赌狗应有尽有

#红包大派送

我更喜欢每个月月中和月末参加一美元惊喜活动，虽然只占用0.01USDT的流动性，但占用一天的流动性和占用半个月的流动性还是有区别的。

0.01USDT，可以在半个月的时间里变成0.02，0.03，0.05USDT。也许就因为这0.05USDT，你的仓位就可以免遭强平。

占用0.01USDT30小时的流动性，十万分之一的概率赢取一整枚BNB。

点击链接赢取一枚BNB！

穷疯了的赌狗们，可别忘了这个活动。

#看懂K线 ### Understanding the Cryptocurrency Market Candlestick: Unique Patterns of 7×24 Hour Trading

The biggest difference between cryptocurrency market candlestick analysis and traditional stock markets is **continuity**. Due to the uninterrupted 7×24 hour trading, cryptocurrency candlesticks rarely exhibit the "gaps" seen in traditional markets. If there are obvious breakpoints, it often indicates poor liquidity and insufficient market depth for that coin, necessitating caution against manipulation risks.

**Key Identification Techniques**:
1. **Time Period Selection**: For short-term trading, it's recommended to look at the 4-hour/1-hour charts, while long-term observers should focus on daily/weekly charts.
2. **Volume-Price Coordination**: When breaking through key levels, it should be accompanied by an increase in trading volume.
3. **Special Patterns**: In an uninterrupted market, traditional patterns such as "island reversals" and "gap theory" have a higher probability of failure.

Mainstream coins with good liquidity (like BTC/ETH) exhibit smooth and continuous candlesticks, while frequent breakpoints and long shadows in smaller coins often reveal liquidity traps. Investors should prioritize trading pairs with sufficient depth.

#红包大派送 June has arrived, bn updates the monthly red envelope, this month's distributed token is $GUN . Follow the steps to scan the code and claim your red envelope, no threshold, everyone gets a share.

https://app.binance.com/uni-qr/SZ8iGGdJ?utm_medium=web_share_copy

Usually, the monthly activity tokens also mean that bn has signed contracts for this token with certain market makers, which indicates that these tokens are likely to have market activity this month. However, it is not certain whether to go long or short, further attention is needed.

I conducted the transfer activity for June and found that the reward token is also $GUN . This thing definitely has a contract with the market and bn, and there will definitely be market activity in June.

When the market crashes, the price of USDC against USDT will be driven up, directly raising it to 1.0012 at 4.7, which allows BTC/USDC to drop more sharply than BTC/USDT.

When the market rallies, the price of USDC against USDT will be driven down, and now the price of USDC is only 0.9992 USDT, which allows BTC/USDC to rise more aggressively than BTC/USDT.

If USDC is directly raised to 1.0012 at 4.7 now, Bitcoin could drop two hundred points without reason. But the fact is that the manipulators have created pressure, squeezing out 200 points of gaming space for all players shorting BTC/USDC contracts.

No transaction fees are just bait; there are many ways to take you down.

When there is no market, I earn small, and when there is a market, I earn big. After waiting for four days, I finally waited for the market to come.

This is my eighth time standing up in the crypto world, starting on 2025.04.07 with a starting capital of 48+30+2+0.75=80.75. Around 4.16, I received the second airdrop reward of 50+0.45+1.379=51.829. Currently, the net profit is 270U.

After the liquidation of #保护你的资产 , I've actually become more diligent. Compared to the last ten days, I was a complete lazy dog in March. I try to earn 12U every day. Well, actually, compared to the initial starting capital of less than 100U, earning 12U a day still feels like I'm earning too little.

Let me try to explain the hard work leading to wealth in the crypto world: constantly bearing minimal risks, but being clear about how much risk one intends to take and what those risks mean in terms of the capital to be risked. One may feel anxious at times for not bearing any risk and is constantly evaluating the direction for the next moment.

Ineffective hard work leading to wealth, on the other hand, is all the efforts made after being trapped.

