貓咪仙人

What will be the trend of Bitcoin next? Signals are coming!

The data that can directly affect the cryptocurrency market now is next Wednesday's PCE inflation data, and the results will be surprising, as shown in the chart. The market predicts a significant decrease in inflation, with PCE dropping by 0.3% and core PCE dropping by 0.2%, rather than the inflation increase that everyone imagines.

A steep drop in PCE is beneficial for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, which will give Powell a way out. So, if there are no other interfering factors, this should be a good positive signal next Wednesday, and the market may act in advance.

However, overall, I think if there are high points, it is actually time to take profits, as various cryptocurrencies have risen significantly. Bitcoin has already recovered to bull market prices, and altcoin season has also surged. We had a 30% gain with Sol, and then played with the altcoin Pepe, gaining another 30%. In the bigger picture, I am reducing my positions rather than increasing them, buying when no one cares, and selling when there is a lot of noise.

So in the next week or two, there may be some positive developments, and I believe it is a good time to exit some long-term positions; this is the overall direction.
As for short-term positions, we will make several waves based on the market trend. For example, with ETH due to positive upgrades, I mentioned yesterday that if there is a pullback, we would buy, and today it has surged to a new high again. Additionally, I have also guided everyone to play several Pepe waves, selling high and buying low, which has actually yielded quite a bit of profit.

Just came across some data that shocked me!
​The US Treasury has hoarded a staggering 8,133 tons of gold, worth over 81 trillion RMB at 1,000 RMB per gram.
​What's even more heartbreaking is that our gold reserves rank only sixth in the world, even countries like Russia, with a GDP only the size of Guangdong's, have more than us!
​As the world's factory and manufacturing powerhouse, isn't this situation a bit surreal?
​Don't rush to slap your thigh; this matter hides the mysteries of great power competition.
​The US holding nearly 1/4 of the world's gold isn't just for flaunting wealth; every gold bar is a stabilizing force for dollar hegemony—after all, the global circulation of the US dollar relies on its historical backing of 'convertible to gold'. In contrast, behind our manufacturing boom, we've poured real money into harder core areas: the steel and iron bones of the Hong Kong-Zhuhai-Macao Bridge, the precision parts of the space station, the intelligent production lines of new energy vehicles—each was built with substantial resources.
​Let me share an interesting fact: our $3.2 trillion foreign exchange reserves hide great wisdom. Assets like US Treasuries, euro assets, and Special Drawing Rights, these 'invisible gold' are more flexible in international trade than physical gold, as evidenced by helping enterprises sidestep three currency storm operations last year. It's like having gold bars for protection at home while also needing cash for circulation; the wealth of great nations has never been a single bet game.
​In the last ten years, an interesting phenomenon has emerged: the top five countries in gold reserves all have manufacturing sectors that account for less than 20% of their GDP. On the other hand, we've pushed our manufacturing share to 28%, creating the most complete industrial chain globally. So, the numbers in the vault are just for show, while the technology on the production line is the real deal. Next time you see gold rankings, don't be anxious; look at the domestically produced shield tunnels, photovoltaic panels, and 5G base stations that are running all over the world—that's the 'hard currency' of the new era!

Just came across some data that shocked me!
​The US Treasury has hoarded a staggering 8,133 tons of gold, worth over 81 trillion RMB at 1,000 RMB per gram.
​What's even more heartbreaking is that our gold reserves rank only sixth in the world, even countries like Russia, with a GDP only the size of Guangdong's, have more than us!
​As the world's factory and manufacturing powerhouse, isn't this situation a bit surreal?
​Don't rush to slap your thigh; this matter hides the mysteries of great power competition.
​The US holding nearly 1/4 of the world's gold isn't just for flaunting wealth; every gold bar is a stabilizing force for dollar hegemony—after all, the global circulation of the US dollar relies on its historical backing of 'convertible to gold'. In contrast, behind our manufacturing boom, we've poured real money into harder core areas: the steel and iron bones of the Hong Kong-Zhuhai-Macao Bridge, the precision parts of the space station, the intelligent production lines of new energy vehicles—each was built with substantial resources.
​Let me share an interesting fact: our $3.2 trillion foreign exchange reserves hide great wisdom. Assets like US Treasuries, euro assets, and Special Drawing Rights, these 'invisible gold' are more flexible in international trade than physical gold, as evidenced by helping enterprises sidestep three currency storm operations last year. It's like having gold bars for protection at home while also needing cash for circulation; the wealth of great nations has never been a single bet game.
​In the last ten years, an interesting phenomenon has emerged: the top five countries in gold reserves all have manufacturing sectors that account for less than 20% of their GDP. On the other hand, we've pushed our manufacturing share to 28%, creating the most complete industrial chain globally. So, the numbers in the vault are just for show, while the technology on the production line is the real deal. Next time you see gold rankings, don't be anxious; look at the domestically produced shield tunnels, photovoltaic panels, and 5G base stations that are running all over the world—that's the 'hard currency' of the new era!

