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币圈吴彦祖168

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The Three Major Illusions of Retail Investors in the Cryptocurrency Market1. Believing that the rise and fall of cryptocurrency reflects real trading and is highly correlated with the stock market, especially the US stock market. If you think this way, you must be a novice. There are many market makers in the crypto space, such as DWF Lab. The rise and fall of cryptocurrencies you see are all completed by robots through changing order strategies at any time. In short, it is the power of big data; the cryptocurrency prices are the result of highly centralized control. 2. Believing that prices will rebound after reaching a low point. Continuing from the previous logic, sometimes what retail investors call 'buying the dip' is often just buying halfway up the mountain. Never assume that a price will rebound simply because it has reached a previous low; the only thing that can trigger a rebound in cryptocurrency prices is a surge in the number of short positions.

The Three Major Illusions of Retail Investors in the Cryptocurrency Market

1. Believing that the rise and fall of cryptocurrency reflects real trading and is highly correlated with the stock market, especially the US stock market. If you think this way, you must be a novice. There are many market makers in the crypto space, such as DWF Lab. The rise and fall of cryptocurrencies you see are all completed by robots through changing order strategies at any time. In short, it is the power of big data; the cryptocurrency prices are the result of highly centralized control.
2. Believing that prices will rebound after reaching a low point. Continuing from the previous logic, sometimes what retail investors call 'buying the dip' is often just buying halfway up the mountain. Never assume that a price will rebound simply because it has reached a previous low; the only thing that can trigger a rebound in cryptocurrency prices is a surge in the number of short positions.
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Happy Weekend
Happy Weekend
黑豹–K线知客
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After last night's non-farm payroll data, Bitcoin plummeted to nearly 97900. At this time, many people are looking at 11000 or new highs 😰. I just want to say that this is looking a bit too far ahead; currently, there is no need to look that far. Even if it is going to reach new highs, it first needs to pull back to around 91000. Those who are stuck don't need to worry too much; just wait for it to pull back and then go long. Wishing everyone a happy weekend! #非农就业数据来袭 $BTC
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The waterfall is about to comeToday we are not analyzing any technical aspects or news, because the surge in Bitcoin over the past week has already deviated from both technicals and news, and is simply the result of three Bitcoin market makers aggressively pushing up against short positions. Today, let's look at how institutions are using real actions to tell us about the high probability of the next situation: the highest point of this Bitcoin rebound is at the 97800 line, which is about to drop into a new area (target price of 69000-73000). At the same time, Ethereum will fully liquidate all leveraged positions that chased up at 1700-1800 with 2 times or more leverage, meaning it will spike below 850-900. Afterwards, a new round of bull market will begin. I hope everyone holds their positions well and waits quietly!

The waterfall is about to come

Today we are not analyzing any technical aspects or news, because the surge in Bitcoin over the past week has already deviated from both technicals and news, and is simply the result of three Bitcoin market makers aggressively pushing up against short positions. Today, let's look at how institutions are using real actions to tell us about the high probability of the next situation: the highest point of this Bitcoin rebound is at the 97800 line, which is about to drop into a new area (target price of 69000-73000). At the same time, Ethereum will fully liquidate all leveraged positions that chased up at 1700-1800 with 2 times or more leverage, meaning it will spike below 850-900. Afterwards, a new round of bull market will begin. I hope everyone holds their positions well and waits quietly!
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The Real High Flier
The Real High Flier
追高哥
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$ETH I give up
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To blow up the shorts
To blow up the shorts
A神谈币5U挑战5万U
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Why did $BTC pancake rise today, why did it rise
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You are dead
You are dead
空头的止损位就是做多的出货位反之亦然
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Bearish
Stop loss for $BTC 965
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November and December both have unilateral markets; if you have a hand, you can participate.
November and December both have unilateral markets; if you have a hand, you can participate.
华尔街的幽灵
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I am the master of eternal profit!
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It won't take a hundred years; it will be gone in a hundred minutes.
It won't take a hundred years; it will be gone in a hundred minutes.
Jasmine Immordino VSZs
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Looking back a hundred years later, all in
If I lose, I lose. Can I eat meat?
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This person is a scammer, the positions are all wrong, the risk-reward ratio is not even 1:1, and the direction is completely wrong.
This person is a scammer, the positions are all wrong, the risk-reward ratio is not even 1:1, and the direction is completely wrong.
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You must have misanalyzed the push, our position is opposed to the exchange.
You must have misanalyzed the push, our position is opposed to the exchange.
指数爆炸
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Something's wrong, this post actually got pushed. Generally speaking, my market analysis posts don’t get pushed. There’s only one possibility: I analyzed it wrong. I predict this wave is a bull tail start, with a correction in May. Currently, I assess we are in the middle stage of a rebound because there’s still more than a week until the May monthly line refreshes. This is also why I believe there will be one more wave up, because if it drops now, the monthly line refresh position will be too low. However, there’s another possibility, which is to continue a narrow range fluctuation for a week, but complete it in a form of fluctuating downwards. Therefore, my current judgment that we need to push up one more wave could be wrong. Perhaps it’s to lift my restrictions. To be honest, when I saw it got pushed, I felt worse. It will be clear soon, right? Tomorrow is Monday and the weekly line refreshes. If my prediction is correct, there will be a rise and breakthrough tonight.
188
188
区块楚洋
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$ETH Why is it still difficult to profit despite strictly implementing stop-loss and take-profit?
1. Stop-loss and take-profit ≠ Profit Guarantee

