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Bitcoin: Trends are changing, what is the future?
1. The rise of Bitcoin
Since its birth in 2009, Bitcoin has experienced countless ups and downs and challenges, but it has always shown strong vitality. On January 3, 2009, Satoshi Nakamoto mined 50 bitcoins from a small server in Helsinki, Finland, marking the official entry of Bitcoin into the currency market. At first, no one was interested in Bitcoin. A programmer even exchanged 10,000 bitcoins for a pizza, equivalent to $0.003 per bitcoin. However, as time went on, more and more people began to pay attention to and participate in Bitcoin transactions. On July 17, 2010, the first digital currency exchange MT.GOX was established, paving the way for the development of Bitcoin. In 2011, the price of Bitcoin broke through $1 for the first time, and various mining pools and trading platforms emerged. In 2013, Bitcoin experienced its first real bull market, with prices soaring from $13 at the beginning of the year to around $1,200. However, the People's Bank of China and multiple ministries and commissions jointly issued a notice on preventing Bitcoin risks, which brought uncertainty to the future of Bitcoin. In 2017, Bitcoin exploded again, with the price rising from $1,000 at the beginning of the year to nearly $20,000 at the end of the year, and the market value once exceeded $300 billion. However, the Chinese government intervened and banned ICO investment methods, causing a huge market shock. In 2021, the price of Bitcoin soared to $64,800 and then fell sharply. By 2024, Bitcoin seemed to have ushered in new opportunities. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission approved the first spot Bitcoin ETF, and the market responded strongly. The price of Bitcoin broke through $90,000 for the first time, setting a new high. The development of Bitcoin is full of drama, and its future direction is still full of uncertainty. But it is undeniable that Bitcoin has occupied an important place in the financial market.
Since its birth in 2009, Bitcoin has experienced countless ups and downs and challenges, but it has always shown strong vitality. On January 3, 2009, Satoshi Nakamoto mined 50 bitcoins from a small server in Helsinki, Finland, marking the official entry of Bitcoin into the currency market. At first, no one was interested in Bitcoin. A programmer even exchanged 10,000 bitcoins for a pizza, equivalent to $0.003 per bitcoin. However, as time went on, more and more people began to pay attention to and participate in Bitcoin transactions. On July 17, 2010, the first digital currency exchange MT.GOX was established, paving the way for the development of Bitcoin. In 2011, the price of Bitcoin broke through $1 for the first time, and various mining pools and trading platforms emerged. In 2013, Bitcoin experienced its first real bull market, with prices soaring from $13 at the beginning of the year to around $1,200. However, the People's Bank of China and multiple ministries and commissions jointly issued a notice on preventing Bitcoin risks, which brought uncertainty to the future of Bitcoin. In 2017, Bitcoin exploded again, with the price rising from $1,000 at the beginning of the year to nearly $20,000 at the end of the year, and the market value once exceeded $300 billion. However, the Chinese government intervened and banned ICO investment methods, causing a huge market shock. In 2021, the price of Bitcoin soared to $64,800 and then fell sharply. By 2024, Bitcoin seemed to have ushered in new opportunities. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission approved the first spot Bitcoin ETF, and the market responded strongly. The price of Bitcoin broke through $90,000 for the first time, setting a new high. The development of Bitcoin is full of drama, and its future direction is still full of uncertainty. But it is undeniable that Bitcoin has occupied an important place in the financial market.
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Tonight (2.7) at 21:30, non-farm payroll data will be released
Previous value: 25.6 Expected: 17
In line with expectations: data meets expectations, market reaction is relatively stable, the Federal Reserve maintains its original policy inclination
Above expectations: if employment growth is strong, the Federal Reserve may consider raising interest rates to curb inflation, which would be unfavorable for the bond market, stock market, and cryptocurrencies
Below expectations: if employment data is poor, the market may expect the Federal Reserve to ease, which would be favorable for the bond market, stock market, and cryptocurrencies
Yesterday, Trump applied for Bitcoin + ETF information. The current Trump administration's main developments in technology are AI and cryptocurrencies. Therefore, the current secondary market is not only looking at the technical benefits but also needs to pay more attention to the benefits from policy!
