云澈论势

Short-term trend weakens, bears dominate
Bitcoin surged to 106173 yesterday but faced resistance and fell back, forming a clear top pressure. It then fluctuated around 105100. The 4-hour MACD shows a bearish divergence and a death cross, while the RSI has dropped below 50, indicating a depletion of bullish momentum and a gradual takeover by bears. If the price continues to be pressured below 105800, it may further test support downwards.

Key support faces a test, breaking it will open downward space
The current price hovers around 105300 but has broken the rising trend line on the hourly chart, indicating a weakening short-term structure. Pay close attention to the support at 104800 (middle band of the daily Bollinger Bands); if it is lost, it may accelerate the drop towards the 103500-103800 area. If the rebound fails to break through the resistance at 105800, the bears will still hold the dominant position.
#以色列伊朗冲突 $BTC
In terms of operations, it is recommended to place short positions on rallies.
Aggressive traders can try shorting with a light position around 105300, setting a stop-loss above 105800; initially looking at 104500, while more conservative traders should wait for a confirmation of a break below 104800 to follow up and then target 104000. If the price unexpectedly rebounds and holds above 105800, the trend needs to be reassessed. In the evening, pay attention to the impact of U.S. stock movements on the cryptocurrency market, and be wary of increased volatility risks.

After Bitcoin successfully broke through the key resistance level of 104,000, it reached a high of 105,300 and is currently consolidating above 104,800. The 4-hour MACD shows a golden cross with increasing volume, and the moving average system is in a bullish alignment, indicating that upward momentum is strengthening. If it can hold above the support level of 104,500, there is potential to further challenge the previous high resistance range of 106,500-107,000.

Currently, the area between 104,500 and 104,800 has formed a new support platform, and a pullback that does not break this level will strengthen bullish confidence. Three signals need to be closely monitored: sustained increasing trading volume along with price rises, the breakthrough situation of the previous high at 105,300, and the rallying strength of mainstream coins. These factors will collectively determine the sustainability and height of the rebound.

It is recommended to gradually build long positions near 104,500, with a stop-loss set below 104,000. If it breaks through 105,300 and confirms with a pullback, consider adding positions targeting 106,500. Be cautious of false breakout risks; if it unexpectedly falls below the support of 103,800, strict stop-loss measures should be taken. Additionally, pay extra attention to market sentiment transmission following the opening of the U.S. stock market tonight.

The current long position has already captured 500 points of space, following along is the rhythm of making profits.

Bitcoin enters a consolidation phase after tensions in the Middle East rise in the morning, currently showing signs of stabilization at the 103,800 level. The 4-hour RSI is severely oversold and the price is far from the moving average system, indicating a strong demand for a rebound in the technical aspect. If the 102,600 support holds, the rebound target can be seen in the 104,500-105,000 range, and a breakout may further test the critical resistance at 106,000.

103,800 has become a dividing line for short-term bulls and bears; if it stabilizes, it may attract short-covering buying. Focus on the breakthrough situation at 104,200, which can serve as a confirmation signal for the continuation of the rebound. It is also necessary to closely monitor changes in the geopolitical situation; if market panic subsides, it will be beneficial for the continuation of the rebound.

#以色列伊朗冲突 $BTC

Aggressive traders can enter long positions with a small amount at 103,800, strictly setting a stop loss at 102,500. Conservative investors are advised to wait for a confirmation breakout at 104,200 before entering on a pullback. It should be noted that the overall trend still leans bearish, and the 105,000-106,000 range can be considered for reversing into short positions. If the 102,600 support is broken, it may trigger a new round of decline.