Buffett said, if there is a significant drop, remember:

In the letter to shareholders written in 2017, Buffett stated: "No one can predict how deep stocks will fall in the short term." But he said, if a significant drop does happen, "please remember these lines from Rudyard Kipling's classic poem 'If' written in 1895":
"If you can keep your head when all about you are losing theirs...
If you can wait and not be tired by waiting...
If you can think and not be ruled by your thinking...
If you can trust yourself when all men doubt you...
Yours is the Earth and everything that’s in it."

Saw a brother's picture, shocked

Consecutive losses for 30 days, isn't even tossing a coin better?

$BTC

Saw a brother's picture, shocked

Consecutive losses for 30 days, isn't even tossing a coin better?

$BTC

Finally understood! Why Buffett is into value investing? Looking at the performance of Coca-Cola, which he heavily invested in, it has been climbing for over a decade, rising steadily from 7 to 70, with hardly any drops. With such a trajectory, no one would want to sell; they would hold it tightly in their hands.
This is the kind of trend that can be held for the long term. There are no explosive rises followed by steep declines, no A-shaped or inverted V-shaped trends, and certainly no traps to lure in or scare out investors. Instead, it is a steady, methodical climb, and the overall trend looks very reassuring.
Looking at the moving averages, they are beautifully aligned like a painting. The long-term, medium-term, and short-term moving averages are all trending upwards. Although the ascent is relatively slow, it is progressing steadily and systematically. It’s like climbing a mountain; even though it’s a bit slow, the pace is very solid.
With the support of all the moving averages, the center of the trend continues to rise. Even during the upward movement, there will be times of pullbacks. However, each subsequent low point after a pullback is higher than the previous one. This is a very beautiful upward movement, somewhat similar to a curved staircase, possessing a kind of geometric dynamic beauty.
So it's not that one is unwilling to hold long-term; it's just that nothing suitable for long-term holding has been found here. $BTC $ETH $BNB #加密市场反弹 #美股下挫

I seriously suspect that Trump is manipulating the market, orchestrating a play to drive down the prices of the US stock market and Bitcoin, then allowing his people to buy the dip. After that, he starts releasing good news. After all, if he can even launch meme coins, what can’t he do? He came to power just to make money.

Pepe is really great, and it has broken the previous high again~
It formed a solid double bottom. The most perfect scenario is to come to the W neckline around 0.09. The market cap of ETH is too large, and there are many refugees; a lot of funds have flowed into Pepe and Sol, and we have caught both of them, with gains much greater than BTC, congratulations everyone. 😗

Pepe is really great, and it has broken the previous high again~
It formed a solid double bottom. The most perfect scenario is to come to the W neckline around 0.09. The market cap of ETH is too large, and there are many refugees; a lot of funds have flowed into Pepe and Sol, and we have caught both of them, with gains much greater than BTC, congratulations everyone. 😗

Why did Ethereum plummet? Today $BTC rose to 88500, but Ethereum didn't follow and is still at 1570. There is a reason for the bottom.

