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With an unemployment rate of 6.5% and core PCE at 2.9%, the Federal Reserve's dot plot saw a massive shift. The number of votes supporting two interest rate cuts surged from 5 in March to 9, shattering the market's expectation of four rate cuts this year, clearly indicating only two rate cuts. This will redefine liquidity expectations, and asset prices in the stock market, bond market, and others may see adjustments.
2. Under the shadow of tariffs, will rate hikes be repeated?
When asked if Trump's new tariff policy would prompt the Federal Reserve to cut rates early, Powell cited data from 1988. During Reagan's era, when auto tariffs were at 30%, the Federal Reserve did not cut rates but instead raised them by 175 basis points, implying that this time it may also raise rates to combat inflation. Once rates are increased, corporate financing costs will soar, economic growth will slow down, and the stock market will also be impacted.
3. Powell remains steady at the 'fishing platform'
In response to rumors that Trump's team wants to replace him, Powell referred to the Federal Reserve Act. When reporters pressed him on whether he would resign, he displayed his 'My House' screensaver to declare his position. At least until June next year, he will continue to serve as Chair, ensuring policy stability.
☎️☎️☎️ Non-Farm Payrolls Turnaround: Powell Goes Dovish, Bitcoin Plays Heartbeat at 85,000: Tariffs Hit, Market Instantly Becomes 'The Outlaws of the Marsh' Spin-off The Bitcoin market from last night to this morning is like a 'Crypto Version of The Outlaws of the Marsh' — just as the non-farm data sang praises of 'employment surge', the unemployment rate turned around and threw out a 'black face mask'; before Powell's words faded, the market had already entered 'hawk-dove face change' mode. Come, take a quick look at the highlights of this macro drama!
1. News Flash: When Data Clashes with Tariffs, the Market Instantly Becomes a 'Sichuan Opera Face Show' 1. Non-Farm Data: Employment at 228,000 Sets a Record, But Unemployment Rate 'Rebels' and Bounces Back The U.S. added 228,000 non-farm jobs in March, far exceeding expectations, but the unemployment rate soared from 4.1% to 4.2%. This script, not even the screenwriter would dare to write! Trump gave it a thumbs up overnight: 'The employment data is great!' The market, however, rolled its eyes: 'Is this data calculated by AI?' 2. Powell's Speech: Interest Rate Cut Signals Hide and Seek, Market Instantly Understands '5 Red Envelopes' Powell hinted that 'tariffs might drag down the economy', and traders instantly understood: There may be 5 rounds of interest rate 'red envelopes' this year! U.S. stocks fell first as a courtesy, with the Nasdaq plummeting 6%, but Bitcoin remained calm and fluctuated — this market has some resilience. 3. Tariffs Take Effect: Global Market Shakes, Crypto Circle Performs 'Playing Dead' The U.S. imposed a 34% tariff on China this morning, crude oil plummeted by 5%, and gold skyrocketed. What about Bitcoin? It played 'sit-ups' in the $82,000-$84,000 range, as if to say: 'Tariffs? None of my business!' 2. Market Analysis: Bull-Bear Battle, Bitcoin Stages '85,000 Defense War' - Daily Script: BTC holds steady at 81,000 support, MACD golden cross is weak, RSI is approaching the overbought zone, and may continue to fluctuate in the short term. - 4-Hour Chart: Bollinger Bands narrow to ±3.2%, clear EMA60 pressure, if it breaks 85,000, it will open up upward space, otherwise, it will test the psychological level of 80,000. - Whale Movements: A mysterious large holder withdrew 2,774 ETH from Binance, suspected of laying out altcoins; DWF Labs may become Trump's DeFi project market maker, with undercurrents flowing.
4. Comedian's Zone: Today's Hot Jokes in Crypto Circle 1. Non-Farm Data: Employment Numbers Surge, Unemployment Rate Rebels, Federal Reserve: I can't carry this burden! 2. Bitcoin: U.S. stocks drop, I fluctuate; tariffs take effect, I play dead, truly the 'Husky of the Crypto World'.
