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Bullish
#BTCRebound As it is firmly compressed between two important exponential moving averages, Bitcoin is currently experiencing a crucial technical moment that resembles a traditional price squeeze. Although bulls may just be in the lead, this tension in the charts is preparing for a possible volatility-driven breakout in either direction. Bitcoin is currently trading at about $84,000 just above the 100-day EMA and encountering resistance from the 200-day EMA at about $87,350. A resolution appears imminent as a result of the pressure created by this small trading range. A break above the 200 EMA would invalidate the long-standing death cross that has hampered Bitcoins midterm performance in addition to indicating bullish momentum. The chart’s slightly declining volume is frequently a sign of a coiling move, which is a prelude to explosive price action. When a clear move occurs, traders will have room to influence price action because the RSI is neutral at about 51.5, indicating that Bitcoin is neither overbought nor oversold. A short squeeze could force prices back toward the psychological $90,000 level and higher if Bitcoin is able to break above the 200 EMA. A move like that would turn around pessimistic sentiment and possibly usher in a new bullish market phase. However, if resistance is not overcome, there may be a rejection down toward the $82,000–$83,000 support zone where the 100 EMA currently provides a safety net. Below that, there is a chance that Bitcoin will lose steam and enter another period of consolidation or correction.
#BTCRebound
As it is firmly compressed between two important exponential moving averages, Bitcoin is currently experiencing a crucial technical moment that resembles a traditional price squeeze. Although bulls may just be in the lead, this tension in the charts is preparing for a possible volatility-driven breakout in either direction.

Bitcoin is currently trading at about $84,000 just above the 100-day EMA and encountering resistance from the 200-day EMA at about $87,350. A resolution appears imminent as a result of the pressure created by this small trading range. A break above the 200 EMA would invalidate the long-standing death cross that has hampered Bitcoins midterm performance in addition to indicating bullish momentum.

The chart’s slightly declining volume is frequently a sign of a coiling move, which is a prelude to explosive price action. When a clear move occurs, traders will have room to influence price action because the RSI is neutral at about 51.5, indicating that Bitcoin is neither overbought nor oversold.

A short squeeze could force prices back toward the psychological $90,000 level and higher if Bitcoin is able to break above the 200 EMA. A move like that would turn around pessimistic sentiment and possibly usher in a new bullish market phase. However, if resistance is not overcome, there may be a rejection down toward the $82,000–$83,000 support zone where the 100 EMA currently provides a safety net. Below that, there is a chance that Bitcoin will lose steam and enter another period of consolidation or correction.
#CryptoTariffDrop  U.S. President Donald Trump has announced a significant increase in tariffs on Chinese goods, raising the rate to 125% with immediate effect. The announcement was made via a post on Truth Social, a social media platform. The President cited China’s lack of respect for global markets as the primary reason for this decision. In the same post, President Trump also mentioned the possibility of China realizing in the near future that its current trade practices with the U.S. and other nations are neither sustainable nor acceptable.
#CryptoTariffDrop
 U.S. President Donald Trump has announced a significant increase in tariffs on Chinese goods, raising the rate to 125% with immediate effect. The announcement was made via a post on Truth Social, a social media platform. The President cited China’s lack of respect for global markets as the primary reason for this decision.

In the same post, President Trump also mentioned the possibility of China realizing in the near future that its current trade practices with the U.S. and other nations are neither sustainable nor acceptable.
$BTC  As the Bitcoin (BTC) price trades in red amid the latest wave of market volatility, Strategy Chairman Michael Saylor took to X (formerly Twitter) with a single-word response that said it all: "HODL" Bitcoin’s price fell by more than 5% in 24 hours as continued macroeconomic headwinds pushed the broader crypto market into the red in the early Wednesday session. Despite the drop, Saylor maintains his bullish posture with characteristic stoicism. Under Saylor’s leadership, Strategy has become one of the largest corporate holders of Bitcoin. Over a week ago, Strategy announced the purchase of $1.9 billion in Bitcoin, making it the firm’s largest investment in terms of coins this year. As of March 30, Strategy held 528,185 BTC, acquired for almost $35.63 billion at about $67,458 per Bitcoin.
$BTC  As the Bitcoin (BTC) price trades in red amid the latest wave of market volatility, Strategy Chairman Michael Saylor took to X (formerly Twitter) with a single-word response that said it all: "HODL"

Bitcoin’s price fell by more than 5% in 24 hours as continued macroeconomic headwinds pushed the broader crypto market into the red in the early Wednesday session. Despite the drop, Saylor maintains his bullish posture with characteristic stoicism.