#风险回报比

Initial capital 48U + continuously received 30 + 2 + 0.75 = 32.75U voucher, totaling 81U, tripled in ten days. During this period, mainly focused on major currencies, and made several small positions using ETH, SOL, and BNB. Additionally, 50U is from the bn activity that arrived this afternoon.

If not rolling positions, it's true that shorting in U-based trading carries higher risks and lower returns compared to going long, but that doesn't mean we should have a bias against shorting or never short at all. If not prepared to roll positions, then in a declining market, taking smaller short positions to profit from smaller price fluctuations is far more cost-effective than simply going long.

Life is finite; to earn enough money in our lifetime, our accounts must also have a certain income during market declines.

After the stop-loss of #止损策略 from 4.7 explosion-proof warehouse, I left 47.9U as emergency funds. In the following days, I successively received a total of 30 + 2 + 0.75 = 32.75U in token vouchers, and approximately 80U of funds have increased to nearly three times.

It's not difficult; just be bold in your investments. Here, being bold means investing several hundred to over a thousand U. My mindset these days has been: just go for it, with a principal of several hundred to over a thousand RMB, adding a bit of money to average down is really no big deal?

This kind of mindset was something I couldn't even consider when my funds were around ten thousand in February or March.

After a liquidation, there must be supplies, right?

I was planning to recharge today, but to be honest, at this rate of making money, not recharging isn't a big issue. Let's see how it goes for another couple of days.

It's really ironic, I spent a whole day losing 95% of my principal, with Ethereum hitting a low of 1411, I lost at 1450. Yet, in such a short time, I made over 50%, going from 48U to 78U.

Three reasons for this liquidation:
1. Heavy positions
2. Going long like a fool
3. The price of USDC against USDT keeps rising

To elaborate on the third point, Binance has been promoting no-fee USDC orders, which attracted many players to USDC trading pairs, and then the price of USDC was pushed up. When I was liquidated, the price of USDC was pushed up to 1.001, which also means that trading pairs like BTC/USDC would experience an additional layer of price fluctuation beyond the decline of BTC/USDT, compounded by leverage, resulting in a significantly substantial price range.

The evaluation is, it's a good cut.

game over

I admit, I smashed this plate 😂
The spot price of Bitcoin reached a profit of 85858, I sold 0.01135 BTC, which is the total amount from several previous bottom-fishing attempts.

I waited for this point for a week, since the last drop from 88, I have been bottom-fishing all the way down. When I ran out of USDT, I used my Bitcoin holdings to go long, and at one point, the liquidation price was only two thousand dollars away, but in the end, I still made a profit.

Going long with Bitcoin holdings is as risky as going short with USDT, but I can't help it, I am bullish on Bitcoin.

As the funds grow larger, the leverage has to be lower and lower, after all, I can't afford to take the risk of failing again, and spot trading can also make money.

Throughout March, I basically didn't make any money, and the profits barely covered living expenses.

I bought the dip too early, and turned all my USDT into coins, with a cost of 845. I don't know when the bull market will return; a little spring rally would be nice.

Image 2 shows the fisherman hat from the bn peripheral in the March roulette draw event; it arrived today, and I'm going to show it off in the square.

The trading volume of coins is shrinking, the interest rate of USDT is shrinking, and there is a loss of population in the chat room. I really don't know how much longer this market can hold on.

Night update on March 31

The assets in the bn account have broken through 10,000 RMB for the third time. There was one withdrawal before the first breakthrough, one stop-loss between the first and second breakthroughs, and one stop-loss + one withdrawal between the second and third breakthroughs.

It's really hard to make money in the broken B market. I just happened to see the funds added up to 1234U, so I came here to post and earn some points. I don’t know when I’ll be able to earn 12345U, or even 123456U.

