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$BTC 850U rolled to 4.6WU, this time I really reversed through method. I am not the kind of "chosen one" who gets rich overnight, but I am no longer the retail investor who loses money every year and frequently faces liquidation. In this round of operations, I started with 850U. It's not a large principal, but it is this small amount of money that forced me to start "only making the most certain trades". I set three rules for myself: ✅ Do not chase highs and sell lows, only trade at high certainty rhythm points ✅ Build positions in batches for all orders, strictly take profit and stop loss ✅ Once profitable, immediately execute the "profit rolling + position increment" plan The initial phase was particularly difficult; in the first two or three days, I only earned a few dozen to a hundred U every day. But I knew that this stage was not about making big money, but about building a base and increasing the safety margin. The real takeoff began with the third round of rolling after the capital doubled. I made less than 30 trades in total, with a win rate of about 70%, but I "took enough and took full" profits on each trade, and controlled every drawdown within a range.
View my earnings and portfolio details. Follow me to learn investment tips. The US national debt has surpassed the historic high of 37 trillion US dollars, and 25% of federal tax revenue is used to pay interest on the debt. This astonishing figure has triggered deep concerns in the market about inflation rebounding, financial stability, and the long-term value of the US dollar. In this context, investors are beginning to wonder: Can cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin and stablecoins, become new safe-haven assets? #### How Does the Debt Crisis Affect the Crypto Market? 1. Inflation Concerns Drive Funds to Inflation-Resistant Assets - High debt levels may force the Federal Reserve to maintain loose monetary policy, or even restart quantitative easing (QE), thereby increasing the risk of dollar devaluation. - Bitcoin ($BTC), due to its fixed supply (21 million coins), is often regarded as 'digital gold' and may attract more capital inflows to hedge against inflation. 2. Dollar Credit Impairment, Stablecoin Demand May Rise - If market confidence in the US dollar declines, investors may turn to stablecoins (such as USDT, USDC) as short-term safe-haven tools, especially in cross-border transactions and decentralized finance (DeFi). 3. Risk Assets Under Short-Term Pressure, But Long-Term Benefits for Crypto? - If the debt crisis triggers an economic recession, it may lead to stock market and bond market turmoil, dragging down risk assets such as Bitcoin in the short term. - However, if the Federal Reserve is forced to cut interest rates or implement new stimulus policies, abundant liquidity may eventually push up cryptocurrency prices.
Take a look at my position distribution, welcome to follow! Daily trend analysis, how to act in a long or short position 1. The first one marked in the chart is the liquidation chart. You can pull up the liquidation chart from January to March, and you can clearly see that there are a lot of shorts around 110k (very many). Combined with market sentiment, surprisingly, no one is experiencing FOMO; everyone is shorting, thinking this is a historical peak. As the main player, seeing so many short positions here, if you still have holdings, would you raise the price to let them eat all your holdings (i.e., shorts getting liquidated)? 2. This is a current daily chart, and this is undoubtedly a weekly upward trend currently. It has moved up and down (the current downward movement is ongoing). Combined with Chart 4, you can see that BTC has made three upward or downward daily movements (red ⭕) to confirm the peaks and troughs during these two formations, while the last peak and trough have both removed the new high/new low. (Currently, only two upward movements have occurred) At the same time, the downward movement on the daily chart is not yet complete, but the volume indeed appears to be low (red arrow), which likely indicates a divergence. At this point, we still treat it as not breaking below 100k. 3. Chart three continues to delve into the 4-hour chart. At this point, the 4-hour chart has already shown a decrease in volume, and the downward momentum is weak. Once this 4-hour movement concludes, we can start to go long!
$BTC Daily Line Major Direction Analysis, How to Operate Long and Short 1. The first one marked in the chart is the liquidation chart. You can pull open the liquidation chart from January to March, and you can clearly see that there are a lot of short positions around 110k (very many), and combined with market sentiment, everyone actually feels no FOMO at all, all thinking of shorting as this is the historical peak. If you are the main force and see so many short positions here, if you still have goods in hand, would you pull it up a bit to let them eat all your goods (leading to short position liquidation)? 2. This is the current daily line chart, and currently it is a weekly line that is very clear above. It has been moving up and down (this down is currently happening). Combined with Chart 4, you can see that BTC has made two tops and bottoms, each moving in three upward or downward daily line segments (red ⭕) to determine the tops and bottoms, while the last top and bottom have all removed the new high/new low. (Currently, only two upward movements have occurred) At the same time, the daily line has not yet completed the downward movement, but from the volume perspective, it is indeed not much (red arrow), and there is a high probability of divergence occurring. At this time, we still handle it based on the principle of not breaking below 100k. 3. Chart three continues to delve into the 4-hour chart. Here, the 4-hour chart has already shown a decrease in volume, and the downward momentum is weak. Once this 4-hour downward movement is completed, we can start to go long!