Under Saylor’s leadership, Strategy has become one of the largest corporate holders of Bitcoin. Over a week ago, Strategy announced the purchase of $1.9 billion in Bitcoin, making it the firm’s largest investment in terms of coins this year.

As of March 30, Strategy held 528,185 BTC, acquired for almost $35.63 billion at about $67,458 per Bitcoin.
#TrumpTariffs - U.S. President Donald Trump has announced a significant increase in tariffs on Chinese goods, raising the rate to 125% with immediate effect. The announcement was made via a post on Truth Social, a social media platform. The President cited China’s lack of respect for global markets as the primary reason for this decision. In the same post, President Trump also mentioned the possibility of China realizing in the near future that its current trade practices with the U.S. and other nations are neither sustainable nor acceptable. In addition to the tariff increase, the President also addressed the ongoing discussions regarding trade, trade barriers, tariffs, currency manipulation, and non-monetary tariffs. He noted that more than 75 countries have contacted U.S. representatives, including those from the Departments of Commerce, Treasury, and the U.S. Trade Representative (USTR), to negotiate a solution to these issues. In response to these discussions, and at his strong suggestion, these countries have not retaliated against the United States in any way. As a result, President Trump has authorized a 90-day pause and a substantial reduction in the reciprocal tariff to 10%, also effective immediately
#TrumpTariffs
- U.S. President Donald Trump has announced a significant increase in tariffs on Chinese goods, raising the rate to 125% with immediate effect. The announcement was made via a post on Truth Social, a social media platform. The President cited China’s lack of respect for global markets as the primary reason for this decision.

In the same post, President Trump also mentioned the possibility of China realizing in the near future that its current trade practices with the U.S. and other nations are neither sustainable nor acceptable.

In addition to the tariff increase, the President also addressed the ongoing discussions regarding trade, trade barriers, tariffs, currency manipulation, and non-monetary tariffs. He noted that more than 75 countries have contacted U.S. representatives, including those from the Departments of Commerce, Treasury, and the U.S. Trade Representative (USTR), to negotiate a solution to these issues.

In response to these discussions, and at his strong suggestion, these countries have not retaliated against the United States in any way. As a result, President Trump has authorized a 90-day pause and a substantial reduction in the reciprocal tariff to 10%, also effective immediately
#CryptoTariffDrop China will impose 84% tariffs on U.S. goods from Thursday, up from the 34% previously announced, its finance ministry said on Wednesday, firing the latest salvo in a global trade war sparked by U.S. President Donald Trump. Trump’s "reciprocal" tariffs on dozens of countries took effect earlier on Wednesday, including massive 104% duties on Chinese goods. The European Union is also preparing its own retaliatory measures for later on Wednesday. Trump’s punishing tariffs have shaken a global trading order that has persisted for decades, raised fears of recession and wiped trillions of dollars off the market value of major firms. Trump nearly doubled duties on Chinese imports, which had been set at 54% last week, in response to previous counter-tariffs from Beijing. Earlier in the day, China called its trade surplus with the United States an inevitability and warned it had the "determination and means" to continue the fight if Trump kept hitting Chinese goods.
#CryptoTariffDrop
China will impose 84% tariffs on U.S. goods from Thursday, up from the 34% previously announced, its finance ministry said on Wednesday, firing the latest salvo in a global trade war sparked by U.S. President Donald Trump.

Trump’s "reciprocal" tariffs on dozens of countries took effect earlier on Wednesday, including massive 104% duties on Chinese goods.

The European Union is also preparing its own retaliatory measures for later on Wednesday.

Trump’s punishing tariffs have shaken a global trading order that has persisted for decades, raised fears of recession and wiped trillions of dollars off the market value of major firms.

Trump nearly doubled duties on Chinese imports, which had been set at 54% last week, in response to previous counter-tariffs from Beijing.