Previous value: 25.6 Expected: 17
In line with expectations: data meets expectations, market reaction is relatively stable, the Federal Reserve maintains its original policy inclination
Above expectations: if employment growth is strong, the Federal Reserve may consider raising interest rates to curb inflation, which would be unfavorable for the bond market, stock market, and cryptocurrencies
Below expectations: if employment data is poor, the market may expect the Federal Reserve to ease, which would be favorable for the bond market, stock market, and cryptocurrencies
Yesterday, Trump applied for Bitcoin + ETF information. The current Trump administration's main developments in technology are AI and cryptocurrencies. Therefore, the current secondary market is not only looking at the technical benefits but also needs to pay more attention to the benefits from policy!
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Currently, the pullback has not broken the support defense at 96100. The market is looking for a rebound ⬆️. Last night, the second dip just happened to touch nearby; if the four-hour pressure at 98000 continues to hold, it indicates that the market will still make a rebound. The upper pressure levels are 99000, 100700, and 102500. For conservative short positions, pay attention to the second and third pressure levels. The lower support defense at 96100 remains unchanged; only if this position is broken, this rebound can be considered over, and there may be a second test of the support at 93860 and 91184. $BTC
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The daily chart shows bearish pressure from the large pancake, making it difficult to break through!
Today's upper pressure is at 99300, which is the dividing line between bulls and bears. Only if the four-hour candlestick breaks this pressure can a reversal occur; if it doesn't break, I'm bearish on the market.
The trading strategy can wait for a short position around 99300, with support targets at 96100, 93800, and 91184 below.
If the four-hour candlestick closes above 99300, immediately exit the short position or reverse to a long position, with upper pressure at 101000, 102427, and $BTC .
Today's upper pressure is at 99300, which is the dividing line between bulls and bears. Only if the four-hour candlestick breaks this pressure can a reversal occur; if it doesn't break, I'm bearish on the market.
The trading strategy can wait for a short position around 99300, with support targets at 96100, 93800, and 91184 below.
If the four-hour candlestick closes above 99300, immediately exit the short position or reverse to a long position, with upper pressure at 101000, 102427, and $BTC .
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Today the weekly line changed, and today the weekly line changed and broke the weekly support, which means that the weekly level is short, and the weekly line cannot rush to 99300 again this week. This means that this round of bull market is over...
In the next one or two months, it will fluctuate in the range of 99000-77000. This is the general direction. As for whether this wave of decline has ended, it depends on the strength of today's rebound, an important pressure above 99200. That is to say, today's rebound will close at least at the four-hour level To break through this pressure, this wave of decline is over. The upper rebound pressure is around 101500. You can try with a stop loss near 99200 for intraday short orders.
You can wait around 101450 if you are prudent. If you can't even rebound above 98500 today, the market will continue to fall. The lower target support is 94350.92500.91180.$BTC #加密市场回调 #美国加征关税 $BTC
In the next one or two months, it will fluctuate in the range of 99000-77000. This is the general direction. As for whether this wave of decline has ended, it depends on the strength of today's rebound, an important pressure above 99200. That is to say, today's rebound will close at least at the four-hour level To break through this pressure, this wave of decline is over. The upper rebound pressure is around 101500. You can try with a stop loss near 99200 for intraday short orders.
You can wait around 101450 if you are prudent. If you can't even rebound above 98500 today, the market will continue to fall. The lower target support is 94350.92500.91180.$BTC #加密市场回调 #美国加征关税 $BTC
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The补涨 is not a trend, there is also volume, but the MACD has been backing and forth. It is not recommended to chase long positions in the short term. For BTC, refer to yesterday's daily MACD, the volume bars have changed. As of today, the second MACD energy bar has shown a change, consistent with the market's 5-wave structure coming to an end. Next, there will be a small-scale pullback; the pullback strength does not seem very strong. Specific points can be found in the community. Enter the market in batches. Tonight's Federal Reserve interest rate is also a positive factor. Pay attention to the short-term pullback. The first order of winter is [smile] $BTC
#BTC创历史新高
#BTC创历史新高
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Personally, I believe that Trump's ascension or not can only have a temporary impact on the market. From a longer-term perspective, technological innovation is the key to BTC standing at historical highs, and perhaps we can get a glimpse of this from this article. Feel free to like, comment, and share!
BTCFi is Here, the Infinite Possibilities of Nervos CKB
First of all, before discussing this topic, it's important to understand one thing: what has allowed BTC and blockchain to develop to this point? Besides consensus, it is more about relying on decentralized technological innovation, allowing people to see the future's major development direction and trends, and it is definitely not solely dependent on speculation.
