There hasn't been much action during the day, which is not surprising, after all, not every weekend evening sees significant movements. In the afternoon, the position of Dandan is at 1350. Then, Kongsan enters. The position at 900 has already been ①⑨ consecutive rises. As long as one is not too greedy on the weekend, they can just pick up casually. ⑥ Dan is around 1000, adding up to 6000. However, those who are too greedy might still be stuck in place; it has been said that greed won't lead to gains. Significant movements usually only happen on weekends in an average of 3 to 4 months, and there must be a fundamental basis, so it's just about watching the range and keeping an eye on the fundamentals.
Overall, there hasn't been much change in the trend. The weekly surge has not broken through the high resistance, and after consecutive declines, it is now undergoing a time correction. The weekend serves both as a correction and a buildup of strength, and after building up strength, there will be a surge. On the daily chart, the two-day and three-day moving averages continue to contract, while the higher-level moving averages remain at high levels. Therefore, the two most likely scenarios are either continuing large-range fluctuations or a further pullback. Regardless of which, it starts with a high Kongsan.
The high Kongsan around 106000 to 106500 remains unchanged, looking at around 103000. $BTC
After a week, the booklet and trends are consistent, 1️⃣9️⃣ consecutive successes, can be compared. A sword polished for ten years, solely focused on the big picture. $BTC
Dong Wang has always wanted Bitcoin as a strategic reserve, but when fighting broke out in the Middle East on Friday morning, it was immediately exposed and dropped sharply. Although it recovered later, it is clear that in people's minds, gold is still the best choice for urgent risk aversion. In contrast, Bitcoin as a strategic reserve seems like a joke. $BTC
The weekend performance was consistent with expectations, revolving around the high points of the discussed range and the low points, having already collected 6️⃣ points. The afternoon indicated a position. Subsequently, the points entered, and the trend fluctuated downwards by over 1000 miles, steady, but can continue to wait. Looking at around 103100. $BTC
The god of short lines, scalpel, king of sniping! These titles are not given lightly. By early morning, Dodan has already taken a stance. Pushing forward to 1350 again. 1️⃣8️⃣ consecutive victories. Those who have understood this result for a long time have long been prepared; the weekly trend is spot on. After a surge in volume at the beginning of the week, it will first move into a range-bound fluctuation. After the CPI comes out, it will head south all the way. The Middle East is opening with a large daily line, leading to three consecutive bearish candles, then turning around. Once it comes up, we will look at the range, which is just right. Can be checked.
From the perspective of the overall trend structure, after the daily line deviated from the trend structure, it returned to the Bollinger Bands and has moved back and forth for more than a while. Currently, the middle band of the Bollinger Bands is still pointing down, and the trend structure is relatively weak. Both MACD and KDJ are continuing to diverge downward after a death cross, indicating that the weakness still has continuity. On the daily line and above, MACD, KDJ, volume, Bollinger Bands, etc., are all trending weakly; either death crosses are forming or they are converging towards a death cross, so the overall direction is still looking bearish.
In the afternoon, looking at the range between 106000 and 106500, with a focus on around 102600. $BTC #BTC走势分析
Saturday 6️⃣ is wrong, it's actually a shock. Wanting to take a unilateral position on the weekend is no different from dreaming. That's why specific times have specific trends. This flight is not different from picking up; currently, 1️⃣ Liansheng, do you find it unbelievable! Directly compare the trends. The strategy was given in advance, specifically for those who are unconvinced. $BTC
Recent market trends are completely consistent with the strategy. Just now, the position of the market has advanced another 1000 miles. It easily achieved a 17 consecutive victories. The market will not always be one-sided, nor will it always be volatile; when there is an increase in volume, treat it as such. When it is volatile, treat it as volatile. For those who like to pursue a one-sided market, such a large range of fluctuations is basically out of reach. Those who prefer volatility cannot greedily chase volume. So it's always important to clearly distinguish between 'volume increase' and 'volatility' to make it easier. Comparing strategies with trends shows that it is obvious; doesn't it suddenly seem simple? $BTC
It is often said that weekends are not good, but that's because one does not understand; weekend market conditions are the most stable, generally moving within range fluctuations. Looking back at the intraday or past Saturdays, isn't it so? This is also why yesterday morning we were still in a consolidation phase. At 102600, we looked at going long, and then at 105800 we shifted to a range perspective. Within this range, we have already advanced 3 times in a row, and we are currently on a 16 consecutive wins streak, with the 17th victory on the way...
Therefore, the trend is not just one-sided but fluctuating. There are also time cycles, and movement at specific times can be different. However, this requires very rich experience; those who say it's difficult should think carefully. Currently, the market is not changing much, so the range remains unchanged.
