领航者 赵师

从一小时图来看，以太坊现在有点要往回调的意思。主要是RSI这个指标，它现在处在超买的高位，而且已经开始拐头往下走了，这通常是个回调的信号。
不过话说回来，以太坊现在整体还是处于强势上涨的阶段，所以暂时不建议做空#以太坊合约

接下来的行情里，最好不要轻易去做箜丹。在压力位附近倒是可以浅玩一下短波，时刻要注意大饼和二饼会轮流带头上涨。非常有可能的一种情况是：大饼拉一波上涨，回调一点，二饼接着涨；等二饼涨幅到阻力位，稍微回调的时候，大饼有接着往上涨幅。目前二饼3260是关键转折点，所以得盯紧它涨的时候是不是自己带节奏，回调时候能否扛住，成交量是否能跟上，关键是否能摆脱其它币种影响#比特币 #以太坊

Evening Market Analysis on 7.16

From a technical perspective, various technical indicators for Bitcoin are also changing. Some key support and resistance levels are being redefined. Currently, the position of 118,000 has become the new short-term support level. As long as it can hold, Bitcoin may continue to rise. However, there is also significant pressure above, with previous highs and round numbers potentially becoming obstacles in its upward path. Next, it remains to be seen whether Bitcoin can break through the resistance level of 119,000. If it can successfully break through, a new round of upward movement may be on the way; if it cannot break through, it may continue to oscillate within this range.

Operation Suggestion:
Bitcoin can be traded in the range of 119,000-119,600, targeting the range of 120,000-121,000.

Altcoin can be traded in the range of 3,120-3,080, targeting the range of 3,150-3,180. #比特币

The cost basis heat map shows that investors heavily intervened during the downturn, accumulating approximately 196,600 BTC between 116,000 and 118,000. This added over $23 billion in value near the local peak, indicating strong confidence and potential further upside. ​#比特币

Already reversed too much, correct the direction in time, and the returns are still good.

Why do you always lose money in the trading market? Because you never treated trading as a "profession"!
In the end, it's not about the market conditions, nor is it about a shady platform; it's that from the very beginning, you never viewed trading as a job.
You treated trading as an emotional outlet.
When the market rises, you are ecstatic, and when it falls, you curse. When your account goes up, you immediately take a screenshot and share it; when it retraces, you blame everything around you: the data, the delays, your phone lagging, but you never reflect on yourself. #比特币合约 #以太坊ETF

BTC, under the influence of ancient whales, has put pressure on the market, allowing ETH to take an independent path, which is both a good thing and an opportunity.
ETH has rarely shown strength, daring to lead the rise independently when BTC was probing lower, while BTC whales realized 4.7 billion at high positions, absorbing selling pressure amid market panic.
In simple terms, everyone is afraid that whales will sell a large amount of BTC, causing a significant drop in the market, so the market pressure is on ETH #比特币巨鲸动向 #比特币 #Ethereum

Don't go against the trend, current price 117000 continue to short, focus on 116000-115000, go with the flow, going with the flow doesn't mean lacking opinion, it means understanding how to leverage the trend to save effort; every step taken less is a respect for the trend #比特币

From the perspective of short-term trends, Bitcoin still has the momentum to continue rising, and the upward trend at the daily level has not yet ended. Therefore, a bullish strategy should be maintained until a clear top signal appears.

This rise at the 1-hour level has increased from 107,429 points to 123,300, with a growth of 15%, showcasing the characteristics of a main upward wave. Currently, it is unclear whether this level of rise has ended, and there is the possibility of further extension, with no significant pressure above. The upward space is dominated by market sentiment, so it is not advisable to attempt to short at this position. #比特币走势分析

It is expected that there will be a short-term pullback to around 118,000-117,000 points, and a deeper correction is difficult. If the price can hold above 118,500, it is expected to continue to attack, and attention can be focused on the range performance of 124,000-126,000 points.