Of course, the market trend can also be influenced by external factors, such as global wars, the U.S. elections, financial crises, etc. However, it is more important to analyze the changes that blockchain technology brings to the world from a technical perspective. So, from a technical point of view, why does the emergence of Nervos CKB enable the rapid development of BTCFi? Recently, I have reviewed many analytical articles written by technical experts and industry leaders. They are actually quite reasonable, but it is difficult for ordinary people to delve into the technical aspects. Therefore, this article aims to explain the benefits brought by CKB from the perspective of an ordinary person, hoping to provide some insights!
Of course, the market trend can also be influenced by external factors, such as global wars, the U.S. elections, financial crises, etc. However, it is more important to analyze the changes that blockchain technology brings to the world from a technical perspective. So, from a technical point of view, why does the emergence of Nervos CKB enable the rapid development of BTCFi? Recently, I have reviewed many analytical articles written by technical experts and industry leaders. They are actually quite reasonable, but it is difficult for ordinary people to delve into the technical aspects. Therefore, this article aims to explain the benefits brought by CKB from the perspective of an ordinary person, hoping to provide some insights!
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BTCFi is Here, the Infinite Possibilities of Nervos CKB
First of all, before discussing this topic, it's important to understand one thing: what has allowed BTC and blockchain to develop to this point? Besides consensus, it is more about relying on decentralized technological innovation, allowing people to see the future's major development direction and trends, and it is definitely not solely dependent on speculation.
Of course, the market trend can also be influenced by external factors, such as global wars, the U.S. elections, financial crises, etc. However, it is more important to analyze the changes that blockchain technology brings to the world from a technical perspective. So, from a technical point of view, why does the emergence of Nervos CKB enable the rapid development of BTCFi? Recently, I have reviewed many analytical articles written by technical experts and industry leaders. They are actually quite reasonable, but it is difficult for ordinary people to delve into the technical aspects. Therefore, this article aims to explain the benefits brought by CKB from the perspective of an ordinary person, hoping to provide some insights!
Of course, the market trend can also be influenced by external factors, such as global wars, the U.S. elections, financial crises, etc. However, it is more important to analyze the changes that blockchain technology brings to the world from a technical perspective. So, from a technical point of view, why does the emergence of Nervos CKB enable the rapid development of BTCFi? Recently, I have reviewed many analytical articles written by technical experts and industry leaders. They are actually quite reasonable, but it is difficult for ordinary people to delve into the technical aspects. Therefore, this article aims to explain the benefits brought by CKB from the perspective of an ordinary person, hoping to provide some insights!
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Main password: Trump's winning rate drops to 54%, BTC main transaction exceeds $400 million betting in this direction
Polymarket shows that betting on Trump's election success has dropped from 67% to 54%, but it is still higher than Harris. During the BTC decline, the main buying transactions of multiple platforms exceeded $400 million, bullish BTC (valid within 24 hours).
There are only 2 days left before the US presidential election. Whether Trump is elected or not will have a greater impact on the recent market.
#美国大选后涨或跌？ #美国选情僵持
Polymarket shows that betting on Trump's election success has dropped from 67% to 54%, but it is still higher than Harris. During the BTC decline, the main buying transactions of multiple platforms exceeded $400 million, bullish BTC (valid within 24 hours).
There are only 2 days left before the US presidential election. Whether Trump is elected or not will have a greater impact on the recent market.
#美国大选后涨或跌？ #美国选情僵持
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Today's Keywords: Mt. Gox, Michigan Pension, POLYMARKETMPL
1. Su Zhu stated that relative valuation is more effective in Meme coins than VC coins.
2. MPL was included in the BLOCK index;
3. FTX liquidation address transferred 1,229 SOL to Binance;
4. Michigan pension invests in Ethereum ETF;
5. Mt. Gox transferred 34,371 BTC worth $3.04 billion;
6. AMB launched the Harbor platform to stake 156 million AMB;
7. POLYMARKET's largest address increased its bet on Trump's victory by $3.1 million;
8. CoreWeave selects Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan for its IPO in 8.2025;
9. ETH market capitalization share decreased to 12.63%;
10. EIGEN unlocked 1.28 million tokens.
1. Su Zhu stated that relative valuation is more effective in Meme coins than VC coins.
2. MPL was included in the BLOCK index;
3. FTX liquidation address transferred 1,229 SOL to Binance;
4. Michigan pension invests in Ethereum ETF;
5. Mt. Gox transferred 34,371 BTC worth $3.04 billion;
6. AMB launched the Harbor platform to stake 156 million AMB;
7. POLYMARKET's largest address increased its bet on Trump's victory by $3.1 million;
8. CoreWeave selects Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan for its IPO in 8.2025;
9. ETH market capitalization share decreased to 12.63%;
10. EIGEN unlocked 1.28 million tokens.
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The structure of this round of Bitcoin market is clear. Whether Trump or Harris is elected, it will not disrupt the market structure. The market makers are responsible for the market trends and for maximizing their own interests, not for Trump or Harris.
