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#GENIUS稳定币法案 央妈亲自下场，稳定币要变天？今晚必须死盯这两件事！
你可能还没意识到，一场关于“稳定币霸权”的硬仗已经打响，而且是央行亲自下场开火！
今天发生了什么“大事”？
早上陆家嘴论坛，央行大佬潘功胜直接扔下王炸级消息：
“用区块链干掉SWIFT”——跨境汇款从3天缩短到10秒，手续费从6%降到0.6%
SWIFT那些“老外传统支付系统”真的快要被拍进博物馆了
别当成画饼——数字人民币国际运营中心今天已经正式上线了！
市场那边出血了：
稳定币大战正式开打！
央行版“合规稳定币”来了
100%法币储备
月度链上审计
$USDC

#我的交易风格 #GENIUS稳定币法案 央妈亲自下场，稳定币要变天？今晚必须死盯这两件事！
你可能还没意识到，一场关于“稳定币霸权”的硬仗已经打响，而且是央行亲自下场开火！
今天发生了什么“大事”？
早上陆家嘴论坛，央行大佬潘功胜直接扔下王炸级消息：
“用区块链干掉SWIFT”——跨境汇款从3天缩短到10秒，手续费从6%降到0.6%
SWIFT那些“老外传统支付系统”真的快要被拍进博物馆了
别当成画饼——数字人民币国际运营中心今天已经正式上线了！
市场那边出血了：
稳定币大战正式开打！
央行版“合规稳定币”来了
100%法币储备
月度链上审计

#GENIUS稳定币法案 #GENIUS稳定币法案 The central bank is personally intervening, will stablecoins face a change? Tonight, we must focus on these two things!
You may not have realized yet, but a tough battle over 'stablecoin hegemony' has begun, and the central bank is taking action!
What 'big event' happened today?
This morning at the Lujiazui Forum, central bank heavyweight Pan Gongsheng dropped a bombshell message:
'Using blockchain to eliminate SWIFT' — cross-border remittances shortened from 3 days to 10 seconds, and fees reduced from 6% to 0.6%
Those 'foreign traditional payment systems' from SWIFT are really about to be sent to the museum.
Don't treat it as a pie in the sky — the international operation center for digital RMB has officially launched today!
The market is bleeding:
The stablecoin war has officially begun!
The central bank's version of 'compliant stablecoins' has arrived
100% fiat currency reserves
Monthly on-chain audits

#美联储FOMC会议 Federal Reserve's Interest Rate Decision Tomorrow — Trump Intensifies Pressure
The Federal Reserve will announce its next interest rate decision tomorrow, and tensions are rising. Former President Trump is urging Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell to cut rates, citing slowing inflation.
He even hinted that if the Fed does not take action, he might have to "force certain things."
As inflation cools and election season heats up, the pressure on Powell is mounting. The market is closely watching — will the Fed hold its ground, or will it shift under political pressure?

#Vietnam Crypto Policy The "Draft for the Management of the Virtual Asset Market" released by the State Bank of Vietnam at midnight on June 16, 2025, is causing significant fluctuations in the crypto market. Its core policies include three sets of contradictory games:
1. Fiat Currency Channel Game: The draft allows licensed exchanges to directly trade in Vietnamese Dong (currently, only 5 platforms that hold 17% of the market share qualify), but requires 50% of crypto assets to be frozen as reserves. As a result, the OTC market in Ho Chi Minh City, the largest in Vietnam, has seen a USDT OTC premium of 8.3%.
$BTC

#越南加密政策 #越南加密政策 The draft "Virtual Asset Market Management" released by the State Bank of Vietnam at midnight on June 16, 2025, is causing severe fluctuations in the crypto market. Its policy core includes three sets of contradictory games:
1. Fiat currency channel game: The draft allows licensed exchanges to open direct trading of the Vietnamese Dong (currently, only five platforms with a market share of 17% meet the conditions), but requires freezing 50% of crypto assets as reserves. As a result, the OTC premium for USDT on the largest OTC market in Vietnam, the Ho Chi Minh City money exchange network, has reached 8.3%.

$BTC Bitcoin has unexpectedly encountered a "death cross"! The $100,000 defense battle has begun; should retail investors buy the dip or escape?
The bull-bear meat grinder is activated
Bitcoin has been fluctuating around $105,000, the 7-day moving average crosses below the 30-day moving average—this is the third occurrence of a "death cross" since 2023, with the previous two resulting in a 30% crash and an 80% surge respectively. After a $1.1 billion liquidation triggered by the Middle East conflict, whales have been madly buying the dip at $102,000, with a single purchase of 5,800 coins.

