tony女战神

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Currently, a large number of transactions still rely on human brains for subjective judgment. As long as it is a human-made transaction, it conforms to behavioral economics.

Human thoughts are difficult to change, human behavior patterns are hard to alter, and the logic behind human problem-solving is challenging to shift, which makes it difficult to change general objective laws.

For example, people often overestimate their analytical skills and information processing abilities, leading to frequent operations and heavy trading.

Frequent chasing of rises and selling on dips causes individuals to panic and sell at the floor price. What a great bull market it could have been, but unfortunately, the principal is gone.

Data shows that investors hold losing stocks for a much longer time than they hold profitable stocks.

Everyone has a strong tendency to realize profits, preferring to sell stocks that have already made money while continuing to hold onto losing stocks.

However, when most investors panic and cut their losses, it often marks the beginning of a bull market.

No pain, no gain.

This factual law is vividly demonstrated in this round of panic selling...

Fan Submission: My wife says that since I don't work anymore, she supports me. In fact, I know the truth in my heart; when I can earn money, she treats me like a grandson. When I'm not making money, I'm worse than a dog. Don't believe anything anyone tells you.

As expected of Teacher Kou's fans, they truly have a clear understanding of the world, seeing through human nature and understanding society. Taking over is truly a blessing [good][good][good] ​​​

After the baptism of the Great Depression in 1929, governments around the world have basically reached a consensus: it is better to create false prosperity by increasing the money supply than to remain in a prolonged depression.

This can be understood as using the 'printing press' to exchange time for structural adjustments, using space to buy time.

The benefit of this is that since 1929, the global economy has basically avoided another Great Depression.

The lesson from the Great Depression is that allowing the market to self-adjust may lead to a catastrophic deflationary spiral, as the gold standard limited the ability to loosen monetary policy, exacerbating deflation.

This led to the rise of Keynesianism, where government intervention and counter-cyclical adjustments became a consensus, and the Federal Reserve ultimately abandoned the gold standard.

After 2008, the Federal Reserve initiated multiple rounds of quantitative easing, and in 2020, continued to lower interest rates and expand bond purchases.

The Federal Reserve's balance sheet grew from $0.9 trillion in 2008 to $8.9 trillion in 2022.

The benefit is that increasing the money supply boosts market confidence and promotes investment and consumption. The side effects are asset bubbles, accumulated debt, and widening wealth gaps.

Since the wealthy hold more stocks and real estate, loose policies will drive up asset prices and widen the wealth gap.

Meanwhile, ordinary workers are at the end of the easing effect due to diminishing marginal returns, and the lag in wage growth leads to income growth for ordinary workers lagging behind capital gains.

The above nonsense is just to give everyone confidence. Seeing many people panic and cut losses in this technical bear market, my advice to ordinary investors is to pay less attention to the news; the sky will not fall. Even if it does, we will all be in it together, so what is there to fear!

Do not panic, do not be afraid. Trust in assets, trust in easing, trust in cycles, trust in taking over; taking over really requires courage, and it is indeed a blessing.

In fact, the gap between you and the so-called 'big players' in trading does not lie in trading ideas, trading systems, or trading philosophies.

These are actually quite superficial things, and an average person can master them after studying seriously for about three years, but the tuition paid to the market is indispensable.

The real 'gap' lies in the size of the capital; the scale of the account is exponentially positively correlated with the win rate.

In other words, the larger your capital, the higher your trading win rate will be, just as money flows to those who are not short of it, and love flows to those who are not short of love.

The following data is quite harsh, but it is also a fact:

500,000 is the dividing line for profit and loss; accounts with over 500,000 have an overall profit rate exceeding 90%. Accounts with over 5 million control 66% of market wealth, and the top 6% of large accounts contribute 91% of the market's profits.

On the other hand, accounts below 10,000 (23.2%) have essentially been wiped out, while the top 93% of retail investors contribute 99% of market liquidity but only hold 10% of the wealth, with a loss rate as high as 90%.

