加密可人

The trend of $BTC has not stopped, everyone is scared.

There must be a wave of people buying in during the downturn, but the overall trend is bearish. Set your stop-loss; it's a once-in-a-century opportunity.

I have experienced two rounds of bull and bear markets, and I have professional strategies for getting out of losing positions. I specialize in medium to long-term wave trading and have just transitioned to Binance, so please pay more attention.

$BTC The market sentiment has reached 112150, continue shorting! 💸

Upper resistance: 113850, near 116200, lower support: 112000, near 110900 🚨

The 4-hour histogram has turned positive from negative, but is close to the zero axis. The 4-hour RSI is 47, not in the oversold zone, and lacks rebound momentum. 🚨🚨🚨

I have experienced two bull and bear cycles and have professional strategies for unwinding losses. I specialize in medium- to long-term wave trading. I just moved to Binance, so please keep an eye on me.

#美联储会议 Powell sets the tone tonight: The Fed's 'Dovish-Hawkish Inception', a 72-hour countdown for the crypto market!

At 22:00 Beijing time on August 22, Fed Chairman Powell will deliver a key speech that could be the 'final address' of his term at the global central bank annual meeting.

⚠️ Deadly variable: The Fed governor Stephen Miran, recently nominated by Trump, if appointed on an emergency basis, could disrupt the voting balance and force Powell to cut rates early! A political black swan is hatching within the Fed!

Based on on-chain data and options positions, the crypto market will stage a three-act horror show starting tonight:

⏳ 2 hours before the speech: Panic selling emerges, BTC tests the support at 117,000 USDT (liquidation of long positions with leverage below 5x)

💥 The moment of the speech:

If Powell mentions 'labor risk' → BTC jumps 8% instantly, liquidating $320 million in shorts

If he emphasizes 'stubborn inflation' → ETH plummets 12%, deleveraging chain reaction breaks through DeFi staking pools

🚀 The following 24 hours:

Dovish victory: Funds flow into high beta coins like ETH, SOL, TON, with AI + gaming sector surging over 40%

Hawkish slaughter: BTC's dominance skyrockets, stablecoin market cap shrinks by $1.5 billion in a day (risk-off withdrawal)

🚨 Ultimate reminder: The Fed's policy impact on the crypto space has shrunk from a 6-month lag to a synchronous reaction; any thought of 'waiting for data confirmation before acting' = suicide!

$ETH $SOL has revealed the dealer asked me to draw the lines 🤓

So let Teacher Keran say a word about tonight's trend: Bearish 🚨

Having experienced two rounds of bull and bear cycles, I have professional strategies for getting out of traps, specializing in mid-to-long term wave trading, and have just switched to Binance, please pay more attention.

I just checked in 😂

😂😂😂😂😂, it's clear that their team is putting effort into creating content, and I also want to thank BTC for giving me money 😂😂😂

I have experienced two rounds of bull and bear markets, I have professional strategies for untangling positions, I focus on mid to long-term waves, and I just recently switched to Binance, so please pay more attention. 👧

$SOL 🚨SOL Price Drop Warning! 184 Light Position Try Long, Take Profit at 188 and Run Fast💸

Currently, there is a rebound in the market, with a stop loss at 175. The RSI is not oversold, and there is support at 175 on-chain. Based on previous data, the probability of a rebound can reach over 65%. Resistance lines above: 186.198, support lines below: 176.171.

The overall trend tonight is still bearish!!! A 4-hour descending triangle pattern, and the MACD histogram's negative value is expanding!

I have experienced two rounds of bull and bear cycles, and I have professional strategies for breaking even. I specialize in mid to long-term wave trading and have just transitioned to Binance, so please pay more attention.

$ETH 4324 Short-term long position has been placed, stop loss at 4280🚨

Currently, the RSI is not overbought, and there is support at 4200 on the chain. Based on previous data analysis, the probability of a rebound at this level is very high. The upper resistance line is at 4365.4450, and the lower support line is at 4175.4090.🤑

However, I still have a bearish outlook tonight. The overall market volume is shrinking and unable to break through resistance, combined with 910,000 ETH being staked and unlocking in queue, historically this situation has seen a decline of 5%-7%.

