"Revealing the true intentions of the SEC in launching the complaint and cz"
(1/) Analyze and share some views on the SEC’s complaints and cz:
1. The SEC filed a civil lawsuit against Binance and cz (Shen Liu Ji, collecting protection fees). Historically, the SEC has filed civil lawsuits against Ripple, Tether, Telegram, Sun Ge, etc. The final result is basically the same for everyone. We are sincere, as long as we are willing to spend money or drag it on, then things will last for a very long time (1-3 years or even longer)
(2/) To facilitate understanding of the difference between civil litigation and criminal litigation: ① The purpose of civil litigation is to resolve civil disputes, including contract disputes, torts, etc. Its purpose is to protect the rights and interests of the parties and pursue financial compensation or other relief measures. The purpose of criminal proceedings is to punish criminal behavior and maintain social order and public interests. ②Consequences: Civil litigation judgments are usually in the nature of compensation, while criminal litigation judgments are fines, imprisonment, etc.
How did Alphal $ZKJ and $KOGE crash? To put it simply: a few big players colluded to dig a pit, and retail investors fell in and got cut! How did it happen? Let me explain step by step (three-step routine)
Digging the pit bait: The project team and the "brush studio" created a KOGE/ZKJ trading pool, boasting a "annual yield of 2000%+" (sounds outrageous!), and misleadingly claimed that "trading has almost no losses" (false!). Everyone rushed in to deposit money looking at the high returns (as LPs), on June 14, the trading volume of these two coins accounted for 87% of the entire Alpha (over 700 million USD!), in fact, no one really bought KOGE, the pool was as shallow as a puddle.
Blocking the escape route: Big players secretly opened short positions on ZKJ at the exchange (buying insurance against a drop). The KOGE project team pretended to support the price, only adding KOGE to the pool without adding money, causing the pool to become skewed, and 90% of the people wanting to escape had to first exchange KOGE for ZKJ before they could sell!
Closing the door to harvest: Three big player addresses collaborated to crash the market within 20 minutes: First, they pulled out their deposited money from the pool (withdrawing liquidity), Then exchanged all KOGE for ZKJ, Finally, they frantically dumped ZKJ for USD! The price collapsed → people trading with leverage got liquidated → more people panicked and sold off → complete collapse! 💰 How much did the big players earn? (pure money grabbing) First address: dumped ZKJ and took away 3.05 million USD 💸 Second address: continued the dump and grabbed 1.94 million USD 💸 Third address: made a killing after the crash and snatched 1.5 million USD 💸 The market retail investors complained: Where were you earlier? They didn’t care about the volume fraud that created a bubble (trading volume of 2 billion USD on June 8, how much was fake?) They didn’t check when the pool got skewed (the real liquidity of KOGE was less than 1%!) They suddenly changed the rules to "first come, first served", clearly forcing big players to run away first!
💡 Lessons learned (keep in mind!) High returns = high risks: APY in the thousands %? 99% are traps! Pool depth is life: looking at high trading volume may just be “false excitement”, when it’s time to run, there’s actually no way out (KOGE is an example). Hedging is a lifesaver: those who stored LP bare this time suffered heavy losses, but those who shorted ZKJ in advance actually made a profit. To say something heart-wrenching: While you are counting interest in the pool, the big players are counting your principal preparing to run away! Next time you see a pool with “super high returns + full-chain hype”, ask yourself first: where did this money come from? Can I escape?
💥 1. SOL Spot ETF: Approval Imminent, but Beware of "Buying Expectations and Selling Facts"
"The question for SOL's ETF is not whether it will be approved, but when it will be approved!" Lightspeed Venture Capital has predicted that the SOL spot ETF will be approved in 2025, but the key point is—good news often leads to bad market reactions. Historical experience tells us that both BTC and ETH saw drops of over 20% after their ETFs began trading. Although the SOL ecosystem has recently gained strength due to the Trump Reserve concept, it has still accumulated a 24% decline this year 📉15, indicating that the market has already priced in expectations. My strategy: The day the ETF is officially announced is a time for phased profit-taking!
