只玩真实
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The Federal Reserve is not solely determined by Powell; the main focus is the dot plot, which reflects the attitude of all Federal Reserve members towards easing. When the dot plot was released last December, it significantly lowered expectations for interest rate cuts this year. Bitcoin immediately began to peak (similar to a man rushing to finish before climaxing rather than having a prolonged rhythmic rise). The dot plot determines the change in liquidity expectations, which is the key factor in deciding whether to trend bearish or bullish.
Whether to raise or cut rates is not important: the crypto market only looks at this one signal.
#美联储FOMC会议
[One] The crypto market is not actually waiting for the FOMC results, but for 'directional confirmation'.
The Federal Reserve is about to meet again, and the FOMC has become the focus of the entire market.
The crypto market seems very tense, but in reality, the heart has long been numb.
Why?
Because in today's crypto market, it’s not about betting on whether rates will rise or not, but about betting on one question:
When will the Federal Reserve back down and start cutting rates?
Once this direction is clear, the market can take off. It's not a short-term riot, but a medium-term trend reversal.
And before that? It’s all a state of playing dead.
⸻
[Two] The end of the rate hike cycle, the crypto market is waiting for spring in the 'frozen zone'
[One] The crypto market is not actually waiting for the FOMC results, but for 'directional confirmation'.
The Federal Reserve is about to meet again, and the FOMC has become the focus of the entire market.
The crypto market seems very tense, but in reality, the heart has long been numb.
Why?
Because in today's crypto market, it’s not about betting on whether rates will rise or not, but about betting on one question:
When will the Federal Reserve back down and start cutting rates?
Once this direction is clear, the market can take off. It's not a short-term riot, but a medium-term trend reversal.
And before that? It’s all a state of playing dead.
⸻
[Two] The end of the rate hike cycle, the crypto market is waiting for spring in the 'frozen zone'
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Low-level fluctuation
The market has been oscillating at high levels, with both bullish and bearish sentiments. Both shorting and going long are not wrong; it's just that we aim for the smallest possible stop loss with the greatest possible potential. Of course, for those who prefer stability, it is still recommended to observe.
If the market cannot break through the recent highs, it essentially declares the end of this round of rebound, and will continue to trend downward with further waterfall declines. After breaking below 96,000, buying on the pullback is the way to go, and there's nothing surprising about it.
If the market cannot break through the recent highs, it essentially declares the end of this round of rebound, and will continue to trend downward with further waterfall declines. After breaking below 96,000, buying on the pullback is the way to go, and there's nothing surprising about it.
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Don't wait until a thousand years later~
When will it be 70$?
Claim trump here
Code BP53AEG59F👆
$TRUMP
Claim trump here
Code BP53AEG59F👆
$TRUMP
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Is this the cryptocurrency world? In an instant, it surged 60 points, but the result is still less than half of the price I sold last time. What a mess! 🤣🤣🤣
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I also see 200,000
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Break 73000 today, you drew this line incorrectly
Brothers, look, this rebound, it's going down,
I drew it out for him a long time ago, you just tell me if it works.
I drew it out for him a long time ago, you just tell me if it works.
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The news from four years ago is being released today?
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I believe Sun Ge is a contrarian indicator 🤭
Good news: "Brother Sun made it to Forbes!" Bad news: "The cryptocurrency market may have reached its peak signal"
From a controversial youth to a Web3 decision-maker, from being named by the SEC to being a crypto advisor for Trump, from buying Buffett's lunch to acquiring Huobi and creating HTX, Brother Sun demonstrates what it means to "what cannot defeat me will only make me stronger".
Respect! Salute to Brother Sun, and congratulations to Brother Sun! Good news: Brother Sun made it to Forbes. Bad news: It may be a peak signal for the industry!
#加密市场回调 #币安投票上币
From a controversial youth to a Web3 decision-maker, from being named by the SEC to being a crypto advisor for Trump, from buying Buffett's lunch to acquiring Huobi and creating HTX, Brother Sun demonstrates what it means to "what cannot defeat me will only make me stronger".
Respect! Salute to Brother Sun, and congratulations to Brother Sun! Good news: Brother Sun made it to Forbes. Bad news: It may be a peak signal for the industry!
#加密市场回调 #币安投票上币
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😂 Is there anyone still willing to go long? Remember that shorting Ethereum is a guaranteed profit, being trapped in a short position is temporary, and making money is certain.
王短鸟
--
I woke up and the sky has fallen, what exactly happened?
My heart hurts so much.
My heart hurts so much.
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As long as there are people like you who think it's a good time to buy the dip, this week will continue to plummet following Mr. Powell's speech.
