江百川

A country is like a person. Big and powerful countries are rich, small and weak countries are poor, so their needs are naturally different, right? Why do rich people like to have more children? Because his resources can support more children, and more children means more possibilities. If you only have one or two children, and neither of them is interested in your business, is it possible that your family will perish in your second life? As for the poor, they have no choice. They only have so many resources and can only support one child. So the only way to train this child is to do whatever is easier for him to survive or succeed in society. Bar? So everyone, think about it, strong and weak countries are the rich and the poor, so what are their children? Those are the corporate businesses. Therefore, we can deduce that the strong pay more attention to opportunities, while the weak pay more attention to survival. A strong person may become a weak person if he does not grasp or miss the opportunity, and a weak person must be alive before he can talk about possibilities. For the United States, it focuses on opportunities and is not afraid of mistakes or missing out. For it, virtual currency is a possibility. For China, virtual currency may be an opportunity, but maybe not. We have not tried that much. The cost is wrong, so ban it first and let companies focus on doing things that have been proven to be feasible. What is this called? Concentrate your efforts on big things. Therefore, the difference in attitude between China and the United States towards virtual currency is actually a difference in development stages. The technology of the United States is the world's leading, and there is no mature path for it to learn from. Therefore, companies are encouraged to tinker with whatever they want. We are not there yet. At that stage, there are still many proven and feasible roads that we have not yet reached, so there is no need to fiddle with new things for the time being. Unless we have almost achieved those things, the country will encourage companies to fiddle with them casually. We must know that the most gambling people in the world are Chinese people. If there is no policy guidance, it is not difficult to imagine how many companies with virtual currency business there will be in the A-share market now. But whether the virtual currency path will work, I don’t know. , so you understand, right? Anyone who has played in stocks should have the impression that there are two extreme examples. One is the investment and financial management turmoil. I forget which year it was. How popular financial management was at that time. Shanshan Shares, a clothing manufacturer, bought clothes because they were not selling well. Not only did it buy a large number of financial products at that time, but even many listed companies bought them. The main business was discontinued. You could earn more by buying financial products than doing business.When Chongqing Beer's liver cancer vaccine was very popular, Shanshan Co., Ltd. also participated in hyping the anti-cancer concept of yew. Then the stock market crashed in 2015. Why? The management deleveraged because many listed companies used margin trading and securities lending for financial management. , and then collapsed directly; another thing is that when the alcohol stocks were on fire, a small brewery in a village in Shanxi was acquired by a listed company, causing the listed company's stock price to rise sharply. The annual profit of a small workshop was only about 10,000 to 20,000 yuan. , after the acquisition by the listed company, it euphemistically claimed that it had entered the nine-category business. So think about it, virtual currency is banned, but no one cares about you when you speculate in currency, and there are no corresponding legal restrictions. Instead, virtual currency-related cooperation is not protected by law. Do you think this is against who? It has never been an individual, but a company. Therefore, China’s ban on virtual currencies mainly prevents companies from investing money in this field. So at the beginning, our private kitchen was planned well by Tencent, but it was blocked by the policy. Now we can only stop and wait for the opportunity. Later, everyone also knows where the country wants companies to invest their money. Where is it? Do you know? A complete industrial chain can drive the entire upstream and downstream chain to take off, such as real estate driving land, building materials and energy consumption. And it should be noted that the country has banned virtual currencies, but the Metaverse supports basic blockchain applications. The logic is actually very simple. You are not allowed to speculate on virtual currencies, but you can toss around related technologies. If you have money for the basic framework, If you want to have coins, can’t you always have them? You don’t think that what Hong Kong is currently doing is decided by Hong Kong people. Therefore, we should accumulate more in the frontier fields. If you don’t have a research spirit, invest some valuable coins. If you have a research spirit, just think about it. If there is something missing in this industry and this market, or what other projects can be done, then try it out. $BTC #etf #tia

The day before yesterday, the market did not form any form of multi-side rise, so the path of shock consumption was basically established. Yesterday was even weirder. After hitting a new high, I came back and almost hit a new low, penetrating up and down, playing a long-short double kill. This pattern can only illustrate one objective fact, that is, the main force does not want to attack further at all, but only wants to continue to kill people and play with people's hearts. Based on this tonality, the market has decided that there will be no big rise or big fall, it is just trading. At present, the daily line should be waiting for the upward support of the purple 28 line. Only when the price is close to this moving average is it expected to regain its upward trend, which will still take some time.