Earlier in the day, China called its trade surplus with the United States an inevitability and warned it had the "determination and means" to continue the fight if Trump kept hitting Chinese goods.
#TrumpTariffs Monday’s declaration by U.S. President Donald Trump indicates a further escalation in the trade tensions between the United States and China. Trump, in a post on Truth Social media, has stated that the United States will impose an additional 50% tariff on Chinese goods if China does not rescind its recent 34% tariff hike by April 8, 2025. This ultimatum follows China’s retaliatory tariffs and other trade practices that Trump has labeled as abusive.
#TrumpTariffs
Monday’s declaration by U.S. President Donald Trump indicates a further escalation in the trade tensions between the United States and China. Trump, in a post on Truth Social media, has stated that the United States will impose an additional 50% tariff on Chinese goods if China does not rescind its recent 34% tariff hike by April 8, 2025. This ultimatum follows China’s retaliatory tariffs and other trade practices that Trump has labeled as abusive.
#DiversifyYourAssets - U.S. stock futures slumped further Monday as the Trump administration maintained its stance on tariffs, raising fears of a global recession. The European Union is set to announce its retaliation, after China started the ball rolling last week. The banking sector has already been hit hard, crude has fallen to four-year lows, while Apple faces extreme difficulties given its massive Chinese exposure.
#DiversifyYourAssets
- U.S. stock futures slumped further Monday as the Trump administration maintained its stance on tariffs, raising fears of a global recession. The European Union is set to announce its retaliation, after China started the ball rolling last week. The banking sector has already been hit hard, crude has fallen to four-year lows, while Apple faces extreme difficulties given its massive Chinese exposure.
#BTCBelow80K Bitcoin fell sharply to a near one-month low in early morning trade on Monday, extending recent losses as risk appetite was decimated by U.S. President Donald Trump imposing steep trade tariffs and sparking a global trade war.  Traders remained on edge over a potential “Black Monday” event akin to a market crash seen in 1987, where global stock markets could fall sharply on Monday after logging steep losses in the past week. Cryptocurrency markets largely slumped in tandem with stocks, as global appetite for risk-driven stocks largely unwound. Total crypto market capitalization also slumped by about $500 billion since last week.  Bitcoin fell as much as 8.6% to $75,867 by 05:22 ET (09:22 GMT), marking its lowest level since November 2024. 
#BTCBelow80K
Bitcoin fell sharply to a near one-month low in early morning trade on Monday, extending recent losses as risk appetite was decimated by U.S. President Donald Trump imposing steep trade tariffs and sparking a global trade war. 

Traders remained on edge over a potential “Black Monday” event akin to a market crash seen in 1987, where global stock markets could fall sharply on Monday after logging steep losses in the past week.

Cryptocurrency markets largely slumped in tandem with stocks, as global appetite for risk-driven stocks largely unwound. Total crypto market capitalization also slumped by about $500 billion since last week. 

Bitcoin fell as much as 8.6% to $75,867 by 05:22 ET (09:22 GMT), marking its lowest level since November 2024. 
#RiskRewardRatio Trump’s tariffs triggered a 3% drop in the dollar, shifting market focus from inflation to growth risks. With rising costs and slowing exports, confidence in the dollar’s global role is fading. As key support levels break, a deeper slide looks likely—unless the Fed steps in.
#RiskRewardRatio
Trump’s tariffs triggered a 3% drop in the dollar, shifting market focus from inflation to growth risks.

With rising costs and slowing exports, confidence in the dollar’s global role is fading.

As key support levels break, a deeper slide looks likely—unless the Fed steps in.
#BTCvsMarkets JUST IN: 🇯🇵 Japan suspends Nikkei 225 stock futures trading due to circuit breaker.
#BTCvsMarkets
JUST IN: 🇯🇵 Japan suspends Nikkei 225 stock futures trading due to circuit breaker.
$BTC Bitcoin’s price tests the critical $84K level according to the Gann Square pattern. Bitcoin’s higher low at $84K could signal a bullish trend if it holds. Gann Square 1440/200 is a decisive point for Bitcoin’s price direction Bitcoin continues to hover around big levels and is testing key Gann Square lines. As at April 2025, Bitcoin’s price is US$83,443.81. The uncertainty in Bitcoin’s future is linked with the critical support and resistance zones that are being tested. The daily chart is suggestive of a possible reversal for Bitcoin. Fractals on the chart could disclose whether or not the price will manage to hold above the current low or if it will decline even lower. This higher low must originate before a malevolent breaking down of Bitcoin can commence.
$BTC Bitcoin’s price tests the critical $84K level according to the Gann Square pattern.

Bitcoin’s higher low at $84K could signal a bullish trend if it holds.