Current Trend Most altcoins have started to build a bottom and have succeeded
ETH's trend is also building a bottom and breaking out of its current downtrend channel
The several game tokens of interest YGG GALA MANA, etc.
have all shown successful bottoming signals. I wonder what other reasons could lead to a decline in the current market, and given the current state, how much further could it drop?
If it continues to decline, will altcoins go to zero? Is there still a wealth effect in this market?
Will there still be new retail investors entering the market? The funds in the market will only continue to cut losses, causing panic to intensify. I believe this is not the outcome that capital wants to see.
ETH's trend is also building a bottom and breaking out of its current downtrend channel
The several game tokens of interest YGG GALA MANA, etc.
have all shown successful bottoming signals. I wonder what other reasons could lead to a decline in the current market, and given the current state, how much further could it drop?
If it continues to decline, will altcoins go to zero? Is there still a wealth effect in this market?
Will there still be new retail investors entering the market? The funds in the market will only continue to cut losses, causing panic to intensify. I believe this is not the outcome that capital wants to see.
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Time of Fantasy?
The last time I entered the market heavily was around 3150 and I got stuck, so I have to reassess how it will move? Since the four-year cycle hasn't arrived yet, I have used my experience to calculate its triangular wave 5-wave adjustment probable trend. As shown in the figure, after completing the five-wave triangular wave adjustment, the final target is still to look at 7,000 to 8,000. Of course, after the fourth wave rebound, if you don't want to hold on anymore, you can exit, or you can wait for the last pullback of the fifth wave to re-enter.
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🥺🥺🥺Seeking the same
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The newly issued meme coins during the market downturn can be said to be the gods descending the mountain. I don't know what is so laughable about it; I only know that when the next wave of the market starts, the most pioneering and dazzling star must be, and can only be, it. 🚀
This presidential coin $TRUMP is unlikely to rise significantly. The previous high provided an opportunity for supporters to cash out. Over the next four years, unreliable individuals will gradually cash out, and those holding the spot will be the ones who buy in at a higher price. The only opportunity is four years later when reelection occurs, which could lead to a significant rise, leveraging holdings to gain votes. This is essentially how it works; if he weren't the president, this coin wouldn't be worth 2 dollars.
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The market is developing rapidly!
In the information age, the speed is constantly accelerating!
The prediction for the end of 2024 is a three-month rally of inducement (article link: 真实预判)
Last year's article, in conjunction with Shen Yu's post, predicted that there would be a rally inducement after the election, and the market would continue to slowly decline until October 2025—but currently, the market is developing rapidly, and it is estimated that it will reverse and explode early:
The inducement market in November-December 2024 is developing too quickly, only maintaining a month of main upward wave, peaking in mid to late December, beginning to slowly decline, with a 2.3 crash ending market illusions, and another drop on 2.24, with the panic and greed index falling below 30.
The prediction for the end of 2024 is a three-month rally of inducement (article link: 真实预判)
Last year's article, in conjunction with Shen Yu's post, predicted that there would be a rally inducement after the election, and the market would continue to slowly decline until October 2025—but currently, the market is developing rapidly, and it is estimated that it will reverse and explode early:
The inducement market in November-December 2024 is developing too quickly, only maintaining a month of main upward wave, peaking in mid to late December, beginning to slowly decline, with a 2.3 crash ending market illusions, and another drop on 2.24, with the panic and greed index falling below 30.
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😅 Why are there still idiots shouting that the Ethereum ecosystem's L2 has been dead for two years?
The current market is in the preheating stage of the altcoin season. It is recommended to allocate 30% of your portfolio to Layer 2 ecosystems (such as Optimistic Rollups projects), 20% for DeFi staking (with an annual yield of 6-12%), and keep the remaining 50% in cash or short-term government bond ETFs. Remember: controlling your position before the halving cycle is more important than predicting price points.
In the upcoming layout direction, I plan to help everyone find those high-profit opportunities in altcoins, expecting returns to multiply by 10 times is not an issue. Like and comment, and I will guide you through the entire bull market!
In the upcoming layout direction, I plan to help everyone find those high-profit opportunities in altcoins, expecting returns to multiply by 10 times is not an issue. Like and comment, and I will guide you through the entire bull market!
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The square sprays you, indicating that you are the correct minority, follow it.
Today 86000 is a dead cat bounce, the drop will be greater, close to 74000. Next week, the White House crypto summit will have little effect, with a lot of noise but little rain, at most rebounding to 80000, then a sharp drop to 70000. There will be speculation on MicroStrategy's collapse, fear will intensify, and the 58000 liquidation level may drop another 30%. Full leverage short on ETH and BTC, a once in a century opportunity for bears, just do it.