Therefore, after the election results come out at noon on the 6th, the market fluctuations may be far lower than most people's expectations. This has been validated countless times, such as on the night of interest rate cuts, or when Trump attended the Bitcoin conference, etc.
Retail investors' fantasies are:
- Harris elected, Bitcoin crashes 📉 50%
- Trump elected, Bitcoin skyrockets 📈 100,000
The most likely scenario is that after the election results come out, there will be a quick spike up or down. Then the market will continue to move as it should. The Bitcoin market structure has been thoroughly tested through half a year of declines, fluctuations, forced liquidation, and accumulation, and will not be disrupted by any single event.
The benefit of the U.S. elections for market makers is simply to leverage both sides, increase volatility, create market divergence, and have stories to tell. The U.S. elections are the most favorable tool for market makers to tell stories after ETFs.
Polymarket is a good tool for observation; its accuracy is not important. What matters is how we can use Polymarket to see the perspective of market makers on us. Observe the switch in sentiment.
Therefore, after the election results come out at noon on the 6th, the market fluctuations may be far lower than most people's expectations. This has been validated countless times, such as on the night of interest rate cuts, or when Trump attended the Bitcoin conference, etc.
Retail investors' fantasies are:
- Harris elected, Bitcoin crashes 📉 50%
- Trump elected, Bitcoin skyrockets 📈 100,000
The most likely scenario is that after the election results come out, there will be a quick spike up or down. Then the market will continue to move as it should. The Bitcoin market structure has been thoroughly tested through half a year of declines, fluctuations, forced liquidation, and accumulation, and will not be disrupted by any single event.
The benefit of the U.S. elections for market makers is simply to leverage both sides, increase volatility, create market divergence, and have stories to tell. The U.S. elections are the most favorable tool for market makers to tell stories after ETFs.
Polymarket is a good tool for observation; its accuracy is not important. What matters is how we can use Polymarket to see the perspective of market makers on us. Observe the switch in sentiment.
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Latest update on the US election situation, if Trump unexpectedly loses, where will BTC go?
1. Current latest situation of the election
1. US authoritative odds market: Predict shows Harris's winning probability has reversed to lead (see below), Kalshi shows both have equal winning probabilities; many people have been misled by the odds of Polymarket, a market for non-Americans to bet;
2. Polls: Currently, among the 7 swing states, Trump is weak in Michigan and Wisconsin, while his advantage in Pennsylvania and Nevada has almost disappeared; in the other three states, Trump is leading in the polls;
3. Yesterday, a poll showed that the red state - Iowa was reversed by Harris; I analyzed several polls, and overall Trump is still leading;
1. US authoritative odds market: Predict shows Harris's winning probability has reversed to lead (see below), Kalshi shows both have equal winning probabilities; many people have been misled by the odds of Polymarket, a market for non-Americans to bet;
2. Polls: Currently, among the 7 swing states, Trump is weak in Michigan and Wisconsin, while his advantage in Pennsylvania and Nevada has almost disappeared; in the other three states, Trump is leading in the polls;
3. Yesterday, a poll showed that the red state - Iowa was reversed by Harris; I analyzed several polls, and overall Trump is still leading;
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Personal Opinion
More opportunities are coming soon, the current market is in a slow decline and seems particularly weak. Everyone can choose to go long based on the current price, with a target of 72000!
More opportunities are coming soon, the current market is in a slow decline and seems particularly weak. Everyone can choose to go long based on the current price, with a target of 72000!
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The interest rate cut of 25 basis points in November is basically confirmed, but one thing to note is whether it can continue to drop by 25 in December. The market's favorite rate cut rhythm now is to reduce by 25 each month for three consecutive years. Under this rhythm, the entire financial market will enter a long bull market.
Currently, the fund flow of ETFs is tied to the price trend of Bitcoin; as long as funds are flowing positively, the cryptocurrency market will definitely rise, and the more funds that flow in, the greater the increase.