It truly is a case of being harvested like leeks, cut down time and again.

There's no way around it; retail investors, limited by the size of their capital, can only frequently chase highs and sell lows.

Meanwhile, large players can casually earn 10% from fluctuations, which is the equivalent of a retail investor's earnings over ten years or even a lifetime. When only making trades with certainty, the mindset is completely different; in fact, as long as large funds don't act recklessly, it is basically very hard to incur losses.

Submission: Let me share my situation. I am 25 years old and in 2021, I made over a million through cryptocurrency. I also managed to escape the peak. This year is different from previous bull markets; the altcoin season has been delayed. On the morning of February 3rd, a black swan event occurred, and my ETH was liquidated. 2.4 million went up in smoke. I don't want to say much more; it’s really painful.

I attended university for half a year in 2019, but I didn’t like my major or the school, so I dropped out. My father is an ordinary contractor without stable projects; his income from projects is not very high, and key point is, I am not suited for this industry. I am particularly reclusive and arrogant in personality, and I only have a few close friends. I do have some very wealthy relatives, but I have offended them because of my personality, and they basically don’t want to help me. I also don’t want to seek their help. I don’t have any particular skills; after entering society, I did online lending and idle investments (which used to be easy money, but now it’s hard; I’ve been lying flat at home for a year). I haven’t had much contact with the real economy. I don’t know what my next step should be; I feel truly desperate, and even the girl I was ambiguous with reacted unusually after I was liquidated.

I hope to talk to friends who have similar personalities; what industries are you in, and how can I change myself? I currently have no money and no skills, making it difficult to stand firm in society.

Right now, I still have a little bit of cash left. I have already deleted my trading accounts and am planning to work in a factory. If the bull market returns, and the prices of my remaining assets go up, giving me the capital to turn things around, I will face it more cautiously. A brother in the replies said something very reasonable: when you make money, you must take out a portion! Otherwise, the result is that you earn in the crypto circle and spend it in the crypto circle! It's never too late to start over in this industry.

#晒出你的交易 $ETH Every day, buy a little at the bottom

Seeing that there have been hardly any messages in the group, Teacher Kou is discussing the market to give everyone some confidence.
The long-term annual average return of the S&P 500 has been around 10% since 1950, and after every major crisis (such as wars, political turmoil, pandemics, etc.), the market downturn has ultimately proven to be a good long-term investment opportunity.

After experiencing a decline of more than 10% over two days, the subsequent average returns for the S&P 500 over 1 year, 3 years, and 5 years are 15%, 25%, and 35% respectively, and historically, every major crash has resulted in positive returns.

On average, bear markets last about 13 months, with a median decline of 32%. If we have currently confirmed entry into a bear market (as of April 2025, the S&P is down 19% from its peak), historical median estimates suggest it may take until March 2026 to recover.

The chart also shows two economic crises we have experienced.

The 2008 subprime crisis triggered a systemic financial collapse, paralyzing the banking system and causing a recession in the real economy.
This was followed by various fiscal assistance measures and the Federal Reserve initiating quantitative easing.

In 2020, the market plummeted due to the pandemic, global economic activity came to a halt, leading to a liquidity crisis.
Subsequently, the Federal Reserve launched unlimited QE, reaching a bottom in one month, and then hitting new highs in the following five months.

The crisis in 2025 is a recession created by human actions, and the favorable measures to stabilize the market have not yet appeared, so we still need to wait patiently.
In the early stages of a bear market, panic selling can create temporary lows, but a true bottom requires multiple confirmations.

People tend to rationalize crises that have already occurred, believing the opportunities were obvious at the time, but will instinctively amplify their fears about crises that have not yet happened.

History shows that in times of crisis, 'danger' and 'opportunity' often coexist; the greater the storm, the more valuable the fish.