Current price of the pancake is around 104000, first look at 105000, brothers' welfare order

What is the crux of trading losses?
​Why do you always lose in trading?
​Why do you work so hard to adjust your trading system but still fail to make a profit?
​Why is your strategy sometimes effective and sometimes ineffective?
​What is the crux of the matter?
​Today's article should be a summary of all the previous articles, and I believe it is the key point. Interested friends can read it in depth. The above questions are encountered by almost all traders, and I have experienced and suffered through them, so I understand deeply.
​Let me share a few points:
​1. All technical analysis available in the market is effective; for the same market condition, different technical analyses can yield results that are basically close. I believe that technique is not about good or bad; what suits you is what is right;
​2. Everyone's trading style is different, and suitable time frames are also inconsistent; whether it's multi-timeframe or single-timeframe, what matters is that it suits you;
​3. Everyone's analytical and processing abilities are different; choosing a simple trading logic is the optimal choice;
​4. Integrating knowledge and action is very difficult; it's almost impossible to achieve; choosing easy knowledge and action is the way to solve this problem;
​The crux of solving trading losses is to place trading in simple and smooth market conditions and to avoid engaging in complex and volatile markets.
​Human cognitive and behavioral abilities are limited; complex and volatile markets render trading logic meaningless. Even if you are very skilled and achieve knowledge-action integration, you still cannot make a profit;
​On the contrary, in smooth and simple market conditions, you will find that all technical analyses begin to be effective, and there is a large profit potential, and knowledge and action are integrated.
​Traders should not let themselves trade in complex markets and should not add burdens to themselves. Human capabilities are limited; profits come from the market, while losses are controlled by oneself.
​Above, shared with you for encouragement! #Understanding Candlestick Patterns

Bitcoin is negatively impacted by the situation in the Middle East, plummeting over 4,000 points in a single day, quickly rebounding to around 103,200 after hitting a low of 102,600. The 4-hour RSI has entered a severely oversold region (<20), and the price is far from the moving average, indicating a short-term need for a technical rebound correction. If the support at 102,600 holds, it may form a short-term bottom, with rebound targets looking towards 104,000-104,500.

- 102,500-102,800 serves as a psychological support zone; if the price stabilizes here, it may attract short-term bulls to enter.
- If the rebound breaks through 103,800 (the 38.2% retracement level of the morning's decline), it may further test 104,500 (50% retracement level) or even 105,000 (key short-seller defense level).
- Attention should be paid to the market sentiment repair situation; if the geopolitical conflict does not escalate further, panic selling may weaken, driving the price of the coin to rebound. #以色列伊朗冲突 $BTC

- Aggressive long position: Enter a small long at the current price of 103,200, with a stop-loss at 102,400 (below the previous low), targeting 104,000-104,500.
- Conservative long position: Wait for a stable stand above 103,800, then follow up on a pullback that doesn’t break, with the same target as above.
- Key risk: If the geopolitical conflict worsens, leading to a loss of 102,500, it may further decline to 101,000-100,000, requiring strict stop-loss measures.

(Currently, the market is still dominated by bears; the rebound is only seen as a short-term opportunity, and those who are cautious may wait for higher levels before placing short positions.)

Morning Ethereum spot price short strategy, direct take profit and exit. Following along is the rhythm of making a profit.

With BTC leading the market to weaken, ETH effectively broke below the key support of 2600, forming a one-sided decline, confirming the strong control of short positions in the short term. The current price has entered a phase of acceleration with no resistance; if the rebound cannot reclaim the 2580-2600 range (previous support turned strong resistance area), it is highly likely to continue the downward trend, with the next target looking towards the psychological level of 2500 and 2450 (weekly support level).

The 4-hour level has continuously shown large bearish candles breaking below 2600, and the MACD displays a second death cross below the zero axis, indicating an increase in bearish momentum. Any rebound in the morning to the 2560-2580 range can be seen as a high short opportunity; aggressive traders may short at the current price (hypothetically around 2540), but should be cautious of the risk of a short-term oversold rebound, while conservative traders should wait for a pressure signal above 2580 before entering.

If there is a quick drop to the 2450-2480 area (a densely traded area within the year), attention should be paid to the possibility of a bullish counterattack. However, to counter the trend with a rebound, the following must be met: ① BTC stops falling and stabilizes ② ETH shows a long lower shadow + volume support. The current main strategy is still to focus on high shorts during rebounds, and all long positions should be regarded as counter-trend short-term actions, with strict stop losses above 2600.