Because Vitalik posted that he is giving up on EVM. Vitalik, I know $ETH is your beloved child, and you hope to make it big and strong, to become the king of decentralization. However, a person's ability ultimately has its limits. The development of Ethereum has been centered around you; you have poured your heart and soul into its development, but your ability has reached a bottleneck, and you can no longer push it forward. Vitalik, can you learn from Satoshi of $BTC , retreat from the scene, and let thousands, even tens of thousands, help develop Ethereum, instead of having everything centered around you? Vitalik, retreat from the scene, travel around, and let Ethereum develop freely!!

#币安周边大使

Application for battle!

Recently, we've been talking about position management, beginners can come and learn.

Just like this time's trading failure, let me explain how to manage positions. I normally control my initial position at 3%. Don't complain that the profit is small, as I will explain later.

Assuming there is a reversal during the process, we find the minor resistance lines in the market to add positions. Adding positions is not just about continuously adding until we explode, while adding we must also understand how to reduce positions. If the adding point is advantageous, we can reduce.

I’m worried that beginners might not understand: for example, if you go long at 90,000 and the market drops to the first support level (let's say 88,000), and your initial position is 2 BTC, you add another 2 BTC. At this point, your opening price will be around 89,000. If the market rebounds from 88,000, for example, to 88,500, you sell the 2 BTC you added, and the loss is just the 2 BTC multiplied by the 500-point fluctuation. If the market goes above 89,000, whether you sell 4 BTC (initial position plus added position) or 2 BTC (from the added position), you are still in a profit state.

As for why I control my initial position within 3%, it's because I cannot predict the market's movements 100%. Earning less is fine, not losing is good, and small losses are even better; it’s more stable. Like today, some fans opened positions at 10%, which is quite large. Assuming a margin rate, if your initial position is 1.5%, and the market does not meet expectations, even if you add once, you would still only reach 3%. When you sell the added position, the margin rate will return to around 1.5%. If you go in at 10% or even more, you can calculate your operational space and the probability of being targeted by market manipulators.

The original intention of opening a position is to make money, but I must mention that if you are stuck in a position and cannot add, you may be reluctant to cut losses. If you add, your liquidation price will be closer, and you'll panic, making random operations, or even blindly stop-loss. At that time, your stop-loss and your liquidation price will not be far apart; stop-loss means liquidation, and liquidation means stop-loss. Can you understand this?

Everyone has greed, and I do too. This method yields less profit compared to high positions, undoubtedly, but the risk is also lower. As long as you compound, proceed steadily, and with many market conditions: can 10 trades reach a 50% win rate? Can 10 trades result in 30% without losses? Can 10 trades have 20% with small losses exiting? You can switch this mindset to calculate the value of returns. In front of returns and principal, the principal is greater than the value of returns. With the principal, if this market fails, I can continue to be steady in the next wave and maybe earn it back.

Seeing what was posted in the WeChat group, I thought only my assets were shrinking. It's made me not want to post lately; turns out the big shots are losing money too. 😬😬😬$ETH $EOS $SAND

The big one is coming

The United States will purchase 1 million bitcoins in 5 years

Both long and short positions can benefit

Daily focus: link, sui, uni

Can't go up, so come down? Is Bitcoin about to rebound? Let me share my thoughts.

Since last night, Bitcoin experienced a false breakout, initially turning downwards. It has now reached the very important support level of 83,000, which has some support. High-leverage short positions may consider taking profits and continue to observe. If this support fails, it is likely to continue falling, potentially down to 81,500.

But don't rush; it hasn't broken down yet. The support here is still valid, and you could even take a small long position to catch a bit of a rebound. If it breaks down, you'll stop loss, and the risk-reward ratio is still decent. As for Sol, we previously suggested exiting and waiting for a pullback, and now it's starting to pull back.

Yesterday, everyone saw the screenshots of our trades; we are now entering on the right side. Last night, Bitcoin's failed breakout and subsequent drop back down signal a short opportunity. The downward space is substantial, and if it recovers slightly upwards, just stop loss. There is no 100% win rate; there is only a relatively high risk-reward ratio. Even with a 50% win rate, if you win 7 and lose 3, you'll still be profitable in the long run.

Personally, I prefer to operate at strong support and resistance levels. I won't open trades in indecisive areas, as your stop loss would be too far from the support, resulting in a low risk-reward ratio.