#特朗普比特币金库 Trump signed an executive order to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve for the United States, utilizing the approximately 200,000 Bitcoins held by the government (about 1% of the total supply) as a store of value asset, promising never to sell them, to combat inflation and national debt issues. This move fulfills his campaign promise, aiming to make the United States the 'global cryptocurrency capital.' Trump also promoted pro-crypto policies, including appointing officials who support cryptocurrency and easing regulations, sparking a market frenzy, with Bitcoin prices briefly surpassing $100,000. However, the executive order did not clarify plans for other cryptocurrency asset reserves, leading to market volatility and a decrease in Bitcoin prices of about 5%. This move has sparked controversy, with critics citing potential conflicts of interest and concerns that lax regulation could lead to market risks.

New Trends in the Cryptocurrency Market in 2024: Parallel Development of Institutionalization and Compliance
The cryptocurrency market in 2024 is undergoing profound changes, with institutional investors entering the arena at an accelerated pace. Data shows that among the top 100 hedge funds globally, 72 have allocated crypto assets, and BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF has surpassed $15 billion in assets under management. At the same time, the global regulatory framework is gradually improving, with the EU's MiCA regulation fully implemented and the U.S. passing the Digital Asset Market Structure Act, providing a clearer compliance path for institutional funds. Notably, traditional financial giants like JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs have launched crypto custody services, marking the acceleration of cryptocurrency integration into the mainstream financial system. Under this trend, market volatility has significantly decreased, with Bitcoin's 30-day volatility dropping to 25%, approaching the level of gold. $ADA

$BTC A gunshot echoed in the Middle East, and the cryptocurrency market collapsed in an instant! ​​
Early this morning, Israel suddenly launched an airstrike on Iranian nuclear facilities, causing global risk aversion sentiments to explode. Bitcoin plummeted by $2,000 in 15 minutes, and Ethereum directly fell below the $2,500 mark, with over $1 billion liquidated across the network in 24 hours—what’s even worse is that a user on Binance had a single liquidation of $200 million; this wave is simply a 'collective crematorium for leveraged players'.
​Why does war bring disaster to the cryptocurrency market?​​
Geopolitical conflicts are like dropping a bomb into the market, with capital frantically fleeing to gold and oil (gold prices surged to $3,430, and oil prices soared by 6%). And what about the cryptocurrency market?

#以色列伊朗冲突 A shot rang out in the Middle East, and the cryptocurrency market instantly crashed! ​​
Early this morning, Israel suddenly launched airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, causing global risk aversion sentiments to explode. Bitcoin dropped by $2000 in just 15 minutes, and Ethereum fell below the $2500 mark, with over $1 billion in liquidations across the network in 24 hours — the harshest was a Binance user who lost $200 million in a single trade, making this a 'collective funeral for leveraged players'.
​Why does war affect the cryptocurrency market? ​​
Geopolitical conflicts are like dropping a bomb into the market, causing funds to rush into gold and oil (gold prices soared to $3430, and oil prices surged by 6%). And what about the cryptocurrency market?

The US and China have been negotiating fiercely in London for 48 hours, temporarily keeping the trade war nuclear button pressed, but the fuse is still burning. August 10 is the line between life and death!
Temporary painkiller:
The US has loosened its grip on rare earths.
China has also eased restrictions, allowing Shenzhen rare earth companies to export again.
The most drastic move is the plunge in tariffs! The punitive tariffs imposed by the US on China have been cut from 145% to 30%, while China's tariffs on the US have fallen from 125% to 10%. This is definitely a significant concession from both sides!
BUT! A ticking time bomb hangs overhead:
August 10 is the deadline! If no agreement is reached before then, all the reduced tariffs will “boom” back up, possibly even higher! This is not an agreement; it’s merely a deferral of an explosion!
A superficial ceasefire, but secretly stabbing:
The US is being sneaky: The bans on chips and aircraft equipment from China remain unchanged, and they flaunt the court's support for their 34% “standard” tariff. I see this as a delaying tactic, with the big stick ready to strike at any moment!
China is not backing down either: Exports to the US plummeted by a record 34.5% in May, and the trade war indeed hurts. But we have the rare earth trump card, forcing the US to come back to the negotiating table; this hand is strong enough!
$BTC

