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Last night was really intense, the price surged directly to 88500, and then fell back to its original state. The short traders mainly focus on the area around 84200-84500, defending at 85500, with take profit at 82200 or the next low point at 82800, and the extreme at 81200.

Similarly, friends on the long side can enter the market in the range of 82200-82800, defending at 81200, and setting take profit at 84200-84500, with the extreme at 85500. #美国加征关税 $BTC

🌐 The global economy will suffer enormously": the reaction of world leaders to the tariffs announced by Trump 👱🏻‍♂️

👀 Several world leaders harshly criticized the new tariffs announced this Wednesday by the President of the United States, Donald Trump.

Trump's announcement included a universal base tariff of 10% on all imports to the U.S. starting April 5. About 60 countries, including those in the European Union and China, will be affected by even higher tariffs starting April 9.

Trump stated that the measures "will make the United States rich again," and added that he was "very kind" with the measures he took.

Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission, assured early Thursday morning that these tariffs (of 20% for the EU) are a severe blow to the global economy.

White House officials claimed that their levies were reciprocal to those of countries like China, which, according to them, impose higher tariffs on U.S. products, impose "non-tariff" barriers to U.S. trade, or have acted in a way that the government believes undermines Washington's economic goals.

#TrumpTariffs $TRUMP

Trump's tariffs trigger chaos in the crypto market, further exacerbating bearish sentiment in Bitcoin

Trump announced on Wednesday the imposition of reciprocal tariffs on dozens of countries. Bitcoin briefly surged to $87,400 following the tariff announcement, but then fell sharply to above $82,000, with a decline of up to 3%. Currently, Bitcoin is priced at $83,600, with the intraday decline narrowing to 1.38%.

On Wednesday, a total of $8.6 billion was net withdrawn from cryptocurrency-related ETFs, with net outflows from Bitcoin ETFs reaching as high as $8.7 billion.

Trump's tariff policy has cast a shadow over the entire crypto market, which saw a total value drop of 1.37% within 24 hours, hitting a low of $2.64 trillion. Ethereum briefly fell by 6%, but has since narrowed its decline to 2.8%.

The collective decline in the crypto market indicates that digital currencies are under immense selling pressure, reflecting investors' strong concerns about trade tensions and the broader economic impacts of tariffs.

Bitcoin has previously been dubbed “digital gold,” but in recent months, its price has become increasingly correlated with the U.S. stock market.

The correlation between Bitcoin's price and the Nasdaq index currently stands at 0.74, meaning that for every 10% drop in Nasdaq, Bitcoin's price tends to follow with a 7.4% decline.

As Trump's tariffs continue to impact the market, U.S. stocks are likely to enter a trading phase dominated by bearish sentiment in the short term, making it difficult for Bitcoin to break out of an upward trend.

The current market has not stopped falling, wait to buy the dip, first lure the bulls and then go short, not knowing how many will bleed out again.

ADP data has been released, the expectation was 11.5, the published value is 15.5
There is basically no difference; this data usually has huge deviations, and this time the deviation is only 4, so it can basically be considered as nothing happening.
However, overall it indicates that the U.S. economy is improving, and the non-farm data expected to be released soon is also likely to promote a rate cut in the U.S., so without this data, one can consider there is no negative impact, which is a positive sign for rate cuts.
Let's see how the U.S. stock market opens tonight.
The Qingming Festival is coming soon; when burning paper money, everyone remember to burn some for the dogs. 🫢

ADP data has been released, the expectation was 11.5, the published value is 15.5
There is basically no difference; this data usually has huge deviations, and this time the deviation is only 4, so it can basically be considered as nothing happening.
However, overall it indicates that the U.S. economy is improving, and the non-farm data expected to be released soon is also likely to promote a rate cut in the U.S., so without this data, one can consider there is no negative impact, which is a positive sign for rate cuts.
Let's see how the U.S. stock market opens tonight.
The Qingming Festival is coming soon; when burning paper money, everyone remember to burn some for the dogs. 🫢

ADP data has been released, the expectation was 11.5, the published value is 15.5
There is basically no difference; this data usually has huge deviations, and this time the deviation is only 4, so it can basically be considered as nothing happening.
However, overall it indicates that the U.S. economy is improving, and the non-farm data expected to be released soon is also likely to promote a rate cut in the U.S., so without this data, one can consider there is no negative impact, which is a positive sign for rate cuts.
Let's see how the U.S. stock market opens tonight.
The Qingming Festival is coming soon; when burning paper money, everyone remember to burn some for the dogs. 🫢

Insights from Historical Patterns

The acceleration phases of Bitcoin's past cycles (244 days in 2010-11, 261 days in 2013, and 280 days in 2017) have been progressively extended. This round, from July 15, 2024, to March 3, 2025, has lasted 232 days, nearing the peak window (244-280 days).

If the pattern continues, the peak may occur between early April and early May. Historical acceleration phases often end with an 'explosive peak', followed by a decline. The current volatility has risen to 51%, suggesting that significant movements are imminent.

This round of retracement has been mild, indicating a mature market with reduced volatility. The peak may not be as extreme as in the past but could still rise significantly. A 'consecutive 60-day new high' if it breaks above $110,000, may signify the final sprint.

On April 2, 2025, it will be the 262nd day of acceleration, close to the 2013 peak (261 days), potentially near the peak, requiring analysis of price and market sentiment.

Peak is imminent: break above $110,000, peak reached in April-May, followed by a pullback.

Peak has passed: no new highs in March-April, or has already declined.

Extended cycle: peak delayed until after May.

