大白高国

Linea will lose a lot: 0.03 cost, 0.012 off-market

1. I just roughly calculated my cost, which is about 0.03. If you invest a lot in the early stage, it may be higher, depending on your personal cost
2. The current off-market price is just a prediction and may not be accurate
3. Some friends have given up

With the support of sunk costs, I believe most people will persist. 260K people have participated in the new Odyssey

If Linea follows the old path of ZK and LO, the end of the era of hair pulling will be confirmed!

ETH spot ETF has a winning rate of only 10%:

1. In January this year, everyone was happy with the passing rate of BTC spot ETF, which was 90%!

2. Compared with the media reports of ETH spot ETF in May, there was only a 10% winning rate. In fact, everyone has already assumed that it will not pass.

3. This also led to pessimistic market sentiment, which is also an important reason for the sluggish ETH price and the ETH/BTC exchange rate hitting a new low!

The entire cottage is now at the bottom of the market. This may be an opportunity. The future depends on the power of capital and institutions.

Standing in the wind, looking forward to the arrival of the cottage season, it is not wise to surrender now!

Good news: BTC spot ETF finally has a net inflow after buying and selling in the United States, which provides a reason for the rise of BTC

Bad news: The overall inflow of funds has shrunk significantly, and institutional money does not come from strong winds. It is normal for them to be unable to buy.

Conclusion: BTC is more likely to go sideways in the future

Be alert: The market is changing quietly

1. On the 20th, BTC ETF continued to outflow, reaching 261 million yuan, and the total in three days reached 742 million US dollars.
2. SEC attempts to influence the delay or passage of ETH ETF through investigation
3. The next three interest rate cuts are in line with market expectations and are not particularly positive.

People who use#backpackbackpack these days are getting numb again

By buying and selling SOL/USDC through limit orders, even a novice can make millions and earn a little bit. It’s not about how good his skills are, but it’s mainly due to the rise of SOL.

Starting from the 14th, SOL's position was around 100, and now it's almost at 190

If the market price is traded during the day and SOL is purchased at night, the required handling fee will be paid the next day.

If you accidentally buy at a high price and exceed the cost price, just wait until the price rises, unwind and continue trading.

Not to mention scientists, they are already making money, and there will be airdrops in the future

Adjust strategies and wait for market verification

1. Reduce the market position by 20%. In the future, Mad Bull will almost double to 150,000!
2. Invest in some copycats and get five times the profit. The returns will be higher, but the risks will also increase!
3. Spot ETF is a double-edged sword. If funds flow out, it will accelerate the decline of BTC price.
4. Large institutions are not here to give away money, they must be here to cut off retail investors.

Important instructions for Da Mao#backpackto brush trading volume:

Only three days is already a lot of money. 10,000 U can no longer be included in the subsistence allowance. It starts with 50,000 U. The top rankings are all above 1 million U.
1. Limit orders, market orders, buy orders, and sell orders all count as amounts.
2. Reserve enough time and notify the end time in advance
3. Choose peak trading periods to save money
4. Stable currency USDT/USDC transactions do not count as amount
5. Experts can extend the trading time, sell high and buy low to make up for losses.
6. To prevent witches, you may not check. Transactions should not be too concentrated, the amounts should not be too similar, multiple accounts should be careful of IP, etc.
7. Reserve 1-2 SOL for borrowing and lending. Don’t just withdraw the coins and leave after you finish swiping them.

https://backpack.exchange/refer/cb7398ee-612c-4c65-ace2-7e9299b4e231

#SOL

Several events in the future that may become BTC black swans
1. The 10-year U.S. bond yield reached 5.5%, and U.S. stocks crashed with BTC
2. Prove that the BTC halving market is a false proposition
3. Next year’s BTC spot ETF has not passed
4. The bull market of cryptocurrency has not started in 2024, and it will also be a bear market in 2025
Although the probability of it happening is very small, you should be fully prepared in advance.

How much impact does the Palestinian-Israeli conflict have on the currency circle?
1. The three major stock index futures opened lower this morning. It is more likely that U.S. stocks will open lower in the evening, and a sharp rise in BTC becomes impossible.
2. If oil prices rise, it may affect U.S. inflation data and thus the Federal Reserve’s economic decisions.
3. If the water release is postponed, high interest rates will be maintained for a longer period of time, and the liquidity of the currency circle will be even more scarce.
4. The war may slow down global economic growth, which will also have a certain impact on the inflow of funds into the currency market.

