剑来-夏虎尤

$ETH Short-term Trend (Next Few Weeks to Months)
- The CPI data for March 2025 was below expectations, indicating reduced inflationary pressures, which is favorable for risk assets like ETH and may encourage investors to increase their allocations. In the short term, ETH may benefit from the positive CPI data and the pause in tariff policies, leading to potential upward movement. However, uncertainty surrounding tariff policies and a decrease in the number of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve may result in market volatility. Investors should pay attention to upcoming economic data (such as the April employment report) and developments in global trade policies.

The CPI data from last night, #CPI数据来袭 , was lower than expected, indicating a relief in inflation pressures, which could have a positive impact on the cryptocurrency market, especially in the context of anticipated Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. The Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates three times in the second half of 2025, and the current data further supports this expectation. Investors should pay attention to subsequent economic data (such as the April employment report) and developments in global trade policy to assess the long-term impact on the cryptocurrency market.

#加密市场回调 Cryptocurrency Market Deep Correction: Multiple Bearish Impacts, Bitcoin Falls Below $75,000
Due to the global risk aversion triggered by Trump's tariff hikes, the Federal Reserve's 5.5% high interest rates suppressing speculative demand, along with the technical 'death cross' of Bitcoin and high leverage liquidations (with $1.38 billion liquidated in 24 hours, affecting 440,000 people), the total market capitalization of the cryptocurrency market evaporated over 10% in a single day. Bitcoin dropped to $74,550, and Ethereum fell below $1,500. In the short term, focus on policy trends and the $74,000 support level; the long-term anti-inflation logic still exists, but one should be wary of stagflation risks and uncontrolled leverage. The strategy suggests reducing positions and focusing on resilient sectors like RWA and SocialFi.

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