爆炸就是艺术

When will $BTC BTC peak?
Latest model evaluation
Current price: $94,000
Quantitative model risk score: 56.6%

Current phase: Initiating the second impact, attempting to break through the critical point into the speculative acceleration range.

Historical context: In previous cycles, the price always experiences one or two failed breakthroughs (traps) before the final peak.

Valuation comparison: The current phase is equivalent to November 2020 (when Bitcoin was at $13,000), after which the price soared from $13,000 to $61,000.

Current analysis: This round involves participation from Trump, institutions, listed companies, celebrities, etc., while being constrained by tight monetary policy and concerns about economic recession, which may slow the pace of increase.

But the key point is: The Federal Reserve's monetary policy has basically confirmed its entry into a loosening channel.

#空投操作全指南 Exchange Airdrop Event

Example: Binance Megadrop (requires staking BNB, completing Web3 tasks). 1
Steps: Register an exchange account → Stake designated tokens → Complete interaction tasks → Claim airdrop.
Testnet Interaction Airdrop

Example: Blast Airdrop (requires connecting wallet, executing on-chain operations). Steps: Visit testnet → Bind wallet → Execute contract calls/cross-chain operations → Wait for snapshot and then claim. DeFi Protocol Airdrop

Example: Liquidswap (requires cross-chain interaction, adding liquidity). Steps: Use protocol features (such as Swap, stake LP) → Reach interaction count/amount threshold → Claim rewards.
Zero-Cost Mining Airdrop

Example: IO Network (mining while idle, requires keeping device online).
Steps: Download client → Configure node → Run continuously → Distribute tokens according to contribution.

#阿布扎比稳定币 币 安迎来历史性时刻，获得来自阿布扎比MGX的20亿美元投资。这是币 安首次接受机构投资，也是使用稳定币完成的史上最大规模加密货币相关投资。

交易所并不缺钱，币 安作为最大的交易所更不可能缺钱，引入国际资本投资，尤其是国家资本，更多的是积极寻求合规转型，来适应全球日益严格的监管环境。

俗称，找大哥罩。

自从CZ在2021年当了首富后，就被美国SEC盯上 并逮了去，狠狠地宰了一笔。

个人力量在国家机器面前，实在渺小，交易所太赚钱了，君子无罪怀璧其罪，
与国家主权基金合作，有助于获得国家层面的保护，接下来，我估计币 安还会引入贝莱德资本。

越来越多的大哥罩着，也预示着 币 安越来越正规，越来越安全了。[haha][haha][haha]

#亚利桑那比特币储备 The United States initiates a Bitcoin strategic reserve plan in 15 states, with Arizona and Utah nearing legal approval

According to Odaily Planet Daily, Eric Weiss, a board member of the publicly traded company Core Scientific, revealed that 15 states, including Alabama, Arizona, and Florida, have initiated a Bitcoin strategic reserve plan.

Among them, the plans in Arizona and Utah have entered the White House and senator approval stage, just one step away from becoming law.

#空投发现指南 Project Screening and Participation

Focus on Web3 ecosystem projects: Platforms like Layer3, zkSync, etc., often distribute airdrops through social tasks (binding wallets, retweeting) and some projects may filter qualifications based on on-chain activity.
Testnet Interaction: Participate in testnet tasks for new public chains like Monad and Megaeth, where deploying contracts or sending transactions can accumulate potential benefits.
Staking and Liquidity Provision: Independent staking nodes on Ethereum (require 32ETH), DEX liquidity mining, and similar activities may be included in the airdrop snapshot range.
Tool and Intelligence Integration

Use airdrop calendar tools (like Earndrop.io) to track unclaimed projects, follow influential accounts like @牛市逃顶指南 for market indicator analysis, and grasp the regularity of airdrop issuance cycles.

#特朗普税改 Trump's first hundred days in office, with his party holding a majority in both chambers of Congress, failed to pass his tax bill because his approval ratings among independent voters were too low: CBS 36%, ABC/WaPo 33%, CNN 31%, YouGov 30%, NYT 29%, Fox News 26% Members outside of deep red and deep blue districts need to consider the will of independent voters, and with such low approval ratings, it is difficult for his policies to be legislated.

Market Expectations and Price Volatility
Some investors believe that the recent price increase of XRP is related to expectations surrounding 'XRP ETF'. In January 2025, there were reports that XRP's price hit a new high, and some market participants speculated that it might follow the model of Bitcoin spot ETFs to launch related financial products, believing that concepts like AI and DeFi (such as the BUZZ project) could further drive the popularity of the XRP ecosystem.
Legal Obstacles and Doubts
Opposing viewpoints point out that XRP is still embroiled in litigation with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), and its legal status remains unclear. Some analyses suggest that the 'approval of XRP ETF' lacks a realistic basis and may be a form of market speculation, predicting that if the ETF application is rejected, it could lead to a significant price correction. Historically, XRP has experienced severe volatility due to litigation developments, for example, at the end of 2024, after its market capitalization surpassed one trillion dollars, controversial rumors about 'launching an ETF' immediately surfaced.