Current price 2570: Lightly test short (30% position), stop loss 2590, target 2480-2450

- Ideal short point: Wait for a rebound to 2580-2600 to add to shorts, stop loss 2605, target to go down synchronously

- Long position forbidden zone: Avoid bottom fishing on the left side until a stop loss signal with volume appears.

Currently, BTC is forming initial support around 105,600. A second downward test has not broken the previous low, and the trading volume is shrinking, indicating a weakening of bearish momentum. If the price can stabilize in the range of 105,800-106,000, it may trigger a rebound from oversold conditions, targeting 107,000-107,500. The 4-hour RSI shows a bottom divergence and a negative funding rate, suggesting short-term repair demand. Aggressive traders can try a small long position, with a stop loss set below 105,300.

106,200-106,500 serves as the initial resistance zone, and a breakout may accelerate the test above 107,000. If a double bottom structure forms accompanied by an increase in volume, a short-term short covering rally can be expected. However, caution is needed as the overall trend remains bearish. If the rebound cannot stabilize above 107,500 (the lower edge of the previous consolidation range), it may return to a downward channel.
#美国加征关税 $BTC
The current rebound is merely a technical correction, and strict risk control is necessary. If the support at 105,300 is broken with increased volume, it will confirm the continuation of bearish momentum, with the target looking down to 104,000. Conservative traders are advised to wait for an effective breakout above 106,500 or a pullback stabilization signal before re-entering, to avoid heavy positions against the trend.

Bitcoin continued its morning weakness in the afternoon, failing to stabilize above 107800. Bears took control of the market and pushed the price down to the 107000 level. The current price is testing the critical support at 107000. If it falls below this level effectively, it may further decline to the range of 106500-10600. The 4-hour moving averages are in a bearish arrangement, the MACD is diverging downwards with a death cross, and the RSI (38) has entered the oversold territory but has not shown divergence, indicating that the market is still dominated by bears and the rebound strength is limited.

Key Resistance and Support Analysis
The short-term resistance above is at 107800 (the afternoon rebound high point). If the price cannot break through this level, the downward trend remains unchanged. Below, 107000 serves as a psychological level; if it is lost, the bear targets will point to 106500 (Fibonacci extension) and 106000 (previous low support). Currently, market sentiment is bearish, and the rebound highs are gradually declining, consistent with the characteristics of weak corrections in a downtrend. #比特币走势分析 $BTC

Operational Strategy Suggestions
Aggressive traders may continue to hold short positions, targeting the 106500-106000 range, with stop-loss moved above 107800. If the price rebounds and faces resistance around 107500, consider adding to short positions. Conservative traders need to pay attention to the performance at the 107000 level; if it breaks down with volume, they can follow the trend. If a stabilization signal appears here, they need to be wary of short-term rebound risks. Overall, the focus remains on high shorts, cautiously bottom-fishing.

Bitcoin surged to 108700 in the morning before quickly retreating, forming a nearly 1500-point one-sided decline, with a minimum touching 107300. The 4-hour MACD has a death cross and volume has increased, while the RSI remains in the weak zone at 44, indicating that bears are dominant. The 108000-108700 area has formed strong resistance, and the current price hovers around 107900, constrained by the MA5 moving average, with rebound strength clearly insufficient, and the overall trend still leaning towards bearish.

Key position analysis: The upper level of 108700 is the morning high, resonating with the Fibonacci 38.2% resistance (108500), forming a pressure point. If it cannot break through, the downward trend will continue. The short-term support below is at 107300, and if it breaks, it may further explore 106500 or even 105800. The current rebound is insufficient, reaching only 50% of the decline, which is a weak correction, and bears still hold the initiative.
#看懂K线 $BTC
Operation strategy suggestion: Aggressive traders can gradually build short positions in the 107900-108200 range, with a stop loss set above 108700, targeting 107300 and 106800. If the price still cannot stabilize above 108000 before the European session, it confirms the weakness of the rebound, and additional short positions may be considered. Close attention should be paid to changes in volume; if the rebound shrinks or breaks below 107300, the bearish trend will continue.