Stop-loss and take-profit are risk control tools, not prerequisites for profit. If the risk-reward ratio is unbalanced, long-term losses are inevitable:

• Example: A stop-loss of 2% and a take-profit of 5% may seem reasonable, but during extreme market fluctuations, stop-losses are often triggered while take-profits are hard to reach;

• Leaving the market early under emotional interference leads to missing rebounds, resulting in profits being eroded.

2. Settings disconnected from market structure / leaving 188 below 🚗 for margin flipping

Market dynamics change, and fixed stop-loss and take-profit levels struggle to adapt to different phases:

• In a sideways market: The take-profit target is too large, and after a price reversal triggers the stop-loss, it returns to the starting point;

• In a volatile market: A stop-loss that is too small is easily shaken out, missing the subsequent trend.

3. Lack of a complete trading system support

Stop-loss and take-profit are just one part of risk management; without a systematic strategy, profit is still difficult:

• No clear entry logic (such as trend judgment, indicator resonance), relying solely on stop-loss and take-profit easily leads to “random trading”;

• Lack of strategy results in losing direction in complex market conditions; even strict discipline is hard to maintain profits.

4. Emotion remains a fatal flaw

Discipline execution ≠ Emotion control:

• Feeling reluctant to accept small losses and adding positions, or fantasizing about “earning more” when the take-profit isn’t reached, ultimately leads to giving back profits;

• Emotional fluctuations disrupt established rules, requiring simultaneous reinforcement of psychological control.

5. Insufficient drawdown management capability

Drawdown is a normal part of trading; the key lies in survival and recovery:

• Effective strategies will also experience periods of loss; blindly questioning the rules easily leads to missing subsequent opportunities;

• Need to cope with drawdowns through capital management (such as phased position building, dynamic stop-loss), mental adjustments, and strategy optimization.

Core Issue

Profit relies on the three pillars of risk control, strategy effectiveness, and emotional management:

• Set reasonable risk-reward ratios (e.g., above 1:3), dynamically adapt to the market;

• Construct entry logic based on multiple indicator resonance (moving averages, RSI, trend lines, etc.);

• While strictly executing rules, optimize strategies through reviews and train emotional resilience! # leaving 188 below 🚗 #CPI数据来袭 #巨鲸动向

$BTC
167
167
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The most severe drop occurs around five or six in the morning.
The most severe drop occurs around five or six in the morning.
金牌交易员-陈阳
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$BTC

Brothers are currently all pulling back on Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana. I believe that this is not the bottom yet. Once the pullback ends, it will rebound immediately. Right now, I am just waiting for the right time to buy the dip and go long, brothers.

I have a feeling that it is following the movements of the US stock market. As the US stock market declines, it also drops alongside it. I believe that it will rebound around seven or eight in the morning. Hold on, brothers, and buy the dip.

I am the only analyst online who does not play the hindsight game. You all must closely follow my latest content and leave the words 'make money' in the comments section!$
bnb
bnb
Simey闪电
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The coin $ACH mentioned in #币安Alpha上新 is considered quite good and can serve as a target for rolling positions, as its price trend is generally wave-like. It tends to rise with interest, and as long as there is buzz around it, it can benefit from that. Therefore, compared to those steadily declining altcoins, this coin has a significant advantage.
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Xai
Xai
Sai x Keith
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@Yi He @XAI_GAMES @CZ

Valeria: A new opportunity in the fantasy world

Valeria focuses on fantasy adventure and strategy gameplay. Players can play as warriors, mages or hunters in a huge magic world, and collect unique equipment and rare materials by exploring dungeons and fighting. The game introduces a blockchain prop trading mechanism, so that every powerful weapon or rare material can be exchanged for actual value in the market. What's more surprising is that the Valeria team often distributes airdrop benefits to the Xai community to encourage players to actively participate in guild activities or achieve achievement tasks. For newcomers, it is very helpful to have a Tiny Key, and there is a chance to receive additional equipment to help you grow more smoothly. Valeria interprets the infinite possibilities of "earning while playing" with rich stories and immersive experiences, attracting many adventurers to join in.

