Ultra XRP ETF (2x leverage): Provides 2x daily positive returns on XRP price, suitable for bullish aggressive investors.
◦ Ultrashort XRP ETF (inverse 2x leverage): Provides 2x daily negative returns on XRP price, suitable for bearish high-risk strategies.
◦ Short XRP ETF (inverse 1x leverage): Provides 1x negative returns on XRP price, suitable for hedging or conservative shorting.
2. Listing Time and Mechanism
◦ Scheduled to be listed on April 30, investors can participate in trading through traditional stock accounts without needing to directly hold XRP.
◦ The fund tracks the XRP price through cash-settled futures contracts on the CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange), with an annual management fee rate of 0.95%.
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Federal Reserve Chairman Powell emphasized again that the Fed must ensure that tariffs do not trigger a more persistent rise in inflation.
Powell stated on Wednesday local time at the Economic Club of Chicago, "Our obligation is to maintain long-term inflation expectations and ensure that a one-time increase in price levels does not lead to a persistent inflation problem."
Powell said policymakers will strike a balance between the dual responsibility of promoting maximum employment and stabilizing prices, "keeping in mind that without price stability, we cannot achieve a long-term robust labor market condition that benefits all Americans."
Powell stated on Wednesday local time at the Economic Club of Chicago, "Our obligation is to maintain long-term inflation expectations and ensure that a one-time increase in price levels does not lead to a persistent inflation problem."
Powell said policymakers will strike a balance between the dual responsibility of promoting maximum employment and stabilizing prices, "keeping in mind that without price stability, we cannot achieve a long-term robust labor market condition that benefits all Americans."
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The essence of self-cultivation is the co-evolution of cognition, behavior, and environment.
The cultivation of trading psychology needs to follow the spiral path of 'awareness → intervention → solidification → sublimation.' By breaking emotional inertia through physiological intervention, constraining behavioral deviations with systemic rules, and anchoring meaning to resist the erosion of nihilism, one ultimately achieves the transformation from 'profitable trader' to 'professional trader.' Remember: the psychological advantage of top traders is essentially a systematic dimensionality reduction strike against human weaknesses.
The cultivation of trading psychology needs to follow the spiral path of 'awareness → intervention → solidification → sublimation.' By breaking emotional inertia through physiological intervention, constraining behavioral deviations with systemic rules, and anchoring meaning to resist the erosion of nihilism, one ultimately achieves the transformation from 'profitable trader' to 'professional trader.' Remember: the psychological advantage of top traders is essentially a systematic dimensionality reduction strike against human weaknesses.
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$ETH Macroeconomics and Policy Pressures
◦ US-China Tariff Escalation: The Trump administration's tariffs have triggered expectations of a global trade contraction, leading to a sharp decline in US stocks that has dragged down the cryptocurrency market, with ETH being particularly affected as a high-risk asset.
◦ Federal Reserve Policy: Expectations for interest rate cuts have been pushed back to December, and tightening USD liquidity is suppressing the valuations of risk assets, putting short-term pressure on ETH.
2. On-chain Data and Capital Flows
◦ Whale Behavior: Recently, there have been multiple large sell-offs (such as a single sale of $11.8 million), but long-term holders (LTH) continue to accumulate approximately 17 million ETH, indicating a divergence.
◦ US-China Tariff Escalation: The Trump administration's tariffs have triggered expectations of a global trade contraction, leading to a sharp decline in US stocks that has dragged down the cryptocurrency market, with ETH being particularly affected as a high-risk asset.
◦ Federal Reserve Policy: Expectations for interest rate cuts have been pushed back to December, and tightening USD liquidity is suppressing the valuations of risk assets, putting short-term pressure on ETH.
2. On-chain Data and Capital Flows
◦ Whale Behavior: Recently, there have been multiple large sell-offs (such as a single sale of $11.8 million), but long-term holders (LTH) continue to accumulate approximately 17 million ETH, indicating a divergence.