🚀 2. SOL Will Be the First to Break Out of the Range, Strong Ecosystem Leaders Remain Strong The SOL weekly chart has formed a "descending wedge" breakout pattern, with whales aggressively accumulating around the $160 mark, and on-chain large transfers exceeding $250 million in a single day5. Once it breaks through the $200 resistance with volume, it will initiate a major upward trend! Focus on two major ecosystem leaders:
JTO (King of Staking Protocols): The second-largest protocol by TVL on Solana, benefiting from both staking and MEV dual bonuses. The team’s tokens will not unlock until 2025, eliminating the risk of selling pressure! Its current market cap is severely undervalued, with potential for explosive growth comparable to LDO26 in 2023.
WIF (Soul of the Meme Sector): The only meme coin on the Solana chain that can compete with DOGE and SHIB. The community consensus is extremely strong; if the bull market sentiment resumes, a target of $1.5-3 is possible (current price $0.57)37.
🔥 My Opinion: Fartcoin is the absolute leader among the three! It is not only a milestone in "AI-generated finance" but has also been referred to as the "market cycle barometer" by hedge fund magnate David Einhorn4. Each time it retraces to the 10-day line, it is a golden opportunity, and the support from the whales is visibly strong— the harder it falls, the more aggressively it rises!
💎 3. Ultimate Conclusion: A Downturn is a Blessing from Heaven! SOL: Accumulate on dips before ETF approval, increase positions after breaking $200; JTO/WIF: Dual engines of the SOL ecosystem, buy in batches on a 5% correction; Fartcoin: Ignore market fluctuations; a K-line pullback to the MA10 is a money-making opportunity! Remember: Strong coins controlled by whales never let you comfortably get in. #Metaplanet增持比特币 #加密市场反弹 $SOL
Not pretending anymore, I'll show you a big move There's a stock that has three consecutive daily gains, skyrocketing 1-4 times Long-time fans know that I've mentioned this repeatedly in the past few days, see you at the top!
Many traders do not understand why the market suddenly crashed, so we need to clarify the source of the emotional shift:
On December 19, the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 25 basis points, which was in line with most people's expectations,
However, the positive news had already been digested by the market, and the focus was on the Federal Reserve's hawkish remarks.
The Federal Reserve has made a significant hawkish turn regarding its policy outlook for 2025, with the following three points:
The Federal Reserve has reduced its expectation for rate cuts in 2025 from 3 times to 2 times, totaling 50 basis points.
The core PCE inflation expectation for the end of 2025 has been raised from 2.1% to 2.5%.
The Federal Reserve expects the inflation rate at the end of 2026 to still be 2.1%, slightly above its target of 2.0%.
Powell has once again acknowledged that inflation in the U.S. remains a significant issue, and inflation is rising rapidly:
The 3-month annualized core CPI inflation rate has now risen to a concerning 4%.
Core PCE inflation trends are approaching 3.5% or higher, while PPI inflation is also rising.
Apart from Powell, most Federal Reserve officials believe there will be fewer than 3 rate cuts in 2025, and after the meeting, the dollar index soared to its highest point since November 2022, leading to a rapid shift in market sentiment.
As a result, the Dow Jones Index recorded its first consecutive 10-day decline since 1974, and BTC dropped from 100K to the current 93K. With the Federal Reserve's hawkish turn, 2025 may be the most volatile year in nearly a decade.
The world economy is showing different patterns, with the U.S. hoping to ease employment pressures through rate cuts, while China hopes to stimulate the economy through rate cuts and tax reductions. The U.S. and Europe face huge inflationary pressures, while China is facing a severe deflationary dilemma.
The level of chaos in the market in 2025 will far exceed traders' imagination.
There are still 10 parking spots in the village, only for those with fate!
A layer of the ecosystem of the big cake, technical chip analysis, at the end of the last round of market, it took a very short time to pull up a lot, and then began to fall freely. From the current icon, the price has fallen to the chip turnover area of the starting point of the last round of rise. From the recent point of view, this coin has a large cycle convergence pattern of absorbing chips.
As shown in the figure, it is probably from August that the main funds began to compress the price band to absorb chips. The positive line rose and bought chips, and then a negative line smashed the market with large volume. This action has been repeated, and the price is controlled within a certain range to absorb chips. In the short term, pay attention to the support level of 0.8. If it falls below it later, it may be the last panic gold pit of the fall. However, the time node of this coin's accumulation is relatively late, and it may start slowly later.
