The Iran nuclear crisis has triggered geopolitical tensions, leading to short-term pressure on Bitcoin prices. On June 13, 2025, following an Israeli airstrike on Iran, Bitcoin fell below $103,000, with a 24-hour decline of about 3-5%. Other cryptocurrencies, such as Ethereum, experienced even greater declines, with over $1.1 billion in liquidations across the network. The escalation of the crisis has directed safe-haven funds towards gold and crude oil, undermining Bitcoin's 'digital gold' narrative. However, market panic may be exaggerated, and technical indicators show that Bitcoin has support around $104,000, potentially rebounding to above $110,000 if the crisis eases or U.S. policies become clearer. In the long term, geopolitical conflicts may drive up energy prices, benefiting Bitcoin. Prediction: Short-term volatility, medium to long-term recovery due to increased safe-haven demand.
On June 18, 2025, the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting is expected to maintain the federal funds rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.5%, with the market predicting a possible rate cut of 0.25% in September. The dot plot shows expectations of two rate cuts within the year, but most officials prefer only one rate cut or maintaining the rate. Economic forecasts lowered the 2025 GDP growth rate to 1.7%, the unemployment rate was raised to 4.4%, and inflation expectations rose to 2.7%-2.8%. Powell emphasized "no change" to cope with changes, focusing on tariffs and inflation uncertainty, and denying an impending recession. The pace of balance sheet reduction has been slowed, with Treasury securities holdings being reduced at a rate of $5 billion/month starting in April. The market reacted positively, with US stocks rising and the US dollar falling. The Federal Reserve's policy needs to balance inflation and employment. Trump's policies may exacerbate inflationary pressures, and the pace of rate cuts is becoming more cautious.
The long-term impact of US tariffs on the cryptocurrency market is complex and multifaceted.
Firstly, tariffs increase import costs, leading to higher inflation expectations and a stronger dollar, which may squeeze liquidity from high-risk assets like Bitcoin, putting pressure on short-term prices.
Secondly, increased global trade friction exacerbates economic uncertainty, prompting investors to turn to decentralized crypto assets as safe-haven instruments, which is a long-term positive for mainstream coins like Bitcoin.
Thirdly, tariffs may drive up crypto mining costs (such as hardware and energy), squeezing the profits of small and medium-sized miners and accelerating industry concentration. In addition, if the United States adjusts its crypto regulatory policies due to the tariff war, it may affect market confidence. However, if "crypto-friendly" policies promoted by Trump (such as strategic Bitcoin reserves) are implemented, it may stimulate market growth.
Overall, the economic volatility brought about by tariffs may suppress the crypto market in the short term, but in the long term it may strengthen the safe-haven attributes and global adoption rate of crypto assets, depending on policy games and market adaptation.
BTC is about to continuously break new highs, get on board quickly
$BTC Reasons for Bitcoin's continuous new highs include: First, the supply and demand relationship drives price increases, with Bitcoin's fixed supply of 21 million coins creating scarcity against the backdrop of growing demand. Secondly, institutional investors and companies (such as MicroStrategy and Tesla) are gradually adopting Bitcoin as part of their asset allocation, enhancing market confidence. Third, global economic uncertainty, inflation, and loose monetary policies are prompting investors to seek safe-haven assets, with Bitcoin seen as 'digital gold.' Fourth, the decentralized nature of blockchain technology and its censorship resistance attract long-term investors.
Transaction fees are the costs charged by trading platforms for providing services, typically including the costs associated with buying and selling cryptocurrencies or stocks. Common types include **fixed fees** (a set amount per transaction), **percentage fees** (charged as a percentage of the transaction amount, commonly seen in cryptocurrency trading, ranging from 0.1% to 0.5%), and **spread fees** (the implicit cost of the buy-sell spread). High-frequency trading or large transactions may enjoy discounts, but fees for low liquidity assets tend to be higher. Some platforms also charge fees for deposits, withdrawals, or specific payment methods. To reduce costs, investors can choose low-fee platforms, optimize trading frequency, or take advantage of promotional activities. Some platform tokens offer discounts, such as using BNB to reduce transaction fees. It is important to understand the fee structure transparently, avoid hidden costs, and reasonably plan trading strategies to enhance capital efficiency.