#美国加征关税 The US and China have been negotiating intensely in London for 48 hours, temporarily pressing the pause button on the trade war, but the fuse is still burning. August 10 is the line between life and death!
Temporary painkiller:
The US has loosened its grip on the rare earth chokehold.
China has also eased restrictions, allowing rare earth companies in Shenzhen to resume exports.
The most significant move is the drastic reduction in tariffs! The punitive tariffs imposed by the US on China have been cut from 145% to 30%, and those imposed by China on the US have been reduced from 125% to 10%. This is definitely a significant concession from both sides!
BUT! A time bomb is hanging overhead:
August 10 is the deadline! If an agreement cannot be reached beforehand, all the reduced tariffs will “boom” back up, or even worse! This isn’t an agreement; it’s simply a delay until an explosion!
Surface ceasefire, covert stabbing:
The US is being sly: The ban on chip and aircraft equipment exports to China remains firmly in place, and they boast about the court supporting their 34% “standard” tariff. I see it as a delaying tactic, with a big stick ready to swing down at any moment!
China isn't backing down either: Exports to the US plummeted by 34.5% in May, setting a record, and the trade war indeed hurts. But we have the rare earth trump card, forcing the US to come back to the negotiating table; this hand is strong enough!

$ETH 盘面惊现时区交易规律！
链上数据显示，ETH 近期波动呈现明确时区特征：日内高点多出现于早 8 点（亚盘收盘），低点集中在 16 点（欧盘开盘时段）。这一现象或与亚盘资金获利了结、欧美盘增量资金入场有关。若规律持续，日内交易策略或可尝试「亚盘做空、欧美盘做多」的节奏，但需注意市场突发消息可能打破惯性。

#加密圆桌讨论 加密圆桌讨论揭示了监管机构从对抗到合作的范式转变，代币化技术成为传统金融与加密生态的桥梁。未来三年，合规框架的完善、机构配置比例的提升（预计养老金配置加密资产至5%）及跨境监管互认，将共同推动加密市场进入“链上资产与传统金融深度融合”的新阶段。然而，如何在技术创新与投资者保护间实现动态平衡，仍是全球监管者面临的长期挑战。

#实用交易工具 #实用交易工具 RSI 和 MACD 是常用的加密货币技术分析工具。RSI 用于衡量市场超买超卖，值高于 70 表示超买，低于 30 表示超卖。MACD 则通过快线与慢线的交叉判断趋势，金叉为买入信号，死叉为卖出信号。两者结合使用可提高判断准确率，如 RSI 超卖 + MACD 金叉，常被视为强烈做多信号。适合趋势确认与短线操作。

#纳斯达克加密ETF扩容 现货ETF资金连续14天狂流入，累计超8亿美元，贝莱德ETHA基金领跑，单日注资3,470万美元，ETF总资产逼近百亿美元大关！机构火力全开，显露对ETH未来的坚定信心。
虽然近两周ETH价格小幅回调6%，资金流却持续涌入，显示多头布局未减，暗藏爆发潜力！技术面同样利好，日线旗形震荡蓄势待发，50日与200日均线“黄金交叉”确认上升趋势，RSI指标潜藏强劲买盘信号。

The US and China are currently negotiating in the UK, and there will be progress news to drive this round!
Currently, BTC and ETH are still fluctuating sideways in the 4-hour chart, waiting for news about whether they will break or drop!
BTC has been relatively strong, consolidating above 105,000, and the weekly chart has shown a corrective wave and a long-legged doji, with limited downward space. If the news is positive, it will directly initiate a move. If it tests the lower level again, we will first look at the support at 103,000;

The US and China are negotiating in the UK regarding #中美贸易谈判 , and there will be progress news to drive this round!
Currently, BTC and ETH are still fluctuating sideways on the 4-hour chart, waiting for news on whether they will break or drop!
BTC has been relatively strong, consistently trading above 105,000. The weekly chart has shown a corrective wave and a long-legged doji, with limited downward space. If the news is positive, it will directly trigger movement; if it tests the lower side again, we will first look at the support at 103,000.

$BTC The overall trend of the pancake in the last hour has been forming high and low points repeatedly in the range of 105300-105700. Technically, there is no obvious trend direction, and various technical signals indicate a slightly weak short-term state.
Pay attention to the strong support at the integer level of 105200; if it is lost, it may accelerate the bottoming process. If it then stabilizes above EMA7 with increased volume, it can be seen as a breakthrough correction starting point.
Combining recent news and comprehensive analysis, I personally believe there will be one more rise, approximately to 106000–106500, waiting for signals from the news.