I have experienced two rounds of bull and bear market cycles, and I have professional strategies for unlocking positions, focusing on mid to long-term wave trading. I have just switched to Binance, please pay more attention.🤑🤑🤑

$BTC BTC11.3 Light position trial long, waiting for the Federal Reserve judgment night😇

📢 There will be a rebound now, cautious family members suggest going long around 112670, with resistance above at 114850.1 and support below at around 112670 and 112050.

The overall trend in the evening is still bearish. There is news that BlackRock transferred 1885 BYC to Coinbase, and the probability of a dump is quite high. Coupled with the hawkish macro risks looming in the evening, it remains bearish tonight.💸

I have experienced two rounds of bull and bear alternation, with professional strategies for unlocking positions, focusing on medium to long-term wave trading. I have just transitioned to Binance, please pay more attention.

$BTC #失业金爆合约

The news is positive, we should eat the meat we have, but the overall downward trend afterwards shouldn't trap others, right? 😅

I already mentioned that the overall trend was down last night 😂, and you can analyze the data on the market to get a rough idea. As for why the positive news was released and the market still fell, let me break it down for you.

🙈 After searching for a lot of information: I saw the specific situation regarding unemployment claims: it shows that the U.S. manufacturing PMI preliminary value for August is 53.3, hitting a three-year high, but initial jobless claims soared by 11,000, marking the biggest increase in three months, and continuing claims rose to a four-year high. This indicates a weak job market, which theoretically is good news for risk assets like Bitcoin, as it increases the possibility of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates.

🙊 However, some data shows that the U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) for July surged by 3.3% year-on-year, and market expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September dropped from 98% to 84%, decreasing the attractiveness of risk assets. This could be a significant factor leading to the decline in Bitcoin.

🙉 Bitcoin's technical indicators present contradictory signals: the RSI (14) is at 47.5, which is in the neutral range, but the MACD (12,26) is at -65.5, signaling a sell. The weakness in the technicals may have exacerbated the decline.

I have gone through two cycles of bull and bear markets, and I specialize in strategies for getting out of positions, specifically focusing on mid to long-term waves. I've just switched to Binance, so please pay more attention.

Those who listened to my posts at $BTC have already made a profit! 🤩 But!

It now feels like it's rising, rising, rising! Then there's a pullback feeling. According to the data, there still seems to be a rebound coming. I suggest those with weaker mental fortitude to be cautious.

My strategy is to build positions in batches between 112500-113000, taking small positions to test the waters. I really can't draw the lines for tonight; I will adopt a cautious approach with a stop loss at 111800 and a target of 114500 for quick in and out.

Currently, BTC is in the final stages of consolidation between 112000-114500, with a 24-hour trading volume still shrinking. Coupled with Powell's speech event, it seems like there will be a drop tonight.

I have experienced two rounds of bull-bear cycles, and I have professional strategies for getting out of positions. I specialize in medium to long-term wave trading and just transitioned to Binance, so please pay attention.

#失业金人数 is good news for families, don't worry too much 😅, but who can completely relax their hearts? 🌝

Let's talk about today first 😇

🚨 Tonight's data is weak (235,000), which is a short-term benefit for the crypto market, but caution is needed:

Policy combination punch: If Powell downplays interest rate cuts, the benefit may turn into a negative;

ETH-specific risk: 910,000 staked assets unlocked and selling pressure remains, still under pressure after the rebound.

📉 1. Basic situation of the data

Published value: 235,000 (previous value 224,000, expected 226,000)

Core contradiction:

Higher than expected + previous value: indicates short-term weakness in the job market, rising unemployment pressure.

Policy signal:

Strengthening concerns about economic slowdown, market expectations for a Fed rate cut in September increased from 85% to 90% (CME FedWatch Tool).

⚙️ 2. Mechanism of impact on the crypto market

1. Liquidity expectations dominate short-term sentiment

Increased probability of rate cuts → Weaker dollar index → Funds flow into BTC, ETH, and other risk assets, boosting valuations.