Building Deep Integration: More Manufacturers are Coming
As XAI continues to expand outward, more and more game manufacturers and content platforms are realizing the market opportunities contained in 'on-chain achievements' and 'decentralized incentives.' Large publishers can attract hardcore players back and increase user stickiness through node staking and airdrop activities; small teams can quickly gain recognition and unlock tens of thousands of potential users through community voting. Whether it's established AAA studios or new startups, all are moving in due to the high efficiency of Orbit L3 and the tremendous enthusiasm of the XAI community, injecting a continuous stream of fresh blood and innovative ideas into the entire ecosystem.
Bitcoin and Ethereum Trend Analysis, Wealth Code, Long and Short Entry Points…
BTC 4-Hour K-Line Trend: Resistance Level: Around 84098~85878 Support Level: Around 82861~81263
ETH 4-Hour K-Line Trend: Resistance Level: Around 1831~1883 Support Level: Around 1781~1700
News Analysis: Affected by non-farm payroll data (bullish), the market price surged and then retreated;
Technical Analysis: 1. Bitcoin's 4-hour K-line volume decreased and fell (as of 7:22 AM), after reaching a high, the price has retreated, currently showing poor volume performance. Please pay attention to the marked resistance level above and do not blindly chase high prices. Consider going long or spot positioning at the support level of the head and shoulders pattern indicated in the screenshot; 2. Bitcoin's 3-hour to 2-day K-line major, medium, and small cycle indicators show multi-cycle resonance 🈳 head trend, short-term operations should be made on the highs 🈳; Bitcoin's weekly K-line MACD indicator fast and slow lines are above the 0 axis showing a dead cross in a high position, expected to remain in a washout and shock phase for the big coin price in the future; 3. Bitcoin's 15-minute MACD indicator shows an oil leak pattern, while the 30-minute MACD indicator is showing a no-root water pattern. There is a demand for continued price correction in the future. Short-term operations should be made on the highs 🈳. Once the price in the 30-minute small cycle bounces back to the double top or important neckline resistance level, it is the best opportunity to set up a 🈳 position 🥰; (Please set your stop-loss, buckle your seatbelt, and prepare the three measures to resolve the position - there are teaching courses) {Contract Thinking}; Spot Trading Thinking: If the price retreats to the marked important support level above, you can lightly place long orders for entry {Spot Thinking};
Investing involves risks, and one should be cautious when entering the market. The above analysis is for reference only! Everyone can also make corresponding arrangements for mainstream coins, altcoins, and tokens based on Bitcoin's correlation effect!
A year's plan starts in spring 🌹 A day's plan starts in the morning 💰 Follow "Crypto Market Early Events" 🥇 for easy and profitable trading🥰 Your “Like + Follow” is my biggest encouragement, thank you! #BTC #ETH #Market Trend #Crypto Market Early Events #币圈盘报分析
📅 Weekly Movement: 📆 7-Day Change: +3.45% (mild bullish trend) 🌪 Volatility: Moderate – traders active but not crazy wild swings today
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🧠 Quick Project Summary: Jupiter is a top Solana-based DEX aggregator — it helps users get the best swap rates across various decentralized exchanges. Think of it as the Google Flights of token swaps.
✅ Key Features:
🔍 Smart routing for best prices
⚡ Ultra-fast transactions
🪙 Supports stablecoin swaps & cross-chain bridges
🧩 Integrates with other Solana apps like Orca, Raydium, and Jupiter Terminal
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🔮 What’s Fueling Attention:
💼 Growing use in Solana DeFi apps
🧑💻 Active dev community
🌍 Strong ecosystem position post-Solana surge
📣 Increasing mentions in trader forums and crypto Twitter
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🧭 Investor Vibe Check: 📌 Short-term sentiment: Cautiously Bullish 📌 Long-term potential: Good for Solana ecosystem exposure ⚠️ Risk Level: High (low-cap + market sensitive)
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🧠 Tips for New JUP Holders:
📅 Follow Solana news — JUP moves with it
📊 Watch DEX volume — it reflects usage
🛎 Set alerts for breakout levels: $0.0006+ could signal a run
🔐 Store safely in Solana-compatible wallets (like Phantom or Solflare) #TrumpTariffs
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