Recently, many people have said that the bull market is over, but according to my analysis of the current market, the bull market has not completely ended. We can analyze it in depth from several aspects: 1. Historical comparison In the past few rounds of bull markets, BTC often experienced a rapid decline of more than 40% after the market peaked, causing huge losses to many investors. However, this time, although the price of Bitcoin has adjusted for 2 months, it has fallen from $109,000 to $97,000, with a drop of only about 12%, which is much lower than the plunge in the past bull market. This shows that the market's downward range is small and still remains at a relatively high level, and the bull market has not completely ended.
PI Coin Core Data Exposure: Circulation has exceeded 6 billion, selling pressure risk cannot be ignored!
📌 Total Supply: 9.294 billion 📌 Circulation: 6.041 billion (65% of total supply) 📌 Number of Users: 60 million 📌 Verified Users: 19 million 📌 Users migrated to mainnet: 10 million
In comparison, Dogecoin had only 7.1 million wallet addresses in 2024, expected to reach a maximum of 10 million this year, while the number of PI Coin users has already reached 6 times that! But the question is, will a large number of PI Coin holders choose to sell? This is directly related to the market trend after the coin is listed.
If the selling pressure is too great, will PI Coin experience a “peak at the opening”?
PI Coin is different from ordinary public chain projects; it has a strong “faith effect,” but if the market cannot absorb the selling pressure, the risk of a price crash will increase. In the face of this situation, my trading strategy is as follows:
✅ Short-term Strategy: Observe liquidity, quick in and out! If there is insufficient buying and low trading volume after the opening, it means the market acceptance is low, and it is not advisable to blindly enter. I will focus on the opening price and short-term fluctuation range to capture short-term arbitrage opportunities.
✅ Mid-term Strategy: Observe the controlling power of the main player! If the project party or main funds have control power, they may stabilize the coin price by restricting withdrawals, controlling circulation, etc. I will closely monitor OKX's trading policies to see if there are hidden benefits or changes in rules.
✅ Long-term Strategy: Faith vs. Real Value! If PI Coin can gradually build a practical application ecosystem, the market consensus will naturally strengthen. However, if it relies solely on user base and “faith marketing,” it will ultimately be difficult to escape the outcome of a bubble burst. I will wait for the market to calm down before deciding whether to hold long-term! Go with the trend and refuse to be swayed by “faith”!
The market opportunities for PI Coin are worth paying attention to, but the core of trading is always risk management. As a trader, I will not blindly chase highs, but will closely monitor liquidity, observe market sentiment, and flexibly adjust strategies based on trends. Whether the selling pressure can be resolved will determine if PI Coin is the “next Dogecoin” or “the next bubble coin”! What do you think? Feel free to leave a comment for discussion! #参与投票-PI该上线币安吗?
The liquidity of the market is continuously declining, and the sentiment remains low in the short term.
Funding aspect: The secondary market is experiencing capital diversion due to new coins from VC and the TRUMP presidential coin, leading to a further reduction in existing capital. The primary market is attracting funds due to various junk presidential coins, celebrity coins, and other projects, further exacerbating the market's 'bloodletting effect.'
Market structure and trend: Liquidity contraction: The trading depth of the market has worsened, the buying support has weakened, and bullish confidence has been undermined. Price trend: In the current environment, the market may gradually seek a bottom through oscillating declines, with support expected to build above 90,000.
Strategy recommendation: Avoid heavy positions or long-term holdings, as the market does not have the conditions for sustained upward movement in the short term. Adopt a short-term trading strategy, quickly entering and exiting in a volatile market to flexibly respond to market changes. Pay attention to market rhythm, and patiently wait for liquidity improvement or the formation of a new trend before adjusting trading strategies.
No matter how skilled a trader or investor may be, it is often difficult to completely escape the influence of crowd emotions. This behavior of 'going with the flow' is a reflection of human nature. However, when you choose to place your bets simply because 'most people think this way,' losses often begin from that point.
The Paradox of Investing: Feeling the Crowd vs. Independent of the Crowd The greatest contradiction in investing is: 1. Cannot be far from the crowd: You need to understand market sentiment and feel the psychology of the masses, as market price fluctuations are often the result of crowd behavior. 2. Must also be independent of the crowd: Relying too much on crowd emotions or going with the flow can easily lead to poor decision-making, ultimately resulting in losses.
This seemingly contradictory behavior is, in essence, a great test of the psychological quality and professional ability of investors. How to gain insight into crowd behavior while maintaining independent thinking is a required course for every successful investor.
How to balance these two? 1. Analyze the market from a professional perspective - Use data and rational logic to avoid being swayed by short-term emotional fluctuations. - Through technical analysis or fundamental analysis, seek out real opportunities in the market instead of blindly following trends.
2. Train psychological resilience - Learn to stay calm during market euphoria, not driven by greed; remain rational during market pessimism, not dominated by fear.
3. Form an independent trading system - Have a clear investment framework, set entry and exit criteria, and avoid changing strategies arbitrarily due to external voices.
The Process of Cultivation: Discipline and Growth Investing is not only a technical competition but also a psychological practice. Feeling the crowd while being independent of it, this process is akin to cultivation, requiring time, experience, and discipline. Only through continual summarization and reflection in practice can one gradually master this art and prevent the herding effect from becoming the source of losses.