Managing emotions well during market fluctuations is key to investing; this time, being brave enough to take over is truly a blessing.

Teacher Kou, my boyfriend and I have been in a relationship for over a year, and our feelings are very good. We are preparing to get married this year. We were planning to let our parents meet, but my boyfriend suddenly told me that he lost 300,000 yuan trading virtual currency over the past six months, and he has lost all the money we saved for our wedding. We usually have a good relationship, and he treats me well, but during our time together, I didn’t notice anything unusual; he acted pretty much the same as usual. Both of our jobs are relatively stable, and our income is decent. I just want to know what kind of mentality guys who play with virtual currency have. Can such a person still get married?

We have already broken up. In fact, I considered giving him another chance; everyone makes mistakes in life, and we should face problems together. But he was the one who backed down first. We are both 30 now, and he feels that since he has no money, we can't discuss marriage, and he lacks the confidence to talk about it, nor can his family provide any support. I believe marriage should be a happy result, and I don’t want to treat it as a task. Moreover, this situation has left me with a deep sense of insecurity. Money is really a small matter; it can be earned back in a year or two.

It has been a month since we broke up. A few days ago, I arranged to have one last meal together to cool down and part on good terms. During that time, I secretly looked at his phone, and I found that after our breakup, he has been continuously trading non-stop, and he has basically lost all the remaining money, leaving just over 10,000 yuan in his account. I saw that the trading on that platform showed a loss of over 440,000 yuan. He hasn’t told his family either. It truly breaks my heart, and I feel compassion for him. What should I do? Should I pretend not to know and continue with my life, or is there a way to wake him up? After all, we were together for more than a year, and even though we’ve broken up, I still can’t bear to see him become burdened with debt and living a miserable life.

It's been a while since I discussed the market. Let's review a situation from March where a whale holding 64,800 ETH faced liquidation, with the liquidation price at $1788. Another whale holding 60,800 ETH had a liquidation price of $1701.

In mid-March, ETH continued to drop sharply, with some trapped large holders having cost prices around $3200-$3500. It is now certain that their additional capital has been exhausted, forcing them to sell at a loss or to hold on.

There is strong support for ETH near $1850-$1830, and if it breaks below this level, it may trigger more liquidations.

As expected, on April 7th the ETH price near $1500 was breached, triggering panic selling and accelerating the market decline to $1420, which may be the current temporary bottom. This is also a trigger point for a technical rebound.

At the same time, there have been over 100,000 ETH liquidations on-chain completed within the day. A whale was liquidated at as high as $106 million.

From a technical perspective, breaching $1500 without a quick rebound may lead to further declines to $1000-$1300. The next breakout point is around $1000.

However, it can be confirmed that the exchange of hands for ETH has basically been completed, and whales have picked up enough cheap chips. Most users and institutions have their chips around $2000.

The bullish sentiment has been nearly wiped out, and the leverage on bullish contracts has basically been liquidated, with the exchange of chips having been completed. The ancient whales' sell-off has been completed, and market sentiment has dropped to freezing point.

The choice of large holders to buy at the bottom indicates that ETH still possesses long-term value anchoring ability. If Layer 2 solutions exceed expectations, demand for ETH rises, and interest rates drop, attracting institutional funds could still be a significant opportunity. The cost-performance ratio at this position is still quite high.

The benefits of pyramid scaling are capital management, position control, risk management, leaving room for maneuver, and using a reasonable amount of capital to maintain a base position. When judgments are correct, you can continuously add to your position in the direction of the trend and take profits in batches. When judgments are wrong, you can exit decisively and promptly.

Full investment with no reservations is a preset without any retention. All your funds will lose normal judgment with fluctuations, and greed and fear will occupy your mind, leading to panic selling at the lowest point.

Due to different allocation of positions, the final profits will also vary. Only with reasonable allocation of base positions and active positions can one strive for maximum profits.