ETH/4H

Repeated tests of the upper resistance level at 3075 have failed to break through, overall still a strong bullish trend. Long positions can wait for a small level pullback to around 3005 to build a position. The market will only pull back if the four-hour level breaks this position, meaning that as long as the four-hour level does not break below 3005, the market remains in a bullish trend. #比特币合约

July 10th Big Pie
Looking back at the previous several daily-level rises, the market has experienced over a 10% correction each time after reaching new highs. Combining with the 4-hour chart, the solid solar column presents a full shape. The ratio of Big Pie to Ethereum faced some constraints when it surged to the upper track, but fortunately, the support points below are stable enough. In the short term, we can pay attention to whether the current range points can break through new highs again. If the breakthrough is successful, the upward trend will further expand, while also needing to pay attention to the strength of the correction below. Once the ratio breaks below the strong support point, we will look for opportunities to set up high short strategies.

Operation Suggestions:
Big Pie at 111000, target range 111700---112000 for flat position, suitable data反箜#比特币合约 #比特币

Currently, based on the data, the market is fluctuating steadily, and the bears are poised to strike. There is still no suitable entry point #比特币合约

7月9号大饼分析
比特币保持区间震荡态势，目前4小时级别正构筑收敛三角形态，日内需留意上轨109200的阻力情况。若短期能有效突破该位置，则有望继续上探110000-112000区间的压力位，随后再展开回调;倘若日内无法突破109200阻力位，一旦回踩跌破107400支撑区域，行情将会去到106500，高位不破本周继续以高空的思路布局。今日继续高空打法#比特币

Today's high-altitude strategy is fully in place, first the broadside then the kite, achieving dual-direction meat acquisition, those with strong execution have already eaten meat #比特币合约

The first goal for the afternoon analysis has been achieved, next is the second goal, please stay tuned #比特币合约

Take it all and eat meat #比特币合约

This afternoon kept shouting to go long, tonight kept emphasizing to go short, today both long and short captured #比特币

July 7 BTC Evening Observation

Although whales moved out more than 80,000 BTC (approximately $8.69 billion), it did not enter the market, affecting the market. It is speculated to be related to hackers, and it is estimated that sales will occur OTC, but potential risks still need to be monitored.
Bitcoin Trading Recommendations
Trade within the range of 109400-109800, with a target down to 107500, around 107000. For the short term, choose to control the downward trend, and if it stabilizes above 108600, adjust accordingly.

上周币圈热度拉满，几件大事接连上演：先是川普的“大而美”法案顺利通过，从长线看对BTC构成利好；非农数据表现亮眼，同时还有8万枚BTC的“远古巨鲸”现身，一时间搅动市场出现不少波动。

不过大家也不用太慌——这类巨鲸要通过KYC登上交易所卖币并不容易，更可能选择场外OTC渠道慢慢出货，短期来看不太会出现砸盘的情况。

本周的重头戏，得聚焦川普主导的关税谈判。

7月9日是“对等关税”的最后期限，涉及18国的协议签约时间已经相当紧张。要是谈判能达成大和解，BTC有望冲击新高；可一旦谈崩导致全面加税，就得留意BTC可能回踩10万USDT关口的风险。

另外值得关注的是，这次“大而美”法案的通过，可能会让美债信用面临下调压力，而这反过来却强化了BTC的长期利好逻辑。#比特币 #比特币合约

7.7 Trend Analysis

In the early morning, the market fluctuated violently. The price of Bitcoin briefly touched around 109,000, but due to the selling pressure above, it failed to stabilize effectively and then began a pullback, dipping to a low of 108,200. This support level showed strong buying power, and the price quickly rebounded to around 109,700. As of now, it has risen back to around 109,000. From a technical analysis perspective, although the price briefly surged, it could not sustain itself. Currently, the price is above the middle track; however, the pressure from the upper track is significant, and there is a potential trend for the price to retract to the middle track, narrow the range, and break downward. Considering the current market sentiment and the performance of the technical resistance levels, it is recommended that investors maintain a trading strategy focused on short positions, closely monitoring the breakout of the resistance level above and the critical support level below.
Bitcoin Trading Advice
Trade within the range of 108,600-109,500, targeting a drop to 107,500 or near 107,000. If it breaks below, continue to look downward.
Ethereum Trading Advice
Trade near 2,580-2,620, targeting a drop to 2,500 or near 2,450. If it breaks below, continue to look downward. If the target is reached, consider attempting a reversal. #比特币