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#风险回报比 1. Dynamic Adjustment of Stop Loss and Take Profit
• Volatility Adaptation: High volatility assets (such as altcoins) require a wider stop loss distance to avoid frequent stop outs.
Example: ETH daily volatility 5%, stop loss can be set at 2%-3%.
• Technical Pattern Combination: Set stop losses near support/resistance levels, for example, exit when breaking below the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level.
2. Trade-Off Between Win Rate and Ratio
• Break-Even Formula: Break-even win rate = 1/(Risk-Reward Ratio + 1)
◦ A 3:1 ratio requires ≥25% win rate
◦ A 5:1 ratio requires ≥16.7% win rate.
• Practical Suggestions: Preferably choose a 1:2 or 1:3 ratio to balance returns and feasibility.
• Volatility Adaptation: High volatility assets (such as altcoins) require a wider stop loss distance to avoid frequent stop outs.
Example: ETH daily volatility 5%, stop loss can be set at 2%-3%.
• Technical Pattern Combination: Set stop losses near support/resistance levels, for example, exit when breaking below the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level.
2. Trade-Off Between Win Rate and Ratio
• Break-Even Formula: Break-even win rate = 1/(Risk-Reward Ratio + 1)
◦ A 3:1 ratio requires ≥25% win rate
◦ A 5:1 ratio requires ≥16.7% win rate.
• Practical Suggestions: Preferably choose a 1:2 or 1:3 ratio to balance returns and feasibility.
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#止损策略 Fund Management and Position Control Strategy
1. Risk Ratio Control
◦ Single Trade Risk ≤ 2%: When the total account capital is 10,000, the maximum loss for a single trade is 200. If the buying price of BTC is 50,000, the stop-loss price should be set at 49,000 (-2%).
◦ Dynamic Position Adjustment: After achieving a profit of 10%, for every additional 5% profit, the stop-loss point is moved up by 2%, achieving "Profit Protection."
2. Diversified Stop-Loss Mechanism
◦ Cross-Asset Hedging: Simultaneously holding BTC (60%) and ETH (40%), with their stop-loss points staggered by 5%-8% to avoid concentrated losses due to correlated fluctuations.
◦ Time Layered Stop-Loss: Separate stop-loss settings for intraday short-term trades and swing positions, with the former using 1-hour candlestick signals and the latter referencing daily structure.
1. Risk Ratio Control
◦ Single Trade Risk ≤ 2%: When the total account capital is 10,000, the maximum loss for a single trade is 200. If the buying price of BTC is 50,000, the stop-loss price should be set at 49,000 (-2%).
◦ Dynamic Position Adjustment: After achieving a profit of 10%, for every additional 5% profit, the stop-loss point is moved up by 2%, achieving "Profit Protection."
2. Diversified Stop-Loss Mechanism
◦ Cross-Asset Hedging: Simultaneously holding BTC (60%) and ETH (40%), with their stop-loss points staggered by 5%-8% to avoid concentrated losses due to correlated fluctuations.
◦ Time Layered Stop-Loss: Separate stop-loss settings for intraday short-term trades and swing positions, with the former using 1-hour candlestick signals and the latter referencing daily structure.
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Actual consumption rate, using Hong Kong dollars, it's fine, almost no loss
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This is about the rate, except the physical card is around $150, which is about 60% off.
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I logged in and saw a warning, inexplicably. I just posted something and got reported for promotion. Is this really necessary? Alright, it seems that there is malice everywhere in the world 😭😭. Forget it, I won't dwell on it. If anyone is interested, you can T me, same nickname / no pressure for withdrawals 😄
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The currency market has risen and fallen, risen and fallen, several times back and forth, but overall it is still in a downward phase. Overall, everyone's wealth has decreased significantly, and we don't know what lies ahead, but we hope to persist in the present and cherish what we have.
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The cryptocurrency market originally moves based on news, and given the current situation, considering the Federal Reserve's attitude towards interest rate cuts, it is highly likely that they will not move, which could lead to another dip. However, all the capital positions are there, and since Trump comes from a business background, he should provide some assistance, pulling it to a certain level, and maintaining that is key.
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