BTC静静说

The market did not crash over the weekend; BTC has returned to 109,000. Looking at the on-chain data, Binance's BTC has been in a state of outflow these days. Generally speaking, Binance has the strongest liquidity, and large holders wanting to sell BTC would typically do so on Binance. However, it seems that these individuals are unable to sell, while mysterious forces keep accumulating. Last week's drop was due to chaotic actions by the government, stating they would not seek an agreement with the EU and would impose a 50% tariff on the EU, as well as a 25% tariff on Apple. This week, there has been a turnaround; just this morning, the government announced the resumption of a 90-day trade negotiation window with the EU, extending the deadline from June 1 to July 9, and unexpectedly changed its stance on trade negotiations with Japan, stating they aim to resolve tariffs before June. This week, it is recommended to patiently hold BTC and not to sell at the slightest dip, as this could lead to missing out. Among altcoins, only BNB and SOL are expected to perform strongly; other coins may shrink during high BTC fluctuations. In the medium term, whether there will be another altcoin rally this year, similar to those in March 2024 and November 2024, I believe there will be. Such a rally will definitely occur when Bitcoin is above the new high range and continues to rise, and altcoins will at least “follow the trend” for a period. Considering that there are still expectations of 2-3 rate cuts this year, and Bitcoin has already entered the “new high” range, there is likely to be another altcoin rally in June or the second half of this year. This conclusion is based on technical analysis and a four-year cycle analysis. However, this rally may be similar in magnitude to that in December 2024, where it is driven by Bitcoin rather than an independent altcoin market. In the long term, whether a super bull market similar to 2021 will occur, I believe it will also happen within the next 10 years. The premise is that an economic crisis first occurs (I think there is a high probability between 2026-2028). An economic crisis has two benefits: first, it will force the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates to 0% to save the economy; second, it will push down the valuations of both stocks and cryptocurrencies to sufficiently low levels. Under this premise, we have hope to repeat the story of 2020-2021, buying leading projects at low levels, thus enjoying another super bull market gain.

After decisively reversing in the key buying area, XRP's price shows new bullish momentum. Although this cryptocurrency has established itself in the current bullish pattern, a cryptocurrency analyst predicts that this altcoin is currently targeting an all-time high, with technical indicators suggesting it could rise to $4.
XRP's price is expected to break above $4 following a bullish reversal.
Since dropping to the discount range of around $0.85 to $1.00, XRP's price action has been building a bullish structure, currently showing signs of trend continuation that could break through the psychological resistance level of $3 and rise to the $4 mark.

The BTC monthly chart shows a very good upward trend, having already broken through previous highs and created new historical highs, and it is moving upwards gradually. Even if there is a subsequent pullback, as long as it doesn’t touch the yellow line, it means the upward trend continues at a secondary level. The daily chart is also doing well and moving upwards. Even if there is a subsequent pullback, as long as it doesn’t touch the yellow line, the upward trend continues at a secondary level. The smaller the level of the continued upward trend, the stronger the market situation! In the past two days, BlackRock has bought a total of 23,520 ETH, worth over 62 million USD. Although it can't compare to last night's CETUS hacker's purchase, it at least indicates that funds are slowly flowing into ETH now. The scale of the upcoming altcoin market depends heavily on ETH. Once Ethereum breaks a new high, altcoins will go completely crazy. I've only seen this kind of market in 2017 and 2020; the market situation back then was roughly similar to now, along with the concept of Bitcoin’s 'bloodsucking'. As time goes on, that concept slowly faded, and it basically follows Bitcoin's fluctuations. So now seeing Bitcoin 'sucking blood', with all coins lying still, doesn’t feel significant; just wait for it. I have a feeling that BNB is holding back something big; it’s not that it won’t explode, the time just isn’t right. Previously, just follow the big troops and keep a low profile.

Dogecoin has entered a critical phase, consolidating below the $0.26 resistance level and facing upward pressure after a significant pullback last week. Since hitting a local peak on May 10, Dogecoin has fallen over 18%, giving back some of the strong rebound that began in early April. After breaking above $0.13, bullish momentum was strong, achieving a 100% increase within a month. However, recent price movements indicate that this trend may be slowing.
The market is currently closely watching whether Dogecoin can hold its current level or if it faces further declines. Top analyst Ali Martinez indicated that Dogecoin's recent drop has opened the door for a return to the $0.213 level—this key area has previously acted as both resistance and support. If bullish sentiment continues to wane, this level may now become a magnet for the price.

Bitcoin surged to nearly $106,000 today, even reaching $107,000 at one point, before retreating. While the stock market and gold trends are sluggish, Bitcoin has shown strong momentum. Ethereum leads the altcoins, rising by 5%, while Solana, XRP, BNB, and Dogecoin rose by 2-4%.
The golden cross indicates a rebound, but has the death cross already arrived?
It has been observed that Bitcoin is about to form a 'golden cross,' a typical bullish indicator that may trigger a strong rebound in the coming days. In the last two occurrences of this, Bitcoin surged by 121% and 68%, respectively. Now, everyone is watching to see if Bitcoin can reach $110,000 soon, while altcoins may perform even better.