The recent market performance has been unsatisfactory, but yesterday there was a first-hand memory awakening in the market, giving people a glimmer of hope. Today is theoretically the time for the closing of the pullback, but the specific landing point is difficult to grasp. We need to wait until the monthly and quarterly lines close tomorrow before conducting detailed analysis.

Judging from the current situation, the shape of the four-hour chart is almost exactly the same as the path of memory awakening, and even the time points are similar. However, the current results are contrary to expectations, but this upward move is a bit too early, and it is expected that there will be some fluctuations during the day.

Yesterday, the market closed a negative line and fell below the daily level 7-line support, which means that the market needs to obtain the support of the yellow 14-line if it wants to continue to rise. There are only two days left until the end of June, today and tomorrow. I hope everyone can remain patient and wait for the closing results today and tomorrow.

You can ignore the other levels for the time being. I have already talked about it too much before. Today I will mainly study the possibility of daily gameplay, which is roughly as shown in the picture below.

First, we can see that the 7th line has been broken, but the 14th line is actually under our feet. If there is not much movement today, it may rise to the $29,700 level tomorrow. Although the previous position has been reached, it was obvious yesterday that the negative line swallowed up the gains the day before yesterday, but it did not continue to fall during the day today, so there is a basis for pulling back. Considering that 29700 has been visited once before, and the 14 line will not be broken for the time being, there is a high probability that today will be a positive line pattern, such as returning to the 30500 line.

After the Dragon Boat Festival is over, a new week begins. Market performance over the past few days has been similar or even stronger than that described in our previous article. This week's various line indicators such as weekly, monthly and quarterly lines all show resonance. At the same time, there are also multiple resonance points in terms of resistance, so the market may be relatively complex. Judging from the calmness of the market over the weekend and the failure of yesterday's upward attack, today's performance is not outstanding. It only needs to smoothly pass the closing of the 5-day line, and the market can usher in a new upward trend tomorrow and the day after tomorrow. Fight for the closing of the quarter line.

The market finally saw some fluctuations yesterday. Although the 2-day line did not show enough strength, it is better than remaining unchanged. Today and tomorrow will be the key nodes to close the three-cycle resonance. We hope that the market, especially Bitcoin, can exert its strength and reach at least the 27,700 line, so that the rest of June will be more worth looking forward to.

We have introduced the situation of each cycle in detail before. Today we focus on the daily trend, and tomorrow is the most critical day for the resonance closing of the three cycles. Therefore, there are two possibilities for today's move. One is to maintain the current form, which does not require a sharp rise or fall; the other is to step back on the daily black 28 line, which is around $26,600, and overall form a positive entity similar to the previous yellow circle. Then tomorrow, the trend of the positive line entity will continue. Even if the market sentiment is stronger, it may directly rise, depending on the mood of the main force.

According to the above, we can see that in the short term, the key points are focused on today's trend and the three-line resonance pattern on the 22nd. First, let's analyze the weekly situation. This week's weekly line shows a cross-search bottom line pattern, failing to form a tie, which also means that this week's relative minimum demand is just a morning star pattern. We expect the market to rebound to around the 27,700 line around the yellow 14 line, which will be an important resistance level. For further upper limit, you can consider the blue 179 line 28700 and the black 86 line 29900 moving average.

Hello everyone, welcome to this issue of market analysis and interpretation. Today we will bring you an analysis of market trends and an interpretation of a recent major event. Let’s look at the market trend first. In yesterday’s trend, the main force chose the relatively moderate path among the two multi-party paths mentioned in our previous article. We note that yesterday's pattern was almost exactly the same as the one we described in the article. This is encouraging. Tomorrow morning, the 5-day line will close. We can wait for the 5-day line to close before observing the performance of the pattern in order to make subsequent judgments. If the closing performance is good, the weekly trend is expected to be parallel.

