There are always people who say the market is against human nature. Do not mix any personal emotions into trading. I just want to ask, who can trade without any emotions? Is there any way to do that?
Have you noticed that the timing of Trump's White House cryptocurrency summit is particularly clever?
That's right, this meeting just happens to be at the end of all events that could influence cryptocurrency prices.
Moreover, the probability of interest rate cuts this month is only 9%, and given that the U.S. economy is not doing well due to Trump's turbulent actions, the stock market has been continuously declining.
The S&P and Nasdaq have not looked back since going down. To be honest, the current cryptocurrency market and the U.S. stock market are indeed highly correlated. These influences are likely to lead to a crash in the cryptocurrency market, but Trump has just completed the strategic reserve of Bitcoin and plans to use it for speculation to mitigate U.S. debt.
This crash is something Trump will definitely not accept, and coincidentally, this historically significant White House cryptocurrency meeting is taking place at the end, clearly indicating that Trump is providing support for the cryptocurrency market.
So I estimate that tomorrow morning Bitcoin will soar to 100,000, leading to a complete FOMO. As emotions rise, another major bull market will erupt.
I can only say be ready to act at any time.
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After analyzing so much, do you have any opinions?
PhyrexNi
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Before the non-farm report, the non-farm data is always very complicated, and we cannot rule out that the pullback from the sky is a risk aversion sentiment. However, in reality, this non-farm data currently has little to do with the Federal Reserve's decision in March. Nonetheless, the market will still serve as a basis for measuring the Federal Reserve's dot plot in March, and that is correct.
Overall, if the aim is to increase the number of interest rate cuts, a rise in the unemployment rate is a good thing. Over the past six months, the unemployment rate has reached a maximum of 4.2%. The neutral unemployment rate perceived by the Federal Reserve is 4.3%, so the higher the unemployment rate, the greater the probability of increasing the number of interest rate cuts, and that is a fact.
However, a significant rise in the unemployment rate would lead the U.S. into recession expectations, and recession is even scarier than inflation. If we really enter a recession, it would be the final drop.
On the other hand, if the unemployment rate continues to decline, it indicates that the U.S. economy remains strong, which may not necessarily be a bad thing. After all, the key to reducing inflation is the inflation data, so essentially, a slight increase or stabilization of the unemployment rate is a good thing.
Then there is non-farm employment. The higher this data is, the better the U.S. economy is. The end of the month indicates that the economy is not very prosperous, and the layoffs in DOGE are actually a reduction in this data. Therefore, from the current perspective, the higher the non-farm data, the better it is for the market, as the economy is stable.
Finally, there is wages. There's not much to say here; the higher the wages, the better it is for the economy, and the lower, the worse it is for the economy. So overall, the current market expectation is for good data, and as long as it meets expectations, it should be fine.
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$GRT his market value ranking has dropped from 66 to 70. What does this mean? In the future, it will have to fall out of the top 100 to have motivation.
This coin was originally held with great expectations, but it seems that no matter how good a project looks in the end, it still ends up harvesting the leeks.
$GRT Ah! There are too many people holding this coin, it simply can't rise. The ranking keeps declining, and funds are continuously flowing out. Whether viewed as R&D expenses or as selling off, from all angles, there won't be much fluctuation. Market value is decreasing, while liquidity remains unchanged. There are significant issues.
If it reaches around 0.18 to 0.19 before next Tuesday, gradually enter the market. If it stays around 0.19-0.21, then go for it boldly. Let's wait and see!
#加密市场回调 #圣诞行情预测 Ethereum is about to enter a position, I mentioned a few days ago that it could be around 3000-3300. Although it might still go down, this price level is still relatively reasonable. Let's arrange for dollar-cost averaging! $ETH