In the early hours of Monday, Bitcoin regained upward momentum, briefly breaking through the $106,000 mark, before encountering resistance and experiencing a slight pullback. As of this writing, Bitcoin is trading at $104,153, having dropped 1% in the past 24 hours.
Despite some decline, the asset overall maintains strong momentum, having recorded significant increases in recent weeks and approaching historical highs. Previously, Bitcoin's price experienced a brief consolidation phase late last week before retreating after breaking through $104,000.
Against this price performance, CryptoQuant analyst Avocado Onchain recently shared his interpretation of the trend based on derivatives and spot market data.

BTC has recently shown strong price performance, overall showing an upward trend, especially in recent cycles where the price has noticeably risen. In the short term, the market is in a strong upward trend, and the price may encounter some resistance at the key resistance level of 107114.3, but the support is strong, and the short-term momentum is sufficient, which may continue to test upward. Be cautious of a potential short-term overbought state after the price breaks through the upper Bollinger band. (Peipei reminds: today's article is a bit long but very important, please read it patiently, and the wealth code is attached at the end.)

Technical analysis K-line pattern: The red three soldiers pattern indicates strong short-term upward momentum, the morning star pattern suggests a possible trend reversal, and the spinning top pattern indicates high market volatility. BOLL: The current price has broken through and is maintaining near the upper band, indicating a strong market with further upward momentum, but the expansion of the lower band should be watched for increasing market volatility. EMA: The short-term moving average is above the long-term moving average, with widening distance indicating strong market momentum, and consecutive bullish candles verifying strong performance. MA: MA(15) and MA(5) form a golden cross, suggesting an upward trend in the market in the medium-short term, and the current price is above the moving average indicating strong market momentum. MACD: 4-hour bullish golden cross, strong bullish trend signal; also bullish trend support: 103000 resistance: 107000 strong bullish mindset, hold onto neiro, doge, and xrp! Bitcoin is leading the altcoins up and down; if it hasn't started yet, it's better to sell, still need to find strong ones to follow, waiting for the launch is too uncertain, projects that are still lagging behind are not very promising, the strong bullish mindset still needs to be implemented. Neiro on hand is good, doge and xrp are also okay, people are experiencing big ups and downs, suitable for ultra-short waves, others should be observed, if not feasible then plan to switch.

Today is May 19, 2025. Four years have passed since the historically market-shaking '5.19' curse day, but the market seems unable to shake off the psychological shadow brought by this date.

Last night, Bitcoin surged to the resistance zone of $106,000-$108,000 before quickly plunging. Ethereum (ETH) showed more weakness, briefly touching $2,600 before plummeting to around $2,300, and altcoins collectively fell, with the market in a state of lament.
Currently, the market is caught in a hesitation phase of 'rebound or reversal,' and the game after the US stock market opens tonight may become a key for short-term directional choice.

Today's price of BTC:
Bitcoin's real-time price today is $104,945, with a 24-hour trading volume of $53,713,429,971. Bitcoin has increased by 1.65% in the past 24 hours. The real-time market capitalization is $2,084,764,566,327. The circulating supply of Bitcoin is 19,865,290 BTC, with a maximum supply of 21,000,000 BTC.

Today's price of ETH:
Ethereum's real-time price today is $2,427.28, with a 24-hour trading volume of $27,288,023,111. Ethereum has decreased by 2.12% in the past 24 hours. The real-time market capitalization is $293,039,635,497. Ethereum's circulating supply is 120,727,476 coins.

Solana (SOL) has struggled to maintain upward momentum since peaking near $183 on May 14. Since then, the price action on the 4-hour chart has not provided a clear direction, with the cryptocurrency falling back to the key support area around $166 for a retest.
As of the time of writing, Solana's trading price is approximately $169.43, up slightly by 0.70% for the day, trying to hold this key support level and lay the groundwork for further increases. Interestingly, the technical outlook on the TradingView platform indicates possible paths for Solana in the coming days.

Early this morning, Musk changed X's nickname to 'Kekius Maximus' and updated the avatar, causing the meme coin $KEKIUS to soar, while the previous star coin $gork fell nearly 30%.
In just a few days, the 'sharp-tongued account' @gork became a sensation due to repeated interactions with Tesla founder Elon Musk, driving the market cap of the eponymous meme coin $gork to briefly exceed $100 million. However, the situation changed rapidly—early this morning, Musk changed his name again, this time to 'Kekius Maximus', which immediately boosted another meme coin $KEKIUS to soar, while the original star coin gork plummeted.