Conclusion

As of April 2, the peak is undetermined but within a critical window. If there is no breakthrough above $110,000 or a decline soon, the peak may have passed; if there is an increase, the peak is near. Attention should be paid to price, volatility, and sentiment.

After a month of accumulation. Finally back with confidence, continuously disclosing positions, let's witness the charm of stability and profit together 🤩 If an average daily profit of 1000 USD is achieved in a month, that would be 2 million in a year! This is the goal for this year 🎯 Currently, 5 days profit of 9500 USD $BTC #美国加征关税

Insights and Progress Sharing: Do Not Be Greedy for Victory
For an ordinary person, it takes four to five years to attend a university and master a skill. Let alone trading, which challenges human nature every day. Most experts become strong through time, experience, and gradual insights. Here, I remind friends new to the circle that seeing these real traders making money may seem easy, but you cannot see how many twists and turns others have gone through or the price they have paid to succeed. Then they fantasize about reaching others' levels in a short time and invest a lot of money, leading to financial ruin. Put aside the idea of getting rich overnight, even the urge to achieve results quickly. Take it step by step, learning, thinking, and gaining insights. It is rare for someone to engage in trading for a short time and successfully accumulate wealth. Recently, I finished reading 'Do Not Be Greedy for Victory' within a couple of days. The insights were particularly profound. At this moment, some of the things I learned in the past are resonating in my ears again, and I am beginning to integrate and awaken my strongest trading mindset. For example, making steady progress, the path of balance, continuous improvement, flowing water does not rush ahead, but strives for continuity. Control of emotions and desires, mental techniques, and skills. At this moment, I feel incredibly calm, and everything merges into one. In trading, if it is just a game, money is the greatest curse. Once you are connected with money, all your actions will become distorted. What unity of knowledge and action? If you only see money, how can you achieve unity of knowledge and action? It is just going around in circles. Perhaps one may waste a lifetime without understanding and eventually accept such a self. Are you willing to do that?
Thinking of making money
And then returning home to farm
You will never make money
This is a fantasy, an illusion
A desire to satisfy one's own desires
100000 $DOGE for everyone, wealth comes from heaven
$BTC $BNB #币安投票上币 #BNBChainMeme热潮 #BNBChainDEX交易量超越Solana

#币安投票上币
This feature is really great, and it's one of the most requested decisions since He Yi started the live broadcast! I didn't expect that Binance's leadership would actually implement it, so I definitely want to post my support! Binance has fully listened to everyone's opinions, which proves that this is a sign of improvement! To be honest, among the current giants, how many can truly hear the voices of the public! That being said, Binance has indeed achieved this, and for me, that's enough, because I also watched that live broadcast, I just didn't get to speak! But I achieved my goal regarding this voting matter! It's definitely commendable. I hope Binance continues to get better and better.👌🏻Answer☞ Twin Flowers

5 Golden Rules of Position Management: Full Cycle Control from Risk to Return

1. Risk Bottom Line: Single Point Breakthrough → Global Security

• Hard Stop Loss: Single loss ≤ 2% of total capital, black swan not deadly;

• Counter-Cyclical Positioning: Reduce position at high (PE > 80% percentile), increase at low (equity-debt yield differential reaches extreme);

• Zero Leverage Survival: Refuse financing, extreme volatility does not lead to liquidation!

2. Opportunity Sniping: Trend is King, Strike with Precision

• Trial Position - Increase Strategy: 5% base position for trial and error, increase to 20% upon breaking key points (such as annual line);

• Bull Market Exit: PE percentile > 90%, halve equity position;

• Panic Bottom Fishing: Retain 30% cash, buy in batches after a sharp drop!

3. Capital Efficiency: Layered Operations, Both Offense and Defense

• Short (10%): Hot ETFs/Thematic Stocks, quick in and out;

• Medium (40%): Resonance of Fundamentals + Technicals (e.g., earnings exceeding expectations + volume breakout);

• Long (30%): High Dividend/Growth Leaders, harness compound interest!

4. Anti-Human Nature Game: Tame Greed and Fear with Rules

• Half Position Roller Coaster: Flexibility in choppy markets, avoid full position anxiety;

• Individual Stock Position Limit 20%: Prevent “all-in” trap;

• Profit and Loss Isolation: Take profit on gained part, hold principal part, maintain composure!

5. Compound Interest Engine: Drawdown Control = Return Accelerator

• Halve Drawdown, Double Returns: If annualized return is 15%, drawdown from 30% → 15%, final value earns 2.7 times more;

• Volatility Matching: Halve position for high volatility varieties (e.g., Sci-Tech Innovation Board);

• Quantitative Position Adjustment: Use ATR indicator to dynamically match position with market risk!

Streamlined Practical Example (2024 Strategy):

• Risk Control: CSI 300 PE > 15 times, equity position from 80% → 50%;

• Opportunity Capture: New Energy PB < 1.5 times, 10% trial position → increase to 20% upon trend reversal;

• Capital Layering: 30% Coal/Bank (dividend base) + 20% AI ETF (swing trading)

→ Core Logic: Exchange position for win rate, win against human nature with discipline.

I can't offer you high returns here, trading contracts depends on my mood, the overall win rate is just fabricated, basically I close positions after a profit of a few hundred points, last month I had a total return of 21%, which is just investment income. If you have idle money that you're not using, you might as well follow contract trading, consider it as investment here. If you're looking to double your money in a month or something like that, I don't have that capability, and you don't need to follow my trades. Click on my avatar, choose their trades → contracts → fixed ratio follow → stop-loss setting 95.