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玉泽

Frequent Trader
6.4 Years
推X @LHMonkeys 以交易为生,记录自己交易过程,个人观点仅供参考,并不构成你投资的依据
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币安即将上线山寨指数代币“ALL” 当前指数有460个成分币,每个币种的权重为0.2174% 以后不看好山寨可以做空all了
币安即将上线山寨指数代币“ALL”

当前指数有460个成分币,每个币种的权重为0.2174%

以后不看好山寨可以做空all了
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Everyone can take a look at the yellow line of global liquidity and the price trend of altcoins. CRV basically follows the trend of global liquidity, and you can see that others are also largely consistent. As for whether altcoins can truly usher in a reversal, the core factor still lies in the changes in overall liquidity. Looking at the historical trends since 2014, every round of altcoin bull markets has occurred under a "liquidation" environment, meaning that only when market liquidity is ample and large funds are willing to take risks can altcoins have the potential for large-scale explosions. That said, there are indeed quite a few junk coins that have shown phase-specific buy points on a daily chart. From a technical perspective, they possess a certain degree of speculative space. However, whether this can evolve from a rebound into a true reversal still requires further observation in conjunction with macro factors and market liquidity.
Everyone can take a look at the yellow line of global liquidity and the price trend of altcoins. CRV basically follows the trend of global liquidity, and you can see that others are also largely consistent.

As for whether altcoins can truly usher in a reversal, the core factor still lies in the changes in overall liquidity. Looking at the historical trends since 2014, every round of altcoin bull markets has occurred under a "liquidation" environment, meaning that only when market liquidity is ample and large funds are willing to take risks can altcoins have the potential for large-scale explosions.

That said, there are indeed quite a few junk coins that have shown phase-specific buy points on a daily chart. From a technical perspective, they possess a certain degree of speculative space. However, whether this can evolve from a rebound into a true reversal still requires further observation in conjunction with macro factors and market liquidity.
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Large outflows have begun for ETH ETFs, can ETH continue to hold strong?
Large outflows have begun for ETH ETFs, can ETH continue to hold strong?
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Good morning, updating the status of the long position in ETH. The average price for this round of buying on the dip is around 3500. The limit orders at 3320 and 3350 were not filled. But overall, the rhythm is quite good. For long positions, there's no need to focus too much on price advantages; otherwise, it's easy to miss out. Next, I will continue to add some positions below 4000. For those trading short, I also suggest looking for opportunities to go long on pullbacks. I've seen many people like to guess the top and short the market; when ETH rises, they want to short it; when MYX rises, they also want to short it; when magic rises, they still want to short it. They really haven't experienced a market beating.
Good morning, updating the status of the long position in ETH. The average price for this round of buying on the dip is around 3500. The limit orders at 3320 and 3350 were not filled.

But overall, the rhythm is quite good. For long positions, there's no need to focus too much on price advantages; otherwise, it's easy to miss out.

Next, I will continue to add some positions below 4000. For those trading short, I also suggest looking for opportunities to go long on pullbacks. I've seen many people like to guess the top and short the market; when ETH rises, they want to short it; when MYX rises, they also want to short it; when magic rises, they still want to short it.

They really haven't experienced a market beating.
ETHUSDT
Opening Long
Unrealized PNL
+26238.85USDT
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A Diagram Explaining the Positive Aspects of ETH from Top to Bottom
A Diagram Explaining the Positive Aspects of ETH from Top to Bottom
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Bullish
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ENA rebounded strongly, trading volume is close to ranking 8th Broke through the bottom consolidation range, can enter long on a 4-hour pullback Target price 0.9
ENA rebounded strongly, trading volume is close to ranking 8th

Broke through the bottom consolidation range, can enter long on a 4-hour pullback

Target price 0.9
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ETH has been loaded, don't let it go to waste 🤡
ETH has been loaded, don't let it go to waste 🤡
ETHUSDT
Opening Long
Unrealized PNL
+26238.85USDT
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US stock crypto stocks fall harder than altcoins🤡
US stock crypto stocks fall harder than altcoins🤡
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A 1998 newspaper article titled "Predicting the Future of Money" The article stated that using cryptography to encrypt transactions (i.e., digital currency) could prevent theft. Ten years later, in 2008, Bitcoin was created. In 2025, digital currencies began to be accepted by governments and traditional financial institutions. In mid-year, Hong Kong issued the Stablecoin Ordinance, the United States vigorously promoted the Genius Act, and Shanghai began exploring the feasibility of a RMB stablecoin. The industry has been boomeranging for 30 years, and its boom period has just begun.
A 1998 newspaper article titled "Predicting the Future of Money"

The article stated that using cryptography to encrypt transactions (i.e., digital currency) could prevent theft.

Ten years later, in 2008, Bitcoin was created.

In 2025, digital currencies began to be accepted by governments and traditional financial institutions.