Now the entire network is anticipating that a certain altcoin can replicate the explosive market of AAVE in 2021, where it disregarded all affiliations, igniting the entire altcoin bull market. So whether the altcoin can sustain this wave of enthusiasm depends on the energy of the hot topics in the coming weeks!
Currently, the fund flow of ETFs is tied to the price trend of Bitcoin; as long as funds are flowing positively, the cryptocurrency market will definitely rise, and the more funds that flow in, the greater the increase.
Now the entire network is anticipating that a certain altcoin can replicate the explosive market of AAVE in 2021, where it disregarded all affiliations, igniting the entire altcoin bull market. So whether the altcoin can sustain this wave of enthusiasm depends on the energy of the hot topics in the coming weeks!
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Overall: Bullish Today
Latest Price: 69720.64
News:
1. The founder of MicroStrategy published 9 principles for BTC, emphasizing the continuous purchase of BTC and promoting global adoption of BTC as a financial reserve asset.
2. MicroStrategy transferred 1652 BTC to a new address, currently holding 252,220 BTC, with unrealized profits of $7.65 billion.
3. BTC's market cap share is rising, and the price is expected to go up.
Community Sentiment:
The BTC principles published by the founder of MicroStrategy have sparked positive discussions, demonstrating confidence in BTC's long-term potential.
Effective Information:
MicroStrategy's continuous accumulation of BTC shows recognition of BTC's long-term value: BTC's market cap share is rising, and the price is expected to go up.
Expectations:
Bullish on BTC in the short term, with positive long-term investment advice, but careful attention to market fluctuations is necessary.
Operational Advice:
Short-term investors may consider accumulating on dips, while long-term investors may hold and observe.
#BTC走势预测
Latest Price: 69720.64
News:
1. The founder of MicroStrategy published 9 principles for BTC, emphasizing the continuous purchase of BTC and promoting global adoption of BTC as a financial reserve asset.
2. MicroStrategy transferred 1652 BTC to a new address, currently holding 252,220 BTC, with unrealized profits of $7.65 billion.
3. BTC's market cap share is rising, and the price is expected to go up.
Community Sentiment:
The BTC principles published by the founder of MicroStrategy have sparked positive discussions, demonstrating confidence in BTC's long-term potential.
Effective Information:
MicroStrategy's continuous accumulation of BTC shows recognition of BTC's long-term value: BTC's market cap share is rising, and the price is expected to go up.
Expectations:
Bullish on BTC in the short term, with positive long-term investment advice, but careful attention to market fluctuations is necessary.
Operational Advice:
Short-term investors may consider accumulating on dips, while long-term investors may hold and observe.
#BTC走势预测
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Key Information Sharing Today
Keywords: MicroStrategy, Sheetz, pump.fun, USDC Circulation
1. Suz's wife sold property for $38.5 million:
2. Christian transferred 3 million ENA to Binance;
3. MicroStrategy transferred 1,652 BTC to a new address:
4. MicroStrategy transferred 1,652 BTC to a new wallet;
5. 4Jpef spent $58,000 to purchase GOAT supply, earning $7,455 million;
6. Bitcoin spot ETF had a net outflow of $54.9403 million yesterday;
7. Sheetz allows cryptocurrency payments and offers rewards:
8. USDC circulation increased by 300 million;
9. pump.fun sold 65% of fee income in SOL:
10. The IRS issued a memorandum stating that cryptocurrency rewards received after account freezes are still subject to taxation.
#美国大选后涨或跌？ #非农就业人数大幅降温 #美国大选后行情预测
Keywords: MicroStrategy, Sheetz, pump.fun, USDC Circulation
1. Suz's wife sold property for $38.5 million:
2. Christian transferred 3 million ENA to Binance;
3. MicroStrategy transferred 1,652 BTC to a new address:
4. MicroStrategy transferred 1,652 BTC to a new wallet;
5. 4Jpef spent $58,000 to purchase GOAT supply, earning $7,455 million;
6. Bitcoin spot ETF had a net outflow of $54.9403 million yesterday;
7. Sheetz allows cryptocurrency payments and offers rewards:
8. USDC circulation increased by 300 million;
9. pump.fun sold 65% of fee income in SOL:
10. The IRS issued a memorandum stating that cryptocurrency rewards received after account freezes are still subject to taxation.
#美国大选后涨或跌？ #非农就业人数大幅降温 #美国大选后行情预测
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