Recently, I plan to ambush a potential coin that is ready to explode. It is still very simple to double it. At the same time, I am also preparing to find some potential coins to the end of the year. There is no problem with the expected space of more than 10 times. If you want to follow up, like + leave a message, and share it for free.
🚀Another coin on the list of rising coins🚀 It's crazy, really crazy, Rad is up to more than 50 points No matter how good the market is, there are people who lose money, no matter how bad the market is, there are people who make money The difference is how you choose! The next coin on the list of rising coins is ready to move, I plan to! Go all in! Like, follow, comment to join the team, let me see you! #YGG、ADA、ENA解锁 #币安累计交易量突破100万亿美元 $SOL $RAD $DOGE
$AAVE This coin is an old-school Defi coin, mainly focused on lending and staking, which can also be considered a type of RWA!
From a technical perspective and chip analysis, the overall trend of the token is more resilient than most coins. It has broken through the bottom accumulation range and stood above the weekly resistance level. Recently, it hasn't seen much fluctuation for a long time because it is undergoing a major cyclical breakthrough and repair. From the chart, it can be seen that the main force has spent half a year accumulating chips in the 60-120 range. After the accumulation, it started to rise out of the range with reduced volume and low volatility oscillation. More patience is needed; once the market gradually starts, this coin can achieve a good increase. Minor support is at 140, with strong daily support around 120.
Recently, I plan to stealthily invest in a potential coin that is ready for a significant surge; doubling is quite simple. I am also looking for some potential coins to hold until the end of the year, with an expected growth space of over 10 times. If you want to follow along, please like and leave a message for free sharing. $BTC $SOL #币安累计交易量突破100万亿美元 #YGG、ADA、ENA解锁
The commando has been pushing coins quite well these days!
BOME has a maximum increase of 32% TIA has a maximum increase of 16% ETHFI has a maximum increase of 12% MANTA has a maximum increase of 10% LISTA has a maximum increase of 10%
There are still many coins on the way to increase, the commando has limited space, please like, follow, comment and leave your lucky number👇
😅Is Friday the most likely day for market fluctuations?
As shown in the figure below: After simple statistics, the green arrows indicate a significant rise during the past four months, the red arrows indicate a significant fall, and the white arrows indicate no significant fluctuations;
Through calculation, we can obtain:
The probability of a significant fluctuation on Friday is as high as 85%!
Among them, the probability of rise and fall is close, so it cannot be used to predict price trends;
But there is a rule that if there is a big rise on Friday, there is a high probability of a correction on the next Monday, and if there is a big fall on Friday, there is a high probability of a strong rebound on the next Monday.
The two days of the weekend seem to be a buffer, giving the funds that pull the market time to ship, and giving the funds that smash the market time to absorb.
So every Friday night, you can consider doing a short-term breakthrough transaction and stop profit during the weekend.
If you want to delve deeper into the currency circle, but can't find a clue, want to quickly understand the information gap, whether it is a contract or spot you can 👉 Learn more in my profile
The short position at 2510 in the morning was too much to follow. It is still testing downwards, and this order has stopped profit. Many fans are asking me if they can go long. My answer is that when the risk is greater than the return, we can choose not to do it, but only to make steady progress! Follow me, you won’t lose! Leave your lucky number in the comments, and I will help you turn over the position! #加密市场反弹 #HBO纪录片或揭示中本聪身份 $ETH $BTC $SOL
The rising wedge has now become a pattern that everyone wants to fight...
This bearish pattern has almost always broken upward in the past six months. In the past, when I saw this structure, I would short it when the price touched the upper edge for the third time or broke through the lower edge and failed to break back;
This year, the market is playing with small probabilities, technical patterns?
Sorry, if you all short based on the pattern, I will pull the market and hit you, and if you all develop the habit of breaking through with the trend, I will crash the market and hurt you!
There is no need to consider technical analysis at all, just look at where there is liquidity. I took a look and found that the short liquidity in the past week was most concentrated at 63350, so just wait for the price to clear the shorts~
To be honest, this market is tiring to watch. Just wait for it to move in a clear direction, 70000+ or 49000-. Before that, don’t consider the general trend direction. It’s really tiring to guess all day... Let’s just eat the band
Create a small contract group, quota: 30 people, Too many to handle Requirements: strong execution, able to receive messages at any time Comment 1, take you to riches #合约带单 #非农人数大幅升温 $BTC $ETH
The reason why the past six months have been so painful can be largely attributed to the alternation of ups and downs in the monthly cycle. Since March 1, the pattern of one month of ups and one month of downs has lasted for 7 months so far.