When pause comes, the process is very long. Is it different from what you thought?
1. The Federal Reserve believes that it will raise interest rates once more this year. The market thinks that there is a high probability that it will not raise interest rates. Who is right and who is wrong has become less important, but an interest rate cut will come soon.
2. Since 1990, the U.S. stock market has suspended interest rates for different lengths of time, with the longest being 13 months, the shortest being 2 months, and the average being 10 months.
3. Taking the average to deduce, if there is no interest rate increase this year, the current interest level will remain until August 2024, when the BTC halving has already occurred.
4. U.S. stocks continued to rise during the interest rate suspension period (the Russell 1000 rose an average of 13% in six months during this period)
5. Economic recession will not occur during the interest rate raising or interest rate suspension stages, but will occur several months or even longer after the interest rate cut begins. Future recessions will not occur until at least 2025.
6. If interest rates are raised again this year, the end of the interest rate suspension will be even longer, and the big water release you have been waiting for throughout 2024 has not come.
Predictions are based on data from previous years, maybe this time it will be different. But this time the Fed will not keep interest rates for a short time. It may be very long. Stay patient and be prepared for a protracted war.

BTC’s plot changed again in October?
1. Half an hour before the U.S. government shut down, the temporary bill was passed, allowing it to operate for an additional 45 days. It was a time when the U.S. stock market was closed, and BTC was still going its own way.
2. Everyone knows that Cancun will be upgraded in November, but the good news must be digested in advance, and the rebound may also occur in October.
3. In September, BTC broke the leek consensus and rose 3.94%. If history is anything to go by, October is a better month for BTC every year
4. The suspension of interest rate hikes, Cancun upgrade, ETF approval, the coming of halving, and interest rate cuts are all good news. The recipe of Dog Farm has not changed, and the taste remains. Be careful to cut you.

Will BTC rise if the US government shuts down?
1. The probability of a U.S. government shutdown on October 1 is increasing.
2. Judging from the data of previous shutdowns, U.S. stocks rose during the shutdown period.
3. CPI, non-farm payrolls, GDP, etc. cannot be obtained, and the market operates based on feelings.
4. If there is no major negative impact, the shutdown event will have little impact on BTC.
5. The BTC ETF will be postponed again, and it is unlikely to be approved in January next year. This news is not bad because the market has become numb.

Be careful, your Twitter has been targeted by an old horse. It is not easy to maintain an account, but do it and cherish it:
I have been using @tipcoineth these past few days, which led to my Twitter account being blocked. Here are a few reasons:
1. Use multiple accounts at the same time
2. Frequently post advertisements: such as youtube links, shopping information, etc.
3. The small account gives too many likes to the large account
4. Several accounts send the same content
5. Automatically send tweets
The appeal was useless. I sent it several times, and at first there were emails, but then there were no replies.
Solution: Buy a new one
It’s really difficult to be a currency person!

1. U.S. stocks have also taken BTC into the ditch

2. It is estimated that the weekly situation is even worse, and there is a high possibility of closing an upper shadow line.

3. Be prepared for a volatile downward trend this year. At least the hope of a rebound in September is getting smaller and smaller.

4. The market needs time to digest the Fed’s negative news

5. The bull market will fade away in 2024

Several key conclusions from the Fed’s interest rate meeting:

1. The Fed shows a hawkish stance

2. 12 people agreed to raise interest rates again this year, with November being the most likely.

3. Dot plot: The number of interest rate cuts next year has been reduced from the expected 4 times to 2 times.

4. The interest rate cut is expected to be postponed. It is impossible in the first half of the year and will only start in the third and fourth quarters of next year.

5. Economic development has better prospects, and GDP forecast has increased significantly.

At the Federal Reserve’s interest rate meeting at 2:00 a.m. today, there are a few key points that you must understand:

1. There will be no interest rate hike in September, but the interest rate hike is not over yet, and the probability of a November interest rate hike is increasing.

2. Cryptocurrency will fluctuate greatly. Contracts can be flat and flat, and long and short double explosions will occur every time.

3. Core inflation remains stubborn and the monthly rate is likely to rise.

4. Will the bitmap change?

It is now 5.75%, which means the Fed has another chance to raise interest rates by 25 basis points. Will it be 6%?

It looks like the FTX sell-off had little impact on the market!

1. BTC remains above $26,000 and ETH remains above $1,600

2. The final pressure may come at the end of the week, probably through OTC sales, which will have little impact on prices, but bad news is always digested in advance.

3. September is still a relatively sensitive month. Judging from historical data, most of the cases ended in decline.

The average decline in the currency circle in September over the years is -7.55%, and the US stock S&P 500 is -1.84%

BTC fell 8.4% in September 2017

BTC fell 5.84% in September 2018

BTC fell 13.5% in September 2019

BTC fell 7.5% in September 2020

BTC fell 6.98% in September 2021

BTC fell 3.1% in September 2022

Will BTC fall in September 2023? ? %

Can this curse be broken this year?

Before Grayscale won the lawsuit, the shipment of the 30,000 BTC rat warehouse was completed, and everything returned to its original state!

Only the leek who got on the bus was thinking about when to get out of the trap in the cold wind!