The U.S. national debt has reached a historical high, with 25% of tax revenue being used to pay interest, which indeed raises concerns about inflation, long-term fiscal stability, and the future direction of the dollar. The specifics are as follows: Inflation Aspect - Increase in Money Supply: To repay debt and pay interest, the U.S. government may adopt the method of issuing more currency, which will increase the money supply and thus trigger inflation. - Demand-Pull Inflation: By borrowing to maintain fiscal spending, the government may stimulate economic growth and increase total demand. If supply cannot respond quickly, it may lead to rising prices and trigger demand-pull inflation.
The US national debt has reached a historic high of 23,971,843,327, with 25% of tax revenue used to pay interest, which indeed raises concerns about inflation, long-term fiscal stability, and the future direction of the dollar, as detailed below: Inflation aspects - Increase in money supply: To repay debts and pay interest, the US government may resort to increasing the money supply, which will raise the money supply and consequently trigger inflation. - Demand-pull inflation: The government's borrowing to maintain fiscal spending may stimulate economic growth and increase total demand. If supply cannot respond quickly, it may lead to rising prices, triggering demand-pull inflation.
Ethereum (ETH) is gradually being recognized as a core infrastructure for the expanding digital economy. Recent regulatory developments, including the anticipated passage of the U.S. stablecoin bill, are reinforcing the position of blockchain technology as part of national infrastructure. This legislation positions stablecoins as important tools for businesses and financial institutions, significantly impacting Ethereum's role and adoption. The stablecoin bill is set to pass, incorporating blockchain into the U.S. infrastructure law framework. This shift marks a significant step towards adoption and serves as a catalyst for Ethereum's increasingly expanded use. Circle's USDC stablecoin is primarily built on Ethereum, typically exemplifying this development; approximately 75% of USDC circulation is within the Ethereum ecosystem. The bill is expected to encourage Wall Street firms to accelerate their investments in stablecoins.
Ethereum (ETH) is gradually being recognized as the core infrastructure for expanding the digital economy. Recent regulatory advancements, including the anticipated passage of the U.S. stablecoin bill, are consolidating the position of blockchain technology as part of national infrastructure. This legislation positions stablecoins as important tools for businesses and financial institutions, significantly impacting Ethereum's role and adoption. The stablecoin bill is set to pass, incorporating blockchain into the framework of U.S. infrastructure law. This shift marks a significant step toward adoption and serves as a catalyst for the increasing use of Ethereum. Circle's USDC stablecoin is primarily built on Ethereum, typically exemplifying this development; approximately 75% of USDC circulation is within the Ethereum ecosystem. The bill is expected to encourage Wall Street firms to accelerate their investments in stablecoins.
The countdown for altcoins $USDC has begun Once the beautiful country's stock market is fully tokenized, compliant stocks will be able to circulate and trade on the chain, and those altcoins that rely on empty promises and storytelling will basically be packed up and shown the door. COIN is doing this, making on-chain securities mainstream. Many recently IPO'd stocks have a market value of only a few tens of millions or a couple of hundred million, which is not much different from small-cap coins for retail investors—but at least they are regulatory compliant and have real business operations. Altcoins vs. On-chain US Stocks: one relies on faith, the other on financial statements; it is self-evident who has a better market.
The countdown for the #加密概念美股 altcoin has already begun. Once the beautiful country's stock market is fully tokenized, compliant stocks can circulate on the chain and be listed on exchanges. Those altcoins that rely on empty promises and stories will basically be forced to exit the market. COIN is working on this, making on-chain securities mainstream. Many stocks that have just gone public have a market value of only tens of millions or a couple of hundred million. For retail investors, they are not much different from small-cap coins—at least they are regulatory compliant and have real business operations. Altcoins vs. on-chain U.S. stocks: one relies on faith, the other on financial statements. It is self-evident which one has a better market.
#加密概念美股 Policy and Giant Dynamics Trump is back! He called on social media, hoping the House of Representatives will "quickly pass" the stablecoin bill to accelerate America's entry into the digital asset era. Circle's stock is also incredible, with a single-day trading volume exceeding 63 million shares, setting a new historical high, indicating that the capital market's enthusiasm for crypto concepts remains strong. On the other hand, the U.S. Treasury Secretary emphasized that cryptocurrencies will not threaten the dollar's dominant position, suggesting that the regulatory stance may soften. Meanwhile, Arkham reveals: Abraxas Capital's single address has a short position exceeding $500 million, with an unrealized profit of $18 million, making this long-short showdown highly charged!
$USDC Policies and Giant Dynamics Trump is back! He called on social media, hoping that the House of Representatives would "swiftly pass" the stablecoin bill to accelerate America's entry into the digital asset era. Circle's stock is also incredible, with a single-day trading volume exceeding 63 million shares, setting a historic high, indicating that the capital market's enthusiasm for crypto concepts remains strong. On the other hand, the U.S. Treasury Secretary emphasized that cryptocurrencies will not threaten the dominance of the dollar, suggesting that the regulatory stance may soften. Meanwhile, Arkham revealed: Abraxas Capital has a single account short position exceeding $500 million, with an unrealized profit of $18 million; this contest between bulls and bears is full of tension!