Encryption security is crucial for protecting funds. First, use strong passwords and enable two-factor authentication (2FA) to prevent account theft. Choose reputable trading platforms, prioritizing cold storage (such as hardware wallets) over keeping funds in hot wallets for extended periods. Regularly back up private keys and store them offline to avoid leakage. Be cautious of phishing websites and scam emails, and do not click on unknown links or share sensitive information. Diversify investments to avoid concentrating all funds in a single asset or platform. Regularly check account activity to promptly identify anomalies. Keep software updated to guard against malware attacks. When trading, ensure network security and avoid using public Wi-Fi. Understand market risks, invest cautiously, and do not blindly follow trends.
Trading liquidity refers to the extent to which assets can be bought and sold quickly at reasonable prices in the market. A highly liquid market has a large number of buyers and sellers, high trading volume, narrow bid-ask spreads, low transaction costs, and relatively stable price fluctuations. For example, blue-chip stocks or major currency pairs are usually highly liquid. A low liquidity market has low trading volume, wide spreads, and trades may lead to significant price fluctuations with higher costs. Liquidity is affected by market participants, trading times, economic events, and more. Investors should pay attention to liquidity to reduce trading risks, especially in high-volatility or low trading volume markets, where insufficient liquidity may lead to delayed transactions or excessively high costs.
Common types of orders include market orders, limit orders, stop-loss orders, and take-profit orders. **Market orders** are executed immediately at the current market price, suitable for quick entry and exit. **Limit orders** specify a buy or sell price and must wait for the market to reach that price, suitable for cost control. **Stop-loss orders** automatically sell when the price reaches a set level, used to limit losses. **Take-profit orders** automatically sell when the price reaches the target, locking in profits. Additionally, there are **trailing stop-loss orders** that adjust the stop-loss point with price fluctuations to protect profits. Different order types are suitable for different trading strategies and should be chosen based on market conditions and risk preferences.
**Summary of Advantages of Centralized Exchanges (CEX) and Decentralized Exchanges (DEX)**
**Centralized Exchanges (CEX)**: CEX (such as Binance, Coinbase) are operated by centralized institutions, advantages include: 1. **High Liquidity**: Large trading volume, small bid-ask spread, suitable for large transactions. 2. **Excellent User Experience**: User-friendly interface, simple operations, providing multilingual support and customer service. 3. **Rich Features**: Supports various products such as margin trading, futures, staking, etc., to meet diverse needs. 4. **Fast Transaction Speed**: High processing speed from centralized servers, quick trade confirmations. 5. **Security Assurance**: Some platforms provide insurance funds to protect user assets (but be wary of hacker attacks).
**Decentralized Exchanges (DEX)**: DEX (such as Uniswap, SushiSwap) operate on the blockchain without intermediaries, advantages include: 1. **Decentralized Control**: Users hold private keys, assets are completely autonomous, reducing the risk of platform failures. 2. **Strong Privacy**: No KYC (identity verification) required, protecting user privacy. 3. **Openness**: Supports a wide range of tokens, especially tokens from new projects, suitable for early investment. 4. **Censorship Resistance**: No single point of control, difficult to be shut down by governments or institutions. 5. **Transparency**: Transaction records are on-chain, publicly accessible, reducing the possibility of manipulation.
**Conclusion**: CEX is suitable for investors seeking efficiency, convenience, and diverse trading options, but requires trust in the platform; DEX is suitable for users who prioritize privacy, autonomy, and decentralization, but may face liquidity issues and operational complexities. Both have their merits, and the choice should consider individual needs and risk tolerance.
#交易类型入门 As an 8-year personal trader, I would like to share some thoughts on investment mindset.
To begin trading, one must cultivate the right mindset to ensure long-term success. Firstly, maintain discipline and patience, follow the trading plan, and avoid emotional decisions. Secondly, accept that losses are a part of trading, set risk management strategies, such as stop-loss orders, to protect your capital. Thirdly, maintain a learning attitude, continuously study market patterns and technical analysis to enhance your skills. Fourthly, avoid greed and fear; face market fluctuations calmly, and do not chase highs or panic sell. Fifthly, control your positions; never operate with all your capital, and diversify your risks.
Finally, keep a long-term perspective, do not be misled by short-term fluctuations, and stick to reviewing and summarizing your experiences. A good mindset is the cornerstone of trading success, and it needs to be honed through practice and reflection.