金水哥哥

I heard that Binance launched #事件合约 , with odds of 1 to 0.8, and a loss of 1 to 1, which feels quite shocking. Simply put, the 0.2 difference is the platform's profit, meaning that if you play this game, your basic winning rate won't even reach 1:1, so you can't possibly make a profit in the long run. The basic winning rate of the event contract itself is only 0.8, and relying on luck and technology to improve the winning rate can actually be calculated through data. Even if you occasionally win a few trades, once the transaction volume exceeds 100, it will revert to the law of large numbers, making long-term losses almost inevitable.
I have already compiled the winning rate data for Bitcoin event contracts over different periods of 10 minutes, 30 minutes, one hour, and one day. The results show that whether in the short term or long term, there are significant fluctuations in the winning rate, and the overall winning rate is generally below 1:0.4. Even if some short-term strategies seem effective, as the number of trades increases, the probability of loss still dominates. From a data analysis perspective, these types of contracts rely more on the odds set by the platform rather than market trends, making it almost impossible for investors to profit in the medium to long term.
$BTC

It seems like I'm going to lose, I didn't follow my trading discipline. Logically, after a three-hour breakout, I should wait for the next three hours before considering entry. This is a failure to adhere to trading discipline 😭. The Binance app on my phone seems to lack measurement tools; I can't even measure my stop-loss point. I'm quite impressed that I have to calculate everything by hand on my phone $BTC calculating support points

Playing Bitcoin feels like this wave is going to explode $BTC

#币安Alpha上新 Today Binance Wallet completed tasks for 15 minutes, using #zkj during the 5-minute chart stability to trade, set slippage to 0.01 in Binance Wallet, made 17 trades, loss was 3.64U, today's loss is relatively small, yesterday at least lost above 20 😭, brothers, is there a better way to trade, please share $BTC

Why does it feel like every day is full of surprises? Prices rise today and fall tomorrow, they go up this hour and down the next hour. Which expert can handle this market? $BTC so tired.

A comprehensive analysis of the logic and win rate differences behind 1 hour, 4 hours, 1 day, 1 week, and 1 month candlesticks,
so you can stop trading blindly and truly understand the market rhythm! Let's look at the real data:

Taking #比特币 as an example, in the past period:

The proportion of rising candlesticks by period: 1 hour 50.09% 4 hours 52.14% 1 day 54.42% 1 week 57.37% 1 month 58.82%

👉
Smaller periods are more prone to fluctuations, with more signals and noise

👉
Larger periods are easier to capture trends, but react slowly, suitable for patient individuals

📌
Beginners or office workers: It is recommended to look at the "daily" or "weekly" charts

Spending just 10 minutes a day on review is enough

Fewer operations lead to a lower probability of mistakes

Can better grasp trends, such as getting on board at the beginning of a bull market

📌
Full-time traders or high-frequency users: You can look at "1 hour" or "4 hours"

Suitable for short-term speculation and adjusting positions during trends

But it requires more experience, discipline, and emotional control

Remember: your trading period should match your personality, time, and risk preference!
How to use periods together? (A little tip)

🔁
Multi-period resonance rule:

Use larger periods to determine the direction, and smaller periods to find entry points
For example:
If the weekly chart shows an upward trend → Daily chart shows a pullback → Enter when there is a rebound on the 4-hour chart
This way, you follow the trend without chasing highs $BTC

币安广场卡爆了，溜了溜了先睡了

Binance seems to be busy now, there are delays in replies in the square, please try again later. Bitcoin has reached a new high, which seems to have increased the bandwidth. I wish Binance a prosperous operation, and Bitcoin reaching a new high quickly attracts new users and new investors, please register with my trading code 😂

#alpha participated in the Binance wallet activity, unexpectedly got trapped and lost everything. I processed more than a dozen orders, the task is still not completed, and the loss has already reached 11.52U. Even if there are airdrops after this, I estimate I won't be able to break even. I'm going to $BTC

I think I also pay attention to the square every day, but no one posts that #alpha can make money. I feel like I've wasted a cycle. I just started the first day's task yesterday and I regret it so much. Those who can make money in the square won't post in the square. What can be posted in the square is either looking for 'leeks' or answers that everyone has already found. Just thinking about it makes me realize I've missed out on billions, it hurts so much.
I also browse the square every day, sometimes for one or two hours a day. The things that can make money are not posted $BTC .

Excuse me, everyone in the square, is the $WCT coin a domestic coin or from somewhere else? If it's a domestic coin, I won't even touch it. Can someone please clarify?

Playing Alpha got pinched, angry loss of 4U😭

When I had nothing to do, I saw a tutorial on how to create a wallet without a private key for #alpha , quickly created one, and then made a backup. Since I didn't know the backup situation, I directly cleared the data for #币安 and logged in again. I found that I could back it up, so I decided to use the Binance wallet. After all, being careful with my own money is never too much. A cautious approach leads to lasting success. Now I will start working on my score tally $BTC

With nothing to do, I applied my trading method to #事件合约 . Note that this is just for testing and not actual trading. When my trading method indicated a buy point, I bought in and then observed the current K-line's closing price. If it increased, it counted as a profitable trade; if it decreased, it counted as a losing trade. Of course, no short trades were executed; all trades were long trades, totaling 35 simulated trades. Below is the situation of the 35 simulated trades. I also simulated ten-minute trades, resulting in an overall loss of one trade. At that time, I didn't calculate it on the chart because I hadn't thought of doing this simulation yet. $BTC

$BTC This awkward moment is directed at me 😭

In old age, unaware of the good in spot trading, mistakenly treating contracts as treasures.
When faced with storms, it's hard to protect the position, only then do we know that stability is the true way.
$BTC

If this continues to drop, I may have to downgrade you. Downgrading is not my loss, but TRB's loss, as it will lose a loyal user.

This week has been full of ups and downs for $BTC , which is the most uncomfortable whether it's automated or manual trading 😭

I've launched a free open-source strategy script on #TradingView . Everyone is welcome to experience and discuss! $btc
"I've launched a free open-source strategy script on TradingView. Take a look and share your thoughts!
https://cn.tradingview.com/script/uLjsBn8R/

The monthly MACD for OM has turned bearish
The monthly MACD for UNI has turned bearish
The monthly MACD for SOL has turned bearish, but still needs observation
The monthly MACD for BTC already shows a bearish trend
The monthly MACD for AGLD has turned bearish
You all say in this bear market, can I still reach the other side of the river? Can I still get ashore?
If the monthly MACD has a death cross and it's already confirmed, then I have to wait another 4 years, can I survive until the next 4 years?