In mid-year, Hong Kong issued the Stablecoin Ordinance, the United States vigorously promoted the Genius Act, and Shanghai began exploring the feasibility of a RMB stablecoin.

The industry has been boomeranging for 30 years, and its boom period has just begun.
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The non-farm data is fabricated; it feels like this has happened more than once or twice. There have been previous doubts about the authenticity of the non-farm data. This time, the violently corrected data differs by nearly ten times, directly collapsing the entire market. Now, this data has become a tool for manipulating the market, becoming increasingly unreliable. [点击进入聊天室](https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/service-group-landing?channelToken=125V8eh8PhY5f3aFgtxzrQ&type=1)
The non-farm data is fabricated; it feels like this has happened more than once or twice. There have been previous doubts about the authenticity of the non-farm data.

This time, the violently corrected data differs by nearly ten times, directly collapsing the entire market.

Now, this data has become a tool for manipulating the market, becoming increasingly unreliable.

点击进入聊天室
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Unemployment rate rises, employment population declines, in line with expectations Increased likelihood of interest rate cuts, favorable for the cryptocurrency market Hope Mr. Powell eases up [点击进入聊天室](https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/service-group-landing?channelToken=125V8eh8PhY5f3aFgtxzrQ&type=1)
Unemployment rate rises, employment population declines, in line with expectations

Increased likelihood of interest rate cuts, favorable for the cryptocurrency market

Hope Mr. Powell eases up

点击进入聊天室
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Bearish
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The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in September is 60.8% The probability of a rate cut in September has fallen to 39.2% Mr. Powell's remarks changed market expectations [点击进入聊天室](https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/service-group-landing?channelToken=125V8eh8PhY5f3aFgtxzrQ&type=1)
The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in September is 60.8%

The probability of a rate cut in September has fallen to 39.2%

Mr. Powell's remarks changed market expectations

点击进入聊天室
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Currently, this market once again proves that altcoins are not worth holding for long I wonder how many people have been trapped in this wave? At the same time, the continuously rising open interest in contracts is a change brought about by the market's low volatility, as everyone hopes to achieve higher returns through leverage Is there still an altcoin season? This has been a recurring topic in this round; based on the current market, it seems that only after truly starting to inject liquidity will the outcome be a bit better; at other times, liquidity will not be very good.
Currently, this market once again proves that altcoins are not worth holding for long

I wonder how many people have been trapped in this wave?

At the same time, the continuously rising open interest in contracts is a change brought about by the market's low volatility, as everyone hopes to achieve higher returns through leverage

Is there still an altcoin season? This has been a recurring topic in this round; based on the current market, it seems that only after truly starting to inject liquidity will the outcome be a bit better; at other times, liquidity will not be very good.
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Bullish
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Last night, Master Bao's pigeon-style speech said that there might not be an interest rate cut in September, causing the market to dip sharply. It just so happened that I hadn't slept by three in the morning, so I kept an eye on it. Last night's dip was actually a great buying opportunity. I was hoping for a sharper dip; even if there is no interest rate cut in September, will you cut in October? If you don't cut in October, will you cut in December? The market will price in expectations in advance, and buying here is based on the expectation of entering a rate-cutting cycle soon. So when BTC dipped, I looked for a position to buy more. During this period, ENA recovered its drop the fastest among altcoins, and it was also on my observation list. I went long on both BTC and ENA. As for ETH, since I had a long position, I did not make any moves on ETH last night. The dip in Bitcoin here may signal the end of this period of volatility, continuing towards 120,000. Hold on tight.
Last night, Master Bao's pigeon-style speech said that there might not be an interest rate cut in September, causing the market to dip sharply. It just so happened that I hadn't slept by three in the morning, so I kept an eye on it.

Last night's dip was actually a great buying opportunity. I was hoping for a sharper dip; even if there is no interest rate cut in September, will you cut in October? If you don't cut in October, will you cut in December? The market will price in expectations in advance, and buying here is based on the expectation of entering a rate-cutting cycle soon.

So when BTC dipped, I looked for a position to buy more. During this period, ENA recovered its drop the fastest among altcoins, and it was also on my observation list. I went long on both BTC and ENA.