Dear readers, today we bring you an analytical article on the cryptocurrency market. In this article, we will discuss the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision, technical support for the cryptocurrency market, and the direction of Bitcoin and Ethereum. Please note that the images used in this article are for reference only and do not represent specific market trends.

First, let’s take a look at the Fed’s interest rate decision. In the early morning, the Federal Reserve announced its June interest rate decision and announced a pause in interest rate increases. However, according to the Fed's dot plot, they are still likely to raise interest rates during the year, which once again brings uncertainty to the market. Master Lao Duanshui's statement also put a certain amount of pressure on the market. Affected by the negative news, major cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum fell rapidly. The trend of Ethereum has attracted special attention. It has now reached the support level of the 14th line of the quarterly line. The market has different views on whether it can hold this support level. In addition, the war between the SEC and a security company has also brought certain uncertainty to the market. Technical support is crucial to the market, and now the market has reached the last hurdle. If the support level is broken, the market outlook will become difficult to predict, and you can only take one step at a time.

Yesterday, the market showed a certain rebound ability, but this rebound did not last, causing the rebound energy accumulated by many forces to be exhausted. Therefore, there is a high possibility that the market will continue to be in a state of shock, and it is expected that the shock pattern will continue this week until the daily line 179 becomes an upward support price.

On the daily line, the blue descending channel continues to envelope the market. At present, the short side still dominates and has not yet broken through the channel. At the smaller levels, the yellow arrow forms a new small downtrend suppression, but support exists below. On the one hand, as the daily 179 line gradually moves upward, the yellow downward trend line cannot theoretically form a downward channel. It is currently showing a wedge-shaped trend and may break upward.

[Reasons for the surge in U.S. stocks and their impact on the market]

U.S. stocks rose sharply yesterday, mainly due to professionals' analysis and predictions of U.S. CPI data. It is predicted that the U.S. CPI will fall this month from 4.9% last month to about 4%, so it is speculated that the Federal Reserve may suspend raising interest rates in June. In addition, lawmakers have also proposed proposals to reorganize the SEC. This news is relatively good for the market.

[Changes in the correlation between U.S. stocks and cryptocurrencies]

Although the correlation between U.S. stocks and cryptocurrencies has hit a new low in 2023, I do not recommend linkage analysis between them. However, at present, the two rising driving logics have one thing in common, and that is the impact on interest rate hikes. Therefore, if interest rate hikes are suspended, June will be a good opportunity for a rebound. We need to pay attention to whether the main funds will participate in the rebound and how they will specifically arrange the steps.

Recently, the cryptocurrency market has experienced a series of event-driven declines, triggering wait-and-see and sell-offs from many institutions and traders. This kind of event-driven market trend is unpredictable, so we should return to the essence of the K-line in the financial market, digest the information and conduct analysis within the framework. This article will explore possible reasons for the SEC’s crackdown on cryptocurrency, political games, and retaliation for the FTX incident, and remind readers how to seize opportunities and take risks in the face of the current major changes.

The cryptocurrency market is constantly changing, and the big game behind it is gradually emerging. The SEC’s crackdown on the crypto community may involve factors such as political gaming and retaliation for the FTX incident. Western financial institutions often choose to support a certain political party, but this also means bearing the consequences of taking sides. In addition, the continuation of the Russia-Ukraine war and the game between major powers have made cryptocurrency involved in a higher level of international competition. At the same time, Hong Kong’s open trading has also provided a testing ground and opportunity for RMB offshore centers, further exacerbating the complexity of the game. Cryptocurrency has become the center of the financial war storm. This game is not limited to the financial level, but also involves changes in the destiny and structure of the country. Faced with this unprecedented change, risks and opportunities coexist. No one can make choices for you, and no one can take risks for you. In this world of competition and survival of the fittest, we need to be brave enough to face challenges and seize opportunities.