Gann Square 1440/200 is a decisive point for Bitcoin’s price direction

Bitcoin continues to hover around big levels and is testing key Gann Square lines. As at April 2025, Bitcoin’s price is US$83,443.81. The uncertainty in Bitcoin’s future is linked with the critical support and resistance zones that are being tested. The daily chart is suggestive of a possible reversal for Bitcoin. Fractals on the chart could disclose whether or not the price will manage to hold above the current low or if it will decline even lower. This higher low must originate before a malevolent breaking down of Bitcoin can commence.
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Bearish
#PowellRemarks Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said on Friday in remarks that pointed to the potentially difficult set of decisions ahead for the U.S. central bank. "We face a highly uncertain outlook with elevated risks of both higher unemployment and higher inflation," undermining both of the Fed’s mandates of 2% inflation and maximum employment, Powell said in prepared remarks to a business journalists’ conference in Arlington, Virginia. Powell spoke as global markets continued a swoon that has wiped some 10% off major U.S. stock indexes since Trump announced a raft of new tariffs on trading partners around the world on Wednesday. Powell did not address the selloff directly, but acknowledged that the Fed faced the same uncertainty engulfing investors and company executives. Stocks added to the days losses after Powell’s remarks were published. The Fed, he said, has time to wait for more data to decide how monetary policy should respond, but the central bank’s focus will be on ensuring that inflation expectations remain anchored, particularly if Trump’s import taxes touch off a more persistent jump in price pressures. "While tariffs are highly likely to generate at least a temporary rise in inflation, it is also possible that the effects could be more persistent," Powell said. "Avoiding that outcome would depend on keeping longer-term inflation expectations well anchored, on the size of the effects, and on how long it takes for them to pass through fully to prices. Our obligation is to keep longer-term inflation expectations well anchored and to make certain that a one-time increase in the price level does not become an ongoing inflation problem," he said.  Powell said it was not the Fed’s role to comment on the Trump administration’s policies but rather to react to how they might affect an economy that he and his colleagues regarded just a few weeks ago as being in a "sweet spot" of falling inflation and low unemployment.
#PowellRemarks
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said on Friday in remarks that pointed to the potentially difficult set of decisions ahead for the U.S. central bank.

"We face a highly uncertain outlook with elevated risks of both higher unemployment and higher inflation," undermining both of the Fed’s mandates of 2% inflation and maximum employment, Powell said in prepared remarks to a business journalists’ conference in Arlington, Virginia.

Powell spoke as global markets continued a swoon that has wiped some 10% off major U.S. stock indexes since Trump announced a raft of new tariffs on trading partners around the world on Wednesday. Powell did not address the selloff directly, but acknowledged that the Fed faced the same uncertainty engulfing investors and company executives. Stocks added to the days losses after Powell’s remarks were published.

The Fed, he said, has time to wait for more data to decide how monetary policy should respond, but the central bank’s focus will be on ensuring that inflation expectations remain anchored, particularly if Trump’s import taxes touch off a more persistent jump in price pressures.

"While tariffs are highly likely to generate at least a temporary rise in inflation, it is also possible that the effects could be more persistent," Powell said.

"Avoiding that outcome would depend on keeping longer-term inflation expectations well anchored, on the size of the effects, and on how long it takes for them to pass through fully to prices. Our obligation is to keep longer-term inflation expectations well anchored and to make certain that a one-time increase in the price level does not become an ongoing inflation problem," he said. 

Powell said it was not the Fed’s role to comment on the Trump administration’s policies but rather to react to how they might affect an economy that he and his colleagues regarded just a few weeks ago as being in a "sweet spot" of falling inflation and low unemployment.
$BTC Singapore, Singapore, April 4th, 2025, Chainwire Yala, the Bitcoin-native liquidity layer enabling cross-ecosystem financial access, today announced the upcoming launch of Yala RealYield, a curated marketplace for real-world asset (RWA) yield opportunities powered by Bitcoin. The new platform will enable BTC holders to earn regulated, risk-adjusted yields by allocating capital into tokenized financial products, including U.S. Treasury bills, private credit, corporate bonds, and real estate-backed assets. Yala RealYield is designed as a unified access point to all of Yala’s RWA-related integrations. Rather than operating as a standalone product, it consolidates partnerships and investment opportunities into a structured platform where users can explore, compare, and combine diverse RWA yield sources, each offering distinct risk profiles, durations, and APYs. By enabling global, 24/7 access to high-quality, compliant RWA opportunities, Yala RealYield democratizes investment strategies previously limited to institutional investors and high-net-worth individuals.
$BTC

Singapore, Singapore, April 4th, 2025, Chainwire

Yala, the Bitcoin-native liquidity layer enabling cross-ecosystem financial access, today announced the upcoming launch of Yala RealYield, a curated marketplace for real-world asset (RWA) yield opportunities powered by Bitcoin. The new platform will enable BTC holders to earn regulated, risk-adjusted yields by allocating capital into tokenized financial products, including U.S. Treasury bills, private credit, corporate bonds, and real estate-backed assets.

