The fourth wave correction of the day has ended, and a new major drop is expected to start, estimated to last 36-48 days. The eighth wave has completed, and now the ninth wave is in decline, followed by a consolidation and contraction of the tenth wave, leading to a continued major drop, with an expected decline of 30 points. In mid-June, there may be an opportunity to take a long position. A unique trading model and a self-made calendar tool make it easy and convenient to overlay waveforms of various cycle levels, allowing for better differentiation of wave levels and strength. The bear market has arrived, and long positions should be withdrawn now. #量化 #周期 #交易模型 #BTC
How many people hope to change their fate through the cryptocurrency world? This is the fate category chart I created. Whether I can become your benefactor also depends on your fortune.
Starting from March 15, the pullback will last 22-30 days, ETH will peak at 2700, it's time to cut losses, and then it will completely turn into a bear market.
人狠話不多只會賺大錢
--
I would like to ask everyone if you would recommend holding on and waiting for him to come back if you have money? Or is it better to escape early?
Keep this 100,000 safe, don't get hung up on it, the bear market has come, it's okay if it drops another 90%.
朱紫涵
--
I just looked at the post and saw a lot of comments below. There were also comments below previous posts. I didn't reply before because I didn't understand much when I first started playing. I replied to everything I saw today. Unified response, I have charged a total of 300,000 and now have 110,000, how did I incur losses? Six months ago, I heard from a friend that the cryptocurrency market was entering a bull market and that I could earn some quick money, so I opened an account and deposited 30,000 RMB, officially entering the cryptocurrency world. I had played stocks before and felt that trading cryptocurrencies was similar to trading stocks. After about a month, I made around 10,000 from the 30,000, doing some swing trading, trading Sushi, KNC, GHST, ALCX, MLN, etc. I felt that making money in the cryptocurrency world was too easy, so I deposited another 60,000 to gather a total of 100,000, buying low and selling high to earn 1,000-2,000 and then cashing out. I probably made another 30,000 or so. I inadvertently discovered the highly popular Dogecoin at that time, which is my biggest regret now. I still can't understand why I bought Dogecoin. So, I bought in at 0.0005 for 20,000, and it rose to 0.0009. Wow, I made 10,000, doubling my investment. Later, it dropped, and I increased my position. I didn't sell a single coin. At that time, I heard someone in the square shouting that Dogecoin would reach 1 USD each later on, but I didn't believe it. I thought that if it reached 0.002, I would sell everything and double my money. Later, it fell to around 0.00078, and I sold all my other altcoins and bought only Dogecoin. It then dropped to around 0.0006, and I deposited another 50,000 to buy more Dogecoin. When it fell to around 0.0005, I deposited another 50,000 to buy Dogecoin. When it reached around 0.0004, I deposited 80,000, buying 60,000 Dogecoins, leaving me with 20,000 until now. You can see, the current price is around 0.00017. I don't even want to bottom-fish at this point. In less than ten days, the price dropped from 0.0004 to 0.00017, falling several times. I really don't dare to bottom-fish to lower my cost. Currently, including profits, I have invested a total of 320,000 in Dogecoin, and I still have just over 100,000 left. I have made up my mind; I will hang myself on this tree. I still have 20,000 left, and I have a pending order at 0.0001. If it drops to around 0.00005, I will open a 10x leverage long position on Dogecoin. That's it for now. This is the general process; the details are too complicated.
The daily wave pullback has ended, and we will go long tomorrow morning, continuing until the Spring Festival. Don't hesitate to go long just because it seems high. Exclusive trading secret code 3313
If ranked by truth value or order value, mathematics is greater than all things, all things are greater than humanity, humanity is greater than laws, laws are greater than government, government is greater than companies, and companies are greater than individuals. BTC can be considered the pinnacle of law. Congratulations to BTC for breaking 100,000 USDT each, after a half-month pullback, it may challenge 200,000 USDT each before the end of the year. Satoshi Nakamoto's achievements will surpass those of Adam Smith, Marx, Keynes, Mundell, Hayek, and can be compared with Newton, legislating for all humanity. Satoshi Nakamoto can be called the legislator of humanity, far surpassing the major religious leaders and founding fathers of various nations. In the future, major organizations may need to anchor BTC to organize the production of value. Currently, all fiat currencies will be the end of a Ponzi scheme, and a collapse is just a matter of time. Human civilization order will welcome a major upgrade.