Consolidation is around 106000 to 106500, while fluctuations are around 103300 to 103800. We will judge whether the range moves up or down based on the trends in the evening. $BTC
Yesterday's market was quite exciting. Initially, it was affected by the fundamentals and dropped, moving downwards to a position of 2000. Then, considering that the fundamentals did not continue and the strong support below was not broken, it decisively turned upwards. In the afternoon, it recovered and moved up to a position of 1900. Later in the night, it tested the support of the lower Bollinger Band on the four-hour chart, which held, and then moved up to a position of 1000, before switching to a range. In the early morning, it just rebounded to the southward position again, moving down to a position of 900. All positions are just right, not too much or too little. The analysis was provided slightly in advance, and the positions were also discussed. However, what has passed is after all not the past; the focus is still on the market trend ahead...
Generally speaking, there won't be too much action over the weekend, which has always been a rule and a specific time cycle, so the main focus is on the range. The earlier strong recovery brought it back to the significant level of 11, without breaking the resistance. There have been three consecutive days of increased downward volume, directly piercing through the weekly lower points, happening relatively quickly. The major level's label has not changed much, while the smaller level has already detached from the trend structure, so it will experience a correction, which is also in line with the weekend's oscillation rhythm. It's just a matter of observing the movement and then judging whether to shift the range upwards or downwards.
You can continue to look at the upper range around 106000 to 106500 and the lower range around 103300 to 103800.
In the early morning, the market has slipped, taking another 900 points. 1️⃣5️⃣ consecutive gains, strangely, no one is questioning the momentum of consecutive gains now. This morning, the daily trend closed with three consecutive bearish candles, continuing to decline. Just after the close, it was directly impacted by the fundamentals and started to drop sharply. After the market hit 2000 points, it shifted to a bullish stance. This is not random; anyone who understands the 2022 Ukraine-Russia conflict knows that it also started with a sharp drop, only to recover afterwards. Therefore, this kind of fundamental impact is not persistent and can easily reverse, which is reflected in the price action, slowly oscillating upwards, eventually reaching a bullish stance at 1900 points. During the night, the market tested the support of the lower Bollinger Band on the four-hour chart without breaking it, turning bullish, and taking a position at 1000 points. Subsequently, it shifted to a range view, and another rise from the high end of the range resulted in another 900 points. This is completely consistent with the price action, so the doubts about the 1️⃣5️⃣ consecutive gains have disappeared.
Overall, the price action shows a strong upward movement at the beginning of the week, followed by a correction. During the correction phase, the market tested the upper resistance at 110700 four times without breaking it, indicating that the resistance is too strong, which means a pullback is inevitable. The CPI fake bullish move is just bait, and the purpose is obvious. After three consecutive bearish candles on the daily chart, it closed at the bottom, and the four-hour Bollinger Bands are also continuing to expand, indicating potential continuation. After reaching the bottom support, it rebounded and broke the daily high, appearing strong, but in reality, it is weak internally, which is evident from the contracting Bollinger Bands on the hourly chart. Additionally, it is now the sixth day of the week, and the sixth day is mainly moving in a range; without significant fundamental impacts, there won't be any big movements, so we continue to observe the range unchanged.
In the range, there is a rise near 106000 to 106500, and a decline near 10300 to 103800. $BTC
Again, again, again succeeded. 1️⃣5️⃣ consecutive wins. The nighttime indicator for 1000 points has already suggested a position near 106000 that can be exited, and it has already dropped 1000 points. It's a steady advancement, simply too easy. Whether it's analyzing the CPI's release for a false signal, leading to a spike from yesterday morning, or the Middle East conflict starting yesterday morning, saying such fundamentals lack continuity and are prone to reversal, leading to a shift. The range observed last night is consistent with the trend, and the consecutive wins simply cannot be stopped. $BTC
The evening starts weak, testing the four-hour Bollinger support. If the support is not broken, a rebound signal may emerge. Currently, the position is just established, and it's already 1000 miles, having reached 1️⃣4️⃣ consecutive successes. As of now this month, in less than half a month, it has already advanced 31,000 miles. The unique understanding of market trends is evident, with continuous false fundamentals not followed blindly but analyzed calmly. The trends are perfectly controlled.
Moving forward, the focus will be primarily on fluctuations. The lower range is around 13,300 to 13,800, and the upper range is around 106,000 to 106,500. $BTC
After the morning daily line retracts, it directly moves down quickly. After advancing 2000 miles, it then lightly chases another 1000 miles. The position is basically taken directly at the lowest point. In the morning, when the Middle East starts fighting, everyone is shouting that it will go down further, down further, but here it is completely unmoved, directly turning around. Why?