2. Maximum benefit logic brings maximum bearish risk. BTC rate cut expectations + ETF fund inflow breaks below $112,000 algorithmic sell-off. ETH breaks through 4,350, triggering $2.1 billion short position liquidation from staking unlock (910,000 ETH selling pressure). SOL small coins beta effect (high volatility co-movement). Liquidity crisis leads to excessive declines.

$BTC BTC I am bullish, but I am worried about a waterfall tonight🏄🏻

According to previous data analysis, there should be a tactical rebound soon. It is recommended to place a buy order around 112300. The upper resistance line is around 114650.116040, and the lower support line is around 112250 and 110850.

The oversold signal combined with institutional support is providing short-term support for a rebound. However, I still hold a bearish outlook for tonight's larger trend; its 24-hour trading volume is not high, and this is just a shrinking rebound exposing exhausted buying.

If I fall asleep tonight, for those who see my posts, the general direction is judged like this: as long as it doesn't break 1112000, one should still be cautious about trying to go long. Quick in and out, if you're not sure, it's better to miss out. Then tomorrow’s bowell speech will determine fate; it’s best to reduce positions to avoid volatility!💸💸💸

Treating the crypto world like a social circle, this is the only thing left every day, but today is a beautiful day. A friend sent me flowers and I realized today is my birthday 😘😘😘. The sunshine today is also great, the atmosphere feels so good, just a bit blurry.

Maintain a good mindset; health is worth more than gold 👑👑👑

Sorry for occupying my personal post: I have gone through two rounds of bull and bear markets, I have professional strategies for getting out of positions, focusing on long-term trades in waves. I just switched to Binance, please pay more attention. 😘😘😘

$SOL can't stand the grind, eating some mosquito legs😂

As long as I’m fast enough, he can't hurt me🏄🏻🏄🏻🏄🏻

I have personally experienced two rounds of bull and bear cycles, and I have professional strategies to break free from losses, focusing on mid to long-term wave trading. I just transitioned to Binance, please pay more attention.

$ETH ETH short-term long position has been opened, worried about false breakout😅

ETH is currently at the critical level of 4300, which is the dividing line between bullish and bearish. The 4-hour MACD has a golden cross but lacks momentum, presenting the risk of a false breakout. It is recommended to try a light long position around 4260, with upper resistance levels at 4390 and 4500, and lower support levels at 4130 and 4010.🏄🏻

It is still in a sideways trend; for future actions, do not chase highs before breaking 4350 with volume, and gradually position based on support levels.🚨

I have experienced two rounds of bull-bear alternation and have professional strategies for breaking even. I specialize in medium to long-term wave trading and have just switched to Binance, please pay more attention.😘

$SOL S short position has been opened, afraid of the sideways movement 🌚🌝

First of all, uh 🤔, the current volatility and trend are really nerve-wracking, right? Still, there is a short position to showcase, you can place a short between 188-189, with the upper resistance level between 189 and 197, and the lower support line around 177.171.

Everyone can also take their time 😂, during the sideways period, everyone feels anxious, but the chances for this short are quite high. First, the 4-hour EMA30 has crossed below EMA60, the MACD histogram is expanding in negative territory, and 175 has formed a bottom after failing to break three times, but the buying strength on-chain has decreased by 30%, this is the trend in the market.

I have experienced two rounds of bull and bear cycles, and I have professional strategies for breaking even. I specialize in mid-to-long term wave trading and have just switched to Binance, please pay more attention. 💸

😅About the significant increase in BTC, ETH, and SOL last night at 22:15. I went to bed too early yesterday and I'm not sure if anyone got stuck in the market.

Regarding this issue, I will analyze it from several aspects. This is not an after-the-fact analysis; it's to set stop-losses for the next time such a situation arises, or to keep an eye on the market all night and avoid going to bed too early. 😅

Below, I will analyze from two aspects: data and information gathered from across the web. 💸

1⃣ Santiment data shows that retail sentiment has reached an extremely pessimistic area, which historically often corresponds to the starting point of a market rebound. It also points out that there is a significant area of short liquidation around $117,000 (BTC) and $4,300-$4,360 (ETH). Additionally, it mentions that the ADX indicator for ETH has reached 42, indicating a strong trend.