As of April 2025, the ETH price fluctuates in the range of $1400-$1800, down over 60% from its historical high ($4864). Some analysts believe that the ETH/BTC exchange rate is approaching historical lows, with a technical need for a rebound due to overselling, but the fundamentals lack clear positive support.
Key support level: Monthly Bollinger Bands lower track $1350-$1400, if broken, may test $1200; resistance levels to watch are in the $1950-$2000 range.

#特朗普暂停新关税 Trump Claims to Raise Tariffs on China to 125%】According to Phoenix TV: On April 9, U.S. President Trump announced that tariffs on Chinese goods would be raised to 125%, effective immediately, while suspending tariffs for 90 days on countries that have not retaliated against the U.S., temporarily lowering the tax rate to 10%. He stated that this move aims to ease market tensions and encourage more countries to return to the negotiating table. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin indicated that this decision is part of Trump's long-term negotiation strategy, emphasizing that "not retaliating can lead to rewards."

On the afternoon of the 9th, Trump announced on the social platform "Truth Social" that tariffs on Chinese goods would be raised to 125%, effective immediately. He claimed that this action was due to China’s "lack of respect for the global market."

Trump also stated that more than 75 countries have communicated with the U.S. regarding trade, tariffs, and exchange rates. Given that these countries have not taken retaliatory measures against the U.S., the U.S. will suspend tariffs on them for 90 days and lower the corresponding tariff rate to 10%. The White House has not yet released the list of countries involved or the specific scope of application.

Short-term Fluctuations and Long-term Value
The current Ethereum price is constrained by the Bitcoin market correlation effect, with multiple tests of the key support level of $1700-$2000 after March 2025. The technical outlook indicates that if the $1750 resistance level is broken, it may trigger a rebound to the $2100-$2300 range; if it falls below $1666, it may drop to the historical low of $1200. In the long term, the inflow of funds from spot ETFs (such as Bitwise ETHW raising $200 million on its first day) and the staking yield mechanism (annualized 3%-5%) may become price support points.

#以太坊的未来 Core Protocol Iteration
Ethereum plans to implement the Pectra upgrade in the first quarter of 2025, integrating improvements in the execution layer (Prague) and the consensus layer (Electra), with a focus on optimizing the staking flexibility and network efficiency of validator nodes. This upgrade may enhance network scalability by reducing the number of validators, optimizing data management, and laying the groundwork for subsequent sharding technology. Vitalik Buterin emphasized in a public speech that the next decade will focus on 'anti-censorship' and 'decentralization', aiming to expand L1 (mainnet) by approximately 10 times while strengthening the security collaboration between Layer2 and the mainnet. 404470
Performance and Cost Optimization
Recently, Ethereum has reduced Layer2 transaction fees through EIP-4844 (from $0.20 to $0.01), significantly improving the feasibility of decentralized applications (DApps). The next step is to introduce light client technology to lower node operation costs and explore the application of zero-knowledge proofs (ZK-SNARKs) in privacy protection.

$TRUMP Dinner Event and Market Volatility
Trump announced that on May 22 he will invite the top 220 holders of TRUMP coins to dinner, with the top 25 able to participate in a VIP event at the White House. After the news was announced, TRUMP coins surged 60% within 24 hours, reaching a peak of $15.84 before falling back to around $12. The total circulation of this token is approximately 200 million, but the team holds 80% of the tokens, which will be gradually unlocked over the next three years. Some investors are concerned about selling pressure from unlocks; on April 18, 40 million tokens (worth $320 million) were released, leading to short-term market volatility.

#比特币市值排名 Donald Trump’s newly created cryptocurrency soared to nearly $12 billion in market value on Monday, attracting billions of dollars in trading volume, while Bitcoin hit an all-time high just hours before the U.S. presidential election returns to the White House...

⭐ Launched on Friday, Trump's meme coin, also known as $TRUMP, surged to $58.56 at 0820 GMT on Monday, with a market capitalization of about $11.7 billion, making it the 18th largest cryptocurrency according to CoinMarketCap. Its 24-hour trading volume was $52.5 billion...

Trump launched a digital token with brand logos on Friday, including a photo he tried to暗🦈in July, expanding his interest in the cryptocurrency space, which has already included World Liberty Financial...