#加密概念美股 Coinbase Becomes S&P Component, Wall Street Officially Admits Defeat Early this morning, the crypto stock market welcomed an epic positive development—Coinbase (COIN) has been officially included in the S&P 500 index, with after-hours stock price surging by 10%. This not only marks the first time the crypto industry has entered a mainstream financial index, but also signifies Wall Street's complete capitulation: traditional capital must give way to the pricing power of on-chain assets. Data shows that Coinbase currently has a market capitalization of $65.4 billion, with a custody of 890,000 BTC (accounting for 4% of circulation), and Q1 trading revenue of $1.26 billion, with institutional clients making up over 60%. This move directly slaps the SEC in the face, especially since last year they sued Coinbase for "illegally operating securities," yet now they tacitly allow it to enter the mainstream.
$USDC Coinbase Included in S&P, Wall Street Officially Admits Defeat Early this morning, the crypto stock market welcomed an epic positive development—Coinbase (COIN) was officially included in the S&P 500 Index, with an after-hours stock price surge of 10%. This not only marks the first time the crypto industry has entered a mainstream financial index but also signifies Wall Street's complete capitulation: traditional capital must yield pricing power to on-chain assets. Data shows that Coinbase currently has a market capitalization of $65.4 billion, with 890,000 BTC held in custody (accounting for 4% of the circulating supply), and Q1 trading revenue of $1.26 billion, with institutional clients making up over 60%. This move directly counters the SEC, which last year sued Coinbase for 'operating securities illegally', yet now tacitly allows its entrance into the mainstream.
Ethereum (ETH) is gradually being recognized as a core infrastructure for expanding the digital economy. Recent regulatory developments, including the anticipated passage of the U.S. stablecoin bill, are solidifying the position of blockchain technology as part of national infrastructure. This legislation positions stablecoins as important tools for businesses and financial institutions, significantly impacting Ethereum's role and adoption. The stablecoin bill is set to pass, incorporating blockchain into the U.S. infrastructure law framework. This shift marks a significant step towards adoption and serves as a catalyst for Ethereum's increasingly expanded use. Circle's USDC stablecoin is primarily built on Ethereum, typically exemplifying this development; approximately 75% of USDC circulation is within the Ethereum ecosystem. The bill is expected to encourage Wall Street firms to accelerate their investment in stablecoins.
$USDC Ethereum (ETH) is gradually being recognized as the core infrastructure for expanding the digital economy. Recent regulatory developments, including the anticipated passage of the U.S. stablecoin bill, are solidifying the position of blockchain technology as part of national infrastructure. This legislation positions stablecoins as important tools for businesses and financial institutions, significantly impacting the role and adoption of Ethereum. The stablecoin bill is about to pass, incorporating blockchain into the framework of the U.S. Infrastructure Law. This shift marks a significant step towards adoption and acts as a catalyst for the increasingly widespread use of Ethereum. Circle's USDC stablecoin is primarily built on Ethereum, typically embodying this development; approximately 75% of USDC circulation is within the Ethereum ecosystem. The bill is expected to encourage Wall Street firms to accelerate their investments in stablecoins.
$USDC The Central Bank is personally stepping in, is the stablecoin about to change? Tonight, we must closely watch these two things! You may not have realized yet, a hard battle over 'stablecoin hegemony' has already begun, and the central bank is personally taking action! What 'big event' happened today? This morning at the Lujiazui Forum, central bank bigwig Pan Gongsheng dropped a bombshell message: "Using blockchain to eliminate SWIFT"—cross-border remittances reduced from 3 days to 10 seconds, and fees cut from 6% to 0.6% SWIFT and those 'old foreign traditional payment systems' are really about to be sent to the museum Don't take it as just empty promises—today the international operating center for digital RMB has officially launched! The market is bleeding: The stablecoin war has officially begun! The central bank's version of 'compliant stablecoins' is here 100% fiat currency reserves Monthly on-chain audits
Nuclear-level message #我的交易风格 ! The central bank's statement ignites a new battlefield for stablecoins. Tonight, keep a close eye on these two life-and-death lines 【Technical Nuclear Explosion】 Pan Gongsheng dropped a bombshell at the Lujiazui Forum this morning: Blockchain + distributed ledger directly shatters the cross-border payment chain! Cross-border transfers reduced from 3 days to 10 seconds, transaction fees slashed from 6% to 0.6%, even the coffins of those old SWIFT relics can barely hold up This is not wishful thinking — the international operation center for the digital yuan officially launched today, with leaked data from Hong Kong's sandbox testing showing that daily cross-border payment transaction volume has already exceeded 8 billion dollars, on-chain settlement speed skyrocketing to 3,000 transactions per second, directly rubbing USDT on the ground What’s even more ruthless is the smart contract, the dragon-slaying sword: automatic settlement, real-time auditing, and full-chain monitoring of fund flows, the traditional bank's “T+3” settlement model is swept into the historical garbage pile. 【The Bloody Game Between Regulation and Market】 1. Compliance Arms Race The digital yuan reveals its bottom line: 100% fiat currency reserves + monthly on-chain audits + central bank credit endorsement, this is charging into the USDT and USDC market with a machine gun!