2⃣ There are several important supports for this wave of increase: First, the demand for a rebound from overselling. The RSI for ETH once fell to an extreme oversold area of 28, and SOL is also approaching a key support level of $175, indicating a technical rebound demand. Second, there are signals of divergence in indicators. It was mentioned that ETH shows signs of MACD divergence. Third, key support levels are holding firm. BTC has strong support at $112,000, ETH at $4,100, and SOL at $175.

3⃣ On the funding side, first, the high proportion of shorts has triggered a short squeeze. The short ratio for ETH reached 65%, and for SOL, it was 62%. Once it breaks through key resistance, it could easily trigger a short squeeze. Secondly, institutions are accumulating at low levels. Institutions like BitMine and Sharplink have been buying ETH significantly near $4,100. Finally, changes in ETF fund flows. Although there was a large outflow from the ETH ETF a few days ago, some funds may have shifted to accumulate on dips.

4⃣ Most importantly, changes in the Federal Reserve's policy expectations. Analysts like Tom Lee believe that although Powell may maintain a hawkish tone, the market has already priced in this expectation, and his speech may be interpreted as "dovish." Meanwhile, the crypto market still maintains a high probability of an interest rate cut in September at 85%.

$SOL rebound is about to end, long and short positions are coming soon 🚨

The previous trends have been fine, so what’s next 💸💸💸

Tonight, I still see a bearish trend; the second wave of the rebound will not last long. Family members can place short orders in the range of 183-185, with support lines at 171.177 and resistance lines at 185.192.

Binance spot trading ratio -0.27 (sellers are dominant), 4-hour EMA30 crosses below EMA60, the price continues to operate below the moving averages, forming a bearish arrangement. The hourly MACD histogram continues to expand in negative value, with the DIF and DEA lines diverging downward; bearish momentum is increasing.

I have experienced two rounds of bull and bear markets, with professional strategies for unlocking positions, focusing on medium to long-term wave trading, and have just switched to Binance. Please pay more attention.

$ETH doesn't have to follow my line completely 😂, it's just like I drew, there will be another wave of rebound later 💸

This position is also about the same, conservative friends can wait for a drop to around 4170 to buy the dip and go long, support lines are around 4600 and 4100, resistance lines are near 4230 and 4290. RSI 28 is approaching the extreme oversold threshold, if it drops below 25, it will trigger programmatic buying.

Overall trend tonight is still bearish, friends on short-term trades should maintain a good mindset, overall volume is still shrinking.🏄🏻

#加密市场回调 trend is following my plan, let's take some time to discuss the corrections in the crypto market 💸
🔥 【Truth of the Crash】 A veteran's painful review: Is this correction a setup by institutions, or just the breathing of a bull market?

📉 The "Triple Strangulation" of the Correction

1. Macroeconomics: The Federal Reserve's "Expectation Management" blade
2. Capital: ETF cooling and leverage stepping on toes
3. Technical: "Profit Taking" after new highs

🧠 My brain is spinning rapidly, this is not right! This is the "dark logic" of capital games!
Correction? This is a liquidity harvesting drama directed by institutions!

1: Pumping to create FOMO In early August, Wall Street frantically swept BTC through the ETF channel, pushing it up to over $120,000, luring retail investors to chase the rise and leverage.
2: Releasing negative news while selling off BlackRock, Fidelity, etc., who sold 197 million ETH in a single day, while also releasing signals of worsening PPI data, precisely triggering long liquidations.
3: Accumulating at low positions On-chain shows that whales are withdrawing from ETH and Layer 2, shifting towards compliant tracks (RWA, zkDID, on-chain bonds) for the next round of layout.

🔥 The ultimate truth is:

The crypto market is a non-zero-sum game — retail investors lose to volatility, while institutions win by the rules.
Remember: A bull market is born in despair, grows in skepticism, and dies in frenzy.
At this moment, which side are you on? 🤔🤔🤔