Tonight at 10 PM, everyone should not miss it! The live broadcast will start, and we are offering limited price short selling benefits. Currently, it has pulled back 1800 points; those who follow along are reaping the rewards. The current coin price has reached 100,085, in a process of range oscillation. Let's see if it can rebound to 100,090; we can take the opportunity to short here #看懂K线 $BTC .

Last night, with the release of CPI data and the strong opening of US stocks, Ethereum entered a corrective phase. Compared to Bitcoin, Ethereum's volatility was particularly severe, with a one-sided rise of nearly 100 points, reaching a high of around 2880. It then began to stabilize and pull back, and the price is currently retreating again to around 2770. The short position we established last night was also successful, capturing nearly sixty to seventy points. The current price is around 2770.

After Ethereum surged to 2880 yesterday, it quickly fell back, forming a clear upper shadow, indicating strong selling pressure around 2900. The RSI and MACD on the 4-hour chart show signs of fatigue. If it cannot hold above 2820, the short-term trend remains bearish, with key support seen in the 2750-2700 range. The current price is oscillating around 2770; if it breaks below 2750 (support from the 4-hour MA60), it may accelerate down to the 2700-2720 area, even testing the previous dense trading area of 2650-2680. A rebound that does not break above 2820 with volume can be seen as a second short opportunity.

It is recommended to lightly short if it rebounds to 2800-2820, with a stop loss above 2860 and a target of 2750-2700; if it directly breaks below 2750, one can follow the trend. Caution is advised regarding the volatility of US stocks; if it unexpectedly stabilizes above 2880, one should stop loss and observe. Market sentiment is cautious, and blind chasing of long positions should be avoided.

The current coin price fluctuates around 108,500, showing a clear structure of spikes and pullbacks on the daily chart. After testing the key resistance level of 110,300 for the third time yesterday, the price quickly came under pressure, forming a 'triple top' pattern, accompanied by shrinking volume, indicating a depletion of bullish momentum.

The 110,300 area has become a watershed for bulls and bears, with multiple attempts to break through strengthening the selling pressure at this position. If the price cannot stabilize above 109,800 (4-hour MA30) during the day, the downward channel will further open. The 4-hour MACD has shown a bearish divergence and crossed downward, the RSI has fallen below the 50 midpoint entering a weak zone, and the KDJ lines are diverging downward, indicating a bearish bias on the short-term technical front. If the price remains below 108,000 (previous low neckline), it may accelerate towards the 105,500-106,000 range (Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level and weekly MA20 support).

Trading suggestions:
- Aggressive traders can gradually position short in the 109,000-109,500 area, with a stop-loss reference above 110,300 and targets at 107,000/105,500.
- If there is a volume-less breakout above 109,800, it can be seen as a second shorting opportunity.
#看懂K线 $BTC
Risk warning: Pay attention to the sentiment at the opening of the US stock market in the evening and changes in market liquidity. If there is a sudden positive news that breaks through 110,500 with volume, a stop-loss and wait-and-see is necessary.

In the evening, with the release of the CPI data, a wave of good news surged out, pushing the price of the currency up to around 109,980, with a one-minute unilateral increase of nearly 1,000 points. Subsequently, the price stabilized around 109,950, and there were multiple attempts to break through the 110,300 mark throughout the evening, but each bullish push faced resistance at this level. It is clear that the pressure from above is still quite strong. We also targeted the 110,000-111,000 range for short entries, and currently, our order has nearly 500 points of space, with the price now around 109,950.

The continuous long upper shadows on the 4-hour level indicate strong selling pressure above. Currently, the price is oscillating around 109,500, with the MACD and RSI indicators showing a decrease in bullish momentum, increasing the probability of a short-term correction. Key support is seen in the 109,000-109,200 range; if it breaks, it may drop to 108,500. A breakthrough above 110,300 is needed to open up new upward space.
#比特币突破11万美元 $BTC
In terms of operation, it is recommended to try short positions with light positions at current prices, with a stop-loss above 110,300 and a target of 108,800-108,500. Be cautious of changes in market sentiment during the night; if the 109,000 support holds firm, it may maintain high-level oscillations. The longer-term trend remains strong, and short positions are advised to be quick in and out.