Yala RealYield is designed as a unified access point to all of Yala’s RWA-related integrations. Rather than operating as a standalone product, it consolidates partnerships and investment opportunities into a structured platform where users can explore, compare, and combine diverse RWA yield sources, each offering distinct risk profiles, durations, and APYs.

By enabling global, 24/7 access to high-quality, compliant RWA opportunities, Yala RealYield democratizes investment strategies previously limited to institutional investors and high-net-worth individuals.
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Bearish
#CryptoTariffDrop China announced a 34% tariff on all imports from the United States, effective from April 10, according to the official Xinhua News Agency. China’s decision comes in response to a similar 34% tariff imposed by the United States on Chinese goods, escalating the ongoing tariff war between the two nations. 
#CryptoTariffDrop
China announced a 34% tariff on all imports from the United States, effective from April 10, according to the official Xinhua News Agency.

China’s decision comes in response to a similar 34% tariff imposed by the United States on Chinese goods, escalating the ongoing tariff war between the two nations. 
$BTC Macroeconomic Risks Threaten Bitcoin US trade policies and Trump’s tariffs are having a negative impact not only on the US economy but also on global markets. In particular, the pressure that new tariffs could put on crypto assets could trigger Bitcoin’s short-term selloff. However, Bitcoin’s future does not only depend on trade policies. Global liquidity conditions, the Fed’s interest rate decisions and monetary steps such as quantitative easing (QE) will be more crucial factors determining Bitcoin’s price movements. Given the current situation, Trump’s statements and trade policies have added pressure to traditional markets, contributing to Bitcoin’s gradual decline. Reaction buying has remained limited as selling pressure has built up since February. While the crypto market’s internal dynamics are strong, the dominance of ETF-driven trading has made traditional market influences more pronounced. This has kept Bitcoin from acting as a safe haven and increased its correlation with riskier assets like stocks.
$BTC Macroeconomic Risks Threaten Bitcoin

US trade policies and Trump’s tariffs are having a negative impact not only on the US economy but also on global markets. In particular, the pressure that new tariffs could put on crypto assets could trigger Bitcoin’s short-term selloff. However, Bitcoin’s future does not only depend on trade policies. Global liquidity conditions, the Fed’s interest rate decisions and monetary steps such as quantitative easing (QE) will be more crucial factors determining Bitcoin’s price movements.

Given the current situation, Trump’s statements and trade policies have added pressure to traditional markets, contributing to Bitcoin’s gradual decline. Reaction buying has remained limited as selling pressure has built up since February.

While the crypto market’s internal dynamics are strong, the dominance of ETF-driven trading has made traditional market influences more pronounced. This has kept Bitcoin from acting as a safe haven and increased its correlation with riskier assets like stocks.
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Bearish
$BTC Trump’s tariffs have led to global market fluctuations, which have also affected Bitcoin’s price. Bitcoin’s price is now more correlated with traditional market movements due to economic policy influences. Bitcoin, however, needs to break above $86,300 to signal a potential upward trend; otherwise, it may continue to fall. Global markets faced sharp fluctuations after Trump’s tariff announcement this week. The tariffs hit US stock markets hard, with steep declines in the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones. This also affected the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin initially rose after Trump’s announcement but then dropped about 5% to $81,300. However, selling pressure has been absorbed for now. At first, BTC climbed as high as $88,500 but later followed a downtrend, holding its one-week support level near $82,500. As stock markets see their steepest declines since the COVID-19 pandemic, Bitcoin’s resilience has given investors some confidence. However, concerns about the global economy remain a major risk for crypto. Tariffs could increase inflation, which may lead Fed to take a stricter stance on interest rate cuts. This would create a less favorable environment for Bitcoin. Given the rapid flow of capital in the crypto market, macroeconomic risks could lead to even more volatility in the coming week.
$BTC
Trump’s tariffs have led to global market fluctuations, which have also affected Bitcoin’s price.

Bitcoin’s price is now more correlated with traditional market movements due to economic policy influences.

Bitcoin, however, needs to break above $86,300 to signal a potential upward trend; otherwise, it may continue to fall.

Global markets faced sharp fluctuations after Trump’s tariff announcement this week. The tariffs hit US stock markets hard, with steep declines in the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones. This also affected the cryptocurrency market.

