The bells of May are about to ring, and the significant drop that I've been emphasizing is just around the corner. Yet, some people can't wait and start criticizing me after just a glance. Isn't that a joke?! I don't take these haters to heart; I've directly blocked them. Friends who have been in my live streams know that the things I share are practical and down-to-earth. Many people have made real money in the market using my methods, and those who follow me in the live stream have gained a lot. So let's not rush to criticize me; once May arrives, we'll see how accurate my predictions really are. After all, those who understand me will always support me, no matter what! In short, everyone just wait for May! The facts will prove everything. As for those haters, say whatever you want; I've already blocked you, haha! Remember, mutual respect is necessary for pleasant communication. Those who recognize me can stay, and those who don't can leave at any time; let's part ways amicably! $BTC
$ETH ▶ Market Pulse ⚠️ Current Sentiment: Cautious (MVRV Neutral + Panic Index not breaking threshold, traders are in a wait-and-see mood) ⚠️ Trend Determination: Range-bound (EMA50 and EMA200 converging in the 1,850~1,950 range) ▌ Capital Flow: Net inflow to exchanges of 5.8 million | Stablecoin premium rate +0.08% (capital flowing back to exchanges)
▌ Technical Matrix ⚠️ Support Level: 1,852.3 (Fibonacci 38.2% + recent low) ⚠️ Resistance Level: 1,949.7 (previous high + upper Bollinger Band) ▶ RSI 52.3 (Neutral zone, no overbought/oversold) | MACD bottom divergence (histogram has risen for 3 consecutive bars) ⚠️ Pattern Recognition: Converging Triangle (Neckline $1,900) | Current Position: Lower range boundary
🔥 Opportunity Analysis ▌ Today's Opportunities:
Breakout Trade: Go long above 1,949.7 → Target 1,980 (requires a 4-hour volume breakout)
Range Low Buy: Go long on a pullback to 1,860 → Stop Loss 1,840 (support at the lower boundary of the range) ⚠️ Time Window: 20:00-22:00 (U.S. market opening volatility period)
▌ Tomorrow's Prediction:
Key Event: CPI data to be released at 20:30 (expected inflation decline)
Potential Direction: Upside breakout (60% probability) | If data is worse than expected, may dip to $1,820
▶ Risk Control System ✓ Stop Loss: $1,840 (automatic exit if the range is broken) ✓ Position Size: 1%~1.5% (BTC volatility +1.2%, not triggering a reduction) ✓ Confirmation Signal: Breakout needs a stable 2-hour closing price (filtering out false breakouts)
(Data Update: 19:45 | Volatility Monitoring: 42KB/S | Important Reminder: Volatility surged 20% on the eve of CPI data!)
$XRP $BTC ▶ Market Pulse ⚠️ Current Sentiment: Cautious (RSI 32.0 Oversold, Panic Index Not Triggered but Momentum Weak) ⚠️ Trend Assessment: Downtrend (Price Below EMA34, Trendline Slope Downwards) ▌ Capital Flow: Net Flow from Exchanges Not Provided | Stablecoin Premium Rate Not Triggered
Breakout Trade: Stabilize at 2.3207 to go long → Target 2.3500 (Requires Volume > 1 Million)
Rebound Sniping: Retrace to 2.3207 to go short → Stop Loss at 2.3500 (EMA34 Resistance Logic) ⚠️ Time Sensitive: 14:00-16:00 Asian Session (Volume Fluctuation Peak)
▌ Tomorrow's Prediction:
Key Events: No Major Data
Potential Direction: Continued Decline (Probability 70%) | If Breakdown Occurs, Watch $2.2000
▶ Risk Control System ✓ Stop Loss: 2.2724 (Support Breakdown 0.02, ATR×2 Dynamic Calculation) ✓ Position: 1% of Total Capital (XRP Volatility -2.21%, Trigger Halving Rule) ✓ Confirmation Rule: Breakout Requires 2-Hour Candlestick Close (Prevent False Breakouts)
(Data Updated: 11:22 | Volatility Monitoring: 36KB/S) ⚠️ Warning: MACD-DIF 0.0069 Close to Zero Axis, If Breaks Below, Accelerated Decline!