It can be simply divided into pyramid scaling, inverted pyramid scaling, and proportional scaling.

Pyramid scaling involves initially investing a larger amount and gradually reducing the investment in later stages, thereby reducing investment risk. Although it does not yield as much profit as one-time full investment, the risk is lower.
Inverted pyramid scaling involves initially investing a smaller amount and gradually increasing the investment in later stages. The more the price rises, the larger the added position, which is suitable for chasing higher returns in a clear trend.

The applicable market environment, trend strength, and investment risk preferences also vary.

Pyramid scaling has better risk control, less psychological pressure, and limited losses during pullbacks; however, entering positions too early may lead to long-term unrealized losses.

Inverted pyramid scaling yields higher returns when the bull market trend is established, but losses can also be larger when the trend reverses. It can pursue maximum returns during the main upward wave of a bull market. It helps avoid early heavy positions and reduces initial trial-and-error costs, but it requires accurate identification of strong one-sided trends.

Conservative investors are more suitable for pyramid scaling, pursuing stable returns.

Aggressive investors are more suitable for pyramid scaling when the trend is clear, but they need to be wary of high-level fluctuations.

So many messages every day, brothers, have you made any money?

Every penny you earn from contracts is money lost by other unsuspecting players💰. The essence of contracts is robbery.
When a skilled worker in the city pays a high price for a bride from a small village, it means there’s now one more old bachelor in the countryside. Essentially, it’s still robbery.

Therefore, the survival rule of society is: First, protect your principal to prevent it from being robbed by others. Second, wait for the perfect opportunity to rob others' money.

1. Wait for an excellent opportunity and find a market that suits you to gamble on.
2. Save money and store up a bride price. Quietly wait for the chance to meet a girl who is looking for a sincere person to take over, and quickly spend a high bride price to take over.
3. Practice your social skills and wait for the right moment to curry favor with someone of a higher status than you, regardless of gender. By the way, my oral ulcer came from this and it hasn’t healed.

If you are trading and still have feelings for the opposite sex, then you are far from getting rich.

The best strategy for Bitcoin is to gradually build a position in the 12 months leading up to the halving and take profits in the 24 months following.
History never repeats itself, but it always rhymes.
After the halving in 2012, it rose 92 times.
After the halving in 2016, it rose 30 times.
After the halving in 2020, it rose 8 times.
Halving in 2024?
A 4-year cycle, 2 years of bull market, 2 years of bear market, the bull market continues in 2025. But most altcoins will go to zero.

Let's talk about capital (position) management.

Opening a position with a heavy load is risky; once it goes wrong, stop-loss, and you will incur significant losses, so you cannot go heavy on positions, which is a major taboo in futures trading.

Opening a position with a light load, if you're right, the market moves in the direction you opened, but you won't make much money because the position is light.

Heavy positions are not acceptable due to the fear of large losses, and light positions are also not acceptable due to the fear of small gains.

This contradiction arises; how do we resolve it?

Adding to a position based on floating profit is a very good solution.

Open positions with light loads; if wrong, stop-loss, and the loss is not large.

If right, move the stop-loss; when the stop-loss crosses the cost price, this position is already risk-free. If a new opening signal appears, add to the position. This is adding based on floating profits. Treat the added positions as new positions: if wrong, stop-loss; if right, move the stop-loss... repeat the above process.

By operating this way, you will find that regardless of how many times you add based on floating profits, only the last addition has risk; the previous positions are risk-free. At most, you won’t make money, but you won’t lose money. Even if the total position is heavy, it is not frightening.

To elevate the capital curve, it relies on heavy positions to seize a trend. Where do heavy positions come from? It’s not about going heavy right from the start; that is gambling, that is seeking death, but rather it comes from adding based on floating profits.