As for ETH, since I had a long position, I did not make any moves on ETH last night. The dip in Bitcoin here may signal the end of this period of volatility, continuing towards 120,000. Hold on tight.
B
ENAUSDT
Closed
PNL
+890.01USDT
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The market has nearly completely changed. If you are still hoping for a black swan event where BTC and ETH could drop 40% to give you an opportunity to get in, then I can only wish you good luck [点击进入聊天室](https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/service-group-landing?channelToken=125V8eh8PhY5f3aFgtxzrQ&type=1)
The market has nearly completely changed. If you are still hoping for a black swan event where BTC and ETH could drop 40% to give you an opportunity to get in, then I can only wish you good luck

点击进入聊天室
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Recent insights from my trading experience: the success rate for trading BTC and ETH on the left side is higher than on the right side. For short trades, it's generally much more comfortable to trade on the left side. Trading altcoins is quite difficult, and you can only trade on the right side. When selecting altcoins, you can only choose those with active trading volumes; the rest remain stagnant. I do not hold any altcoins. In this cycle, I plan to buy more mainstream assets for long-term holding, specifically BTC and ETH. For altcoins, I only attempt to profit from significant upward trends and do not hold any altcoins long-term. Holding BTC or ETH for the long term should outperform all your other speculative moves. In the future, altcoins will not yield returns that surpass holding these two assets. [点击进入聊天室](https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/service-group-landing?channelToken=125V8eh8PhY5f3aFgtxzrQ&type=1)
Recent insights from my trading experience: the success rate for trading BTC and ETH on the left side is higher than on the right side. For short trades, it's generally much more comfortable to trade on the left side.

Trading altcoins is quite difficult, and you can only trade on the right side. When selecting altcoins, you can only choose those with active trading volumes; the rest remain stagnant. I do not hold any altcoins.

In this cycle, I plan to buy more mainstream assets for long-term holding, specifically BTC and ETH. For altcoins, I only attempt to profit from significant upward trends and do not hold any altcoins long-term.

Holding BTC or ETH for the long term should outperform all your other speculative moves. In the future, altcoins will not yield returns that surpass holding these two assets.

点击进入聊天室
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Why did Boss He Yi start delivering takeout? 🤡
Why did Boss He Yi start delivering takeout? 🤡
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It's a good thing to spend more time here with ETH; the 4000 range is a major resistance zone. If we had gone directly up yesterday, we would still come down later. It's better to spend some time here and then go straight up later. Making decisions during the unfolding of a trend is very passive because the winning players already have some profits. They can withstand price fluctuations due to their floating profits and maintain a good mindset, while you cannot, because you lack the advantage of floating profits. Once you encounter fluctuations, your mindset will inevitably be impacted. If the stop-loss level is hit, it's impossible not to stop-loss. Moreover, many people find the amplitude of the swings within the pattern too small, and the profits from the swings keep narrowing. Therefore, even if the pattern is broken, they will not have confidence in the trend. Restricted by this psychological shadow, they exit at the first sign of resistance, and when a slightly larger rebound or pullback occurs, they doubt the trend, re-evaluating it. The result is often small swing trades with light positions, making a little profit and then running away. If the timing is not right, they not only don't make a profit but also incur small losses. In the end, they may have the correct directional bias but lose money overall. Therefore, I suggest that everyone try to widen their stop-loss levels at relatively advantageous positions for ETH, increase tolerance for errors, and find the right rhythm. [点击进入聊天室](https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/service-group-landing?channelToken=125V8eh8PhY5f3aFgtxzrQ&type=1)
It's a good thing to spend more time here with ETH; the 4000 range is a major resistance zone. If we had gone directly up yesterday, we would still come down later. It's better to spend some time here and then go straight up later.

Making decisions during the unfolding of a trend is very passive because the winning players already have some profits. They can withstand price fluctuations due to their floating profits and maintain a good mindset, while you cannot, because you lack the advantage of floating profits. Once you encounter fluctuations, your mindset will inevitably be impacted. If the stop-loss level is hit, it's impossible not to stop-loss.

Moreover, many people find the amplitude of the swings within the pattern too small, and the profits from the swings keep narrowing. Therefore, even if the pattern is broken, they will not have confidence in the trend. Restricted by this psychological shadow, they exit at the first sign of resistance, and when a slightly larger rebound or pullback occurs, they doubt the trend, re-evaluating it. The result is often small swing trades with light positions, making a little profit and then running away. If the timing is not right, they not only don't make a profit but also incur small losses. In the end, they may have the correct directional bias but lose money overall.

Therefore, I suggest that everyone try to widen their stop-loss levels at relatively advantageous positions for ETH, increase tolerance for errors, and find the right rhythm.

点击进入聊天室
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S
VINEUSDT
Closed
PNL
+475.98USDT
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It is not easy for forms of significant value to be formed and broken through. The reason they are of great value is that both bulls and bears invest a lot of strength and spend a long time in repeated competition, with neither side willing to easily concede. Therefore, breakthroughs are difficult, but once a breakthrough occurs, the value becomes substantial, as the subsequent trend movement is astonishing and is driven by the general trend, beyond human control.
It is not easy for forms of significant value to be formed and broken through. The reason they are of great value is that both bulls and bears invest a lot of strength and spend a long time in repeated competition, with neither side willing to easily concede. Therefore, breakthroughs are difficult, but once a breakthrough occurs, the value becomes substantial, as the subsequent trend movement is astonishing and is driven by the general trend, beyond human control.
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