Here is an old picture. It will take 2-3 days to adjust here, and then continue to rise sharply. The target is BTC 78,000 US dollars in mid-October. The last square said that September 7 to September 9 was the super median support bottom of the bull market. As a result, it rebounded on September 7, and short-term trading missed a big opportunity in the past few days. #BTC走势预测 Many people like to explain the US interest rate cut, often reversing the cause and effect, making the causal error criticized by Hume. My explanation is that there is a lot of money printing, high inflation, and the big water bubble is expanding, so interest rates must be raised to absorb water. High interest rates and interest rate cuts are not a shortage of water, but rather that water is useless. Money has no pricing objects, and no investment objects can maintain high interest rates. High interest rates mean that inflation is rising sharply, and interest rate cuts mean that money lacks capital gains or premiums. If I can earn 10 points, 6 points of interest is normal. If I can earn 3 points, I think 2 points of interest is expensive. Interest rate cuts are the beginning of asset price cuts, and the US stock cycle has reached its peak. It will definitely fall in the next year and a half. The cryptocurrency market is still rising steadily this month. If my trading prediction model is correct, it will rise until the end of the year. News is useless. It is only useful to be able to predict and control news. I like absolute spirit and phenomenology. Financial news is all about profit-seeking and rationality, which will fool you. #美联储降息周期
The cryptocurrency market will see a month of big growth. BTC will reach $78,000 around October 15, and small coins will rise by 80%. After that, they will consolidate and pull back to around 65,000. Breaking through 65,000 is a mid-level break, which is an important signal. Now the first oblique break signal of 58,000 has been broken. Long positions should keep up, and short positions should set stop losses. This is the third wave of the bull market, and the second main rising wave has ended. The bear market will start at the beginning of next year. Follow me, and you will not lose your way in cryptocurrency trading. #BTC走势分析 #BTC走势预测 #牛市第三浪 #波期 $BTC
To trade futures contracts, everyone must go through these levels. 1. IQ level: you must be able to read historical trend information. The same phenomenon has different understandings for everyone. A variety of indicators are not as good as a simple moving average. You have to find the indicator with a higher winning rate or a self-created trading signal. People who are good at mathematical statistics have an advantage in this level. 2. Stop loss level: it is very difficult for traders to cut meat. This is a level that goes against human nature. They like to carry orders when they lose money, and even increase their positions to spread the average price to seek a way out. People have obsessions. Admitting mistakes is denying themselves. Cutting meat is painful and difficult to execute decisively. This is the difficulty of trading, but trading is the art of trial and error. Mistakes are inevitable in trading, and timely stop loss is the greatest correctness. 3. Patience level: wait, wait, and wait again. First, you have to wait for the key point price, wait for the key point timing, and wait until the position is correct to attack the explosive volume. Patient waiting can reduce the floating loss when the position is wrong, and patient waiting can eat most of the correct position. Compared with the winning rate, the amount of loss and the amount of profit when correct are the core of overall profit. One big profit can offset multiple small losses. Don't trade frequently, don't run away when you make a little profit, and hold on to the explosion when you are correct. Win in the long term, not in the short term. 4. Human nature, which includes not only IQ, willingness to cut losses, and patience, but also greed, fear, unstable positions, and temporary changes. When you lose money, you will be nervous and suppress your breathing. When you make a profit, you are eager to take the money and be excited. It is a test of human nature to have stable operations in uncertain market conditions. Trading itself has a little bit of gambling nature. In addition to buying and leaving, participants also like to bet frequently, and betting makes them happy. Without operation, part of the fun of trading is lost. For example, after a round of bear market, you have to hold a low position for two years without moving. How many people can do it? 5. The Great Dao Pass. Masters in the industry usually have big moves. The cultivation and use of big moves requires layers of experience in human nature to reach such a state. This is also linked to economic strength. The return and risk of investing 1,000, 10,000, 1 million, or hundreds of millions of funds are different. Only stable profits can win in the long run. Some people have bad tempers, and beating them is useless.#人性 #交易心理 #交易难点
If traders are divided into levels, there are probably 6 levels. I have already reached the fourth level. What stage are you at? If you are at the beginner level, it is recommended to reduce the amount of investment. If you are at the experience level, it is recommended to reduce the amount of investment and quantify the experience If you are at the technical level, it is recommended to reduce the leverage and control the position. If you are at the quantitative level, it is recommended to wait patiently and stop loss in time. If you are at the psychological level, it is recommended to have fun and exercise. If you are at the true level, it is recommended to retire and benefit the society. #交易等级 #交易心理 #交易认知 $BTC
#BTC走势分析 #交易策略 #交易纪律 $BTC $ETH 14-week halving correction is about to end. The current correction will rise for 16-22 hours and then fall for the last hour of 22-32 hours to reach the bottom of the weekly correction. The best time to buy is at 8 am on September 9, which is the end of the weekly line. You can consider buying spot now. The risk does not exceed 10 points and the profit can double in 4 months.
The second level of trading, quantitative trading, has its own trading system. Traders not only need to summarize and count market trends and spend a lot of time reviewing them, but they also need to have the ability to extract information from phenomena. Shannon's definition of information is very insightful: information is an increase in certainty. Traders usually think that the market is uncertain. That is because our information sources are incomplete and the future behavior of market participants is non-quantifiable. But history is fixed and history repeats itself. History can be quantified. If a trader wants to have awesome skills, he must quantify them, such as Gann's quantitative time cycle, Livermore's quantitative breakthrough, and the classic Fibonacci retracement ratio.
The first level of trading is statistical induction, quantifying the timing of trading and summarizing the winning rate. This is the first step to winning a trade, and it is also a necessary condition, but not a sufficient condition. Qualified traders must observe the market and count market data, such as cycles, main attack amplitude, callback amplitude, trading volume, and trend continuity. This process is from empiricism to rationalism, from hearsay theory to phenomenology, which takes at least 3 months and requires statistics of more than 5 years of historical data. It is recommended to make a statistical table, and the quantitative indicators take the average or median. The biggest rule of my statistical phenomenon is that the callback after the market breaks through the symmetric position is half the ratio, and the callback period is half the attack period. From the perspective of trading, value investment is wrong, and buying low and selling high is wrong. Respect the market, existence is reasonable. #交易理论 #投资理念 #交易秘籍 $BTC $ETH $SOL
The last big opportunity of the bull market in the cryptocurrency market this year has come in the past few days. September 7-9 is the end of the weekly level correction, and it will usher in a 3-5 month rise period. In December 2024, it will basically reach the high peak, and BTC is expected to reach 110,000 US dollars. The bear market will start after January 9, 2025. $BTC $ETH $BNB .
As a brand logo designer, I selected the three most handsome logos in the cryptocurrency world. Embrace the cryptocurrency world and give personal value to new finance. Ask me to design a logo to accept cryptocurrency payments. Coin is power, and the era of currency and power integration has arrived. The third world war will eliminate the damn Keynesian inflation. Salute to Satoshi Nakamoto.