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I believe the Presidential Coin has a new way to play, Real World Entitlement, new track RWE, a special VIP currency endorsed by power and productivity, with Presidential Coin you can purchase services, goods, or votes designated by the president, the market value of the coin is the personal productivity represented by this president.
$TRUMP believe me, when everything is over, 30u will become a historical status, the current price is merely a short lower shadow of future monthly k
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信息时代，速度在不断加快！
24年预测年尾有三个月拉升诱多行情 去年文章，结合神鱼的发帖，预测大选后会有拉升诱多行情，市场还将阴跌磨盘至25年10月--但目前来看估计磨不到10月：
24年11-12月的诱多行情发展太快，在1月初已结束，2.3暴跌市场结束幻想，全面进入阴跌磨盘大半个月，2.24再度下跌，恐慌贪婪指数瞬间降至30以下。
原本预期是诱多过春节，2月结束，然后磨盘慢跌到暑假7-8月，再维持1-2月超低的恐慌贪婪指数，即开启反转。
但目前来看，时代加速，行情也在加速，诱多行情提前1个月结束，阴跌行情提前开展已经近两个月，并且情绪面提前到位，接下来再维持这个恐慌指数1-2个月，大概至4月底5月初，行情便具备情绪面上反转的巨大潜力。
届时，市场一点微小的利多消息都会被放大拉盘，而空军还会以为是25年一直以来的反弹做空时机，源源不断提供燃料…
25年中美合力的大放水，将使本轮牛市极度耀眼辉煌。
$BTC
24年预测年尾有三个月拉升诱多行情 去年文章，结合神鱼的发帖，预测大选后会有拉升诱多行情，市场还将阴跌磨盘至25年10月--但目前来看估计磨不到10月：
24年11-12月的诱多行情发展太快，在1月初已结束，2.3暴跌市场结束幻想，全面进入阴跌磨盘大半个月，2.24再度下跌，恐慌贪婪指数瞬间降至30以下。
原本预期是诱多过春节，2月结束，然后磨盘慢跌到暑假7-8月，再维持1-2月超低的恐慌贪婪指数，即开启反转。
但目前来看，时代加速，行情也在加速，诱多行情提前1个月结束，阴跌行情提前开展已经近两个月，并且情绪面提前到位，接下来再维持这个恐慌指数1-2个月，大概至4月底5月初，行情便具备情绪面上反转的巨大潜力。
届时，市场一点微小的利多消息都会被放大拉盘，而空军还会以为是25年一直以来的反弹做空时机，源源不断提供燃料…
25年中美合力的大放水，将使本轮牛市极度耀眼辉煌。
$BTC
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来个振奋散户的帖
#比特币四年周期将改变？ 虽然我历史发言看空居多，甚至认为牛转熊，但还保留一种牛市预判，以下是本轮牛市特点：
1.牛市最靓的仔：AI板块和RWA板块，对标上轮DEFI和元宇宙链游
2.牛市破圈点（虹吸增量资金）：TRUMP币配合川普政策暴力拉盘，突显造富效应，币可用于实体消费并扩大应用——meme与rwa融合，理解为以个人权力背书下的生产力资产代币，10亿币量相当于几百亿生产力市值
3.牛市动态：板块轮动更加快速，涨幅更凶猛，主升浪时间1-2个月，绝不会超过70天，断头刀也极快，高位散户来不及反应，整体时间远短于上轮一个季度的狂暴拉盘。
4.其他特点：铭文币，作为大饼生态，只有在大饼市值占比率偏高时拿来炒作，也就是深熊转猴时期，牛市会轻微拉盘诱多，让持币散户错过整个牛市。总之，铭文还在半山腰。
5.写在最后：这个帖自然是越少散户看到越好，不然死拿山寨币，牛反而被磨没了。
$BTC
1.牛市最靓的仔：AI板块和RWA板块，对标上轮DEFI和元宇宙链游
2.牛市破圈点（虹吸增量资金）：TRUMP币配合川普政策暴力拉盘，突显造富效应，币可用于实体消费并扩大应用——meme与rwa融合，理解为以个人权力背书下的生产力资产代币，10亿币量相当于几百亿生产力市值
3.牛市动态：板块轮动更加快速，涨幅更凶猛，主升浪时间1-2个月，绝不会超过70天，断头刀也极快，高位散户来不及反应，整体时间远短于上轮一个季度的狂暴拉盘。
4.其他特点：铭文币，作为大饼生态，只有在大饼市值占比率偏高时拿来炒作，也就是深熊转猴时期，牛市会轻微拉盘诱多，让持币散户错过整个牛市。总之，铭文还在半山腰。
5.写在最后：这个帖自然是越少散户看到越好，不然死拿山寨币，牛反而被磨没了。
$BTC
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