Bitcoin initially rose after Trump’s announcement but then dropped about 5% to $81,300. However, selling pressure has been absorbed for now. At first, BTC climbed as high as $88,500 but later followed a downtrend, holding its one-week support level near $82,500. As stock markets see their steepest declines since the COVID-19 pandemic, Bitcoin’s resilience has given investors some confidence.

However, concerns about the global economy remain a major risk for crypto. Tariffs could increase inflation, which may lead Fed to take a stricter stance on interest rate cuts. This would create a less favorable environment for Bitcoin. Given the rapid flow of capital in the crypto market, macroeconomic risks could lead to even more volatility in the coming week.
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Bearish
#CryptoTariffDrop #TrumpTariffs JPMorgan has raised the probability of a global recession this year to 60%, driven by the economic shock stemming from a sweeping U.S. tariff hike announced on Liberation Day. The move marks the largest tax increase on U.S. households and businesses since 1968, and could trigger a significant downturn if fully implemented, the Wall Street giant warns. The new tariff regime includes a baseline 10% levy on all imports, with higher rates—up to 20% or more—targeted at countries running trade surpluses with the U.S., notably China and the European Union (EU). JPMorgan estimates this will lift the average effective tariff rate by 22 percentage points, translating to a $700 billion tax increase, or 2.4% of GDP.
#CryptoTariffDrop #TrumpTariffs

JPMorgan has raised the probability of a global recession this year to 60%, driven by the economic shock stemming from a sweeping U.S. tariff hike announced on Liberation Day.

The move marks the largest tax increase on U.S. households and businesses since 1968, and could trigger a significant downturn if fully implemented, the Wall Street giant warns.

The new tariff regime includes a baseline 10% levy on all imports, with higher rates—up to 20% or more—targeted at countries running trade surpluses with the U.S., notably China and the European Union (EU).

JPMorgan estimates this will lift the average effective tariff rate by 22 percentage points, translating to a $700 billion tax increase, or 2.4% of GDP.
#CryptoTariffDrop #TrumpTariffs Trump's Tariff ' a must worst case scenario ' The effective tariffs are expected to rise to 20%, although the team of analysts at BofA anticipates that negotiations will lead to the reduction of some tariffs as the Administration aims to secure country-specific agreements with nations other than China. Should the tariffs persist at these levels, BofA’s team forecasts a 1-1.5% increase in U.S. inflation and a similar drag on GDP. This would put the economy "on the precipice of recession," Thornton added. Inflationary pressures could complicate the Federal Reserve’s ability to implement rate cuts in 2025, whereas an economic slowdown might necessitate aggressive cuts in 2026. The tariffs are also predicted to lower the global growth forecast by at least 50 basis points from the current expectation of 3.1%. The bank’s U.S. Equity Strategy team estimates that the S&P earnings could see a reduction ranging from 5% to 35%, depending on the extent of retaliatory measures by trade partners. With the announcement of the tariffs, some uncertainty has been lifted as the rates and implementation dates are now known, providing a basis for future negotiations. The rates market is adjusting to the increased risk of stagflation and is pricing in more than 75 basis points of rate cuts for 2025, reflecting belief that the Fed will prioritize the downside risks to growth over the inflationary risks.
#CryptoTariffDrop #TrumpTariffs

Trump's Tariff ' a must worst case scenario '

The effective tariffs are expected to rise to 20%, although the team of analysts at BofA anticipates that negotiations will lead to the reduction of some tariffs as the Administration aims to secure country-specific agreements with nations other than China.

Should the tariffs persist at these levels, BofA’s team forecasts a 1-1.5% increase in U.S. inflation and a similar drag on GDP. This would put the economy "on the precipice of recession," Thornton added.

Inflationary pressures could complicate the Federal Reserve’s ability to implement rate cuts in 2025, whereas an economic slowdown might necessitate aggressive cuts in 2026.

The tariffs are also predicted to lower the global growth forecast by at least 50 basis points from the current expectation of 3.1%.

The bank’s U.S. Equity Strategy team estimates that the S&P earnings could see a reduction ranging from 5% to 35%, depending on the extent of retaliatory measures by trade partners.

With the announcement of the tariffs, some uncertainty has been lifted as the rates and implementation dates are now known, providing a basis for future negotiations.

The rates market is adjusting to the increased risk of stagflation and is pricing in more than 75 basis points of rate cuts for 2025, reflecting belief that the Fed will prioritize the downside risks to growth over the inflationary risks.
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