If you love him, let him trade.
If you hate him, let him trade as well.
His character will be magnified through gains and losses.
Personal traits, emotional management, and inner qualities will be continuously amplified in the trading process.
The process of trading will constantly test a person's patience, decision-making abilities, and emotional control.
If one does not possess good qualities, more problems will be exposed under pressure, leading to failure and even annihilation by the market.

If you love him, let him learn to overcome fear in losses, learn to restrain greed when making profits, and practice delayed gratification to acquire more profits.

If you hate him, trading will precisely target his character flaws; lack of patience and frequent trading will lead to his capital being consumed by transaction fees, unstable emotions will cause him to panic and cut losses during a crash, and those who do not respect the market will end up in debt after a leveraged liquidation, unable to recover.

In the Internet era, the efficiency of the optimized allocation of scarce resources such as beauty and talent has been greatly improved. Whether you are a talented person who is not appreciated or a small town beauty, it will be difficult to bury you in the future. Because there is not much communication with the outside world, it is increasingly impossible to marry a beautiful woman in your village or town.

I sincerely suggest that if there are female fans who do not have much expectation for love, beauties must be circulated as soon as possible to maximize their benefits. Smart women know how to transfer payments, and stupid women only know how to rely on themselves. Whether you rely on men to ask for resources or show your face on the Internet, it is equivalent to adding leverage to leverage your own greater value.

As for men, only by being a turtle can they change the status quo. They need long-term self-control and self-desire to fight. Sex is always the first hurdle for teenagers, middle-aged and old people.
Lie dormant like a turtle. Wait for the wind and opportunities. Don't overemphasize personal advantages and efforts, but understand the underlying logic of personal development from external resources and social development trends.

A gentleman hides his weapon and waits for the right time to act. All you need is time. Hone your trading system in normal times. In Gu Long's novel, there is a master named Ximen Chuixue, who only goes out four times a year, and kills only one person each time, and never fails. The rest of the time, he only does one thing at home: practicing swordsmanship.

Investment should also be like this, 99% of the time is spent on thinking, and 1% is spent on trading. It's just that most of us do it the wrong way. When you have money in the future, remember to pursue your dream in the university town. If you don't have money, it is also a blessing to be able to take over.

In the last bull market, the KOLs who made money were those who dared to go all-in at high times, those who rolled positions at low times, those who safely hoarded coins, those who played with local dogs, and those who took advantage of airdrops.

In this round of bull market, only those who strictly stopped losses and rolled positions with compound interest won, so the difficulty increased a hundred times.

It is difficult to play now because the class of the pie circle has solidified, and the era of safely hoarding coins and making money with your eyes closed is over. It is impossible to see cheap chips and project parties who focus on work again.

In the last bull market, the 100-fold coin had a market value of only 10 million when it was launched, and it only increased by 100 times to 1 billion. Now in this bull market, the new coins launched are 10 billion and tens of billions of US dollars. They directly open high and go low to cut leeks online, and the dog dealers' routines are constantly upgraded.

However, the volatility of the pie circle in one day is 3 times that of the normal market. Remember that doing a good job in trading is never based on the size of the principal, but on the trading mentality of invincible trading technology.

Take out 50u to practice and explore trading techniques, learn to strictly stop loss, and learn compound interest. No matter which market there is, there will be at least one big market trend every year. See if you can try to catch it.

If you can survive the brutal competition in the pie circle in the past few years and make stable profits, you will definitely make money in the traditional financial market in the future.

It is true that there are fewer opportunities, but if you expand the timeline, there is at least one big opportunity every year. The dividends are always there, but the opportunities are indeed fewer.

The awareness of saving and investing is the premise for the Tangyuans to widen the gap with the fairies, that is, saving money is the only way to change their own destiny. Saving money is not the smartest or the most efficient, but it is definitely the most graspable for the little Tangyuans. Ordinary people need a start-up capital to do anything, but for Master Yuanhua, who has a wealthy family, this capital can come from his parents, but ordinary Tangyuan can only do it through the only way of saving money.