$XAI
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So short!
So short!
加密熊猫8
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Thank you Binance, CZ told me to work harder #CZ
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Well said, the comments section is full of foulness, so if you support Dongda, hurry up and delete the app! After all, your home country daddy doesn't allow you to play with coins, right!
Well said, the comments section is full of foulness, so if you support Dongda, hurry up and delete the app! After all, your home country daddy doesn't allow you to play with coins, right!
唐华斑竹
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Countries have surrendered on tariffs; there will be no global confrontation on April 9. U.S. stocks and BTC will welcome a large-scale rebound.
A senior White House official stated that the baseline tariff rate (10%) will take effect on April 5th, and the equal tariffs will take effect on April 9th.
The situation over the weekend was that it felt like the whole world quickly surrendered, with more and more countries willing to accept the U.S. equal tariffs. Most mainstream countries have softened their attitudes, at least not clearly indicating that they will raise retaliatory tariffs, which is somewhat surprising. It seems that Trump is right; politics is not like a market where old ladies argue about who is right. Politics is based on strength, and those with strength have the final say.
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The following is full of strange vibes, unable to tolerate Binance being deleted, does the East University you love so much let you play with coins?
The following is full of strange vibes, unable to tolerate Binance being deleted, does the East University you love so much let you play with coins?
唐华斑竹
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Countries have surrendered on tariffs; there will be no global confrontation on April 9. U.S. stocks and BTC will welcome a large-scale rebound.
A senior White House official stated that the baseline tariff rate (10%) will take effect on April 5th, and the equal tariffs will take effect on April 9th.
The situation over the weekend was that it felt like the whole world quickly surrendered, with more and more countries willing to accept the U.S. equal tariffs. Most mainstream countries have softened their attitudes, at least not clearly indicating that they will raise retaliatory tariffs, which is somewhat surprising. It seems that Trump is right; politics is not like a market where old ladies argue about who is right. Politics is based on strength, and those with strength have the final say.
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As long as you have a mouth, it's fine. Have you opened a single?
As long as you have a mouth, it's fine. Have you opened a single?
颜溪日志
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Ether Silk Road peaked at 1816, 55 points of space! $ETH
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There is nothing wrong with what is said, China's import tariffs have always been very high, and no one competes with China, also because China has a huge market, other countries can only yield to trade.
There is nothing wrong with what is said, China's import tariffs have always been very high, and no one competes with China, also because China has a huge market, other countries can only yield to trade.
唐华斑竹
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Bullish
One thing that everyone might have forgotten is that Trump is a very capable person, smarter, more strategic, more intelligent, and more experienced than the average person. If you think he is dumber than us, then there is an 80% chance that we are wrong.
I increasingly feel that his tariff war might win, bringing huge benefits to the United States, making America even stronger, and the US stock market will welcome a historic rebound.
Over the weekend, I kept hearing that countries are yielding to Trump's tariff policy. Countries choosing to surrender on tariffs are becoming mainstream, with Australia, India, New Zealand, the Philippines, Cambodia, and Israel directly softening their stance and expressing acceptance. European countries are already fragmented, each with their own thoughts, while our neighbor, Vietnam's General Secretary Nguyen Phu Trong, directly called the United States, willing to reduce tariffs on the US to zero. Currently, the only country in the world announcing countermeasures by raising tariffs is China.
Do not underestimate Vietnam; according to US data, in 2024, Vietnam's trade surplus with the US will reach $123.5 billion, second only to China, the EU, and Mexico. It is a significant trading power with the US, so Vietnam's statement is of crucial demonstrative significance.
Objectively speaking, if the majority of countries in the world choose to accept reciprocal tariffs, after the US tariffs decrease, it will definitely benefit American companies' exports! The competitiveness of foreign trade exports will soar, and export volumes may rapidly increase, leading American companies to start making huge profits! Corresponding government tax revenues will begin to increase significantly! Then for imports, the US is the world's largest market. Although tariffs have been significantly increased, countries will still need to export to the US; they cannot give up the US market. Therefore, the US's tariff revenues will skyrocket!
US export companies making huge profits + US government tax revenues increasing + US government tariffs increasing = the US government and companies getting richer and richer! When there is money, naturally, everything else is no longer a problem. The small issues like American residents not being able to buy Chinese TVs, or not finding slippers and toys in supermarkets, will all be easily resolved.
Of course, this should be a good thing for the cryptocurrency market. The US economy has grown, and the US stock market will definitely have a strong rebound, and the cryptocurrency market, which has been following the US stock market, should also catch the wind and improve! So maybe the current difficulties are just a growing pain of a profound transformation, let's wait and see!
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