The investment market is never short of opportunities; what is lacking are those investors who can persist in independent thinking and not be swept away by emotions. Rather than going with the flow, it is better to find your own direction amid the noise of the market.
Let's share several potential altcoins that have attracted much attention from institutions. Which ones may become the opportunity points for the next round of outbreak?
10.#PUFFER Supporting institutions: Fidelity, Electric Capital
11.#VELO Supporting institutions: BlackRock
These currencies have attracted top capital investment, and they represent popular tracks such as DeFi, RWA, AI, etc. The entry of institutions not only enhances the trust of the project, but also provides financial support and confidence to the market. Paying close attention to these currencies and related developments may help you capture the next round of market opportunities in advance.
Tips: The volatility of the crypto market is extremely high. Although there are potential high-return opportunities, they are also accompanied by huge risks. Investors are advised to always remain calm, develop a sound strategy, conduct in-depth research on each investment target, and respond to market changes with a rational mindset.
The Trump family crypto project WLFI currently holds the following currencies: #BTC#ETH #LINK #AVAE#ONOD#ENA Currencies that may be held in the future: #MAKER#UNI#DYDX#LDO#PENDLE#EIGEN#CRV
1. Look at market opportunities rationally The cryptocurrency market has passed the early stage of wild growth and is gradually moving towards formalization and financialization. Large-scale capital institutions have begun to dominate the market. It is no longer an era where ordinary investors can easily get dozens or hundreds of times the return by pinching a coin. Even in a bull market, the number of currencies that can be multiplied by more than ten times will be very limited.
2. A sound trading strategy Although full-position stud and high-leverage trading can bring huge profits, they are also accompanied by huge risks. The essence of currency speculation lies in rolling positions, not the income of a single order. Gradually accumulate profits and avoid betting everything.
3. Be wary of market frenzy When you see someone frantically touting a certain coin, it is often the end of the coin's market. If you have already held this coin before, you can consider taking profits at the right time. If you don't hold it, it's best to avoid entering the market to avoid becoming a receiver.
1. Market divergence still exists. The market often develops in divergence and perishes in consensus! 2. Many people have not yet entered the market. Don't wait for a callback. The opportunities are limited. Lay the foundation for the main force to rise in the later period! 3. The main force is good at using human weaknesses to wash the market. The market is safe, but the mentality must be stable! 4. The bulls are not against the sky to change their fate, but to seize the opportunity. You must have a position to participate, otherwise you can only watch others make money.
The only way to beat the market is to hold enough chips, and avoid full positions. You can attack when you advance and defend when you retreat. #BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 #NOT还会上涨吗 #alice
Phase 1: Bottom accumulation and oscillating upward
Main force action: The main force gradually intervenes and begins to slowly raise the stock price, while creating oscillations to give the market a sense of uncertainty to cover its own position building behavior.
Market reaction: Market sentiment is relatively low at this stage, and many investors are still hit by the previous decline and dare not enter the market rashly. Smart investors see the bottom signs of the market and begin to buy on dips.
Phase 2: Break through the previous high and establish the trend Main force action: The main force increases the pull-up force, the stock price breaks through the previous high, and a clear upward trend is formed on the technical side, and market confidence gradually recovers.
Phase 3: Comprehensive pull-up, market frenzy Main force action: The main force pulls up sharply, pushing the stock price up rapidly, and market sentiment reaches its peak. Various good news are frequently released, and the market atmosphere is extremely optimistic.
To summarize the characteristics of the cryptocurrency circle that it is not easy to make money, we can further improve it in the following aspects: Those who dare not hold heavy positions: Risk control is important, but being too conservative in the long term will miss big opportunities Those who do short-term or ultra-short-term trading: Frequent trading not only increases transaction costs, but is also easily affected by market fluctuations Those who chase after rising positions: lack of clear investment strategies, which can easily lead to buying high and selling low Not stopping losses when trapped: Failure to stop losses in time may cause greater losses Those who blindly and frequently cover positions at the beginning of a downward trend: The risk of covering positions when the trend is unclear is relatively high Those who hold coins for a short time: Prices fluctuate greatly in the short term, and it is easy to miss long-term opportunities for rising Those who chase when it rises and cut when it falls: There is no clear plan for following the trend and it is easy to be swayed by market sentiment Those who frequently change coins: Frequently changing coins will increase transaction costs and it is difficult to accumulate experience in in-depth research
The coin #ENAUSDT is undervalued at $0.8, and its mechanism makes it spiral upward
The premise is a bull market. If it is a bear market or an extreme black swan, I estimate that this token will instantly return to zero, just like Luna fell to the bottom
However, at this stage, it seems that its transition is very good. 10% of the circulation exceeds the market value of $10 billion, which should be no problem for this target
The best way to operate is to learn to buy and sell, don’t just buy without selling😂
#BTC走势分析 The current economic situation is neither deflation nor inflation. Someone has invented a new word: "all-killing". Everything you can afford is rising in price, and everything you cannot afford is falling in price.
Tugou Rule: 1. Double the capital, don't be greedy; 2. If the position is too high, don't fomo, enter only when there is a chance; 3. Don't go all-in, opportunities are common, but capital is not; 4. Buy the leader, don't copy the market overnight, a hot leader is likely to be more stable; 5. No one can hit the target every time, it is normal to rush to Pixiu, spread the funds, there will always be money to be made.