The current coin price has been adjusted back to our evening, directly limiting the short strategy to look down at 109000#比特币突破11万美元 $BTC

BTC has quickly retreated after reaching highs of 110,600 and 110,300 for two consecutive days, forming a double-top structure that indicates strong selling pressure in the 110,000-110,600 area. The current price is hovering around 109,300; if it cannot hold the key support at 109,000, it may further pull back in the short term. The 4-hour MACD shows a divergence and a death cross, RSI has fallen from a high position, and volume indicates a weakening bullish momentum, with bears holding a short-term advantage.

Key levels and strategy: Watch for resistance in the 109,800-110,000 range above; if the rebound fails to break through, it can be seen as a short-selling opportunity. For support below, first watch 109,000; if it breaks, it may drop to 108,200 or even 107,500. Short-term traders may consider light short positions around 109,300, with a stop loss set above 109,850, targeting 108,500 and lower.
Risk warning: Although the technical aspects lean toward a pullback, one should be cautious of volatility brought by macro factors such as the U.S. CPI data this evening. If the price unexpectedly stabilizes above 110,000, it will be necessary to stop losses and reassess the trend. The current adjustment is a short-term technical correction, and the larger upward trend has not been broken, but in the short term, it is advised to operate with a bearish bias.

Recent trends show clear signs of a top. After two consecutive days of highs forming a 'double top' pattern, prices fell back after reaching a high of 110600 yesterday, and today quickly declined after another rise to 110300, indicating heavy selling pressure above. Current prices are oscillating around 109300, with the key support level at 109000 being tested multiple times. If it fails to stabilize effectively, losing this support level will open up a new round of downward space.

From the moving average system, the short-term 5-day moving average has crossed below the 10-day moving average, forming a death cross, indicating an initial trend of bearish arrangement, further confirming the weakening of the short-term trend. Meanwhile, the MACD indicator has shown a death cross above the zero axis, with green bars continuously expanding, indicating a depletion of bullish momentum in the market, while bearish forces are becoming dominant.
#看懂K线 $BTC
In addition, in terms of volume, both times of price increase showed a divergence between volume and price, meaning that while prices reached new highs, trading volume failed to increase in sync, indicating insufficient market enthusiasm for buying at higher prices, with clear signs of capital outflow. In summary, if the price cannot recover the critical level of 109000 in the short term, it is likely to continue a correction trend. One could short around 1098000-110300, paying attention to important support levels like 108000 and 107500 below. It is recommended to sell on rallies, strictly set stop losses, and avoid potential downward risks.

Last night, Ethereum (ETH) followed the upward momentum of Bitcoin (BTC) and surged strongly, successfully breaking through the key resistance of $2800, and stabilizing around $2825 this morning, showing strong buy support. Meanwhile, Bitcoin (BTC) also successfully broke through the 110,000 mark, and overall market sentiment has turned optimistic.

From a technical perspective, this recent surge in ETH not only broke through the daily descending trend line but also formed a significant volume breakout, indicating that bullish strength is dominant. Currently, $2800 has turned from resistance to support, and as long as the price can stabilize above this level, it is expected to continue challenging the $2850-2900 range. Additionally, if BTC can maintain a consolidation above $109,500, it will further consolidate the upward trend and provide upward momentum for mainstream coins like ETH. $ETH #以太坊生态回暖

In the short term, the RSI (4H) has not yet entered the overbought zone, and the MACD is showing a golden cross with increasing volume, indicating that the upward momentum is still continuing. In terms of operations, it is recommended to gradually build long positions as the price pulls back to around $2800, with a stop-loss set below $2780, targeting $2850-2900. If BTC can stabilize at 110,000 and continue to push higher, ETH may even break through its previous high and initiate a new round of upward momentum. The strategy is to primarily buy on dips and be cautious about chasing high prices, but do not easily short against the trend before it changes.