The token's website shows that 80% of the total token supply is owned by CIC Digital LLC, a subsidiary of Trump's business entity “Trump Organization,” as well as another company called Fight Fight Fight LLC～

A businessman is a businessman!

On May 22, #TRUMP晚宴 2025, Trump held the 'TRUMP DINNER' banquet at the Trump National Golf Club in Washington, D.C. The top 25 'whales' by TRUMP coin holdings were invited to an exclusive reception and received a VIP tour of the White House.

The 'Magical Birth' of TRUMP Coin
On January 18, 2025, Donald Trump, the 47th President of the United States, announced the launch of his personal meme coin TRUMP on social media. This event, described by Fortune magazine as 'the craziest political financial experiment in history,' officially began. This token, based on the Solana blockchain, was inspired by Trump's iconic slogan 'Make America Great Again,' but from its inception, it carried the genes of collusion between power and capital.

The current trend of Ethereum ($ETH ) has broken through the downward channel, once again hitting the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. It aims to complete a nine-segment upgrade pattern in 30 minutes. Those who have already invested in Ethereum still need to be a bit patient. Bitcoin remains strong, with the daily upward trend continuing. Other altcoins have stabilized at the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, and the direction of the daily rebound is becoming clearer. However, for short-term operations, it is advisable to take profits in batches. To capture the daily segment rebound, one needs to maintain sufficient holding patience~

#加密市场反弹 BTC is likely to experience a strong rebound
BlackRock CEO Larry Fink has warned of a possible economic recession in the United States, stating that the recession may have already begun. In an interview with CNBC, Fink pointed out that the intensifying economic pressures and protectionist trade policies—especially the tariffs from former President Trump's administration—are key driving factors behind what he believes is a slow economic contraction. While concerns about a recession typically unsettle traditional markets, cryptocurrency investors may have reason to cheer. The impending economic slowdown could prompt the Federal Reserve to alter its path of monetary tightening, potentially triggering a new wave of liquidity. Analysts suggest that this scenario could become a major catalyst for digital assets like Bitcoin. Fink's remarks follow similar predictions from major Wall Street institutions including JPMorgan, Deutsche Bank, and Goldman Sachs. Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan believes that a weak dollar may boost Bitcoin in the short term and could open doors for BTC to gain traction as an alternative global reserve asset in the long term.

February 2025: Bitcoin holdings increased to over 2,000 coins, with a market value of approximately $9.6 million.

II. Strategic Background and Market Impact

Strategic Transformation

Metaplanet was originally a hotel operator and transitioned to a "Bitcoin-first" company in 2024, emulating MicroStrategy (now named Strategy) by adopting Bitcoin as its core reserve asset to hedge against the depreciation of the yen and risks associated with traditional business.
The company’s official website clearly positions Bitcoin as a "non-political currency" and has established a strategic advisory committee, appointing Donald Trump’s son, Eric Trump, as an advisor to promote Bitcoin financial innovation.

#Strategy增持比特币 MicroStrategy (now renamed as Strategy) continues to actively increase its Bitcoin holdings in 2025. According to a statement released by the company's founder Michael Saylor on April 14, 2025, Strategy purchased 3,459 Bitcoins between April 7 and April 13, spending approximately $285.8 million, with an average price of $82,618 per Bitcoin. As of April 13, 2025, Strategy holds a total of 531,644 Bitcoins, with a total investment of approximately $35.92 billion and an average purchase price of $67,556 per Bitcoin.
In addition, Strategy has achieved a Bitcoin yield of 11.4% so far in 2025. This indicates that the company's Bitcoin investment strategy has yielded positive results under the current market conditions.

The good news is that his money is getting less and less.

The China-U.S. economic and trade relationship is the result of economic laws at work, exhibiting strong endogenous momentum. Countries achieve their own value and meet each other's needs through commodity exchanges based on comparative advantages, realizing common development. This is a fundamental principle of international trade relations. Since the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and the U.S., bilateral trade volume has surged from less than 2.5 billion USD in 1979 to nearly 688.3 billion USD in 2024. The significant growth in China-U.S. bilateral trade is due to the strong complementarity in natural endowments, human resources, markets, capital, technology, and other fields, forming a deeply intertwined economic and trade relationship. There is fundamentally no basis for the U.S. claim that trade with China puts the U.S. at a disadvantage.

#加密市场反弹 ETH The weekly chart closes with a doji bullish candle, but in this situation, the weekly chart is still in a pullback trend. It is not difficult to see that the trend is very weak. The key short-term rebound points to focus on are the 1730-1780 range, where the selling pressure from trapped positions is relatively strong, making it difficult to achieve a direct breakthrough. Throughout the day, the overall movement shows a fluctuating rebound. During the day, pay close attention to the upper range of 1660-1690 and the lower support levels of 1580-1600.