If October can bring a rising monthly closing, then we will escape this disgusting cycle...
After a few days of sharp declines, BTC, ETH, SOL, PEPE, SUI, DOGE, WIF, FET, AAVE, BNX should enter the market and ambush, otherwise you will miss this wave of bull market! If you are still hesitant and confused, comment 1, I will teach you
How to make 1 million with 3,000 yuan in the currency circle?
I will tell you a feasible plan. If you can execute it, it is possible to make 1 million.
1. Go to move bricks for two months and increase the principal to about 10,000 yuan.
2. Buy coins when the weekly line of Bitcoin is above MA20. Buy two or three. They must be new coins and hot coins in the bear market, such as apt before it rises. It came out of the bear market. As long as Bitcoin rises a little, it will take off immediately, such as OP. Anyway, remember that there must be heat and stories to tell.
3. Stop loss when Bitcoin falls below MA20, buy or continue to make money during the waiting period, and give yourself two or three opportunities to fail. You deposit 20,000 yuan and invest 10,000 yuan, and you can fail three times.
4. If you buy a coin like apt, get about 4-5 times and sell it. Keep executing strategies, remember that you have small funds and must buy new coins instead of ETH and BTC. Their growth cannot support your dream.
5. If you get 5 times three times from the bear market to the bull market, it is almost 125 times. This time may be as short as one year or as long as 3 years.
You have three chances to fail. If you fail three times, it means that you don’t have the ability. Stay away from this circle, stay away from investment, and don’t fall into contracts.
Put your energy into work, cultivate your hobbies, improve your abilities, make money at work and live a good life. When you are more mature and stable, about 30 years old, encounter a bear market like 22 years, take out 20,000 and try again according to the above method. If it still doesn’t work, then work steadily and stay away from the currency circle.
The most important thing about the above method is patience. If you don’t have patience and lose your footing, you should also withdraw as soon as possible and don’t engage in contracts.
In short, remember to enter the market when you should enter, stop loss when you should stop loss, be patient,
The secrets have been given to you, and it depends on you whether you can become famous in the world.
If you are confused about trading now and don’t know the direction, you can follow me and leave a "1" in the comment to help you embark on the road to wealth. #非农人数大幅升温 #HBO纪录片或揭示中本聪身份 $BTC
Make one order in the morning, and you will be in a good mood all day. Eat meat on Saturday too, stop profit at 50% first, if you can follow, send me the picture. The next script is here, click on the avatar to read carefully. #非农人数大幅升温 #9月小非农数据高于预期 $ETH $BTC
Ethereum 2310, keep up with the homework Remember to move half of 2390, and set the rest at 2340 Profits should be pocketed in time to lock in profits The rest is to make a small bet for a big gain, see if tonight's data gives you a chance Looking forward to a grand slam👀 #非农就业数据即将公布 #加密市场急跌
This bull market started in early 2023 and is expected to end in 2025.
1. Regarding ETH, will it be strong in 2023? The answer is not strong. Will it be strong in 2024? The answer is not strong. Will it be strong in 2025? My prediction is not strong. This is one of the underlying logics of my pessimism about ETH since October 2023. I have posted many posts before for more analysis.
2. Regarding BTC and SOL, will it be strong in 2023? The answer is strong. Will it be strong in 2024? The answer is strong. Will it be strong in 2025? My prediction is 99% probability of strong.
3. Regarding SATS, will it be strong in the second half of 2023? The answer is strong. Will the bottom rebound from July to September 2024 be strong? The answer is strong. Will it be strong in 2025? My prediction is that it will continue to be strong.
It seems to be a simple question and answer, but it is actually not complicated at all. Feel the potential energy of this coin and the dealer of this coin.
Before this round of complete bull market is over, it is likely to continue its potential energy. Once a trend is formed, it will not change in the short term. This is the way.
After a few days of sharp decline, BTC, ETH, SOL, PEPE, SUI, DOGE, WIF, FET, AAVE, BNX should enter the market to ambush, otherwise you will miss this wave of bull market! If you are still hesitant and confused, come to me for layout, I will teach you