The answer was mentioned in the morning; this is not the first time it has opened up. So as long as you pay attention at the beginning, you will know, but such details are easily overlooked. Additionally, time passes, old hands forget, and new hands don't know, so all of this is experience. And why is the target just right?
The target being just right depends on the daily line. In the morning, it came down from 105660, so this is a high-level resistance. Therefore, there is a pullback, but you cannot look above the resistance. If the resistance is not broken and it falls back, it will retrace. This is also why it has been emphasized to place the target below the resistance and above the support. Also suitable for being stuck 🍑 and the position. $BTC
In the early morning, the index has traveled 3000 miles, reaching near the strong support level below. It has now rebounded to near the target level, with the support at 1900 points already in place. If you are still holding, you can manage it yourself. If you have any doubts, you can refer to the morning report. It was all provided in advance, and you can check to know.
Boll is one of the most basic and commonly used indicators, as well as one of the most effective. But do you really understand Boll? I won't repeat what was mentioned before; previously, the market was strongly bullish, and this time it is weakly bearish, yet Boll behaves in exactly the same way. With this mutual confirmation, it should be easier to understand, right? $BTC
It's on, Kong ah Kong ah, I really dislike this kind of chaotic rhythm, knowing nothing at all, always being confused by a little bit of fundamentals, and not looking at the position, daring to shout at any position... This morning, Kong mentioned that it could go up around 102500 to 103000, with a support level at 102300. It has already come up nearly 2000 points now, so manage your positions well.
From the high position all the way to this morning, why did I say it could go up this morning? It’s not that I said it would crash just because it’s on, just like the Ukraine conflict, it went down first but then came back up. The fundamental reason is that the digestion of such fundamentals is relatively fast; there will only be big moves at that time, but the continuation is poor and it is easy to reverse. Secondly, the support below is relatively close, and it is a strong support, so it could go up; even if it only rises a little, there is much more space to take. Furthermore, don’t overthink it. A 1️⃣ to 2️⃣ thousand point move is basically not a problem. So don’t always be misled by fundamentals. Just like last Wednesday's CPI.
The daily line has seen a three-day decline as expected. Although today's situation is due to the outbreak of conflict in the Middle East, it does not affect the rhythm of the market; it has only accelerated the pace. In the morning, the market reached 2000 points, followed by a light position to chase another 1000 points, precisely controlling this wave of market movement.
Why did the price drop immediately upon the outbreak of conflict? It is because of urgent risk aversion, as everyone rushes to gold. When capital flows out, it is inevitable that prices will go down. Back to the main topic, the impact of the fundamentals will be digested and does not indicate weakness in the structural trend, which often leads to poor continuity and is easy to reverse. However, since it is already a weak rhythm, there will be a pullback, but not too much. The support level is at 102300, so one can consider trading around this position.
Consider trading around 102500 to 103000, and watch 105000 to 105500.
Yesterday, I first looked at the daily Bollinger Band support. The market took a position near the Bollinger Band support, reaching 1800 points, and then defended this support, causing the market to rebound. Without hesitation, I took a position and captured 1350 points. After that, I took a break and did not engage further. Upon waking, the market had directly gone down again, but there’s no regret; the market is always there, and there’s no need to dwell on whether I missed a wave. Instead, it’s essential to maintain the best state to perform better.
From the overall trend structure, the week started with a strong volume, followed by a consolidation waiting for the CPI. The CPI falsely indicated a downtrend, and then the market slowly oscillated downwards, returning near the bottom where the volume was strong at the beginning of the week. The market showed strong performance but did not break below the weekly low support. It seems that the daily low support is being held, but in reality, the daily Bollinger Band moving average is trending down, and the four-hour Bollinger Band moving average is expanding, indicating potential continuation. The morning remains high.
Looking at the market around 106500 to 106800, while observing around 104200.
In the early morning, the positioning of Ling Chen is currently 12 consecutive rises. On Wednesday evening, CPI was interpreted, which is not a true standing rise but a false rise, directly affecting + Cong and Cang Cong. Yesterday morning, we perfectly directed 1500 miles. Yesterday morning, we still insisted on seeing the continuation of weakness and again targeted the position of 1800 miles from last night. In the evening, the test did not break the middle track support of the daily Bollinger Bands, using support as a defensive position. After taking down 1350 miles, a position was established. Those who have understood for a long time know why this is done. There is valuable information shared every day, which has been discussed in previous strategies, so I won't elaborate further. Today there are some trivial matters, just briefly mentioned the stone slab way, and after a busy day, I won't do an analysis, will continue in the morning. $BTC #BTC走势分析