When I place orders, I really like to use these sequential numbers, like 87654.3U for big coins, 567.89U for BNB, or palindromic numbers like 97579 for big coins, 531.35U for BNB. But it seems that the market's peaks and locations never favor these lucky numbers of mine; instead, I have seen a few times the sharp points at whole thousand thresholds or the sharp points at tail numbers 888, 666.

The market capitalization of stablecoins, the big coins on exchanges, the trading volume on exchanges, the on-chain trading volume, the inflow and outflow of ETFs, the highs and lows within the broken cycle. These data should be viewed together; they are different from mid-cycle bull and bear markets regarding CPI, non-farm payrolls, interest rate cuts, and tariffs. They determine the data for long-term bull and bear markets, which is not very meaningful for contract players and retail players.

$USDC Task Center actually traded USDC
The three major stablecoins on bn also have their gameplay:
Spot Trading: USDC to USDT to FDUSD will have fluctuations weekly and monthly, and it has been running quite steadily without deviating from the peg for a long time. Additionally, the spot trading of these three stablecoins has no transaction fees, so taking advantage of this fluctuation can be considered a risk-free profit;
Wealth Management: The three major stablecoins provide a decent tiered interest rate during this bull market since the rise of Chuan Huang, giving about 10% annualized high interest on the first 500 U of each stablecoin. Recently, this wealth management interest rate has been adjusted, and how to benefit from this wealth management interest will need to be adjusted accordingly; besides this, monitoring the stablecoin interest rates is also one of the effective indicators for judging bull and bear markets;
Withdrawal: There's not much to say about this, don't play around with withdrawal options, only leave USDT for withdrawal; withdrawing other stablecoins or valued coins will incur losses.

Sigh, after experiencing a ban, a long and short loss, a withdrawal, and a cooling-off period, there are still 1150 U left in the bn account, and it will take another 30 times to fully break even in the crypto world. I don't know if it can be achieved by 2025; it's a long wait.

Oh my god, the coin-based and spot trading have lost a lot; the U-based has not lost money yet, but the profit is not enough to make up for the loss of the Bitcoin coin-based.
The gambler predicted the waterfall before the last waterfall, and now the gambler says: the bottom is coming soon.
The post can only contain four pictures at most, and three more pieces of evidence: the financial management interest rate of USDC, the long-short ratio of the U-based and the long-short ratio of the coin-based.

Recently, trading has become much lazier and more cautious.

There haven't been any noteworthy trades to brag about this week.

A new week, bubbling normally.
No more all-in, so the efficiency of making money has decreased a lot, but the money in the bn account is slowly reaching ten thousand yuan. (200 USDT has been withdrawn)
Caught a cold, so I can't think of any witty remarks.
Image 2 is the trading star title that bn sent me, which I found at the C2C center. I wonder how many people have it?

————————

Updated at 1:30 PM, the second round of the bn Spring Festival red envelope activity rewards have been distributed, this period 5 cards share 26.4 USDT, 4 cards share 7.6 USDT.

#比特币四年周期将改变？ is not that complicated; it's just that the coins miners can dig up are becoming fewer, while the coins withdrawn by ETFs are increasing. As a result, miners' influence is decreasing, and the influence of the U.S. stock market is increasing, leading to a situation where there is no longer a four-year cycle, but rather a complete alignment with the U.S. stock market cycle. Unless the U.S. stock market abandons cryptocurrency.

Thinking further, if ETFs become increasingly bullish and buy up all the major coins on exchanges, withdrawing them completely, and even Ethereum becomes assertive, with ETFs withdrawing all of Ethereum, and every coin through ETFs being bought up and taken away. Once the value coins on exchanges are withdrawn, only altcoins, worthless coins, and derivatives will remain, turning exchanges into almost casinos, rendering them virtually non-existent.

The cryptocurrency market itself is constantly changing at the forefront every day. Those in the crypto circle just need to learn to embrace change.

Today is a guillotine day, so urgent proof of bubbles is needed.

Asset screenshots will be updated after the U.S. stock market opens.